Chapter 475: Unspeakable
Everyone, including Zhukov and Chuikov, looked at Lin Jun with "relatively conservative" fanatical eyes, and then drank the red wine in the glass in one gulp. None of the people who put down their glasses www.biquge.info wanted to say anything, although each had a similar question in their stomachs that they wanted to ask their lieutenant-commander - but they had to endure it, not ask!
"Don't say." Everyone was waiting for Lin Jun to say this. However, Lin Jun's words below are more interesting, "I can't say, part of what I mean is to let the American leadership make this matter completely public before speaking." ”
"I'm not God, I can't have foreseen everything in advance, and I can do it every second. Because our intelligence agencies have known for a long time that Japan is going to attack the United States, and even know when the Japanese fleet will depart. Still can't say, the reason here is clear to you, everything will rot in the stomach forever, and you still can't say if you get out of this room today! ”
Lin Jun said two paragraphs, picked up the small soup cup in front of him and took a small sip: he hadn't drunk for a long time, and the aftertaste of the wine just now made him a little uncomfortable. "I think there should be people on this planet who know that the Japanese will attack Hawaii besides us and the Japanese themselves, but just like us, maybe including the Americans themselves."
"Today is Sunday in Hawaii, and as Americans are used to, their soldiers should have a very laid-back day today. Judging from the voyage, the Japanese fleet should have almost arrived at the attack position today, and if I were the commander of the Japanese army, I would have chosen a Sunday when the American army was on lax mental vigilance. It is unlikely that it will be a week earlier, and it is unrealistic to keep a huge fleet on the sea waiting for another seven days. As a pilot, I know that early in the morning is the best time to launch an air attack, plus the safe distance that must be maintained between the Japanese fleet and the American base, the endurance of the Japanese combat aircraft, and the fact that it can only take off from the aircraft carrier in the light of day, and finally the time difference, I have about 9 layers of certainty that you will have this meal. ”
Saying that, Lin Jun spread his hands: "Okay, I'm done." ”
Incisive analysis convinces everyone that history has changed, and it is impossible for Lin Jun to foresee everything that will happen according to the "timetable": intelligence and analysis provide him with great support to make such "predictions".
The Japanese are really a punctual nation, and as Lin Jun estimated, they are basically the same.
There was strong intelligence support, but such an accurate estimate of the time of the attack was still worthy of the praise of everyone in front of him, which could be seen from the eyes of the two military commanders, Zhukov and Chuikov.
"Don't say", or others "don't want to say" - it is said that on December 6, a reconnaissance plane of the Australian Air Force taking off from Dabaru Airport in Malaya, discovered the Japanese landing fleet heading for Malaya. The reconnaissance plane immediately reported to its superiors and requested that another aircraft be sent to take over the tracking. However, the commander of the Allied Air Forces in the Far East, British Air Force General Brooke, ordered the cancellation of tracking and surveillance.
Colonel Smith, the representative of the U.S. forces in Australia, learned of this and immediately requested that the United States be informed, but the Australian wartime cabinet delayed for twelve hours before approving Smith's request. The report, which was not actually transferred to Washington via Hawaii until seventeen hours later, had long since lost its value.
The most logical explanation for these puzzling moves by Brooke and the Australian Wartime Cabinet is that Britain, in its midst of hardship, would have been worth it to get the United States into the war as soon as possible, even at the cost of a surprise attack on Malaya -- which would have presumably not yet been notified by the Australians!
Unspeakable - For the benefit of the Commonwealth, "unspeakable".
What about the USSR? More "unspeakable", plus "don't want to say"!
"Japan's expansion into Southeast Asia, which began in mid-1941, caused unease in the United States, and with the serious damage to its interests in China, it was difficult for the United States to tolerate an increasingly powerful country threatening its interests in the Asia-Pacific region. The economy and trade with Japan were frozen, which forced Japan to go to war against the United States. ”
It was Zhukov who spoke, and Chuikov on the side also nodded slightly: "The interests of the United States in China have been seriously damaged, and Japan has long dared to bomb even the warships of the United States to safeguard its own interests in China." The previous move of the United States was to drive the ducks to the shelves and force Japan to go to war with it. Japan is no match for the United States, and the United States will be able to defeat Japan on its own in three years at the earliest, or five years at the latest. ”
Zhukov knew China better, and Chuikov was an expert on China, so he had to understand Japan with him: three to five years, obviously, all factors were taken into account, and perhaps the time to enter the Japanese island to fight.
Chuikov didn't know about the atomic bomb, and he seemed to know a little bit less about the cowardly and despicable minus of the Japanese emperor - ordinary Japanese soldiers and officers didn't know what defeat and surrender was, but that do!
