Nishihara Kamezo said that "exporting capital is also the demand of the Japanese economy itself", which can be described as a groundbreaking statement.

By 1918, the First World War had been fought for three and a half years, and the most striking change that this war brought to the Far East was that Japan became a "world power" through speculation or adventure in an instant, and was in the midst of an unprecedented economic boom.

The benefits of the First World War to Japan are endless. German goods were originally the biggest competitors of Japanese goods in Asia, but now they have completely disappeared from the market, and the European powers such as Britain, France, and the United States are all engaged in the war with Germany, and their exports of Asian goods have also decreased sharply, and as a result, there is a shortage of goods in almost the entire Pacific region, so Japanese goods have achieved a dominant position in the exclusive market, and sell well in the Asia-Pacific region at very high prices.

As for Japanese goods, the European side was also very hungry for goods (in fact, not only Japanese goods, but also Chinese goods were exported to Europe, and China's domestic economy prospered as a result), Britain and France both ordered a large number of goods from Japan, and France also ordered 12 destroyers in Japan. In 1917, the total value of Japan's exports reached 1,088 million yen, with an excess of 615 million yen, as the export of military supplies and light industrial products to the Allies increased, and the export of raw silk to the United States increased.

Such a once-in-a-century good year has led to a complete economic frenzy in Japan, which is small and easy to profit. Spurred by super-profits, Japan's social production has risen across the board. The output value of the chemical industry, light industry, and electric power industry has generally increased by four to five times or more, the output of steel has reached nearly 800,000 tons, ranking ninth in the world, and the tonnage of ships has reached nearly 300,000 tons, ranking fourth in the world. Japan's debt balance also reached 1.371 billion yen. Many large and small companies in Japan have become extremely wealthy in a short period of time by taking advantage of the state's preferential policies, and society has borrowed the terminology of Japanese shogi and called this phenomenon "chengjin".

Against the backdrop of this wartime economy, new Japanese companies have sprung up, and stock market speculation has become frenzied. The total rate of return on capital of the country's major enterprises rose from 8.1 in 1914 to 20.9, and the iron and steel and light industry sectors reached an unprecedented high level of 200 to 300. A large number of Japanese companies and individuals have rushed to invest in this "gold" trend with the speculative and risky mood of getting rich overnight. According to the different occupations they are engaged in, there are rich people of all sizes, such as "iron into gold", "ship into gold", "stock into gold", "silk into gold", etc.

What is particularly striking is that as a result of the war revenue, Japan suddenly changed from a traditional debtor country to a creditor country, and even a creditor country of its benefactor. In July 1916, Japan lent Britain $50 million to repay its debt to the United States, and in 1917 it lent Britain another $150 million, enabling Britain to maintain the exchange rate of the pound in the New York foreign exchange market. Even France, the world's traditional number one money lender, has issued 76 million gold francs in government bonds in Japan. Japan's external debt fell from 1.9 billion yen to 1.6 billion yen, while its external debt soared from 810 million yen to 4.37 billion yen. Even the huge military expenditures incurred in the war of invasion of China did not change Japan's status as a creditor country.

Hearing Nishihara Kamezo say this, Japan's Minister of Finance Katsuda nodded and said: "In the past two years, the domestic scene has been extremely prosperous, because there has been a huge amount of trade surplus every year, and at the same time in terms of international lending, there has been a surplus of funds in the domestic financial circles, and there is a huge amount of settlement over-income, and a large number of coins have been accumulated, which has jeopardized the exchange of foreign exchange funds. If this is allowed for a long time, the economy will be seriously out of balance, and the result will hardly be guaranteed that it will not cause a situation in which the future of the national economy is worrisome. ”…,

"That's right." Terauchi Masatsuki touched the top of Hikari Hikari and said, "In order to solve the problem of surplus domestic funds, Japan has only two ways to go, one is to step up foreign investment, and the other is to borrow profitably. In the future, we will be able to calculate not only economic but also political accounts for this kind of borrowing from China. ”

"Yes." Katsuta's chief planner also said, "As long as Duan Qirui's Anhui system is controlled, it is equivalent to controlling the Chinese government." As long as there is a pro-Japanese Chinese government, the Western powers will not be able to say anything. ”

"Actually, our plan should have been started when Yuan Shikai was just proclaimed emperor, and it was only because of Okuma-kun's stupidity that the best time was buried." Nishihara Kamezo sighed, "Okuma Jun not only failed to plunge China into chaos, but instead aroused the bitterness of all Chinese and the dissatisfaction of Western powers. As a result, we are now working with much greater resistance than before. ”

Listening to Nishihara Kamezo's words, Masaki Terauchi and Katsuta also sighed,

After China entered the era of the "Hongxian Empire", Japan learned the lesson of the failure of the last direct military invasion, played a series of "combination punches", spent a lot of energy and resources, and financed Yuan Shikai's enemies. Japanese officers trained soldiers for the Mongol rebels in Lushun and Dalian. Japanese ronins across China also organized themselves to provoke trouble, which was, in the words of Nishihara Kamezo's report, "rampant."

