There are many kinds of inferences, but which one is the conclusion?

On the surface, the two Eastern Crusades in China and Turkey were defeated, and internal and external troubles broke out together, and the conditions for launching a civil war were completely incomparable, but with the strong national strength of Middle Earth, the urgent needs faced by the Western Turks, and the fact that Goguryeo was dying, and the Far Eastern captives could no longer pose a threat to Middle Earth, even if China did not dare to launch a full-scale civil war, it was possible to provoke a war in some areas. Pen % fun % Pavilion www.biquge.info

So, for what purpose is Middle-earth eager to provoke a war in a local area?

"There are only two ways for China and Turkey to solve their crisis in the western frontier, one is to fight back by force, and the other is to negotiate with compromise." Shi Shu Hu stroked his long beard and said in a calm tone.

The expedition of the Middle-earth laborers is obviously unrealistic, they have two enemies in the western frontier, the Tuyuhun people in Longxi are easy to deal with, but the Western Turks have swept through the Western Regions, approaching Hexi, and it is difficult to take care of the end of the Middle Earth, and it is very embarrassing, so the best way in Middle-earth is to compromise with the Western Turks, as long as the two sides reach an agreement and join hands to form an alliance, the Middle Turks can use the Western Turks to contain the east of the desert in the direction of Jinshan (Altai). The Turks, and once the Eastern and Western Turks fought, Middle-earth could free up its hands to fight the Tuyuhun people, so that the crisis in Western Xinjiang was quickly resolved.

However, the Western Turks finally took advantage of the great opportunity of the Eastern Expedition to win the favorable situation today, how could they let the Middle-earth people get their wish? The Western Turks will inevitably "open their mouths widely" and do their best to blackmail and try their best to extract benefits, and at the same time they will use the East. The forces of the Turks and the Tuyuhun people continued to threaten and invade Middle-earth from the west and north, contain and consume Middle-earth, and attack and weaken Middle-earth's ambitions for the Western Regions, so as to achieve a long-term stable situation in the east of the Green Ridge and create a stable rear for the war between the Western Turks and the Persians.

So what is the countermeasure of Middle-earth? Can we only swallow our anger and let the Western Turks "extort money"? Of course not, in order to occupy as much initiative as possible in the negotiations, the first thing in China is to show its strong national strength and clearly tell the Western Turks that it is not that I am not strong enough to swallow my anger, but that the situation does not allow me to have to compromise temporarily, and that when I have completely settled the affairs in the east, I can concentrate my forces to enter the Western Land again and sweep away the captives.

How to show your strong national strength? The Middle-earth Crusade has failed for two consecutive years, and the losses are huge, but fortunately, the small country of Goguryeo is a small country, and it really can't withstand the blow of this scale of "storm", even if it wins and holds the land, but the land is thousands of miles away, a ruin, the kingdom is on the verge of collapse, and it is unbearable to fight again, if you want to survive, you can only surrender, and surrender before the Third Crusade is launched in Middle-earth, and retain a trace of face for Middle-earth, and the probability of survival is far greater than that of the Middle-earth soldiers at the moment of the city, so if nothing else, Goguryeo's peace envoys have already set out, as long as Goguryeo pays a large enough price, and Middle-earth can "knock out teeth and swallow blood", swallowing the shame of the defeat of this Eastern Crusade, this war will be over.

In other words, although the two consecutive years of the Eastern Crusade ended in military defeat, with its strong national strength, it dragged the opponent alive, and finally won politically, and was still able to achieve the goal of the war.

Now that the Eastern Crusade is in fact over, then Middle-earth can certainly free up its hands to deal with the crisis in the western frontier, but the western frontier is too far away, and the exhausted army and excessive national strength do not allow Middle-earth to launch a second western expedition immediately, but it has the ability to launch a small-scale local war in the northeastern frontier.

Thirdly, if this local battlefield allows China to completely control the Far East captives and further strengthen the defense of Northeast Xinjiang, it will be able to quickly reverse the inferiority of China and Turkey in the defense of the entire northern Xinjiang, and write off the historical "old debts" left over from the need for the great cause of reunification. In this way, Middle-earth has gained greater advantages in the confrontation between the north and the south, and these advantages are enough to help Middle-earth have more leverage and win more benefits in negotiations with the Western Turks.

