Chapter 454: Intelligence Worth Ten Billion Dollars
May 11, 1941, Yichun. Pen × fun × Pavilion www. biquge。 info
Xiaolu's fourth task was to study the situation in Europe.
Yan'an sent a telegram to Xiaolu, saying that Chongqing had obtained information that Germany was preparing to fight the Soviet Union, and the time was about late May, so please pay attention to Xiaolu.
In order to cooperate, Xiaolu specially organized several meteorological programs, which were broadcast in Japanese and Chinese, introducing the climatic characteristics of major cities.
The highlight of this program is the introduction of the current weather forecast. Short-term weather forecasts are affirmed, and long-term weather forecasts are strongly denied, saying that modern technology, wanting to know the weather in a few months, is simply fortune telling.
For example, if you want to predict whether this winter in Moscow will be a warm winter, and if you want to predict whether there will be a major drought in the Central Plains in 1942, these are all speculations.
The conclusion is, don't trust any long-term forecasts.
At the end of the show, a few jokes were introduced. One joke is that an expert who claims to be able to predict long-term weather trends says that after long-term observations, research, and finally came to the conclusion that winters are colder than summers.
Another joke, an expert forecasting the weather, said: it may rain tomorrow; If it doesn't rain tomorrow, it may rain the day after tomorrow; If it doesn't rain the day after tomorrow, it may rain the day after tomorrow; If it doesn't rain the day after tomorrow, it won't rain for the next three days.
Xiaolu asked for the show to be broadcast for a total of five days.
There is a reason for this.
When specifying the battle plan for attacking Russia, Hitler listened to the forecast of a meteorologist that the winter of 1941 was likely to be a warm winter, and that attacking Moscow in winter would not be a big problem, and that he would not be defeated by the bitter cold as Napoleon had done.
Historically, the winter from late 1941 to early 1942 was extremely cold, and the Germans suffered greatly.
To weaken the USSR and Germany, it is necessary to allow Germany to avoid making mistakes. If Germany had attacked earlier, it would have attacked Moscow before the cold came, and the two sides would have had even greater war attrition.
If the Soviet Union's national power is too high, there will be endless possibilities, which will affect Asia, the Far East, and the Northeast.
To this end, Koji organized this show. Xiaolu hoped that Germany would attack the Soviet Union earlier, so that it could weaken the Soviet superpower under the guise of Germany's hand. Of course, he still has the idea of weakening the United States under the guise of Germany and Japan, but that is not the task at present.
In addition, Xiao Lu also organized these programs into different languages and mailed them to the big newspapers and magazines in various countries early, although only one newspaper in the United States published them in April, Xiao Lu was not worried, he knew that the intelligence collectors on all sides would collect the information they created. Of course, it is not necessarily very likely that they paid attention to this intelligence.
In addition to the Japanese, he also had a channel that would definitely influence the Germans.
That is Chongqing.
Chongqing, May 11, 1941.
In order to spy on German intelligence, Yan Baohang had close contacts with the German Embassy in China. The first secretary of the German embassy became friends with Yan Baohang.
From March to April, Xiaolu sent a series of secret telegrams to Li Wei and He Wenyuan, asking them to ask Yan Baohang to talk about the world in the process of communicating with the people in the German Embassy, and by the way, let the Germans know that, first, the weather in Moscow is unpredictable. Second, the nasty weather in Moscow, in addition to the bitter cold of winter, there is also a continuous rain in autumn. Third, the Soviet Union had vast strategic depth, and a large number of military and manufacturing industries could retreat to the Ural Mountains, which Germany could not reach. Fourth, he has intelligence channels in Moscow.
Yan Baohang was drinking with a white man in a bar. This time, Yan Baohang obviously drank too much and talked a lot, on the contrary, this white man didn't drink much, but he didn't persuade Yan Baohang to drink less.
Yan Baohang picked up his wine glass and said, "If it weren't for the foggy winter of Chongqing, how could you and I drink in this bar?" Japanese planes have already come to bomb them. ”
White: "yes." I also hate Japanese planes. ”
Yan Baohang said: "I'm very unhappy these days, you Germany and Japan are allied, and the Soviet Union and Japan are neutral last month. When China is finished, we will definitely be sacrificed in the game of your powers. Suddenly, he said mysteriously: "Do you want the Japanese to help you attack the Soviet Union on the eastern flank?" ”
White man: "Mr. Yan, what do you mean by that?" We didn't say that we were going to fight the Soviet Union, there was an agreement between our two countries. ”
Yan Baohang said in a low voice: "I hate the Japanese the most in my life. You know this. What I mean is that the Soviets want to fight the Japanese, so that we can have a chance to recover my hometown. We assume, we assume. Let's say you fight the USSR. ”
The white man's eyes lit up and he said, "What are your plans?" What assumptions? ”
Yan Baohang said in a low voice: "I want the Japanese to help you flank the Soviet Union." Although I am only a major general, my strategic vision is very high. ”
The white man seemed to be gossiping, "I'd like to hear your strategy, and I've got time in this nasty fog." ”
Yan Baohang said in a low voice: "I want the Japanese to help you flank the Soviet Union." First, you don't make mistakes yourself. Second, we need to make the Japanese see the benefits. Third, it is necessary to make it feasible for the Japanese not to affect their southward expansion strategy. ”
The white man was shocked, as if he had heard a hundred thunderbolts. This Chinese got it right. Sure enough, he had intelligence channels in Moscow. Otherwise, how could he have known such confidential information? However, he remained silent and said, "What could we have done wrong?" ”
