Chapter XXXIII Predicting the Crimean War
Chen Dingtian finished writing the Russian chapter of the so-called rise of great powers, and then handed it over to this Truman to send to Britain. Pen Fun Pavilion www.biquge.info however, at the request of Aliko, this Truman chose to send it back via a telegram from Hong Kong. Of course, this telegram must be very expensive because it is sent in tens of thousands of words, but Truman didn't care about it anyway. The British royal family has money, and since they are willing to reimburse themselves, why wouldn't Truman do it. As long as this copyright is in your own hands, it will promote your political capital in the future. Of course, how much this promotion can play depends on its specific operation. This is only a facilitation, not a decisive factor. If he could predict the future international trend, then Truman would have received a lot of capital.
When the book was sent to England, the draft was quickly taken for printing. This book is written by Chen Dingtian in a "predictive" tone, especially in the future, and it is written in a predictive tone, so as to avoid the tone of a documentary. Especially about the Crimean War that will break out in Russia in the future, this is Chen Dingtian's bold prediction.
"Russia, since the Holy Alliance was established against Napoleon in France, had to curb his attempts to expand in Eastern Europe. But Russia will definitely not be reconciled, and they will not stop the pace of expansion. In the next few years, Russia will launch a war against Turkey in the Balkans in order to alleviate the class contradictions of serfdom at home and realize the idea of Russian expansion. This war will be on a huge scale that has not been seen in the previous Russian-Turkish wars, and the troops of both sides will reach more than 1.5 million, and the major European powers will be involved in this war. ”
Prince Albert saw this prediction, and then immediately showed a look of surprise, and said: "This Oriental recognition really dares to think and dare to say, and actually predicts that a war will break out in the Balkans in the next few years?" The army will be more than 1.5 million, oh my! A war of this magnitude, one and a half million? ”
Rao is Prince Albert is also well-informed, but a war with more than 1.5 million soldiers is not much on such a scale in human history! Therefore, Prince Albert also felt incredulous about Chen Dingtian's prediction. He hurriedly continued to flip through, the previous ones were no longer important, especially what the past information was, and Albert knew a lot about them. But then about what Chen Dingtian will do about this upcoming large-scale war, this is what they really value. Especially how they will respond next, whether Chen Dingtian's prediction is true or false, whether it is really well-founded or nonsense, it is also worth watching. This kind of war, which has a scale of more than 1.5 million exhibits, is enough to change the situation of the entire world, and no one dares not to ignore it.
"Russia will lose this war, although the army is not much behind in science and technology. But the tactics were still stuck in the Napoleonic era, and serfdom was still practiced in their country, an institution that bordered on slavery. Their combat effectiveness and will to fight could not be compared with the army of the freedmen composed of France, England, and Russia, and Russia was bound to lose this war. And after this war, if we fail to learn the lessons and completely change the serfdom of the past, Russia will completely decline. Even a growing peasant uprising would erupt in Russia, which could eventually overthrow the Tsarist rule. ……”
Chen Dingtian rudely analyzed that Russia would inevitably lose the Crimean War, because their social system was obviously not much better than China's. The only advantage that Russia and China have is that their foundation is better than China's, especially their scientific weapons development is better than China's, and their tactics are better than China's. However, in terms of social system, it is half a pound and eight taels with China, and it is not even better than China. The current Russia is just eating the old books left by Peter the Great and Catherine the Great. At this time, Russia was already in crisis, and serfdom had become the biggest shackle to Russia's development. If the reform of the serfdom system is not carried out, Russia will either die out of decay or be destroyed in the midst of a peasant uprising.
"How did he know so much about Russia? It's hard to collect these even if we use intelligence to collect them! Prince Albert asked in surprise.
Queen Victoria, who was beside Albert, said: "Albert, I don't know how this Oriental can get so many things that are difficult to find. Our intelligence forces can't accurately investigate these things, but this Oriental man is so sure, and even made a very detailed analysis and prediction of the exposure of this lock, which is really amazing. I was able to get so much inside the Russian stuff. Even the analysis of Russia's various national conditions and social systems has a very detailed content. If that's the case, I'm afraid that we will have to face a lot of pressure one by one, so we should probably consider whether his prediction is true. ”
Queen Victoria also said, "Albert, I think this is probably a possibility." Because since he knew so much about Napoleon's Holy Alliance, he should not be a person who did not know about Europe. Since he knows us very well in Europe, what he said may not be unreasonable. Since he had analyzed this, the Russians wanted to save serfdom, relieve domestic pressure, and enable them to realize the idea of annexing and carving up Turkey, so it was natural for them to go to war with foreign countries. The only thing I have to be sure, though, is the timing and scale of the war waged by the Russians. In the past, there have been a lot of Russian-Turkish wars, and this situation is not uncommon. However, it is too sensational for him to predict that Russia will send more than a million troops, and even involve our European powers, such as Britain and France. ”
"There has not been a real international war since the Napoleonic Wars decades ago. At the time of the Napoleonic Wars, the army was no more than 600,000, and the Holy Alliance combined was only 1.2 million. This time he directly predicted more than 1.5 million. I'm afraid this is really too sensational, will there be such a large-scale war? If that's the case, then we have to really prepare as soon as possible to avoid being caught off guard by that time, which is really troublesome. A war of millions of people is not so easy to fight! ”
Prince Albert also paid attention to it, especially the Napoleonic War, although the two sides combined more than 1.8 million, but the Napoleonic War was fought over more than ten years, and both sides were well prepared. If a war breaks out this time with a total of more than 1.5 million troops on both sides, although the number of troops seems to be less than that of the Napoleonic Wars of that year, if you really extrapolate by dividing space and time by soldiers, perhaps the number of troops per unit of space and time is more than that of the Napoleonic Wars. Because the Napoleonic Wars were wars across Europe and Asia, such wars were large and lasted for more than a decade. However, if this new war were to break out on both sides of more than 1.5 million people, the density and brutality of the war would probably be greater than that of the Napoleonic Wars, in terms of relatively scarce space and time. Especially now that the weapons of both sides are more advanced, the effect of killing the enemy is also much more powerful.