Standing at the height of the "three-legged standing", Shi Shu Huxi deeply analyzed and deduced the development of the overall situation at home and abroad in the future, and "depicted" a scene of "three heroes competing for hegemony" for Ashina Simo and Ashina's uncle and nephew, and the answer was about to come out and was clearly visible.

"Therefore, the key is to kill people with the sword, and if we cannot see through the conspiracy of the Middle-earthers, we will suffer from it." Shi Shu Huxi? In the final summary, it is still the same sentence, "borrowing a knife to kill" is the key.

Before, when Shi Shu Hu Xi said that "the key is to kill people with a knife", Ashina Simo and Ashina did not understand, and even made wrong inferences, and now after Shi Shu Hu Xi explained in such detail, although the two understood it, they will be skeptical, not only because this inference is really unexpected and unbelievable, but also because Shi Shu Huxi is the core figure of the radical faction in the tooth tent, and believes that Middle-earth is the biggest obstacle to the re-establishment of the unified Great Turkic Khanate, and has strong hostility towards Middle-earth and regards Middle-earth as the biggest enemy. There was a willingness and motivation to actively start the Civil War, so the uncle and nephew had to be on high alert, and had to speculate with the greatest malice about the real purpose of Shi Shu Huxi's astonishing inference.

Ashina Simo frowned, contemplative, and worried.

Ashina spread out the map and was silent in thought.

Why did Middle-earth go east to Goguryeo? Although Goguryeo is the overlord of the Far East, and has often invaded Liaodong in Middle-earth over the years, this is not enough to threaten the foundation of Middle-earth, so as not to cause the thunderous anger of Middle-earth, what really angers Middle-earth is the over-inflated ambition of Goguryeo, it is the alliance and cooperation of Goguryeo and the Khitans, and stretches its "tentacles" to the line of weak Luoshui (Liaoshui), exposing the ambition of dominating the Northeast, and once Goguryeo conquers the Northeast captives, dominates the Northeast, and forms an east-west echo with the Turks on the desert, it will inevitably seriously endanger the defense of the northern frontier of Middle-earth. This directly harmed the fundamental interests of Middle-earth, and Middle-earth naturally wanted to take advantage of Goguryeo's fledgling and unfulfilled ambitions to completely strangle it.

Now that the goal of Middle-earth has basically been achieved, it has dealt a heavy blow to Goguryeo, and Goguryeo's vitality has been greatly damaged, and the results of the previous efforts have come to naught, but this has not solved the fundamental problem. The fundamental problem is that Middle-earth has a fatal flaw in the defense of the entire northern frontier, and this defect is that Middle-earth cannot truly conquer the Xi, Xi, Khitan and other captives in the northeast, cannot actually control the southern region of the weak Luoshui, and cannot incorporate this region into its own territory, so it is impossible to destroy the situation formed by the Turks, Goguryeo and other foreign captives on the northern frontier of Central-Turkey.

This defect was "seen" by the captives outside the Saiwai, so whether it was the Turks in the desert, or Goguryeo in the Far East, or even the Murowei and Jin Ya in the farther east, they all coveted this area, and they all wanted to take it for themselves, and they all wanted to prevent Middle-earth from occupying this area, inserting a huge "tenon" into the joint of the outer captives, and then giving Middle-earth a chance to divide and break it. In order to protect themselves, the Northeast captives also "worshipped the dock" everywhere to recognize their eldest brother, not only as a vassal of Middle Earth, but also as a vassal to the Turks, and at the same time allied with the captives of Goguryeo, Murowei, and Jianya, and joined forces vertically and horizontally, and survived in the cracks.

Because of this, the interests involved in this region are too great, and if the whole body is affected by a single attack, if Middle-earth forcibly sends troops to weaken Luoshui, attack the prisoners in the northeast, tear up the covenant, and betray its promise, it will become the target of the public, and will be jointly blocked by the captives outside the country, and in the end it will definitely affect and even endanger the security of the northern Xinjiang garrison, and even have the possibility of detonating the Civil War. After all, the great cause of reunification has just been completed, the reform of centralized power has just begun, the foundation for reunification has not yet been solidified, and it does not yet have the ability to expand its territory.

