Chapter 45: Twenty Years of Layout
Xu Qing took this memorandum between China and Prussia, although it was not a formal treaty, but it was amazingly helpful for Xu Qing's plans in the future. Pen | fun | pavilion www. biquge。 infoBecause Xu Qing, as a person who is familiar with history, of course he knows that there is a great opportunity in the future. That was the turbulent era of the middle and late Qing Dynasty, the turbulent era of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom period, which had too great an impact on the course of Chinese history.
The troubled times of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom can be said to have changed a lot. Because of the Taiping Rebellion, the foundation of Manchu rule was seriously shaken. A large number of Han governors began to rise, and from then on, Han governors could have the capital to negotiate conditions with the central court of the Manchu Qing Dynasty, and they were no longer oppressed as in the past.
Even after the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, local power increased greatly, and the centralized power of the Manchu Qing was severely weakened. Even the entire Manchu people, and even the bureaucratic base, had to start to get in touch with the outside world and with new ideas. Even the Hunan army of the Zeng State Domain, which rose during the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom period, the Huai army later, and then the Beiyang army and the Beiyang warlords of the Republic of China after maybe a few decades, all have a certain degree of inheritance.
Although there is not much inheritance on the part of the military, there is a certain inheritance on the part of political groups. Therefore, it is not an exaggeration to say that this Taiping Rebellion changed the historical trend of China for decades and hundreds of years in the future, and of course it also had a side effect, that is, the rise of local forces, which provided the environmental basis for the later warlord secession.
"Hu Ling, as a diplomat, can't just look at what is in front of you. It should be more far-sighted and should truly see the future. Sun Tzu has a cloud in the art of war, the first time he fights and plans, the second time he fights and fights, and then he fights again. But for thousands of years, what people have paid attention to is the first army to fight and the last battle. As for this intermediate 'cutting relationship', not many people pay attention to it. ”
"But many people don't know that cutting diplomatic relations requires both far-sightedness and long-term planning. But it is also necessary to have the wits and courage of the soldiers. It can be said that cutting off is involved in all aspects. Not only the military, but also all kinds of economy, commerce, technology, industry and even culture, etc., in short, almost everything in the world. ”
"As a diplomat, you have to think about a lot and you have to be proficient in a lot of things. So don't look at this memo that is not useful for the time being, but it will be very useful in the future. ”
Hu Ling looked at the memo, but he didn't see anything. However, Xu Qing is also impossible to say anything, after all, in the future, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom Uprising broke out in China, and then the whole world was in chaos, this Xu Qing can't say anything. After all, this thing can't be said casually, and when it comes to the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom uprising, Xu Qing can have his own ideas.
"When the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom revolted, it was an opportunity for me to speculate between the various forces. The troubled times of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, the Taiping Army, the Heaven and Earth Society, the Little Knife Society, and even the forces of all parties, happened to be almost what I speculated on. As long as it works well, it is not impossible to usurp power! When the time comes, I will be able to usurp the leadership of these rebel armies, and then I will be able to gain an amazing force and take over the world. Xu Qing thought.
As a diplomat, Xu Qing could not go to war, and he also knew that he was not the material for war. The only thing he was proficient in was diplomacy and politics, and he knew that during the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, there were not many organizations that could become a separatist force, and the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom was only the most famous and powerful one.
However, Xu Qing was confident that the leadership of these various anti-Qing forces might not be usurped. Because Xu Qing has discovered that there is a very important common denominator among the rebel armies. This common denominator is what these rebel armies in the late Qing Dynasty have in common. Xu Qing believed that as long as he made good use of this "common ground", there would be no problem at all in usurping the leadership of the rebel armies, and it would even be very easy. Of course, this common denominator will become Xu Qing's biggest advantage for political speculation in troubled times.
"As long as it's used well, then Hong Xiuquan and other rebels from all walks of life are actually working for me! When the time comes, it will directly earn half of the southeast. Xu Qing thought with a wicked smile on his mouth.
Maybe most people think that this is impossible, but Xu Qing thinks that it is very operable. Especially after more than 10 years, as long as we make good use of these opportunities for political speculation, we can completely take advantage of the "common ground" between these forces and lay the greatest foundation for usurping the leadership of the rebel army in the future.
As a calm politician, Xu Qing understands very well what his advantages are, his advantage is not in military command ability, his ability is not in military affairs, but in politics and diplomacy, as well as in the handling of various relationships. If he is allowed to lead the army to fight, he will simply hang himself, he will definitely lose if he does not have this ability. He knew very well that he was not like other traversers, he was proficient in military affairs after crossing, and even a military blind man suddenly became a god of war after crossing over. He is just a diplomat, a politician, he knows the military but doesn't know why, if he goes to the water to lead the troops, then he can't survive two episodes.
However, it is okay to make use of one's strengths and avoid weaknesses, and it is completely possible to accumulate strength for oneself by using one's political and diplomatic talents. Then use his ability to deal with complex relationships to usurp the leadership of the rebels. Although it may be considered unlikely, in the eyes of a political opportunist, nothing is impossible.
