Section 564 The Era of Globalization
PS. Present today's update, by the way, pull a vote for the "Starting Point" 515 Fan Festival, everyone has 8 votes, and the vote will also give the starting point coin, kneel down and beg everyone to support and appreciate!
270th recommended vote. Pen "Fun" Pavilion www.biquge.info
――――――――――――
Yang Chao couldn't help laughing.
Jin Yuehui, who was laughing, was annoyed.
"What are you laughing at? It can't be done. ”
Yang Chao smiled: "What do you want aircraft carriers for?" ”
Jin Yuehui said: "My uncle said that without aircraft carriers, it is not a big country. ”
As a result of the Chinese Navy's sneak attack on Pearl Harbor, the aircraft carrier has become a symbol of great power in advance, and if a country cannot have its own aircraft carrier, it is not a military power at all.
But North Korea's desire to have aircraft carriers is still too bizarre, because they really can't find an enemy, even a potential one.
Yang Chao said: "Then how many do you want?" ”
Jin Yuehui saw that this matter was reliable, and she was overjoyed and said, "One, one is enough." ”
This is even more puzzling, if it is the North Koreans' inexplicable awakening of the consciousness of the universe in advance, then it will not be only one, how can you get an aircraft carrier battle group, at least 3 ships in formation to look magnificent.
Yang Chao laughed mysteriously.
"Let me guess what Jin Jiu thinks. An aircraft carrier is obviously not used for long-distance combat, I think Jin Jiu is not so crazy, and of course it is impossible to use it against China. Then there is only one goal, Japan! You want to fight Japan? It's not right, Jin Jiu knows that under the current East Asian order, China will not allow North Korea to bully Japan, and Japan may not be so easy to bully, Jin Jiu knows this better than me. I think I understand, it's really for the sake of great power status. ”
"Do you want to establish your position as the second largest power in Asia by forming an aircraft carrier fleet, especially to overpower Japan, like the Philippines, Siam and the Ryukyus?"
Jin Yuehui pretended to be garlic and said, "How do I know this?" It's all a matter between you men, and I don't understand it as a woman. ”
Yang Chao laughed and said: "At this point, you are much stronger than Mi Qingke, she always has to prove that a man can do it, and she can do it, so you will know how to use your advantages." That's right, a woman has to work hard to occupy when she has interests, and desperately throw off when she has responsibilities. This is the best way to maximize the benefits. ”
"And you agreed?"
Jin Yuehui said happily.
Yang Chao shook his head: "The Washington Naval Treaty has not expired, and according to the provisions of the treaty, the signatory countries are not allowed to build aircraft carriers for any third country." There's nothing I can do about that. ”
Jin Yuehui said: "Can't it be built elsewhere?" For example, in our North Korea. Or in other countries, I think the Ryukyu man-made shipyard is good. ”
Ryukyu has developed a huge international shipping fleet, and with profits to open a considerable shipyard, usually mainly to repair giant ships, but the equipment is very advanced, used to build 10,000 tons of giant ships there is no problem at all, but Ryukyu lacks shipbuilding professionals, so it is a waste of advanced equipment, if China sends a technical team, it can help North Korea build ships in the Ryukyus, on the other hand, North Korea's shipyards can only build small boats of about 1,000 tons, early fishing boats are almost the same, aircraft carriers can only think about it.
Yang Chao smiled: "Your idea is not bad, just put it in the Ryukyus to help North Korea build an aircraft carrier." ”
North Korea was followed by the Japanese, the Japanese did not complain about the depreciation of China's currency and caused them heavy losses, Japan held 500 million taels of foreign exchange, and their losses exceeded 30 million taels, but Japan said very well that they understood and respected China's monetary policy, but they also hoped that China could help Japan through this economic crisis.
This economic crisis has a great impact on Japan, but it is not as big as imagined, because the Japanese nation has stronger endurance, and Japan's industry is actually not developed, the urban population has just reached 30%, and the vast majority of people live in the countryside.