Of course, in the past ten years, especially in the East. The Turkic Khanate fell into a period of division and war, and Middle-earth did not have the opportunity to send troops to the northeast, but because of various reasons, such as domestic political storms, such as some adjustments in national defense and foreign affairs strategies, such as the failure of the expedition to Goguryeo in the last years of the first emperor's reign, such as the need for Han King Yang Liang to seize the imperial unification, etc., the results were missed, so that Middle-earth has not been able to solve this historical problem until now, and has not been able to solve this fatal flaw in the northern Xinjiang town.

However, this defect must be remedied and this problem left over from history must be resolved after all. After the development of the national strength of the Middle Earth, it is necessary to expand the territory, and it is necessary to launch a civil war, and to win the civil war, the premise is to consolidate and strengthen the security of the northern Xinjiang town, for this we must take the northeast region, we must conquer the northeast captives such as Xi, Xi, Khitan, etc., and we must insert a tenon in the junction of the foreign captives, so as to break the east-west attack of the northern Xinjiang defense, but the "masters" of the Northeast captives are the Turks, as well as the "brothers" of the Goguryeo, Murowei, and Jin Ya, who are allied with blood. Therefore, if Middle-earth takes the initiative to attack the Northeast captives, it will definitely tear its face with the Turks, and at the same time, it will also attract a large number of vicious wolves to besiege it, which is equivalent to turning against all the foreign captives and stabbing the hornet's nest, and the result will definitely outweigh the losses.

So the Middle Earth was broken down, first the wolves, the eastern expedition to Goguryeo, and the first to beat the "leading big brother" of the Northeast and Far East captives. Now that this goal has been achieved, what next? Will you directly send troops to attack the Northeast captives and tear your face with the Turks, or will you wait and patiently look for opportunities? The people of Middle-earth were impatient, but they didn't want to immediately tear their faces with the Turks and start a civil war, so they borrowed knives to kill people.

The Emperor of Middle-earth borrowed the "knife" of domestic traitors, and wanted to kill the Northeast captives, with the goal of taking a large area of land on both sides of the weak Luoshui River, inserting a tenon in the junction of the outer captives, so as to make up for the shortcomings of Middle-earth in the northern Xinjiang and further expand the advantages of Middle-earth in the confrontation between the north and the south, so as to actively carry out the preliminary preparations for the civil war.

The cleverness of this plan is to replace the Weifu army with "domestic traitors" and use "enemies" to complete the intended goal, so the Turks know that it is the conspiracy of the emperor of Middle-earth but are helpless, and they can't find a reason to turn their faces, and they have to eat coptis dumb and act as the "knife" of Middle-earth to help the emperor of Middle-earth kill the "traitors", otherwise the Northeast captives are finished, and the Northeast is controlled by Middle-earth, and the Turks will not suffer heavy losses? After such a fight, the Turks will definitely have to pay the price, there will still be losses, and the captives in the northeast will also suffer heavy losses. In this unfavorable situation, if Middle-earth sends troops to suppress thieves under the pretext of taking advantage of the situation to kill both sides of the weak Luoshui, wouldn't it be as powerful as a bamboo, and the blockers will be invincible? The Turks knew that this was a conspiracy of the Middle-earthers, but they could not stop it, so they could only allow the Middle-earthers to occupy the Northeast in a justifiable, high-sounding, and righteous manner, and still owed the other party favors, wouldn't it make the Turks angry and "vomit blood"?

After a long time, Ashina finally raised his head, glanced at Shi Shu Hu Xi meaningfully, and asked quietly, "What is the plan?" ”

"Kill!" Shi Shu Huxi said without hesitation, "Kill all the plans, and completely strangle the conspiracy of the Middle-earthers." ”

A hint of understanding suddenly flashed in Ashina's aggressive eyes, so it turned out, the Lite people were really treacherous, scheming, and dug a big pit for me.

Ashnasimo closed his eyes, his face expressionless, and he didn't say a word.

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