Chapter 911: Yugoslavia turns
"The U.S. exchange rate against the yen and the mark has fallen by four percent in one day, and we still need some economic experts to assess the follow-up results!" Senior General Chebrikov, First Deputy Chairman of the KGB and Alternate Member of the Presidium of the Central Committee of the USSR, quickly sent detailed information, as well as the evaluation of the countries on the agreement of the finance ministers of the five countries. Pen ~ fun ~ pavilion www.biquge.info
"Oh! Assess. If you assume that the economic strength of the United States will be even more inflated in the short term, I can make this assessment. Serov looked at General Chebrikov, and then pulled out a smile that puzzled General Chebrikov, and said an assertion that no one could believe, "The real America, from this moment on, is dead." ”
This sentence was like a cold wind from Siberia that blew into the heart of General Chebrikov. As the first deputy chairman of the KGB who has experienced a hundred battles, under normal circumstances, General Chebrikov will certainly not be confused by one or two sentences, but this sentence is different, his significance is too great, the general secretary actually said that the United States, which has been competing with the Soviet Union for decades, and the United States, which has accumulated strength to launch a huge counteroffensive, is finished?
Even if it was just a joke, Chebrikov hoped that it was true, not to mention that with his understanding of the general secretary, it seems that the other party is not a person who jokes about such things, to be precise, Serov never jokes about major matters.
"General Secretary, I can't understand what you're saying." General Chebrikov was silent for a moment and told the truth. Obviously, the current situation is that the United States seems to have burst out with tremendous power, constantly making trouble for the Soviet Union in Nicaragua, South Yemen, the Indonesian-Malaysian border, Thailand and other countries, but from the general secretary's mouth, it seems that this is not the case.
"It's not normal for the U.S. to put its future potential in the present, so it will burst out with forces that look higher than they really are, and this agreement also hurts the two strongest allies economically. In the future, the negative effects of this agreement will become more and more great, but in recent years, it has been a big trouble for us. Serov said with an unchanged face, "This kind of behavior of living in the parents' house and spending the wages of the children, whether it happens to the state or the individual, is looking for death." ”
Waving his hand to let General Chebrikov, who was a little happy and a little confused, go down, and there were some things he still buried in his heart. In fact, this square agreement will trigger an opportunity, and from the perspective of future developments, it is China that will benefit the most.
Japan and Germany have adopted different responses to currency appreciation pressures, which have had very different effects on macroeconomic stability and economic growth in the two countries. Germany's experience is mainly to adjust its exchange rate policy in a timely manner and pursue an independent monetary policy. The Plaza Accord also led to a sharp appreciation of the Deutschmark, and also caused a short-term recession. However, Germans have always had fresh memories of the hyperinflation of the Weimar Republic, so they were very cautious about stimulus, and the German monetary authorities took a clear stance on domestic prices and output, with the exchange rate on a relatively secondary basis.
Germany's recession is lighter, and it has nothing to do with any policy, mainly because the Western European market has helped him. The Plaza Accord completely crushed Japan's manufacturing industry, but Japan had its own solutions.
The United States will change its trade deficit in the short term, but only in the short term. The nature of the American economy has not changed in the slightest. The reduction in Japan's export quota on this account book is just a change in another account book, and this amount has risen significantly, and in the same way, the profit margins of Japanese companies have also increased significantly.
In this way, products originally produced in Japan can be transferred to other countries and regions, so that they can reduce production costs by using cheap labor from other countries, and second, they can reduce direct exports to the United States, so as not to anger the deep-rooted trade protectionism in the US Congress.
Through the Plaza Accord, the United States broke the Japanese and German blocs, which posed the greatest threat to its own economy, and allowed the Japanese and German domestic capital to spill over to other countries, but ordinary countries could not afford so much money. Whether in Eastern Europe or Southeast Asia, there is less capital spillover than in history, because both places are Soviets.
Japan's first choice was South Korea, but South Korea has developed and is very wary of becoming the second Japan by the United States, so Japan chose Southeast Asia, but in the end these capitals went to China by themselves. Serov knew about this situation, and the Forestry Bureau, where he lived in his previous life, was already too small to be small. Even in such a small place, when he was six or seven years old, he had seen two Sino-Japanese joint ventures. It is conceivable how many Japanese-funded enterprises there were in the country at that time.
Without this Plaza Agreement, China would not have been able to develop so fast. The general secretary will not sympathize with Japan and Germany, who made you not an independent country at all, and you deserve to be sucked blood.
