"Everyone is engaged in this business, and this look is very clear: to the east, then Shanghai is Jiang someone to launch four? The base camp of the coup d'état, with strong force and a general mass base, is not suitable; To the north, first, it is close to Shanghai, and second, it was originally the base camp of Anhui warlords, and the mass base was also average, which was not suitable; To the west, Xu Kexiang of Changsha, Hunan Province had previously engaged in five? The 21 incident, now that the armed forces are strong and the mass base is average, it is not very suitable; To the south, is Guangdong. This place is one of the most sophisticated. On the one hand, the enemy's strength is very strong, but on the other hand, because it is the base camp of Mr. Sun's revolution, the consciousness of the masses is better than the above three directions, and further development is a little easier, which can be regarded as a good choice! Therefore, I believe that the ultimate goal of this insurrectionary force is most likely to be to go south and seize Canton! ”

Listening to Li Jiansheng's analysis here, several old party members glanced at each other together, and couldn't help but sigh in their hearts. Although I felt that what Li Jiansheng said was not necessarily right, for example, this reason may not be tenable, but I couldn't refute it, and I didn't have to say much at the moment, so I had to continue to listen.

In fact, Li Jiansheng still does not know why the Nanchang uprising troops went south in the first place, but he knew that the purpose of this army to seize Guangzhou had already been determined, and it was only later that there was a change -- in fact, this issue has always been debated in later generations, and some people believe that the Nanchang uprising troops went south was the wrong choice, because the direction of Guangdong was heavily guarded by the Kuomintang Party, and this southward movement was "a moth to a fire." However, Li Jiansheng, who was born as a history major, insisted on the common opinion reached by several of his like-minded people: It is right to go south! The reason is what he just analyzed to everyone, because the revolution must have a base area, and at that time, the highest consciousness of the masses was in Guangdong Province, after all, Mr. Sun Yat-sen's credit for taking the lead in awakening the people is obvious to all, and it is the most suitable for establishing a base area!

Of course, Li Jiansheng also knew another point, that is, many people in the party at that time focused their eyes on the city, and the Nanchang uprising troops moved south to capture Guangzhou under the influence of this idea. It was not until our great leader, Mr. Mao, put forward the viewpoint of "the countryside surrounds the city" and there was evidence to support it, that this kind of thinking gradually changed, and the people gradually accepted that the location of the base area should be established in the countryside and not in the big cities!

As for the present, Li Jiansheng, who already knew the final whereabouts of the Nanchang uprising troops, reversed the reasoning according to this "answer" and said the above "reasoning". Seeing that everyone was silent, he knew that what he said had some truth and had already resonated with everyone, so he took a sip of water and continued to "speculate":

"Although we have to go south, there are many difficulties. Regardless of the heavy pressure of the enemy troops in Guangdong Province, even on the march, there were enough enemies to block and chase after them.

"I speculate that the troops of the Nanchang uprising will first move south along the Fuhe River and then enter Guangdong Province via Ruijin and Xunwu (now Xunwu). However, I estimate that due to the heavy pursuit of the enemy troops along the road, the haste of the rebel army when it withdrew from Nanchang, the fact that the troops have not been reorganized, and the scorching heat expedition along the way, the troops will be reduced more, or the leaders of some units will not be resolute and take the initiative to leave the troops, but I am afraid that this army will not have enough strength to enter Guangdong in the end. If you forcibly enter Guangdong, it will only be the 'end of the force', not worth mentioning!

"In this way, I personally believe that this army will fight in Jiangxi Province for a period of time, and will not force its way into Guangdong at all costs!"

Speaking of this, Li Jiansheng paused, as if he was thinking, and seemed to be organizing language, but in essence, he was memorizing - in history, the Nanchang uprising troops later fought in the Ruijin area for a long time! Li Jiansheng, who has studied this history, knows it well! It's just that how can he express it now? It's too straightforward, but these old sparrows in front of them are a little suspicious...... Well, what to do? …… Well, there's a way, isn't there someone who thinks outside the box, I'll try him once, don't explain, just say the answer!

Thinking of this, he paused. Everyone was fascinated by this, and no one came to scratch him. Suddenly, I saw that Li Jiansheng seemed to have thought of something, or directly found some breakthrough, suddenly stood up, stuck the branch in one place, and said, "Ruijin!" ”

Seeing that everyone was a little incomprehensible, Li Jiansheng explained in detail: "For the Nanchang Uprising, because of the many internal and external difficulties I just mentioned, it will eventually temporarily stop the pace of progress in this area, and carry out a long period of battle in this area!" ”

After a pause, seeing that everyone still had some questions, Li Jiansheng didn't explain more, and continued: "In this way, because there are heavy enemy guards on the way directly to Guangdong, it is impossible for the rebel troops to enter Guangdong directly, I think they are most likely to transfer to Fujian from this, and plan to enter Guangdong through Fujian!" - At least, the main force will be like that! ”

When everyone heard Li Jiansheng's analysis, they all felt that it made sense. As for why he switched to fighting in the Ruijin area of Jiangxi, he also understood at this time: strength! Because with the strength of this force, it can only get here now, or the most powerful opponent is blocked in this area, so it can only stop here temporarily. Fortunately, according to this kid's reasoning, this army will still enter Guangdong through Fujian! - Well, anyway, this kid's strategic vision is really good! A few ** lakes sighed while thinking secretly, I just think that this kid is not simple!

Li Jiansheng continued his "reasoning" regardless of what everyone thought: "First of all, regardless of whether this army can get out of Fujian, I will reason with their relatively smooth results, that is, the rebel troops entered Guangdong through Fujian relatively smoothly after the battle!" The next step is to achieve the set goal and seize Guangzhou! However, entering Guangdong is not the same as seizing Guangzhou, it is difficult to enter Guangdong, and it is even more difficult to seize Guangzhou! After such a long campaign, it is really a question whether the rebel forces still have enough strength to capture Canton; At this time, the significance of seizing Guangzhou is also a question. I reasoned that if there was not enough foreign aid or peace in Guangdong Province, the future of this force would be very uncertain. Of course, it is not necessary to get foreign aid, and it will be able to hold on for a while! ”

Li Jiansheng originally planned to "reason" that this army was supported by the rebel troops in the Hailufeng area in Guangdong, but later thought about it, it was really "shocking" to say more, some things can't be said too much, too much is not good! Therefore, after the "reasoning" has reached this point, it is only a generalization, implying that the result of "with or without foreign aid" will be different, and then he will change the subject and continue the "reasoning": "In any case, once you enter Guangdong, even if it is only in Fujian, it will attract the attention of the Kuomintang troops, and you will constantly encounter the enemy's heavy encirclement and annihilation. In this case, the wise leaders of the insurrectionary forces will give up their plans to capture Canton and choose another place!