The discussion of the "ultimate strategic goal" is normal during the day, and everyone is also discussing it. In the evening, You Yu came home and had dinner, and sat in front of the map and stared blankly. After He Zudao coaxed the child to sleep, he saw that You Wu was still staring at the map like zazen, and asked strangely, "Where are you looking?" ”

"There are five countries there. ”

He Zudao glanced at it and replied a little puzzled: "It is indeed five countries." Great Britain, Netherlands, United States, Siam, France. ”

"Only these five countries exist." You Yu couldn't help but ask again.

"That's right." He Zudao replied. Then He Zudao saw You Yu get up and make a call.

After a while, He Zudao saw You Wei coming back and said, "Who are you, I won't come back tonight." ”

Looking at You Wei hurriedly went out, this time he changed to He Zudao to look in front of the map. He Zudao probably guessed why You Yu was worried, the Military Commission had already determined the plan to go south, and the only thing that was not determined was to what extent. In the early years, China's strategy consisted of both northward and southward options, and after establishing a stable northern territory with the Soviet Union, China had only one way to go south. However, Ho's eyes did not go straight to Australia, but turned along Yunnan to Myanmar, and then to India to the west. Strategically, this was a stab to the heart of Britain, and it was also the most discussed battle by the Military Commission recently.

You Wei knew that the situation of his family was relatively special, and the husband and wife could not discuss any work, and once they discussed, the issue of leaking secrets would be involved. During the day, You Yu didn't react, and the huge shock turned into a real horror at night with the understanding of strategy. You Yu and a few members of the Standing Committee called, and those people were in good spirits. You Yi simply proposed a meeting overnight, which was also approved by everyone.

The meeting soon became a question meeting, and among the five Southeast Asian countries, the United States could not fight. Siam doesn't have to fight, it doesn't have to worry about itself, as long as Siam remains neutral in good faith. As for the French-controlled Annan, in terms of that strength, it can be solved casually.

The only two enemies were the Netherlands and the British. Fighting the Netherlands requires the navy to fight across the sea, and fighting Britain is a war to challenge the current hegemon of the world. Just go south along the sea route of the Southeast Asian Peninsula. As for wanting to threaten the British, they set out from Yunnan to liberate Burma and then attack India. In this part of the plan, China will mostly fight on land, and the navy will also be supported by road-based aircraft.

You Wei is engaged in industry, she knows very well how much effort Chen Ke has invested in the Air Force, and she also knows what fighters, bombers, and torpedo planes do. What use the radar being developed by the People's Party will be in the war, You Mu is also very clear.

From this point of view, this makes it clear that there are two phases of warfare. If the previous war had been successful and the United States had not intervened in the Western Pacific War, Australia and New Zealand would have been isolated and within the range of China's attack. Now these two countries are still British territory, and since Britain has been beaten, there is no need to spare these two places.

The seemingly grand and even absurd strategy was presented like a complete puzzle in front of the eyes of other Standing Committee members, including You Wei. After reflection and fermentation, You Yi and others finally understood where the "temptation" Chen Ke was talking about - this strategy is not impossible to realistic. If Australia and New Zealand are excluded, the chances of this strategy being realized are more than 50%. Among the neighbors bordering China, none can withstand the blow of China's 8 million troops.

"What if it's a phased operation?" You Yu felt that her heart was beating violently, she was also 46 years old, and she would soon be over half a hundred years old. At this time, the excitement is as difficult to contain as a young man.

"That's the trap I'm talking about," Chen Ke said calmly, "this strategy just can't be implemented in stages." The war is uncontrollable, either we will do it to the end or we will not do it. The moment Jiang Yang's thief sat on the ground to share the spoils, he became a role like a little thief. In a foreign war, unless the other side surrenders on its knees, when our own offense and defense are switched, it will change from offensive to passively beaten. This is the biggest trap here, and it cannot be said that war is controllable, war is completely uncontrollable, and the First World War is a clear example. ”

In addition to Chen Ke, Zhang Yu was the only one with military experience, Zhang Yu nodded again and again after listening to Chen Ke's words, and his finger pointed at the Dutch colony, "What if we learn from the United States and only fight the Netherlands?" Then we will die here, waiting for other countries to take the initiative. If they don't do it, we will have a new oil base in addition to the oil that has been exploited in the Daqing area. ”

"Although the variables are large, this one is controllable." Chen Ke replied, "However, if we only take this military goal as the ultimate goal, I will not be able to understand the variables in the future." ”

Zhang Yule was happy, "You can consider that this level can no longer be regarded as a human being." You're like a human being, don't measure everything. ”

This joke eased the atmosphere, and Qi Huishen finally had a chance to speak, "If it's the Netherlands, things will be easier to handle." What reason does the United States want to fight Spain? As long as the United States does not enter the war, we and Britain are neighbors, and Britain will have to think about India. ”

"Just find a reason to go to war?" Chen Tianhua was taken aback by the imperialist style of conversation in the Politburo, although he himself did not hate it. As a Chinese, especially an educated Chinese, as long as it is not the kind whose backbone is completely broken, imperial pride precipitated in a deep culture is an instinct. This has nothing to do with believing in Marxism or historical materialism. In the matter of expanding the territory, only if it cannot be done, whether it is cost-effective or not, there is no consideration whether it should be done or not.

