One of the defects of the Xinhai Revolution, as mentioned in the history books, was that it failed to completely "oppose imperialism and feudalism", and it was a compromise and concession to Yuan Shikai, a "thief of the country". Pen, fun, pavilion www. biquge。 info

Chen Wenqiang may not know such an evaluation, but even if he does, he will not take it seriously at the time.

When the country is weak, the so-called outright "revolution" can only plunge the country into a large-scale civil war; Thorough "anti-imperialist and anti-feudal" can only provoke the intervention of the great powers and plunge the country into a state of fragmentation.

The main aspect of the communication he mentioned in all aspects was to probe and discuss with the United States, Germany, Britain and other countries, so that these great powers could adopt neutrality in the process of revolution, and even if they waited and watched, they should not bet on the Qing court.

Not to mention anything else, the original plan was to have a decisive battle with the Northern Army in the three towns of Wuhan on the Yangtze River, and if the warships of the great powers interfered horizontally, the consequences would be unimaginable.

"Germany is basically fine." Chen Wenqiang glanced around and said slowly: "As long as the revolutionary army is disciplined, the United States lacks the basis and necessity to intervene in China's internal regime change; Britain and France, as they concentrate their energies on Europe against a rapidly rising Germany and, more preferably, Asia or the Far East, are unlikely to intervene. What worries me is whether Russia and Japan, especially Japan, will make any changes and whether they will take advantage of this to seek greater benefits. ”

As for Chen Wenqiang's analysis and judgment, especially in international affairs, including Song Fuhua, Wu Luzhen and others, they are more convinced and dependent. After all, Chen Wenqiang has always done a good job, has the best relationship with Germany, and the United States has also been co-opted by him. Britain and France, as he said, were extremely wary of Germany's challenge. As for Russia, there is also a revolution at home. Interfering in China's internal affairs is unlikely when the regime is unstable. Japan - indeed, the biggest uncertaintie - closest to China, which also has so-called "special interests" in the northeast, is the only threat that can respond quickly and substantively.

"Wen Qiang, then how long will it take you to complete the communication and have an accurate judgment." Wu Luzhen thought for a while, and then asked, "I'm afraid it will be difficult for Japan to intervene alone." Can other powers be used to restrain and contain it? ”

"That's how I think about it, too." Chen Wenqiang pondered for a moment and said: "After the Russo-Japanese War, with the further expansion of Japan's ambitions. Becoming the biggest challenger to the U.S. open-door policy toward China, the U.S. government is highly vigilant against Japan's goal of controlling China by cultivating pro-Japanese factions within the Qing government or through internal turmoil in China. But the United States alone may not be enough, the attitude of Britain is very important, and there are only the British. to be able to tighten the chain of this Japanese dog. ”

"It's just that I don't have a lot of cards in my hand right now." Chen Wenqiang paused. He continued: "After the completion of the Guangdong-Hanzhou Railway, the British were more anxious to build the Guangzhou-Kowloon Railway and establish a connection with the mainland. Also--well, there are more ways than difficulties, give me some time, I'm sure I can handle it. ”

Chen Wenqiang wanted to speak and stopped, but did not say Yuan Shikai. Yuan Shikai had a good relationship with the British minister Zhu Erdian. He is also an important figure in Chen Wenqiang's struggle to achieve regime change with minimal turmoil. He believed that Yuan Shikai's ambition would not do his best for the Qing court; He believed that only Yuan Shikai could restrain the Beiyang Army. so that the war does not spread and continues; He believed that he could convince Yuan Shikai to play their respective roles in this revolutionary drama.

"For how long?" Wu Luzhen asked, and only he dared to speak to Chen Wenqiang like this, "We believe in your ability very much, but the overall deployment also needs to have a time plan." ”

"Half a year at most." Chen Wenqiang had already thought about it for a long time, and said quite confidently: "The great launch of the revolution will be half a year after the latest at the latest, and I ask you comrades to be patient a little longer." ”

"Mr. Song just asserted not long ago that the revolution would succeed within three years, and Wen Qiang has advanced it by more than two years." Wu Luzhen laughed with relief, "Nineteen and nine, it's good." ”

"I didn't say it was a success, I just said it was a big launch!" Chen Wenqiang pursed his lips and smiled: "Moreover, everyone has different judgments on the understanding of the success of the revolution. In my opinion, with the overthrow of the Qing court, the country can enter a stable construction as soon as possible, and there is no need to mind if there are slight flaws in other aspects. Think about the process of democratic constitutionalism in Britain, one or two hundred years has existed, right? Looking at the current situation in China, who dares to say that it can be achieved overnight? ”

This is what Chen Wenqiang often says, not only to Song Fuhua and Wu Luzhen, but also to his subordinates. According to his idea, this is a preventive shot, don't take risks, but it can't be controlled.

Of course, this is also Chen Wenqiang's judgment based on the current strength of all parties in China and the situation at home and abroad. If it is really strong and can quickly destroy not only domestic enemies, but also foreign enemies, then why compromise and negotiation?

That's right, this is reality, cold and cruel, not subject to human will. What do you say about "stealing the country", what do you say about compromise and concession, is it not that the strength is not enough? Don't say anything about the high wind and bright festival, don't say anything about abdicating and making way for the virtuous, it's all fake, it's all greased and whitewashed.

"Half a year, it shouldn't be difficult." Wang Xiaozhen looked at the several officers next to him, and said cautiously: "I mean that the southwest military government can support it for a longer time, maybe without us doing anything, we can exhaust the Qing army, and we can annihilate the Qing army in the south alone!" ”

"It's almost the rainy season, and a big win is good, but it's not very likely to fail." He Sui agreed, nodded and said, "If it is consumed, there will be no problem in half a year." ”

"Beiyang Army, I really look forward to fighting them to see if they are worthy of the title of China's elite?" Wu Luzhen smiled and said: "It's just that the strong dragon can't suppress the head snake, the northern army has come to the southwest, don't become a soft-footed cat!" ”

"Don't think of them too strongly, they're just a semi-feudal army carrying guns and food." Chen Wenqiang was a little disapproving, "If there is no food and no salary, there will still be chaos." ”

"What do you want to do?" Wu Luzhen looked at Chen Wenqiang suspiciously, and guessed: "Didn't you come up with some crooked tricks again?" ”

"It's just a feeling." Chen Wenqiang rolled his eyes and sighed softly, "Although I don't like the Japanese, in the Russo-Japanese War, the kind of fanaticism and fearlessness shown by the Japanese soldiers are still very admirable. As far as the Beiyang Army is concerned, it will be able to play tricks at home, and if it is a foreign war, I don't think they can do it. ”

The crowd fell silent. They all knew about the fierceness of the Russo-Japanese struggle for Arthur from various sources, and in all fairness, they were not sure whether their troops had such a spirit, and even directly denied it. But how to forge a national army that is also not afraid of sacrifice is a difficult problem.

…………… (To be continued.) )