Chapter 52: Potential Hot Spots

Director Yu said, "The theory of geopolitics is the product of the colonization and hegemony of Western colonizers. In 1919, Mackinder, a British geographer and geopolitician, pioneered the discipline of geopolitics, and the geopolitical characteristics of Eurasia as the center stage of Shijie politics were systematically described for the first time. ”

From the perspective of geopolitics, the shijie order composed of sovereign states is similar to the "building complex" that exists in space. These complexes were built around the Eurasian land power. Geopolitics studies the geographical relationships between these "complexes" in order to provide informed geographical and strategic guidance to national policymakers.

Then, the British geopolitical scientist Parker divided the geopolitical process into "two processes", that is, the standard geopolitical process and the alternative geopolitical process.

The so-called standard geopolitical process, the first stage, is the attempt of a great power to achieve dominance in the core area. The second stage is characterized by mutual hostility between two great powers or groups of great powers. One of the countries gets liliang from inside the continent, while the other power gets liliang mainly from outside the continent. In the third stage, the dominant or hegemonic powers go into decline, and one or all of them tend to disintegrate. After that, it entered a phase of confusion in many small states, until the emergence of new attempts at hegemony.

The standard geopolitical process is characterized by a cycle of conflicts. A newly rising power, entering the international system and causing the adaptive tension of the system, the former dominant country gradually declines. At the zuihou stage of this standard process, the newly rising powers established their dominance.

In contrast to this standard geopolitical process, there is an alternative geopolitical process. That is, with the decline of the dominant and hegemonic state Liliang, the small countries that were originally in the dominant position united to form a certain order. In contrast to the inherent conflict of the standard process, the alternative process is characterized by cooperation.

According to this doctrine, at present Eurasia is undergoing an alternative geopolitical process. Several geopolitical plates of equal strength grow at the same time, and none of them dominate. And as the most powerful countries today, the M country and the polar bear have a huge influence in Eurasia, and neither has achieved a dominant position of hegemony alone.

During the Carter presidency, National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski testified in the Congress of Country M and bluntly stated that Country M has nakedly stated its naked long-term geostrategic goals in the region:

"Europe-Russia-Asia, the whole continent, is in the center of the shijie, and whoever controls this large continent controls the whole shijie. In the medium term, the strategic goal of country M is to build a more cooperative trans-Eurasian security system, driven by the leadership of country M. In the longer term, a truly global core of shared political responsibility will eventually emerge, that is, a multipolar system led by country M. ”

Brzezinski and Mackinder have a high degree of agreement. Mackinder argues that for centuries, Liliang from the heart of Eurasia will strike like a sledgehammer at the periphery of the continent, namely Europe, the Middle East, China, and India. For 1,500 years, Europeans feared and apprehensed about the sledgehammer to the present day.

Director Yu said that due to geopolitical factors, country M, Europe, and polar bears have always coveted this continent. In addition, there is a more important factor, and that is that the Islamic religious restoration movement has always made the relevant countries in the region sit on the powder keg. The success of the Persian Religious Revolution in 1979 added to this concern.

For polar bears and China, the rise of religious extremism is bound to give rise to endless hidden dangers. Country M and the West, far from Central Asia, will not be affected by the religious restoration movement themselves, and the Central Asian republics of the polar bear, and Xinjiang, China, will be infinitely troubled. And this is precisely the more long-term and huge "strategic interest" that country M and Western countries see.

It is precisely because of the above two major geopolitical and religious factors that country M and Western countries have spared no effort to enter Central Asia. Brzezinski and other elites of country M, carefully plotting to support the separatist shili in various parts of Central Asia, dragged the polar bear into the trap of war step by step. Its long-term goal is to establish a new hegemonic order with country M as the core in this core area. ”

"Now, dragging the polar bear into the trap, this step M and the West have succeeded. Predictably, polar bears fall into this trap and do not hold out for a few years. Well, what about after the war? The Shanren Islamic Republic is thousands of miles away from country M, but it is on the western border of China. With so many religious extremist groups being armed, what will be the impact in the future? The people of country M can not consider it, but we can't ignore it! Shi Hefei ended the briefing with a series of question marks.

Zhang Guangjin gave Shi Hefei a cigarette, and then said, "After this year's '**', Instructor Zhang and I both attended the retreat organized by the Central Military Commission to discuss the security situation in the western region. The hand of country M and the West is very vicious, and China's high-level officials clearly understand it. However, in the current big picture, we can only choose the lesser of two evils. ”

This is because, he said, our country is currently facing a huge direct military threat. On the northeastern, northern, and northwest borders, 1.5 million polar bears are flooding with ironclad armor, eyeing each other, and war is about to break out. On the southern border, Annan is like a jungle scoundrel, stalking and fighting, and the people on our border are miserable. We need to start now and be vigilant against long-term problems. It is all the more necessary to make clever use of all kinds of liliang to defuse the direct military threats facing our country.