"In any case, this is a very favorable contingency for us, but it needs to be handled appropriately in terms of attitude with Britain, the United States, and Japan. But we don't have to worry about this, Comrade Molotov's side can handle this issue satisfactorily. ”
The Soviet Union will have to wait a few years before it can go to war against Japan, and now the only task is to defeat the Nazis in the west! Compared with the Soviet Union, Hitler was going to face big trouble, and today after learning that Japan had started a war against the United States, Hitler will definitely be furious!
Britain must have been jubilant at the attack on Pearl Harbor, and Winston Churchill's first words after learning of the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor were "Well, we've finally won."
The British Prime Minister should have burst into tears of joy at the news -- it should have been completely unexpected, this hardcore prodigious Western politician did not understand the Japanese mentality, and he would not have thought that the Japanese would do him a great favor: once upon a time, in order to drag the United States into the war, he had gone to great lengths to get only one Lend-Lease Act, and the actions of the Japanese would have forced the Americans to make a painful decision to enter a global war.
But Churchill would have to wait a few hours to know the good news – tomorrow, the British government would declare war on Japan.
And Hitler must have been annoyed - Germany did not know about the actions of the Japanese beforehand, and he would have been furious about the actions of the Japanese! Hitler never forgot the decisive role that American intervention played in the outcome of World War I: he believed that Germany's goal of conquering Europe, destroying the Soviet Union, and finally subduing Britain was achievable, but only on one condition: the United States did not intervene.
Hitler tried not to give the United States an excuse to enter the war, and in September 1939 he issued a strict order to the German admirals: "No German submarine is allowed to attack the American fleet in the Atlantic."
But the bombing of Pearl Harbor allowed the Americans to finally find an excuse to enter the war, a reason for the war that the Americans could not use if they wanted not (it seems that this was also forced), and Hitler's world strategy may fall short!
The war was about to become a world war, and on the first night of the real outbreak of the global war, Churchill should have been able to sleep contentedly. France's Charles de Gaulle, on the other hand, should immediately think that "preparations should be made for the liberation of France......
Now the Soviet top brass learned about the air attack on Pearl Harbor even earlier than Roosevelt in Washington, because of that: "Pearl Harbor was attacked by air strikes, this is not an exercise!" The sad telegram is plain code, and the transmitting power is large enough.
In accordance with the instructions of the Intelligence Bureau of the General Staff of the Red Army, several Soviet listening stations in the Far East conducted 24-hour uninterrupted surveillance of the United States and Japan, and immediately reported the telegram to the General Staff of the Red Army in Moscow.
Not only the hysterical shouts of the Americans, but also the "tiger, tiger, tiger" signal sent by Mitsuo Fuchida's landline at 7:53 was received, but the monitors did not know at the time that they were hearing a message that would be "passed on to future generations." But when the Soviet monitors heard the bizarre message from the Americans five minutes later, everything that happened at Pearl Harbor seemed to be happening before their eyes.
The Japanese surprise attack group would use the radio to announce the results of the attack, and the signal would be intercepted by the Soviet listening post, which was so far away that it seemed to the listeners to be a battle at home.
Honolulu also sent a lot of plain codes, and it was clear that Pearl Harbor was going to be a mess, and it seemed that everyone was using clear code: the Americans had panicked.
This would be the end of the first wave, but Lin Jun's dinner would go on - he was waiting for the second wave. He also took a tourist map of the Hawaiian Islands and Pearl Harbor that he had brought from the General Staff a long time ago, and asked Gusev to take it out of his drawer and hang it on a blackboard next to him, and the dinner became an informal "meeting to watch and discuss the war."
The atmosphere of the dinner changed from inscrutable to relaxed and pleasant.
Mitsuo Fuchida was counting the first round of battle for him and his men over Pearl Harbor, and soon Moscow and Nagumo's attack fleet and Yamamoto's support fleet would know how much the Americans had lost.
Lin Jun is also waiting, and Moscow will inform him of the news as soon as possible, but apparently this is a little slower than the phrase "not a drill" - the message is slightly longer.
Waiting, but everyone in the room was waiting with a relaxed mind, it was not the point how much the Americans had lost, the most important thing was that the Japanese had already done it. After dinner, the two staff officers moved and brought coffee and tea to everyone.
The comrades outside did not know why this dinner had been eaten for so long in the office of the deputy commander-in-chief, and such a situation had not been seen before: it was probably a discussion of operational dispositions - at least that's what the chiefs of staff of the Front Army and the City Defense Command thought.