In fact, the losses of the Japanese are not as exaggerated as imagined, because they are not only a big country with reserves of silver banknotes, but also a big debtor country with silver banknotes, and Japan owes about 800 million debts denominated in silver taels, and now that the silver two banknotes have depreciated, the debts they have to repay are equivalent to a reduction, hedging the loss of their foreign exchange reserves, and there is still a surplus. As for the damage to the yen, it is basically impossible to talk about it, because the yen used to be pegged to the silver tael, and as the silver tael was pegged to the gold dollar, it was equivalent to Japan entering the gold and silver standard system with China. This is still the case, the yen is still closely attached to the silver taels, and the depreciation of the silver taels is equivalent to the depreciation of the yen, so there is basically no serious relationship with this part.
What the Japanese want is not the status of a great power, although they also have this complex, but in Asia, they are already the second most powerful country, and if they go up, they will be China, and they are fighting a war for hegemony with China? The Japanese don't even think about it. And their status as the second great power, there are really no competitors at present, the closest is Siam, but Siam is a Buddhist country, and there is no strong sense of great power in the national consciousness.
Therefore, in the past ten years, Japan has always been in a state of no desire, the size of the army has always been small, the scale of government expenditure is quite small, and the wholehearted development of the economy has allowed them to quickly stand up from the ruins of the earthquake and develop many economic categories such as automobile manufacturing industry and machinery processing industry.
Therefore, the interests of the Japanese are different from those of the Koreans, they are more interested in economic interests, they also have great internal contradictions, and they need economic development to maintain stability; under the economic crisis, although there is no major social crisis, and a large number of urban people have returned to the countryside, the fascism of the army has always been serious, and the proportion of grassroots officers in the army joining the fascist groups organized by Kita Ichiki and others is increasing.
Therefore, the greatest interest of the Japanese is to use China's strength to stabilize the economy as soon as possible and once again enter the fast lane of development, first, to alleviate social contradictions, and second, it is also a rare opportunity for them.
"Of course, the exemption of all tariffs, I think it is definitely in Japan's interest."
The Japanese got what they wanted.
"Of course, the free flow of capital is also in line with the national development trend. This allows the industrial structure of the two countries to achieve better complementarity. ”
Again, Japan had to accept a condition that it didn't want.
The Japanese have always not welcomed foreign capital investment, that is, in order to introduce the automobile industry, only to make an exception to introduce the three major automobile companies in the United States, with the three major automobile companies as an opportunity, Japan has established a large number of spare parts production enterprises, imported a large number of machinery and equipment, the level of machining in Japan, raised a great level, has really caused competitive pressure on China's machining industry.
Accepting free trade, Japan found that its profits were much greater than the losses, the textile industry, which was hit the hardest hit in the economic crisis, will gain China's huge market, and the machinery industry is the most likely to be impacted, and the Japanese also feel that their machinery industry has a preliminary competitiveness and can survive the competition of Chinese products.
But the machine tool industry is not an opponent at all, Japan through cooperation with the United States automobile companies, is also a huge impact on their psychology, they suddenly found that the technology after the European War, is far from the technology they understood back then, the processing accuracy required by the American automobile industry, so that Japan's machine tool industry is helpless, but they are ambitious has purchased the necessary equipment, is actively training technicians, hoping to compete with the world's machine tool powers.
If at this time Chinese machine tool enterprises into Japan, it is tantamount to a fatal blow to Japanese machine tool enterprises, because China's machine tool industry was once a direct introduction of German enterprises, from technical personnel to management personnel, at the beginning are Germans, and then they have done a lot of research and development, development to the present, in the field of machining accuracy, has been the world's first-class level, in the field of heavy machine tools, even has surpassed similar enterprises in Germany.
Japanese textiles want the Chinese market, Japanese machine tool companies want to escape competition, and Japan's foreign trade representatives are very conflicted.
But after repeated trade-offs, they still agreed, because Japan can not be excluded from the Asian market, this economic crisis, the reason why Japan was seriously injured, the most important thing is that the European and American powers closed the door to Japan, the United States raised their trade tariffs, Britain and France and other countries immediately followed, and Japan's textile and other export commodities immediately suffered a fatal blow.
If Japan wants to fight a trade war with these countries, it often loses more than it gains, because Japan's imports are mainly minerals, which Japan has no assets at all, and no matter how much tariffs are raised, in the end they must buy them, which only increases the cost of their own enterprises, and has no impact on foreign exports.
