Chapter 621: Pei Shiju's pessimism

The real purpose of Feng Deyi's writing this letter is to know the specific interpretation of the central core decision-making on the situation at home and abroad in the coming period and the corresponding countermeasures.

Of course, as far as the current situation in China and foreign countries is concerned, the Third Crusade can only be an imaginary situation, an outlet for the emotions of the top leaders after suffering many setbacks and feeling humiliated, and there is no possibility of actual decision-making and implementation. The reason why there is a controversy over the Third Crusade at the top level is mainly a political "briefing" under the deliberate guidance of certain people and certain factions, a kind of targeted political probing, and political public opinion preparation for possible policy decisions to be formulated and implemented.

The Holy Lord and the central core have not yet mentioned the Third Crusade in public, but certain people and certain political forces, out of personal and group interests, have begun and are preparing to actively build momentum and create conditions for the Third Crusade under the banner of the interests of Middle-earth and Guozuo.

If Feng Deyi wants to get through the difficulties, he must first vote for the favor of the Holy Lord and please the Holy Lord, so he must figure out what the Holy Lord thinks and wants now, and the only people who can give him the answer are Pei Shiju and other Liao Liao people.

After reading this letter, Pei Shiju also knew that Feng Deyi's political stance was undergoing a subtle change, and because of the seriousness of his own crisis, he could not help but urgently change his mind and turn around to save himself, and his resolute opposition to launching the Third Crusade was loosening.

Pei Shiju was a little disappointed, and even more helpless.

At present, among the highest decision-makers in the palace, he is against launching the Third Eastern Crusade, the governor of Menxia Province Nayan Suwei is also against it, and Xiao of the Inner History Province is also against it, but the others are either fighting the main battle or waiting and seeing, and the opposition is relatively weak on the whole. This is also one of the reasons why the Holy Lord is stranded in Zhuo County, once the situation is conducive to launching the Third Eastern Crusade, he can take advantage of the large strength of the main battle in the palace to form a decision in the center first. The decision is made, the trend has been set, and public opinion has been on the upper hand, and then when you return to the Eastern Capital, even if you encounter huge obstacles and oppose the tide, if you want to overturn the established decision and veto the main battle position of the Holy Lord and the center, it is tantamount to publicly slapping them in the face and seriously damaging their authority, then it is not a strategic dispute, but a political game, a political storm, and a life-and-death struggle. And this must be a situation that the two capitals can no longer bear after suffering from Yang Xuangan's mutiny, and the final opposition force can only compromise.

The Holy Lord's wishful thinking is good, and the Lord and the faction in the palace feel that they are weak, and at this moment, Feng Deyi, one of the core figures in the center, suddenly loosened his position, and the impact must be great, which can't help but make Pei Shiju very depressed, and there is a strong sense of ominousness that the general trend has gone and he is powerless to return to the sky.

However, Pei Shiju can understand and understand.

In the center, Feng Deyi's way of being an official is breathtaking. Political tumblers have always been rare, for no other reason, you are treacherous, half-hearted, despicable and shameless, and in the end it stinks, who still uses you? Therefore, all the political tumblers are talented masters of power and strategy, and their wisdom is too high, and their skills are superb. When you praise him, you are unwilling, but when you scold him, you have to admire him and sigh to yourself.

Pei Shiju feels this way now. Feng Deyi's political acumen is terrifying. The king of Qi going north is obviously conducive to launching the Third Eastern Crusade, and there must be Yuwenshu, Laihu'er, and Zhou Fashang behind it; Pei Shiju is the key to resolving the Northwest Crisis, and the resolution of the Northwest Crisis will certainly be conducive to the continuation of the Eastern Crusade. Although these two measures are double-edged swords, as long as they succeed and the Holy Lord and the Center urgently need their success, then the development of the situation between China and the rest of the world will be under the control of the Holy Lord and the Center, and the possibility of launching the Third Eastern Crusade will be greatly increased. Feng Deyi grasped the key to solving the current Sino-foreign crisis, and of course was able to predict the direction of the future development trend.

Of course, the resolution of the crisis and the launching of the Third Crusade have neither cause nor effect.

After all, in comparison, in the case that Goguryeo and the Far Eastern captives could already submit by diplomatic means, there was no need to use force, and it was better to use limited resources to pass through the western territory, and use the power of the Western Turks to divide the Western Regions equally, stabilize the Western Xinjiang, contain and weaken the desert northern captives, and exchange the greatest benefits for the greatest benefit at the lowest cost, benefiting the country and the people, this is the correct way of development. However, the contradiction between reform and conservatism has become an insurmountable obstacle, and the Holy Lord and the Central Center have no choice but to stop at the "sunny road" and choose the "sinister path".

Pei Shiju saw a deep crisis from this. The loosening of Feng Deyi's position means that the political wind in the palace is tilting towards the main battle, and the political "blowing wind" of the holy lord is working, and many wait-and-see people will make a choice after the crisis between China and foreign countries gradually improves, and this choice is not optimistic, especially the expanded political liquidation caused by the failure of Yang Xuangan's mutiny, everyone is in danger, and the danger of life and death will not only completely block the mouths of the aristocracy and bureaucrats, but also seriously worsen the domestic political situation. In this terrible situation, anything unbelievable and absurd can happen, not to mention the Third Crusade, and even the Great War of the North and the South may be fought.