Serov believes that from now on, there is no suspense as to who will win the Cold War. Either he led the Soviet Union to wait until Reagan's chicken blood failed and started the attack, and if it was not successful, he would wait for a little twenty years, and wait for China to swell up and attack, the difference between the two is only the difference in the time of victory.
However, twenty years later, he may not be the general secretary, so the former is more tempting. Reagan could not have imagined that the general secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union would be happier than he, the president of the United States, who had reversed the trade deficit. Rarely, he poured himself a glass of wine, raised his glass to the air, and celebrated with himself.
Because of the signing of the Plaza Agreement, Serov specially approached Tikhonov, hoping that Tikhonov would come up with a little money to buy land in Japan. How can the central government take money? I don't know how much the general secretary deducts?
Tikhonov did not stop Serov's move, and the Soviet Union did not get to the point where it did not even have the money to buy land. On the contrary, the total amount of foreign exchange of the Soviet Union is not comparable to that of Japan, but it is also a huge amount of money. There are fewer channels that require foreign exchange.
When the dollar is about to depreciate, it is not so incomprehensible to find a place to hold its value. The general secretary thought that Japan was good, and bought land for the sake of insurance.
"Looks like harvest season is coming soon!" Serov muttered to himself that the present test was at best the darkness before dawn. When the day of victory comes, he will also learn from Brezhnev and say a word to the whole Soviet Union, not far off......
Reagan seized the time to let the power of the United States swell again, it does not mean that Serov has done nothing, the general secretary does not exchange life experience with Xiao Maomei every day, and then go to the hospital to see if the second secretary and the secretary of defense are dead and it will be fine.
Since the discord between Tito and Stalin, Yugoslavia has been a piece of the Soviet Union's heart, the Soviet Union lacked access to the sea in the direction of the Mediterranean, and the loss of Yugoslavia and later Albania further weakened the influence of the Soviet Union in the Mediterranean.
The move of the raid on Turkey brought about a huge change in the situation in Eastern Europe. The Warsaw Pact saved a lot of troops from the land to defend against Turkey and Greece, and the Soviet Red Navy from the sea was unimpeded in the Mediterranean, and with it strengthened friendship with Egypt, Syria, and Libya. Huge savings and expense.
However, this does not mean that Yugoslavia is not important, because Yugoslavia is second only to the Soviet Union and Poland in military strength and second only to the Soviet Union and the GDR in terms of the quality of its soldiers. The more than 300,000 Yugoslav troops, including the border guards, and the entire Yugoslavia's population of more than 20 million have been fighting against the Soviet Union.
In the end, Serov sent a big move to live for a long time, survived Tito under the cover of time, and began to protect some Serbian Communist Party cadres as early as the seventies, and today is the day of harvest.
On December 7, the Kremlin was dressed up in a new style and welcomed a Yugoslav leader with the highest courtesy. Rankovic, general secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Serbia, who had long since faded out of politics but returned from Tito's death.
After his comeback, Ranković relied on the Serbian Communist Party, the strongest in Yugoslavia, and began to fight for the supreme power in Yugoslavia, and of course, with the support of the Soviet Union. In the end, after winning over the communist parties of Montenegro and Slovenia, it completed a phased victory over the Croatian Communist Party.
Today's official visit to Moscow comes at a time when the Serbs in Yugoslavia have become hardcore pro-Soviets and have completed the suppression of Tito's elements. Serov is also very satisfied, I can't get you when you Tito is alive, can't I get you when you're dead? I believe that this is also what Rankovic thinks.
"Our two countries have historically been allies, and when the Russian Empire entered the world war on terrible terms, it was because it could not bear the enslavement of the Slavic brothers, of course, in the era of imperialism. Later, we should have had good relations, and the Tito era was just an episode of the long-standing good relations between our two countries. Do you say it is, Comrade Rankovich! Serov welcomed Rankovic to the Kremlin.
"Tito's own decision, the Communist Party of Yugoslavia was also disapproved of at the beginning, but Tito's prestige makes it impossible for us to oppose it!" What Rankovich said was not right, in the process of eliminating the pro-Soviet forces, the Yugoslav Ministry of Internal Affairs, which he led at that time, made great efforts, but Serov is not as knowledgeable as him now. Rankovic, who was later cleaned up by Tito, was finally discovered by Serov, and only then did he have today's result, and Tito's era has been goodbye!