So they chose to join the free trade zones proposed by China, not because they like free trade, but because they can't afford to be isolated.
Korea and Japan agreed one after another, and the Ryukyus did not hesitate at all, they just lived on trade, and once the intra-Asian trade shrank, it would be a fatal blow to the Ryukyu shipping industry.
Siam and the Philippines are also more welcome.
Although Siam has undergone the reforms of emperors such as Chulalongkorn, their people lack the super obedience and endurance of Confucianism and Taoism and other Chinese cultural circle nationals, Siam is a Buddhist country, more of an Indian cultural country, so the national spirit appears to be more loose and tame, there is no strong national consciousness and great power concept, can not condense a strong sense of industrial power, and even show a passable attitude, so they did not develop an industrial system under the strong promotion of the country like Japan, It is still a predominantly agrarian country, and its development is relatively natural.
Tropical agricultural countries like Siam have rice and tropical fruits as their biggest exports, and the largest exporter is really not a second country besides China, so they are also very open to free trade with China and other East Asian countries, at least their rice and tropical fruits are definitely marketable in Japan and North Korea, which are further north.
The economic model of the Philippines is a large plantation economy formed during the era of Spanish rule, and during the rule of the Americans, not only did not change this economic structure, but greatly strengthened this model, making the Philippines a source of raw materials and a market for industrial products in the United States.
A large number of agricultural plantations in the Philippines, a considerable part of which were originally run by the Chinese, during the rule of the United States, the Americans relied on political power, and never completely overwhelmed the Chinese economy, in the field of foreign trade, the market share of the Americans was only about 30%, and the Chinese reached more than 28%, and other economic fields were similar, and after the end of American rule, the American capitalists sold a large number of assets in the Philippines, and only the Chinese capitalists were able to take over. The plantation and industrial fields have occupied an absolute dominant position, and at least 70% of the Philippine economy is controlled by the Chinese.
In the past, their economic plantations were mainly exported to the United States, but now they have switched to China, so they are happy to join the Chinese trading system.
North Korea wants to continue to protect its textile industry, not because they want to develop an industry that has neither raw materials nor a market, but because they want to prevent the Japanese textile industry from invading North Korea; Siam wanted to protect their small industry, which was dominated by small and medium-sized enterprises, but wanted to get an export market for rice and tropical fruits, and they asked for a protector; The Philippines, for their part, would like to see protection in the area of sugar, and they would prefer to have some protection quota for all countries as in the past.
On the contrary, China and Japan are relatively open and insist on complete free trade.
This is the basis of the different interests between the industrial and agricultural powers.
In view of its international image, China did not use politics to coerce, but Yang Chao came forward to negotiate.
"Ladies and gentlemen, I personally understand the different interests of different countries. But this era is not the era of hundreds of years ago, it is an era of openness and mutual cooperation. In the era of steam engines, the most complex industrial products in the industrial system are nothing more than ironclad ships, and an ironclad ship has hundreds of thousands of parts, which is enough for a country's millions of people to meet these hundreds of thousands of basic parts. However, in the era of internal combustion engines and electrification, the basic components of the industrial system have developed to the million-level level, and even an industrial power with a population of 40 million such as France can no longer afford a complete industrial system on its own. In the foreseeable future, there will be more and more complex types of industrial basic accessories, and it is impossible for a single country to support a strong industrial system. ”
"So I understand the good wishes of countries to develop their own industries, but I think that all countries have taken a detour, relying on trade protectionism, not only can not help countries establish a good industrial system, but will greatly reduce the efficiency of all countries, so that the interests of all countries are damaged."
"My personal suggestion is that in this era of increasingly interconnected countries around the world, East Asian countries, which are connected by sea or even land, should help each other and support each other, and eventually develop and establish industrial industries that best suit their national conditions. I believe that each country owning one or several internationally competitive industries and then joining the complex international division of labor will be the most striking sign of the future era of globalization. ”
Yang Chao's speech at the East Asia Free Trade Conference was later regarded as a landmark event in the era of globalization.
[It's about to be 515, I hope to continue to hit the 515 red envelope list, and the red envelope rain will be able to give back to readers and promotional works on May 15. A piece is also love, and it must be better! (To be continued.) )