Pei Shiju weighed it for a long time and wrote back to Feng Deyi.

He planned to go to the northwest in person, and take the initiative to take on the important task of resolving the crisis in the northwest, in order to persuade the Holy Lord and the center to devote more strength to the west. His purpose is clear: to keep his established stance unchanged in terms of forecasting future trends and corresponding countermeasures.

Then he told Feng Deyi that Yang Xuangan would soon be defeated, but the situation between the two capitals would soon be tense, and Xijing would inevitably compromise with the Holy Lord and the center in order to reduce the pressure and divert the contradictions. The greatest impact of this compromise was not political, but military, as military power would be more centralized, and the highest commanders of the Guard would be occupied by the loyal and pro-Lord warlords, and the results would be self-evident.

As for the reason, there is no need for Pei Shiju to repeat it, just click on it.

The conservative forces with Xijing as their base camp and the reformers with the eastern capital as their base camp have fought to this situation, which can be described as a defeat and a basic break, even if they are reluctant to compromise, it is not to lick their wounds and fight again, but to be bound by external factors and suffer from the enemy. One was trapped in the Northwest Crisis, the other suffered heavy setbacks on the battlefield of the Eastern Expedition and had no choice but to make a truce, the next one went to passive defense to ensure that its fundamental interests were not lost, and the other went to continue the Eastern Crusade and even conduct a major war between the North and the South in order to reverse its political and military defeats and consolidate its ruling position. In this way, the bottom line of the compromise is that Xijing actually controls the Northwest Army, while Dongdu wins the Weifu, and the Holy Lord and the Center can control the military power unhindered.

Pei Shiju did not mention King Qi at all, his meaning is very straightforward, King Qi's northward movement will definitely affect the relationship between the north and the south, but it will not affect the future decision-making of the center, and what will directly affect the future decision-making of the center is the degree of compromise between Xijing and the east.

Pei Shiju had a great influence on Xijing, and this time he did not pass through Xijing, but rushed directly from Lingwu to Xitu to solve the crisis in the northwest from the root, nominally to resolve the conflict between Middle-earth and the Western Turks, but in fact to mediate between the two capitals. Pei Shiju is not Xijing, which is to give Xijing a clear hint, although the Holy Lord and the Central Center will not admit their mistakes in the Western Soil strategy, but they will not put all the responsibility on Xijing, at most they will make a show when they are held accountable, the thunder is heavy and the rain is small, and it is an understatement, and the Holy Lord and the Central Center will immediately adjust the Western Earth strategy and give appropriate resource support.

Of course, the premise is that after Xijing correctly interpreted Pei Shiju's hint and knew that the Eastern Capital was ready to compromise, it must tacitly cooperate, take the lead, take the initiative, and actively compromise with the Eastern Capital, give face to the Holy Lord and the center, maintain the authority of the central government, and then take what they need, and the central government will concede some power in Xijing to reduce the resistance encountered by the reformers in the court.

In this political exchange, Xijing took a great advantage and reaped enough benefits, and Xijing's goal of coercing the northwest crisis to threaten the central government was achieved, so Xijing had no reason to refuse. Of course, the Eastern Capital did not suffer a loss, although the Holy Lord and the central government's control over Xijing has weakened, but the central authority has been consolidated and strengthened, and the reformers' control over national politics has become stronger, as long as the situation between China and foreign countries is stable in the future, the reform process will inevitably be accelerated, and this is exactly what the Holy Lord and the central center want to see.

That night, Feng Deyi received a reply from Pei Shiju in anxiety.

After reading it carefully, Feng Deyi couldn't help but applaud secretly. Pei Shiju is not only strategic, but also more valuable and far-sighted, focusing on the next ten or twenty years, even Feng Deyi is ashamed of this talent.

Reading it a second time, carefully considering the words and thinking about it repeatedly, Feng Deyi's mood became low. Pei Shiju's trip to the west, mediating in the middle, easing the struggle, seemed to temporarily solve the crisis, but in fact it opened the curtain on the rupture of the two capitals, and the rupture of the two capitals also meant that the country collapsed, and China was in danger of falling into division and war again.

Xijing confronted the central government, the central government retreated, Xijing sat big, this influence is too bad, other local forces will quickly follow suit, the central government is gradually declining, the ministers are strong and the monarch is weak, what the consequences can be imagined.

Pei Shiju has no way to solve the immediate crisis, he? It can delay the outbreak of the crisis, so I am pessimistic about the future. Since the future is very pessimistic, is it still worth looking forward to, whether it is the Third Crusade or the Great War between the North and the South? And is this the reason why he did not mention the king of Qi at all, and did not mention the Eastern Crusade and the relationship between the North and the South?

Feng Deyi studied the letter for the third time, and it was extremely slow. Pei Shiju vaguely told him a lot of information about the future, but what could help Feng Deyi and which would be useless to Feng Deyi needed to be screened by himself.