Obviously, Fu Zhu cherished the manuscript in his hand. In order to protect the book from damage, he also specially put a book cover on this old school bag. But even so, the edges of the pages are still frayed. It can be seen from here that he often reads this book on weekdays.

Fu Zhu took the book and said: "If you want to deal with Luan Ziqi's plan, you need to use Luan Ziqi's method." ”

"Oh? What do you mean by that? Yuan Shao was puzzled.

He asked himself and replied, "Why did the people under his rule have no intention of farming, and instead threw themselves into the mountains to hunt?" The answer is obvious, because the income from hunting is much greater than that of arable land. So, how can this be reversed? ”

"That's right! How to twist it? Listening to the frustration and panting, Yuan Shao hurriedly stood up from the chair and asked.

The judge said impatiently: "Don't sell the guanzi." ”

Frustrated with his beard, he rolled his eyes at the judge, and said unhurriedly: "The most direct way to reverse this situation is to reduce the income of hunting. People feel that it is not profitable, and then they will naturally withdraw and look for other livelihoods, they should grow food, they should cut down logs, and everything will return to orthodoxy. ”

The judge looked unconvinced, "Don't talk on paper, but talk about how to reduce the income of hunting?" ”

Frustrated and confident, he said: "This matter is easy." It only needs to raise the tax on the mountain goods trade. Naturally, the income from hunting in the mountains will decline. ”

"That's a nod to it." The judge glanced at his lips and returned the reason for Fang Cai's refutation of him as it was, "There are not thousands of mountain goods and fur merchants in Hebei, but hundreds of them. What if they get away with their taxes? You can't send someone to follow them all day long to supervise trade, can you? ”

"There is no need to supervise at all!" Fu Zhu stroked his beard and smiled, "My lord." Whether it is a merchant or a private person to collect mountain goods, or a hunter enters the city to sell the proceeds of hunting. The final distribution point of mountain goods will only be in the castle. Therefore, we had to set up cards at the gates of the city and levy heavy taxes on all those who brought mountain goods into the city. In this way, the tax is high, the price of mountain goods is soaring, and the buyers are declining, which can eliminate the trade of mountain goods from the root. ”

It has to be said that it is not difficult for anyone who knows a little about economics to see that the countermeasures proposed by Fu Zhu already have the rudiments of the modern economic strategy of the 19th century, "macroeconomic regulation and control". This method is not Luan Yi's personal transmission, nor is it explicitly mentioned in the book "Yuan Fu", but it was realized by Fu Zhu after many years of reading through "Yuan Fu".

This shows the intelligence of Frustration, and it can also be seen that Luan Yi's thoughts have inadvertently influenced many people.

Yuan Shao has also read "Yuan Fu" no less than ten times. After a little thought, I realized that the plan of frustration could indeed solve the urgent need, so I followed his words.

As a result, within seven days, there was another entry tax at the major cities and road checkpoints in Jizhou, Hebei Province -- the Shanzhen tax. However, anyone who wants to transport mountain treasures into the city or pass through the checkpoint must pay a high tax, otherwise they will not be released.

Overnight, the price of all kinds of mountain goods in Hebei tripled, and then tripled five days later.

The price remains high, although Luan Yi can afford it, but buying in large quantities will only cause a large amount of losses, and there is no benefit at all. The gains outweighed the losses, so the families stopped their actions and no longer traded with Hebei in large quantities of mountain treasures.

Yuan Shao originally thought that with the help of the method of "Yuan Fu" to govern "Yuan Fu", Luan Yi's "boiled frog in warm water" had been broken, but he didn't know that this was just the beginning of Luan Yi's big chess.

Although Luan Yi stopped introducing large quantities of mountain treasures, the supply of grain and grass to Hebei has never stopped.

In the second year of the Shengyuan Dynasty, the North China Plain, which had been dry and rainless for many years, finally ushered in a rare beautiful year. This year was a good year, there were no floods, no waterlogging, and no drought, and if there was a slight shortage of water in the fields, God would send a rain to moisten the earth. The earth was not yet dry, and nectar fell from heaven. More than ten rains, the momentum is not big, but the precipitation is not small, it belongs to the lingering light rain, the most suitable for agricultural irrigation.

As a result, in the autumn of the same year, the counties of Hebei ushered in a rare bumper harvest.

It stands to reason that the harvest of grain should be happy, from the local officials down to the common people. But the opposite is true.

For more than a year, the grain and grass imported by Luan Yi from the diocese of Henan to Hebei converged in Jizhou at the same time as the grain produced in Hebei in the harvest year. As a result, a large number of grain crops in Hebei were hoarded, and the market retention rate once exceeded the saturation value by more than three times.

As the saying goes, "scarcity is expensive", on the contrary, if the market supply exceeds the aggregate demand, the price of the commodity will fall.

Hebei's grain and grass hoarding remained high, and the price dropped significantly. From less than 20 Wen last year, it fell to the bottom in one go. You can buy one stone for only 10 yuan.

Speaking of which, some people will definitely ask, when the price of food is low, and the people can eat, shouldn't life be better?

This is not the case. In the Han Dynasty, which was based on agriculture, the price of grain directly affected the price of other products.

