Chapter 603: Yuwenshu's "Voice"
Yu Wenshu was silent.
From a military point of view, fighting on two fronts is taboo, and the Third Eastern Crusade and the Northern Xinjiang War broke out at the same time, what are the chances of victory in Middle-earth? This is also a risk in politics, it is a gamble, once you lose, even both fronts lose, the consequences are very severe. Therefore, Yuwenshu's attitude is conservative, and he opposes fighting on two fronts.
At present, in the comparison of the strength of the north and the south, the advantages of Middle-earth are obvious, and the desert captives are at a disadvantage, although the middle earth is worried about internal and external difficulties, but the desert captives are also full of contradictions, and the desert captives have a strong trade demand for Middle-earth, so it is certain that the desert northern captives have no intention of turning against the Middle earth at all, and they dare not start a war lightly.
Based on this, Yuwenshu concluded that even if the desert northern captives coveted the Far East for a long time and even planned to snatch food from the tiger's mouth, in consideration of the actual situation and practical interests, the northern captives obviously lacked confidence, and on the surface, they showed their teeth and claws, but in fact they were intimidation and blackmail, and they used to deteriorate the relations between the north and the south to force China and Turkey to compromise and make concessions, so as to get more benefits from China and earth to accelerate their own development and growth.
In other words, the relationship between the north and the south seems to be tense, and the clouds of war seem to be shrouded inside and outside the Great Wall, but in Yu Wenshu's view, the asymmetry in the strength of the north and the south determines that there is no possibility of a rupture in the relationship between the north and the south in the short term.
Lai Hu'er and Zhou Fashang are both the main battle faction of the Weifu and have a strong desire to conquer foreign countries, and their radical stance is directly related to the urgent need for the Jiangzuo political group to which they belong to to consolidate and increase the current political discourse power with meritorious service.
Yuwenshu maintained a high level of vigilance against them, not only because of the conflict between political interests, political concepts, and national defense strategies, but also because of the inherent contradictions and grudges between the two major political groups of Guanlong and Jiangzuo.
Yuwenshu will not trust them, even if they maintain cooperation, it is also based on interests, once the common interests are gone, the cooperation between the two parties will no longer exist.
Therefore, Yuwenshu thinks more about their construction, in order to find out whether the "things" hidden behind these constructions contain evil intentions.
So Yuwenshu thought of King Qi.
This spring, the king of Qi rebelled in Qilu and joined forces with Zhou Fashang to suppress thieves, and the two sides cooperated. After Yang Xuangan mutinied, King Qi rushed to help extremely fast, and Zhou Fashang's speed was also galloping, there must be some kind of unknown secret in this. The king of Qi and Zhou Fashang met in Liyang and gathered reinforcements from the Five Routes to draw up a plan to rescue the eastern capital. This plan directly affected the development of the situation in the eastern capital, but it also threw the province away, and then the province basically lost control of the situation in the eastern capital, and this cannot but make people suspect that there is a special relationship between the king of Qi and Zhou Fashang, after all, the king of Qi is a "scourge", and under normal circumstances, Zhou Fashang is afraid of it, where do you dare to openly cooperate with it? Then Laihu'er came with the sailor, and the King of Qi immediately left Liyang, not only handed over Liyang to Laihu'er, but also handed over the control of the Grand Canal to Laihu'er, why is this? Is it because the King of Qi is afraid to come to protect his son, or is it because of some exchange of interests reached between the two?
Yu Wenshu therefore had a conjecture. The King of Qi knew that he even participated in Yang Xuangan's mutiny, but for various complicated reasons, the King of Qi planned to betray Yang Xuangan to win the support of the Jiangzuo people, and to regain the trust of the Holy Lord with the support of the Jiangzuo people, and inherit the imperial throne openly. After coming to Hu'er and Zhou Fa Shangtong guò King Qi through the secret channel to learn of Yang Xuangan's mutiny plot, perhaps because of insufficient evidence, they could not report it, but it is more likely that in order to take advantage of this rare opportunity to deal a heavy blow to the Guanlong people, they took the opportunity to build a counterinsurgency feat for the Jiangzuo people to seek more political benefits, so they deliberately concealed it.
If this is the case, then there is a reasonable explanation for what happened afterward. And this is the reason why Laihu'er and Zhou Fashang actively supported the Holy Lord in launching the Third Eastern Crusade, and it is also the reason why they even did not hesitate to fight on two fronts for the victory of the Third Eastern Crusade. The real purpose of the two-front war was not to take the initiative to attack the desert during the Third Eastern Crusade, but to use this radical main battle strategy to force the conservatives in the center to make concessions, and if the conservatives wanted to maintain the normalization of relations between the north and the south by diplomatic and trade means, they had to use the Qi king's suppression of the northern frontier in exchange for the support of the main battle faction.
Yu Wenshu "has a spectrum" in his heart.
Headed by the Holy Lord, represented by Lai Hu'er and Zhou Fashang, he firmly supported it?" A large number of military and political ministers who have actively defended the national policy have not given up the grand ideal of expanding the territory and building a meritorious cause for all generations because of the failure of the two Eastern Crusades. In their eyes, the two defeats in the Eastern Crusades and the crisis of internal and external difficulties caused by Yang Xuangan's mutiny were just a small setback on the road to realizing their grand ideals, and this setback could not stop them from expanding their territory at all, extinguish the burning passion in their hearts, and shake their incomparably firm faith.
As Zhou Fashang said, if there is no condition, then create zào condition.