The Japanese operation was considered to have achieved its goal at the beginning, Yuan Shikai and his son were assassinated one after another, and China was soon plunged into the chaos of another civil war, but what the Japanese did not expect was that this war, which the Japanese had high hopes for, did not achieve the effect of plunging China into long-term turmoil at all. Of course, the Japanese understood that as long as China did not fall into great chaos, it was unlikely that Japan would swallow China in one gulp with its national strength at that time. The provocative behavior of the Okuma cabinet, which was anxious to achieve results and lit fires everywhere, aroused the general disgust and hostility of the Chinese, and not only did the Chinese people's hatred toward the Japanese increase sharply, but also the upper strata of Chinese society, including politicians, had even greater disgust toward the Japanese. Even Chinese officials, such as Cao Rulin and others, who had always been considered "pro-Japanese," showed hostility and wariness toward Japan. When Nishihara Kamezo met with Cao Rulin for the first time, Cao Rulin made no secret of his bad feelings for Japan. Even Cao Rulin is still like this, let alone those Chinese officials who have no Japanese background. After arriving in Beijing, Nishihara Kamezo wanted to meet Duan Qirui in person, but Duan Qirui also refused to meet him. In the end, I only saw Duan Qirui's son Duan Hongye.

In addition to these, Okuma's cabinet also caused problems with the deterioration of relations with the Western powers. Although the Western powers were too busy with the European war to look eastward, it did not mean that the Western powers would let Japan's invasion of China go unchecked. For the Western world, they will never tolerate Japan swallowing China. Because then it would mean the appearance of a behemoth in the East, and then the whole of the East would become the property of Japan, which was definitely not something that the Western powers were happy to see. This is because Japan will become a giant in the world, and the balance of power in the world will be completely broken. Therefore, after Japan's brazen failure to invade China, relations between Japan and the Western world, especially the United States, suddenly became tense, and public opinion in Britain and France was also quite dissatisfied with Japan.

China is simply too big for Japan. If the war is still rashly started and conquered by force, as was the case last time, the consequences are difficult to predict (especially after the Chinese Navy has achieved a leapfrog development of "one step to the sky"). They did not dare to go to war, but they insisted on putting on a tough posture and blindly being aggressive, which not only increased the hostility of the Chinese, but also led to rifts between Japan and Britain and the United States, and the rift will become bigger and bigger. Britain and the United States have become increasingly wary of Japanese ambitions. During the European War, Japan can certainly make small moves, but once the moves are too big, when the European War is over and the Western powers are able to free up their hands, Japan's situation will inevitably be even more disadvantaged. …,

As the "uncrowned minister," Nishihara Kamezo understood that Japan had to change its policy toward China before the end of the European war, and it also had to take the lead.

Now, Nishihara Kamezo already has reason to believe that the Americans are ahead of Japan.

As for the battleships of the Chinese Navy participating in the war in Europe, both the Japanese government and the opposition believe that they are the most obvious evidence of US assistance to China.

"When you went to Beijing this time, except for Cao Rulin, you met with Duan Qirui's son, but you didn't see Duan Qirui himself." Terauchi said, "Can his son represent him?" ”。

"I'm sure of that." Nishihara Kamezo said affirmatively.

"What do you think of this young man?" Terauchi asked again.

"A wise and ambitious young man, like his father, obsessed with the traditional Chinese art of power schemes." Nishihara Kamezo said, "It's just that I lack knowledge and experience." ”

"The Chinese named Liang Qichao said that when China's young people are strong, China will be strong." Terauchi Masaki sneered and shook his head, "I don't think what this sentence said is necessarily accurate. ”

Listening to Terauchi Masatsu's words, the figure of another young Chinese appeared in Nishihara Kamezo's mind, and he couldn't help but shudder.

At this time, he still had another report from the United States in his pocket, and he didn't want the two closest friends in front of him to know the content of this report.

He studied this report carefully from the moment it was received.

Because he believed that in this report, there was a secret to the mysterious young Chinese general who had acquired unimaginably huge wealth in a short period of time.

At this time, Nishihara Kamezo did not know that in a gorgeous manor in the London countryside in England, there was another person reading a letter similar to the content of the report he had in his pocket.

"Can you believe it? This young man turned out to be using mathematical theory and cycle theory to predict the stock and futures markets. ”

Wu Guohua, Count of Papen, who was sitting at the table, said as he handed the letter to his daughter, who was standing beside him.

Wu Jiayuan took the letter from her father's hand, glanced at it slightly, and her eyes became focused.