In the distant sky over Pearl Harbor, at 8:50, the commander of the second wave of Japanese attacks gave the order to attack, and at 8:54 the second wave of attacks began, with 54 bombers and 78 dive bombers attacking, and 36 fighters protecting air supremacy.
At 9 o'clock, a Dutch ocean liner at Pearl Harbor became the first American ally to participate in the Pacific War, and at this time, the phone in Lin Jun's office rang again: the attack effect of the first wave of Japanese attacks came out.
"Marshal, it seems that the US Pacific Fleet has suffered heavy losses and will not be able to effectively compete with the Japanese Navy for control of the Pacific Ocean for a long time."
Chuikov said after listening to the contents of the message.
"The second wave of attack from the Japanese is also coming." Lin Jun said lightly: Everyone understands this, because the Soviet Union will also have aircraft carriers, and the fleet cannot lift all carrier-based aircraft into the air at once, "The Americans will quickly regain their strength, and its huge war potential will allow it to regain the dominance of the war in a short time." But in the next few months, the Americans will honestly wait to be beaten. ”
"I don't think Japan will do a landing operation in Hawaii, and that is not in its ultimate interest in being forced to go to war."
Lin Jun nodded to Zhukov: "The bombing of Pearl Harbor is just a means of diversion, and the Japanese fleet sent out this time should have another one in the Pacific Ocean, and now they should be in the South Sea." ”
What Lin Jun said might be difficult to understand all of a sudden, because European officers generally only stare at Europe, and there are not many people who are familiar with the Asia-Pacific environment. But the comrades in the room could understand that the South Seas, the lifeline of Japan's war machine, and that the attack on Pearl Harbor was nothing more than a way for the United States to lose its say in the struggle for its maritime interests with itself, and to occupy the areas and strategic resources that Japan needed before the Americans could calm down.
Continuing to wait, the atmosphere in the office was a bit like Lin Jun watching the live broadcast of "911" in front of the TV in his previous life, piggybacking on a lively attitude, and then chatting with his comrades-in-arms and guessing what the Americans would do next.
Lin Jun is a little confused, and it is also something that many people in the world will not understand in the future: Maybe in the future, if Lin Jun has the opportunity, he can ask the leaders of the United States: Is it a "conspiracy" or is the US military's sense of war preparedness at the level of a drunk man on the street corner?
Before the attack, the US military suddenly dispatched a large amount of medical supplies and medical personnel to Pearl Harbor, and the day before the attack, they gave notice to cancel the next day's vacation and put them on combat readiness duty -- but this combat readiness duty was also worth the effort!
Some unreasonable military moves, before the attack, the US military dispersed some fighter jets to remote small airports (which is reasonable, but it seems that it is not enough), and the important thing is that the planes left at the main airport are not used in empty hangars, neatly arranged on the runway, so that "a blind monkey can blow up all the planes with a random grenade!" The reason for the order is that it is easy to prevent human destruction when it is concentrated.
After the attack, the US military salvaged the sunken warships at an astonishing speed, repaired them in a very short time, and carried out modifications, so that the combat effectiveness of these warships rose to a new level -- the US military has strong shipbuilding strength, but the modification of warships is very complicated, and the impact of new equipment on warships must be taken into account; when so many warships need to be refitted, it will take several months just for the drawings, not to mention the procurement and production of various equipment and materials, and the preparation process is complicated.
But when these warships began to be rebuilt, the workers found that everything was ready-made: including drawings, weapons, radars were ready-made, as if waiting for this day.
There are many abnormalities that make Lin Jun really want to ask Roosevelt: Is the Pearl Harbor incident a conspiracy of the United States? "Mr. President's bitter ploy?"
With Lin Jun's current status, take a telegram to Roosevelt and ask him, and the President of the United States will definitely reply, but he will also become a big laughing stock -- just think about it.
The American fortification industry should be able to make those "seemingly impossible" repairs a reality.
In Lin Jun's view, in fact, Japan's successful attack on Pearl Harbor was caused by many reasons, and the mistakes made by the Americans accounted for a large part of the reasons, just like he and Zhukov said now: "There are some things worth learning and thinking about." The Americans are backward in their military thinking, stick to conventions, and do not see the tremendous changes brought about by the development of weapons and equipment in the way of naval warfare, and still believe that the decisive force in naval warfare is battleships, and they also believe that the main means of naval warfare is a decisive battle at sea between battleships. ”
"Probably the decisive battle of the battleships in the Arctic Ocean and the North Atlantic gave them confidence, and we seem to have indirectly helped the Japanese. However, according to the characteristics of the Americans, they will soon learn how to fight this battle in the war. ”
Zhukov interjected: The iron-blooded battle between the battleship formations in the North Atlantic and the Arctic Ocean this year has given the "battleship decisive faction" a seemingly strong factual support.