Now we must first kill Yang Xuangan as quickly as possible and stabilize the situation in the two capitals. Then the government liquidated and eliminated Yang Xuangan and his comrades, as well as known or potential radical conservative members, and reached a compromise with the conservative forces in Xijing, which forced them to support the Holy Lord in launching the Third Crusade while stabilizing the political situation.
Once the Third Eastern Crusade reached a consensus at the highest decision-making level in the center, then the situation would be stabilized internally, and the crisis in the western Xinjiang should be quickly handled externally, and all the shocks caused by the restoration of Tuyuhun, the return of the Turks in Hexi, the betrayal of the Western Regions and the change of commanders of the Northwest Army will be dealt with, and a series of diplomatic means will be launched to coerce and lure the northern captives in the desert, and try by all means to ease the relations between the north and the south, so as to ensure that there will be no war in the north during the Third Eastern Crusade.
In this way, it is impossible to speculate where the King of Qi will go, whether he will be able to go north to the border, and whether the Holy Lord and the Central Authority will be forced to "open the net" to him, because so far, no one knows whether there will be a Third Crusade or when it will be launched. Taking a step back, even if everything is ready, even if the Third Eastern Crusade is launched next spring, whether the King of Qi can suppress the northern frontier depends not only on the attitude of the Holy Lord and the center, but also on the situation in the northern frontier before the Eastern Expedition and the latest state of the relations between the north and the south.
Following Zhou Fashang's words, Yuwen made an in-depth discussion on the strategy of "active defense" and the resolution of the contradictions and conflicts between the current crisis in western and northern Xinjiang, and then got up to take his leave.
Sending Yu Wenshu away, Laihu'er and Zhou Fashang were in a heavy mood and speechless to each other.
It's not because Yuwenshu didn't mention the King of Qi from beginning to end, and didn't make any comments or promises about the King of Qi's northward march, but because Yuwenshu's last words were full of deep meaning.
The King of Qi itself is a "problem", and going north to the border is even more "out of reach", and Yuwenshu can't say anything substantive even if he wants to say it. For Laihu'er and Zhou Fashang, they have already "helped" King Qi, as for whether King Qi can get his wish, they can't do anything, Yuwenshu is also powerless, and even the Holy Lord may not be able to "help" him, after all, King Qi's influence on the border is too great, if the harm outweighs the good, of course he can't make the trip.
Yu Wenshu's last remarks do not mean that he opposes the "active defense" strategy, but that he is forced to "adjust" or even "revise" this strategy due to the current embarrassing situation at home and abroad, and the reason is that facts have proved that the time for the reunification of China and Turkey is still short, and the national strength of China and Turkey is not enough to support the full implementation of the "active defense" strategy.
So what message does Yuwenshu want to send? Do you want to postpone the Third Crusade, or do you imply that if you hastily launch the Third Crusade, the result will be a repeat of the mistakes of the Western Expedition to Tuyuhun, and in the end, you will not be able to hold the results because of insufficient national strength?
Unable to hold the results of the Eastern Crusade, Goguryeo will quickly restore the country with the support of the Great Desert Northern Captives, and the Far Eastern captives will turn to the Great Desert Northern Captives, and then Middle-earth will face a huge threat from the east and north on the Great Wall.
This is tantamount to doing "useless work", and the previous efforts have been in vain. In this case, it is better to use diplomatic means to restore the actual control of Middle-earth over Goguryeo and even the Far Eastern captives. After all, the emaciated camel was bigger than the horse, and although Middle-earth lost the battle on the battlefield, it destroyed Goguryeo's national strength, and Goguryeo was no longer able to fight.
The Goguryeo people won their dignity with victory, but shattered their dreams of being the hegemon of the Far East. Therefore, from the standpoint of Goguryeo and the Far Eastern captives, they were more willing to exchange this victory for their own survival, as long as Middle-earth promised to give up the use of force to kill, they were willing to surrender, and respected Middle-earth for generations.
In comparison, between Middle-earth and the Great Desert North, Goguryeo and the Far Eastern captives were of course more willing to submit to Middle-earth, after all, Middle-earth represented advanced, civilized and wealthy, and could give them better shelter.
Obviously, the use of "diplomatic means" to achieve the actual control of Goguryeo and even the Far East by the Middle Earth, the minimum cost in exchange for the maximum benefits, and the change from "active defense" to "passive defense" must have a considerable "voice" in the highest decision-making level of the center, and even Yu Wenshu is also its supporter. It's just that Yu Wenshu represents the Wei Mansion and represents the interests of the military, and without extensively consulting the Wei Fu commanders, it is impossible for him to "speak out" without authorization, so there was a meeting and a frank conversation tonight.
"We must use the blood and lives of the Goguryeo people to wash away the shame of Weifu and pay tribute to the 200,000 soldiers who died on the battlefield of the Eastern Crusade." Zhou Fashang couldn't help it, and said sharply, "We must give the Holy Lord the greatest support, and we must help the Holy Lord quickly launch the Third Eastern Crusade. ”
"Wolves will eventually eat people, and mercy and food cannot turn them into faithful eagle dogs." Laihu'er sneered, "If you are not of my race, their hearts will be different, and only by killing all the northern captives can we ensure the peace of Middle-earth." ”
Zhou Fashang nodded, full of murderous intentions, "Some people always have unrealistic illusions about the enemy, so we must do something in order to make some people sober up and give up their illusions." ”
"Good!" Laihu'er did not hesitate and resolutely supported.
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