As long as anyone who knows a little bit about war knows that a war of high intensity breaks out in a small space and time, the consequences of this will definitely be very tragic. There are also a lot of preparations to deal with, otherwise the consequences are unimaginable. If it is really as Chen Dingtian predicted, this new Russian-Turkish war will break out in the next few years, and maybe even involve several important European powers, so it may really be necessary to prepare early. Otherwise, it will be impossible to deal effectively with these enemies until they are sufficiently prepared.
"What you say the Chinese analyzed, is it true or false? How credible is it? Victoria asked again, apparently she, the queen, was completely dependent on her husband, Prince Albert.
Prince Albert looked at the introduction, and then finally said: "Really, this Chinese really doesn't know where to get these materials about all levels of Russian society, and even knows so clearly about the connotation and insider story of serfdom." Even if we had arranged for our British Empire intelligence officer to collect it, we would not have been able to learn more than he had learned. How the hell did he get it, and even heard that he still has our British ones. ”
Queen Victoria couldn't help but shudder, Chen Dingtian is so familiar with the information of the Russians, will he be familiar with the British? You must know that collecting information in this era is very complicated, even if many materials that later generations are accustomed to are very difficult to collect in this era. The cost is extremely high, and even dispatching state-level intelligence personnel to collect it may not be more complete than what Chen Dingtian has mastered. But Chen Dingtian is so familiar with the history of various countries and even many moldy archives locked in warehouses by various countries, which makes Queen Victoria a little frightened.
Of course, this information may be semi-public, not top secret. However, with the ability of this era, it is not so easy to collect semi-public information. The focus is not on collecting, but on quantity. Don't look at this as just tens of thousands of words, but the information collection work behind the essence contained in this is obviously not easy to complete. The real difficulty of this "Rise of a Great Power" lies in collecting information, not in writing articles. The difficulty of collecting this information is simply not something that can be described casually.
"It doesn't look like it's fake, but we'd rather believe it to be true anyway. Anyway, it's better to investigate, we just need to find some corroboration. As long as something can be corroborated, it almost means that the information is true. As long as these data are true, then such a Chinese analysis and judgment may really appear. So, I think we still have to be prepared. Prince Albert said.
Prince Albert intends to send someone to properly verify whether the information written above by Chen Dingtian is true, and of course he does not need to confirm all of it. For example, it is impossible for most products to be inspected individually, but to be sampled. Random checks, as long as they can make sure they are as good as possible. So this British intelligence officer doesn't need to corroborate every single one, as long as he can spot check some of them.
If this spot check proves to be true, then Albert will choose to trust Chen Dingtian's judgment and prepare in advance to prevent whether this Russo-Turkish war will suddenly break out in Russia in the next few years, the so-called Crimean War. If it comes out too suddenly, and Britain is unprepared, then there is really going to be a problem. This kind of war with millions of troops is very stressful, so Britain should prepare for war as soon as possible to avoid being confused.
In Kent, England, southeast of London, an old man in his seventies and eighties took Chen Dingtian's book on the rise of a great power in Russia, and then began to flip through it. The old man opened the Russian chapter of the book and thought about it for a moment. Although he was old, his eyes were bright, like an eagle, and if anyone dared to look at him, it would definitely make people shudder.
"Jingle bell!" The old man pressed the bell.
"Your Excellency, what do you have to order?" A servant said.
The old man said, "Go and tell Her Majesty that I am afraid that this Russo-Turkish war will break out in advance, so let Her Majesty and the cabinet prepare in advance." Although I had a hunch, I didn't expect it to come so soon. And with this book, the Russians will probably not be able to resist starting a war in advance. This book simply advanced the time when the Russians launched the Russo-Turkish war by about two years! Hey, I really didn't expect that someone in the far east would see through everything in our Europe. He saw through the plans of the Russians, and maybe the Russians would soon launch a sneak attack, so we must prepare as soon as possible. ”
"Your Excellency, Duke, you ......"
The servant was surprised, this duke had taken the initiative to intervene in politics for the first time since he retired! Although the old duke rarely interfered in government affairs, no one dared to underestimate his influence. Back then, it was he who defeated Napoleon, who once swept across Europe, and even today, Queen Victoria respects him as a father. And at this time, he actually took the initiative to intervene in politics because of this "The Rise of Great Powers", and claimed that the Eighth Russian-Turkish War was about to break out. Even the fact that the war would be brought forward by more than two years came as a surprise to them.