Yan Baohang said: "One of the possible mistakes is that you don't start a war in May. Probably the second mistake is that you let go of the Soviet manufacturing industry and retreat to the Urals. The first mistake could lead you to attack Moscow in the mud of late autumn and early winter, the weather will change, whether the winter is cold or not, there will be continuous autumn rains, and muddy roads will bring down your army. Your battle will be difficult, and it will likely lead you to attack Moscow in the winter. Attack in winter, and the cold will make your attack fail. Whether there is a warm winter in Moscow or not, it will be bitterly cold for you Germans. I think that if you think that the USSR is a broken house and that the house will collapse if you kick it, then you must kick it in the right place, and if you kick the door, it will not be the house that will collapse, but if you kick the pillar, you can. What is the column, is Moscow. Why? The Soviet Union was a totalitarian state. Everything depended on the Soviet Union to issue a centralized order. When Moscow is finished, the hearts of the people are scattered. I don't think you Germans can understand that. ”
The whites, apparently not bewildered by the tirade, asked: "Will Soviet manufacturing retreat to the Urals?" You mean the factory? ”
Yan Baohang said: "Yes. Mainly the military industry. Retreat the military industry, the USSR will quickly organize production, and the USSR house will not fall. War, it depends on some strategy. National strength is the source of the people's confidence in war. ”
White humanity: "What benefits do you want the Japanese to see?" ”
Yan Baohang was drunk and said: "The part of Asia east of the Ural Mountains of the Soviet Union is given to Japan, and the part of Europe west is to Germany. Tell Japan that there is oil in Siberia and the Far East, there are coal mines, there are diamond mines, there are iron mines. ”
The white man laughed: "You're kidding, we don't have this information." We cannot deceive our allies. "The words in his heart were that the Japanese would not be so stupid.
Yan Baohang was even more drunk and said, "I happen to have." I offer it to you. ”
The white man suddenly became serious and said, "How can you have this information?" ”
Yan Baohang was still drunk and said: "The Communist Party has dealings with Moscow, and some of them are my eyeliner. ”
The white man became more serious and said, "Is the intelligence real?" ”
Yan Baohang replied to the question, and said: "I don't believe that the intelligence worth 10 billion US dollars cannot be sold." ”
Bai said: "How can I make the Japanese feel that it is feasible?" Are they likely to win a quick game? ”
Yan Baohang stopped speaking suddenly.
The white man apparently realized something and asked, "What conditions do you have?" ”
Yan Baohang was completely drunk, his eyes flashed, and he said, "Except for a little dollar, we want to get back our ancestors' territory." If Japan is defeated, all the Japanese will belong to us Chinese. Germany do not interfere. This is our condition. ”
White man: "This thing is too big. I need to ask for advice. He secretly laughed in his heart: No matter who this Chinese gentleman works for, whether it is Yan'an, Chongqing, or the warlord of Northeast China, is he qualified to talk to us about the conditions? Just a few pieces of intelligence to be eligible for a bargain?
Yan Baohang regained his drunken state and said, "Let's continue to talk in the future." Today I have a treat. Then we'll stop here, goodbye. ”
White man: "Wait a minute, how much is a little dollar?" ”
Yan Baohang's finger drew a one in the air, followed by a large string of zeros, and said, "For a big country, this is just a little bit of money." ”
The white man saw the numbers clearly, and left in a hurry, saying, "Goodbye." He was fully aware of the importance of today's conversation, and he seemed to have seen the fall of the Soviet Union, the German Nazi flag flying over the Kremlin, and Germany's iron hooves stepping over Red Square this year.
May 13, 1941, Yichun.
Xiaolu got a telegram from Li Wei, with only a few words on it: The three goods have been sold, and the price has risen.
Xiaolu knew that Chongqing's people might not know about this news, but Mao Gong in Yan'an definitely knew: several pieces of information were sent out, and they were bought at a good price.
Koji's plan to let the Japanese attack the Soviet Union and cooperate with the Germans to flank the Soviet Union is very deviant in this era, and it is better to do it yourself. However, it is not possible to achieve it on his own, because he does not have so many talents in his hands.
The most ideal talent is Yan Baohang, a person with extremely high strategic vision and a rare strategic intelligence talent. However, to ask him to do this, he must let Yan'an also know what he thinks.
So, the last time he had a secret conversation with Mao Gong, it took him a whole morning to lay the groundwork and tell him about the plan.
Mao Gong disagreed on the first day, and on the third day, after they talked about many issues, Mao's mood suddenly brightened up and he agreed. After Mao agreed, he discussed with Zhou Gong for a long time, persuaded Zhou, and then persuaded Yan Baohang. This plan is known only to the four of them.
Xiao Lu knew that such a huge plan could not be completed by his own strength, and Yan'an's consent must be obtained. Yan'an's concern should be that he is unwilling to consume too much of the Soviet Union. One of the reasons Xiaolu persuaded them was that giving them penicillin technology would greatly reduce the consumption of the Soviet army.
It was less than two days before the implementation of the Barbarossa plan for Hitler's attack on the Soviet Union. The scheduled date was May 15, 1941. Later, the Germans themselves extended this time until June 22.
As in history, in order to paralyze the countries of Europe, the German army made a series of feints to prepare for the attack on Britain. Their purpose was to keep everyone's eyes on the British front line, to cover their true purpose, to attack the Soviet Union.
Be sure to bait Hitler and the Japanese. This is the greatest opportunity, to weaken Germany, to weaken Japan, to weaken the USSR.