"Hu Ling, if you look at this Sino-Pudong memorandum, in fact, on the surface, it is also the signing of some industrial raw materials and other sales agreements. But there are many, many things behind this. Because if you want to collect raw materials, you have to have people. In order to obtain all kinds of raw materials, someone must go to work and someone to collect materials. It even stimulates many people to work, driving mining, smelting and other industries. ”
"And as long as the profits are sufficient, it can completely stimulate the private sector to invest in various mining, smelting, textile and other industries. After all, businessmen are chasing profits, and as long as the profits are sufficient, they can engage in various industries. When the time comes, we can train a group of talents, a group of industrial technicians, a group of enterprise managers, and even a group of entrepreneurs. ”
"However, in the early stage of industrial development, we still have to face many problems. We must first have a buyer, and the materials we produce can't be smashed like this, right? Once you smash it, you will lose money. At that time, we, the people, will also be unemployed again. So our first buyers, that is, Prussia. In order for Prussia to wage a war of unification, it naturally had to buy a large amount of raw materials. But they didn't have enough raw materials, they didn't have enough colonies. At this time, we are willing to sell in large quantities, which is naturally a good thing that we can't ask for. ”
"When people have income, they will naturally be stable. And with a stable income, more and more people who have lost their land will join us as workers. At that time, we in China will be able to rapidly achieve industrialization, and we will use this Prussian war to complete our most basic primitive capital accumulation. ”
Jing Mouyan has already set his sights on ten or more years later. It will not be easy to transform the country in the future. Industrialization does not mean that it can be stable. Because it absorbs industrialization, how do you sell such a huge productive force? You must know that the British and the French have achieved industrialization, and they all need a large number of colonies as markets.
The role of the colonies was to obtain cheap raw materials and markets for dumping. However, China did not use this condition, China did not have colonies, and naturally there was no place to sell. In this era, colonies represent strength and represent the basis for development. China has no primitive accumulation and can only rely on the sale of resources.
"It can only rely on light industry and some resources as capital accumulation, as for Germany, it has technology and capital, but it has no resources. We in China have resources but no technology, and only by temporarily cooperating with Germany can we sell our resources, manpower and material resources, so that we can obtain primitive capital accumulation. Xu Qing thought.
Xu Qing would not be so pedantic, believing that what must not be sold as a raw capital accumulation. In China's current situation, the only way is to sell its resources in exchange for primitive capital accumulation. Anyone, even any country, must pay a lot when starting a business. In particular, late-developing countries will have to pay more if they want to catch up. Xu Qing had no choice but to use China's sufficient resources in exchange for foreign technology and capital.
"Time is running out, there must be sacrifices!" Xu Qingyu thought rather distressedly.
Xu Qing is very aware of how China developed in later generations, and the path of China's development in later generations may be very "humiliating" in the eyes of many people in the 21st century.
In the early days of reform and opening up, China sent its own excellent agricultural products and all kinds of excellent light industrial products to foreign countries for sale. On the contrary, the natives are forced to eat those "second-class", even third-class and fourth-class things.
This has led many people to scold the government, and even the diplomats for betraying the country. But who knows the suffering here, as a late-developing country, it is impossible to casually invade and plunder everywhere like European countries did back then.
In order to achieve industrialization, the Soviet Union used grain for export when there was a famine in its own country. And China later followed the same path, by exploiting the peasants with scissors, and finally sacrificing the interests of one generation of peasants, maybe even two generations, in exchange for primitive capital and industrialization. However, after the country became stronger, it was compensated by giving them more benefits and preferential treatment by giving them preferential treatment for those with agricultural household registration.
But is there a choice? Xu Qing had no choice, he knew that he could only follow the same path as China back then, through a certain degree of exploitation and oppression of his own peasants, even all kinds of sweatshops, and all kinds of resources, so that he could obtain capital accumulation.
"Since Prussia wants resources, then I can only sell them. About ten years later, Prussia would begin to prepare for a war of unification. At that time, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom Movement in China was also in full swing, and that was my best opportunity to usurp power. Once the power is usurped, this Chinese Prussian memorandum will also come into play. At that time, the new regime under my leadership can inherit the Prussian trade memorandum of China from the Manchu Qing Dynasty, and then fulfill this memorandum on behalf of the Manchu Qing Dynasty, which can be regarded as contributing to the stability of the country. ”
"Just after the troubled times, the life that the population hopes for is not high. I can lower the conditions of the workers and peasants at home, let them sell their agricultural products and all kinds of basic raw materials at the lowest wages and at the lowest prices possible, and then I can sell them to Prussia many times higher, and this intermediate will be used as a primitive capital accumulation in the future. ”
Xu Qing took the initiative to say to Hu Ling: "Miss Hu Ling, the reason why I helped Prussia is because I know that Prussia will inevitably be unified in the future. When the time comes, we can take advantage of the opportunity to make a fortune, especially the war money. In order to unify Prussia, it was necessary to buy all kinds of materials, and Prussia had huge technical and industrial strength, but it did not have enough resources. However, Britain, France, and other countries will not support them, and it is impossible to sell resources to them. In such a situation, we are the only one who can choose. We can take advantage of the opportunity to sell our resources, and then take advantage of this time to slaughter Prussia, and then internally we have to try to lower the treatment of the workers and peasants at home, and then the difference in the price is the original capital for our industrialization. ”
But Hu Ling couldn't accept it, and said directly: "Lord Xu Qing, isn't it too unkind to do this?" Selling supplies to the enemy, so I don't know how many people will die in the war. Internally, we treat the people harshly and oppress them, is it too unjust to do so? ”
Xu Qing shook his head and said: "I can't help it, who makes our Chinese industrial strength too weak." We can only catch up as soon as possible, and we will have to take half a generation. There may be some people who will inevitably suffer for half their lives. But all I can do is let them enjoy their old age. If the country wants to be revived, there will always be people to sacrifice. Maybe some people sacrificed their lives, to put it mildly, maybe they were lucky, much better than those who sacrificed their lives. ”
"The reality is so cruel, someone has to sacrifice for it. What I can do is to compensate them appropriately when they are old, but I can't give up the idea of exploiting them. This is a necessary fate for China's rise, and we are not in a position to spend hundreds of years accumulating it. In this era, there are no hundreds of years left for us to slowly accumulate. This is the time when the country and the nation are at stake, and it must not be taken lightly, so someone must sacrifice. ”