Throughout the night, the members of the Standing Committee discussed the various possible pitfalls hidden in the plan to go south. Since war is uncontrollable, what should be done is to comprehensively analyze the dangers contained in it.

The Fifth Standing Committee reached an intentional attitude, and in the next few days, the Central Military Commission and some members of the Politburo will jointly discuss and revise and adjust the entire strategy. A total of 12 people participated in the confidential discussion, and the process was very troublesome, and everyone who participated in the discussion fell into the "strategic trap" that Chen Ke and the Standing Committee members fell into, and the ultimate Australian trap gave comrades too many temptations. Tens of millions of square kilometers of new territory are an irresistible temptation for Chinese.

The end result was conservative, and the elimination of the Dutch presence in the western Pacific became the first choice. Borneo has a problem with the restoration of the Republic of Lanfang, which is recorded in the captured Manchu documents. This is the part that can be utilized.

This brings us to the problem that the Republic of Lanfang has fallen, which can be used as a post-occupation argument, but not as a reason to start a war.

Chen Ke didn't care at all, "The noose that hanged the capitalists was always sold to us by the capitalists themselves." All we have to do is prepare, and then we can wait. As far as the data goes, the Great Depression is inevitable. It would be the Great Depression that would be an eye-opener for comrades, and the free competition capitalism that is now prevalent all over the world will be completely finished in the immediate economic crisis. We can all witness this historic moment with our own eyes. ”

Chinese dynasties have changed, and even Chinese civilization has been in and out of the dustbin of history several times. The capitalist system is now so prosperous that a total collapse is not difficult for Chinese to understand from the perspective of "prosperity and decline" accumulated in China's history of bloodshed.

Perhaps even more surprising is the 12 candidates convened by Chen Ke to participate in the strategic discussion, Chen Ke, Shang Yuan, You Wei, Chen Tianhua, Zhang Yu, Qi Huishen, and Xu Dian, these seven people are not surprised. The addition of He Zudao and Puguanshui is not surprising. The three young comrades, Li Runshi, Wu Xiangyu, and Ren Guopei, are surprising. Ren Guopei is very young, but he was recommended by Ren Qiying, and he was strongly approved by Qi Huishen. The character of this comrade belongs to the type of "if you can walk a hundred steps, you will not take ninety-nine steps". It belongs to a person who is down-to-earth, selfless and fearless. Qi Huishen praised him privately, there are many people in the organization department who are more qualified than him, and there are only a handful of people who are better than him, and in terms of the future, no one can beat him.

The participation of several young comrades made the old guys present feel that Chen Ke was arranging the aftermath.

After discussions, the Central Committee decided that starting in 1929, the economy would be inclined toward arms expansion and warfare. Although the comrades did not quite know exactly how the Dutch would dig their own graves, the comrades probably could have imagined that the Dutch might well attack the Chinese in the Dutch colonies. The question is how stupid does the Netherlands have to be to dare to blatantly attack the overseas Chinese in China? Judging by Chen Ke's meaning, the Netherlands must be so stupid. This kind of prediction is very Chen Ke's style, he just dares to predict that the enemy will do stupid acts with no lower limit, and then the People's Party, which has already been prepared, will pounce on it and solve the enemy.

With nervousness, longing, and disbelief, the top brass of the People's Party waited to see the "historical moment" predicted by Chen Ke.

The occurrence of "historical moments" is actually quite normal, the People's Party vigorously assisted the Soviet Union, and Soviet industry and agriculture recovered quickly. In order to fully develop trade, the USSR made full use of its own resources and began to export timber in large quantities and cheaply. This is probably the straw that broke the camel's back. The real root of the disease is in the United States.

The United States invested a lot in Europe after World War I, and a large part of the investment was in Germany, and German industry recovered quickly. The large markets of China and the Soviet Union are all newly opened up by Germany, but Germany is facing a problem. German industry was revived by borrowing money, France was frantically forcing debt, and Germany had to make enough profit to repay its debts.

The currencies of China and the Soviet Union were not on the gold standard and could not be used as international payment currencies. China also adheres to a trade balance policy, and in order to expand trade with China, all countries have to increase their exports to China to a certain extent.

The British, who dominated world trade, were the first to discover the problem, so Britain adopted the renminbi as an international currency in Asia on a limited basis. Germany's distance from Asia is so far away that such a policy is of little use to Germany. Coupled with the "military cooperation" between China and Germany, the German former staff headquarters traded a lot of technology privately, and the German army with the intention of revenge had money, but German trade suffered a great loss.