“…… Just like astronomers make predictions, I use the eternal laws of geometry and mathematics to make predictions. ”

"My calculations are based on cycle theory and mathematical equations. History will repeat itself, and that's what I've said over and over again - to see the future, you have to know what happened in the past. And stand at the right starting point. ”

"The Bible's book of Ecclesiastes also says: 'What has happened has happened, and it will happen; What has been done and will be done; Under the same sun, there is nothing new. ''The past is the present, the present and the past exists.'' ’”

"These words could not be clearer to show that everything will happen according to the inherent cycle of cycles, human life, countries and stock futures markets, without exception."

"We all know that the ancient continent of the Atlantic, with its more civilized civilization than humanity today, sank under the Atlantic Ocean over the centuries, and the Atlanticians once owned telephones, radios, radios, and airplanes. Believe me, this is a true legend. Mathematics and brilliant inventions that have brought infinite happiness to the people of the Atlantic will once again be of grace to mankind, and we are already on the threshold of entering another great era. ”

"Remember, my dear, everything in the universe is in periodic cyclical motion, whether concrete or abstract, material or spiritual. Including the imagination in your mind, it can also form a cycle, and it happens to you. After many years, you will get these results, good or bad, exactly as you imagined. This is exactly the truth we need to grasp, and with it, the world will be a better place. ”…,

"Every time you write in, you ask me how to predict the stock market and the futures market. Here, I will tell you that my method of predicting the stock futures market, or any future event, is to value its history and try to discover what kind of cycle we are in, and accordingly indicate its future trajectory. The future is nothing but the repetition of market movements. Isn't the great law of waves based on the principle of similarity of waves? That is, similar causes produce similar results. The invention of radio, telephone, and radio owe it to this law. The only factor that restricts this mathematical law from predicting the future is the inability to correctly understand and grasp historical data and information. If you're at the right starting point and you know the cycle of reproducing history, predicting 100 or even 1,000 years will be as easy as predicting one or two years. ”

"Just a few years ago, not just the general public, but even scientifically minded people laughed at predictions and refused to believe them. But mathematics, the science recognized by the whole civilized world, has unmistakably proved the reproducibility of history and shown us the theory of circulation, or analogical analysis, as the only way we can discover the future. ”

"You always ask me, 'How do you predict future cycles?' I tell you, when I predict the future cycle, I emphasize that the most important thing is to have a right start. If we have a right start, we will get a right end. If we knew the cause of the outcome, we would not have any doubts about future events and outcome. I am always looking for the cause of an event, and once I confirm the cause, I can be sure that I am predicting the outcome of a future event. However, I don't want to explain the reason for the cycle. Even if I gave an explanation, the general public would not accept it, would not even understand it, and would not believe it. ”

"In every law of nature there are: major and minor, positive, negative and neutral. So, for circulation, there are also small, medium, and large ones. Or rather, a cycle within a loop. ”

"Also, I want to emphasize that time is the most important factor that proves everything. The measure of time is based on the rotation of the Earth around its axis. The four-minute cycle is one of the smallest cycles, the most active frequency at which things keep repeating themselves. The reason for this is that it takes four minutes for every one degree of rotation of the Earth. The other cycle is 24 hours, which is the time it takes for the earth to complete its rotation in one week, and it is also the cycle that people go through for a day. There is also an important cycle for the year, which is the time it takes for the Earth to make one revolution around the Sun. The changes in the seasons of the year belong to the secondary cycle. The main cycles built on these secondary cycles are generally 100 or even 5000 years long. To identify big events and important changes, it is necessary to look back at least 1,000 years to confirm the existence of the cycle. If you are familiar with the Bible, there is important evidence of the 1,000-year cycle: 'One will become a thousand, and a small nation will become a great nation, and I, God, will accelerate its progress in this time.'" He lay with a dragon in his hand, and this dragon, the ancient serpent, Satan, will haunt him for a thousand years. ’”

"If we go back a thousand years, we will have ample evidence that history is repeating itself. You have a deep impression of the war taking place in Europe today, but you may not know that Europe in 916 B.C. is very similar to Europe in 1916, a thousand years later. In 916, Europe was experiencing war, panic and grain failures, and some people fought for land. And a thousand years later, almost the same thing happened......"

"There is some truth to this theory, but it is not entirely true, and there are many examples of this time loop going beyond this." Wu Jiayuan didn't finish reading the letter, so she put the letter on the table, "If he really carried out such a precise operation according to this theory, it would be too bizarre." ”

"It's bizarre, I'd rather believe it, it's not true." Wu Guohua smiled and said, "Perhaps, he is using this method to confuse that beautiful female operator, and he may want to win her heart." ”

"However, the 'right starting point' in his letter makes a lot of sense." Wu Jiayuan picked up the letter again, looked at it, and said......,