Just like Jizhou today, more than ninety percent of the population are farmers or landowners who make a living from arable land. The fall in food prices has had a direct impact on their earnings.

As a simple example, a person has 100 acres of land and receives 200 stone of grain every year. When each stone of grain is worth 40 yuan, their annual income is 8,000 yuan. At that time, it cost 500 wen to make a new dress, and if he used all the income of the year to make clothes, he could make 16 pieces.

This is no longer the case. The price of grain fell to 10 wen at once, and his income fell by three-quarters to 2,000 wen. If the price of making clothes is still 500 yuan a piece, the value of a piece of clothing is equivalent to the income of a farmer who has worked hard to cultivate 25 acres of land for a year.

Farmers will definitely not buy such an expensive price, at least this year they made much less clothes than in previous years. If you buy less clothes, the supply will exceed demand, which will lead to a decrease in the price of clothes.

At the same time, the landowners and farmers who relied on the land for income found that they had worked hard for a year with their backs to the sun and facing the loess, and they could only change one piece of clothing after cultivating more than 20 acres of land. Many people with active minds choose to leave the land where they depend on the sky and pursue other livelihoods. For example, if you choose to make clothes directly, the money you earn from making a ready-to-wear garment in 4 days is equivalent to cultivating the land for a year, so why not?

But is that really the case? Of course not.

A large number of people put aside farming and chose the textile industry, bringing not only manpower, but also a large amount of capital originally invested in the land. Many new textile workshops were established, further increasing the supply of cloth and clothing to the market.

The market supply climbed and once again outpaced the market demand, which was another important factor in the decline in the price of fabrics and clothes.

Coincidentally, as in the textile industry, the prices of products from all walks of life in Hebei have been lowered due to the relationship between supply and demand and the influx of labor, in order to cater to the shrinking agricultural income. This includes the supply of raw materials such as logging, fishing, mulberry mining, and stone gathering.

Taking this opportunity, Luan Yi took advantage of the situation and wantonly bought raw materials such as wood, mulberry hemp, and ore from Hebei at extremely low prices, and processed them into furniture, Shencai paper, Jinan satin, glaze and other finished products and sold them to the four major states of the diocese, as well as Yangzhou, Jingzhou, Xiliang and other places.

not only made up for the losses caused by the high-priced purchase of mountain goods in the early stage, but also made a lot of money.

Subsequently, Luan Yi used the money to update the ordnance, recruit troops, and pay for the high military expenses spent by Liu Bei in the southern expedition to Xuzhou, as well as the three to five years of Shengyuan's war against Cao Cao. It is also used to reward meritorious soldiers and appease the families of fallen soldiers.

When Luan Yi was smiling in order to win high returns, Hebei added new chaos.

Due to the opening of the diocese to Hebei, the demand for raw materials in Hebei suddenly increased several times compared with before. Demand for raw materials tends to outstrip supply, and prices climb with it.

With the rise in the price of raw materials such as timber and mulberry hemp, the price of finished products will naturally rise. For a time, the market of pots and pans, firewood, cloth and oil and salt in Hebei picked up, and prices rose rapidly.

Don't forget, Hebei's grain is still saturated, which means that the income of farmers, who account for the largest proportion of Hebei's population, has not increased, but the prices of various commodities around them have been rising.

There is even a situation where a large cart of grain can only be exchanged for a piece of cloth.

People all over Hebei are unable to make ends meet, and their lives are unsustainable, and they all complain. Yuan Shaomin's heart is declining.

Undoubtedly, Luan Yi was the biggest winner in this second-century trade war. The reason why he won such a brilliant victory is that the economic knowledge of the 21st century has played an extremely important role in promoting it. In addition, Luan Yi's efforts in talent training over the years have also made great contributions.

Since Luan Yi started business at the age of eight, he has paid special attention to the cultivation of arithmetic under his capable subordinates. From the initial shopkeeper, from the most primitive words and deeds, hand-in-hand guidance. Later, after the establishment of the arithmetic department of the Holy Church, the arithmetic major of the Holy City University Hall, with Luan Yi's unremitting efforts for more than ten years, has cultivated a large number of bookkeepers who understand statistics, geometry and the basics of advanced mathematics and other management and applied mathematics, the number of which is enough to reach 3,000.

A large part of these people are now assigned to local churches, where they are responsible for the savings and issuance of holy certificates. Some of them are engaged in accounting work such as revenue records in the church industry. Others were sent to the Han states outside the diocese, where they were mainly responsible for cooperating with local S.H.I.E.L.D. intelligence officers to collect various data on the daily production and life of local residents.

Taking Jizhou as an example, how many acres of land does the people in the surrounding counties of Yecheng in Jizhou have? How much grain does the land produce each year? Is the grain good or bad, and what is the condition? How many pieces of cloth does each household buy per year? What kind of cloth to buy...... The list goes on and on. Even the monthly expenditure of Yuan Shao's mansion can be estimated through data, and the expenditure items are even clearer at a glance.

It can be said that Luan Yi, who is far away in Jinan, even knows Hebei better than Yuan Shao himself. And based on this remote command, he finally won brilliant results.