The Soviet Union was willing to import technology from Germany, but the Soviet Union did not have hard currency gold. The trade between China and the Soviet Union was barter trade, and no matter how big the trade was, there was no income from hard currency. They can only earn foreign exchange by exporting large quantities of cheap timber. Prior to this, European agriculture had finally recovered from the effects of World War I, which had led directly to a reduction in European demand for North American food. The popularization of synthetic ammonia has increased grain production. Although the Soviet Union was not as ferocious in Ukraine as it was in history, and even because of the earlier recovery of European grain, the Soviet Union lost the opportunity to sell grain cheaply to earn foreign exchange. The Soviet Union intensified the competitive price reduction in the timber market.

Chen Ke once believed that the development of the market in China and the Soviet Union would delay the economic crisis. The harsh reality proved that the spending power of China and the Soviet Union was simply not enough to increase the world's total consumption. The illusion of the Sino-Soviet market, especially the Chinese market, stimulated the desire of the United States and Europe to produce. The intention to go to China to make money has actually become the fact that China Jiangsu is going to make money. The BJP's trade was concentrated in raw materials, industrial machinery, and the introduction of industrial technology, and no matter how large the trade quota, it was the large monopoly capitalists who profited, and the small and medium-sized capitalists did not benefit from it.

The oil consortium, the steel machinery consortium, and the special interest groups that own a large amount of land and can produce raw materials in large quantities, these big capitalists at the top level of Britain and the United States have a very friendly attitude towards China and can be regarded as "old friends of China". Such a handful of "old friends of China" monopolize more than 80 percent of China's foreign trade. They make a lot of money, and not a penny goes into the pockets of the British and American people. Small and medium-sized capital in Britain and the United States has fought for less than 20% of China's trade share. Of course, there are those who make money and even make a lot of money, and more of them are competitive losers.

The economic crisis is brewing and fermenting at an alarming rate, speculation is rampant in the United States, the stock market is climbing wildly, and the United States has begun to draw overseas funds back to participate in this feast of the American stock market. On October 24, 1929, the United States ushered in its "Black Thursday". On this day, the American financial world collapsed, and stocks fell from the top to the abyss overnight, and the price fell so fast that even the automatic display of stock quotes could keep up. October 29, 1929 was a Tuesday, and the New York stock market plummeted to the extreme on that day, so some people also used the term "Black Tuesday" to refer to this event. In just two weeks, from October 29 to November 13, 1929, a total of $30 billion in wealth disappeared, equivalent to the total cost of the United States in World War I. But the collapse of the U.S. stock market is nothing more than the crater of a catastrophic economic crisis.

In order to save the stock crisis, the United States began to withdraw dollars from overseas. Small capital overseas immediately suffered an unbearable blow, and Jiangsu, China, was one of these small capitals.

The Americans who were lining up to invest in Jiangsu immediately turned into a queue to withdraw dollars from the Bank of Jiangsu. The amount of foreign exchange reserves in Jiangsu's hands is okay, and this wave of withdrawals has withstood it. The next round of blows was even more ferocious. The orders signed by the United States with Jiangsu were cancelled in large numbers.

In order to produce these goods, the national capitalists in Jiangsu paid for the purchase of raw materials and the payment of wages in the early stage. The sales link in economic production was described by Marx as a "thrilling jump". At a time when the economy is good, this jump seems to be a natural step. Now the national capitalists in Jiangsu have discovered that this jump has become a "natural gulf".

Without an external market, what's the use of having a backlog of goods in your hands? During the feast in Jiangsu for several years, in order to expand production, these national capitalists were heavily in debt. A lot of debts are due in the short term, and you can't make money, so what do you use to pay off the debts?

The BJP's market is close at hand, but Jiangsu's ethnic capitalists find themselves in a frenzy of raising large sums of money from surrounding BJP-controlled areas. There is no cash in the surrounding areas, and even Jiangsu can't sell it at a loss. Loss-making sales mean a huge loss of cash, and the speed of cash-back does not become faster because of the increase in the speed of loss-making sales.

Some of Jiangsu's national capitalists were ready to wait, but the stock market reacted first. In order to raise funds, a large number of speculators began to sell shares on a frenzy to cash out. Jiangsu's share price has fallen as wildly as the U.S. stock market. Many people immediately fell into debt, and in December 1929, floating corpses of successful suicides by jumping into the Yangtze River near Nanjing began to appear.

This is the classic textbook of the capitalist economic crisis, in which the BJP mobilizes all sources of intelligence, organizes study within the party, and broadcasts the whole process. Such a live drama shook the People's Party in an all-round way. In particular, those civil servants who privately invested in the Jiangsu stock market and suffered heavy losses suffered almost healable wounds in their hearts.