"Pearl Harbor is 3,500 nautical miles from Japan, and the Americans believe that the Pacific Fleet is stationed outside the effective attack range of the Japanese fleet, which should be calculated by the combat radius of the fleet with Japanese battleships as the core, and misjudge the direction and objectives of the Japanese army. However, the Americans probably did not expect that Japan's appetite was even greater than they imagined, and that Pearl Harbor would be bombed, and the resources of the South Seas would also be wanted. ”
"Blind arrogance, contempt for the enemy, self-reliance on the strength of the navy, contempt for the combat effectiveness of the Japanese army, believing that Japan would not dare to start a war. Without understanding the national characteristics of the Japanese, the United States has been at ease for too long. Chuikov said.
"The contradictions between the United States and Japan have long been at a time of extreme tension, but judging from the situation, Pearl Harbor's defense is very lax and incredible."
In fact, it is not just laxity that can fully describe what the US military was at Pearl Harbor a few hours ago: the planned aircraft patrol measures were never implemented. On Sunday, the warships anchored in the harbor were routinely disembarked for leave, the intelligence center ceased to work, and even the telegraph communication agency between Honolulu and Fort Sheft, where the Hawaii Military District Command was located, ceased to work! As a result, when attacked by the Japanese, communications were interrupted and command was paralyzed.
In addition, the warships moored in the harbor were densely arranged, and some even docked side by side, and once attacked, they could not maneuver at all! It will also be affected by the explosion and fire of the warship next to it.
Pearl Harbor also ignored the U.S. Navy's order to strengthen anti-torpedo measures at naval bases after the British air raid on the Italian military port of Taranto in 1940.
In fact, it was the Japanese shallow water torpedoes that gave the American warships the biggest blow!
At half past 10 o'clock in the evening, Lin Jun got the preliminary statistics from Moscow, and it seemed that the Pacific Fleet should be inactive for a while.
"It is inconceivable that the military readiness of the US military can be so bad in such a tense situation! A few hundred carrier-based aircraft can blow up most of its fleet, and if it is on land, the opponent is such a lazy and unprepared army, this victory will come too easily. ”
Gusev was Lin Jun's staff officer, and he usually wouldn't interject when Lin Jun and other generals were talking, but what happened tonight really had a bit of a "listening story" flavor - it was unbelievable! Since they eat together, they have the qualifications to speak, which is Lin Jun's consistent practice.
If six months ago, the Soviet Union was also the lazy style and lax preparation of the US military at Pearl Harbor, except for Lin Jun, no one dared to imagine what the situation on the battlefield would be!
Americans have been comfortable for too long, they haven't reached the United States for too many years, and their affluence seems to have forgotten the cruelty of war, and the memories of World War I veterans seem to have been forgotten -- for the American fleet, they seem to be still immersed in the warm sunshine of the Navy holiday.
However, the United States, the American people, and American GIs do not need to be hysterical (such reactions seem to occur frequently), and there is no need for chaos in the big cities of the United States (the fact is that after hearing the news of the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor, the major cities in the United States fell into a short-term chaotic situation for a while -- the "free nature" of Americans had to be loaded with guns to suppress popular riots to resist a hurricane). It's not that bad.
For, for the attack on Pearl Harbor was a brilliant victory for Japan in the short and medium term, as far as its planners had ideally anticipated, and such an outcome was rare in the entire history of warfare.
For the next six months, the U.S. Navy was insignificant in the Pacific theater, and without the threat of the U.S. Pacific Fleet, Japan could completely ignore the power of other powers in Southeast Asia! Since then, it has occupied all of Southeast Asia, the southwestern Pacific Ocean, and Japan's influence has expanded all the way to the Indian Ocean!
However, from a long-term perspective, Pearl Harbor was a complete disaster for Japan, and the Japanese could not win a war against the United States, because the war potential of the United States was not comparable to Japan.
The attack on Pearl Harbor mobilized a country that was originally disagreeable (otherwise there would have been no confusion, and it would have been a bit difficult for Americans to agree on it) and it united the United States -- whether Japanese planes only hit the repair canopy in Pearl Harbor today or sank an American battleship, the attack on Pearl Harbor itself had already decided the fate of Japan's defeat.
"Zhukov, Chuikov, I will return to Moscow in a few days, and I will leave it to you here."
Lin Jun has finished today's marathon dinner, and it is time to return to Moscow.
(I continue to ask for votes, thanks.) (To be continued.) )