The Central Military Commission has demanded that we fully understand the great significance of implementing the western strategy from a geopolitical angle. From the perspective of geographical spatial characteristics, China is a big country with both land and sea power. The western, northern, and southwestern parts of China are considered part of the "heartland" of Eurasia. The reason why this region is considered a historical geographical hub is that this vast area of China is a zone where several major civilizations meet.

There is no other region in the world that can compare to this one. Chinese civilization (Confucian civilization), Indian civilization, Buddhist civilization, Islamic civilization, Christian civilization (Orthodox civilization) meet here. Several major civilizations competed, clashed, and merged here. Therefore, it is a place of conflict and a place of honor.

The meeting and clash of civilizations is not all that makes this region a "geographical hub of history". Several major civilization systems were implemented here into several large countries: China, polar bears, Tianzhu, etc. In addition to these large countries, the western and northwestern parts of China are also adjacent to "potential hot spots" that Brzezinski called the "Balkans of Eurasia".

These "potential hot spots" include countries in West Asia and the Middle East, and the Central Asian republics of polar bears. From a geopolitical point of view, this region will be an extremely complex "fracture zone" in the future, with major powers vying to exert influence in this region. Due to its unique geographical location, it has always been believed that China will be an important potential competitor in the region in the future.

The geopolitical complexities facing China don't stop there.

In addition to being an important land power in Eurasia, China is also a maritime power. China has 18,000 kilometers of coastline, ranking fourth in total length of coastline, spanning three natural geographical regions of boreal, temperate and subtropical from south to north. According to international law and the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, China claims 3 million square kilometers of sea area, and the continental shelf is the fifth largest in Shijie.

But for a long time, China was considered a continental country. The Chinese civilization originated from the inland rivers, so it is considered to be a great river civilization, which is different from the western maritime civilization. The geopolitical significance of the ocean to China has long been obscure and neglected. Although there are some statements emphasizing the ocean, the geopolitical significance of the ocean has not been systematically translated into a national consciousness.

This situation continued until modern times, and from the perspective of China's modern history since 1840, the maritime aspect of geopolitics constituted the "geographical pivot" of China's modern history. The course and shape of China's modern history depend on the ocean. The pivotal point of China's history in the future will also depend mainly on the sea.

The inclusion of maritime factors in China's geopolitical considerations makes China's geopolitical situation even more complex. Around China, there are countries M, Wa and Southeast Asian countries. If we say that in the western part of China, the existence of the "Balkans of Eurasia" highlights the grimness of China's geopolitical situation. Then, due to the Taiwan issue and differences with other countries over the division of maritime areas, China's situation in the eastern and southern seas will become even more severe in the future.

Considering China's geopolitical situation, it can be concluded that there is no other country on Shijie that has such a complex surrounding environment as China. No other country is surrounded by so many large countries, and no country has so many complex nationalities and cultures scattered around it like China. No other major country has so many seeds of instability around it as China.

Such an environment makes China a geographical pivot for the future shijie. Traditional geopolitics considers Russia, Central Asia, and Eastern Europe to be the "heartland" of Shijie, which reflects the global political conception of Britain and Germany, and is basically a product of the Eurocentric view of Shijie. In the era of globalism, the real geographical axis is naturally still in Eurasia, and in terms of its impact on history, the pivot of geography should be in China, which constitutes the "hinge" connecting the two major geographical centers of the future.

This geopolitical position of China is often overlooked by analysts. Even such a well-known geopolitical analyst as Brzezinski does not estimate this enough. China's tragic political and economic realities in modern times, as well as the uncertainty of China's current development momentum, are important reasons for Brzezinski's failure to correctly assess China's future geopolitical position.

Zhang Guangjin said: "After the meeting, the chairman and vice chairman of the Central Military Commission specially summoned us at the Xijiao Hotel and clearly instructed our unit to study the situation in the western region, make full preparations, and dispatch a powerful tactical squad at an appropriate time to accomplish this task of great strategic significance. That is, to maintain the safety of our personnel and institutions in the Halal country, and drag the polar bear into the trap of the Western Plateau, so that it cannot be distracted and threaten the security of our northern border. ”

"At the same time, it is necessary to go deep into the tiger's den, assess, grasp, and dismantle the long-term strategic plans of country M and the West (including the Japanese state), and resolutely crack down on Liliang that may affect the long-term security and stability of China's western region. This task is a strategic task with a long-term national policy, and it is difficult to fight and has high policy requirements, and it is also the most severe test for your brother squad. ”