Yu Wenshu pondered for a long time, and finally spoke, "Great King, if you defend the northern frontier, it will not only directly affect the relations between the north and the south, but also have a heavy impact on the political situation in the eastern capital, and these influences seem to do more harm than good at present, do you know this?" ”

As soon as Yuwenshu said this, King Qi was immediately happy and hopeful, and Yuwenshu did not refuse, indicating that he still saw something profitable after repeated weighing. This also indirectly proves that Bai Fa's previous analysis and prediction of the general trend of China and foreign countries and the relationship between the north and the south is still credible, and the war between the north and the south is indeed likely to break out in the next few years. Of course, Yuwenshu can see this and see his own ambitions, so if he wants to convince Yuwenshu and let Yuwenshu willingly help him convince the Holy Lord and the center, it is still very difficult.

Yuwen's remarks contain puns, and his so-called "influence" is actually an allusion to the danger of the Qi king's border hài. Now the relations between the north and the south are very tense, both sides are on high alert, although not to the saber rattling, the imminent eruption, but both sides see the clouds of war shrouded the front line of the Great Wall, both smell the blood, are actively preparing for war, in this case, the Holy Lord sent the only prince, in the law and in the eyes of the world is the first heir of the emperor King Qi, to suppress the northern frontier, the war "signal" released by it is too strong.

This is tantamount to telling the world that the foreign war has not only not ended, but has expanded, Goguryeo has not yet finished, the Eastern Crusade has not ended, and preparations for the Northern Expedition have to be made again, and the Northern Captives on the desert are to be defeated. If the Eastern Expedition is won, and Goguryeo is generally destroyed, and the Eastern Capital is coerced by the great victory of the Western Expedition and the Eastern Expedition, it is acceptable to release the "signal" of the Northern Expedition, but now that the Eastern Expedition has failed, the loss of troops will be unbearable, and it will not be good to release the "signal" to continue the foreign expedition, and the Holy Lord and the center will inevitably wear the "hat" of reckless military force, and will be "encircled and intercepted" by the political forces of all parties, and the government soldiers and civilian classes who bear the "cost" of the war will also complain. As a result, the contradictions between the government and the people and between the government and the people will be further intensified, which is not conducive to the political situation and social stability.

At the same time, the heavy measure of the desert captives against Middle-earth will also be interpreted as the acceleration of the Civil War. The king of Qi is indeed able to play a role in deterring the northern captives, but if the northern captives have decided to launch a civil war, the deterrent effect of the king of Qi on the border will be very limited, on the contrary, it will make the northern captives realize that the Middle Earth has known that they are going south to invade, and has been actively preparing for war, and the king of Qi is one of the preparation measures, and the purpose of deterrence is actually to delay the outbreak of war, and to win more time for the Middle Earth to prepare for war, so that the northern captives will inevitably speed up the pace of going south, and the north-south relations will inevitably accelerate the rupture of the war. The Civil War was bound to explode faster.

These are all unfavorable factors, which will have a bad or even bad irreparable impact on both internal and external affairs, and will bring immeasurable blows and losses to the Holy Lord and the center, and even to Middle-earth. King Qi knew this, and Yu Wenshu's worries were true. The identity of the King of Qi is too special, such a prominent figure guarding the frontier, involving the whole body, involving the interests of all aspects, is too complicated, in fact, even if the Holy Lord and the center agree, whether it can be done in the end depends on the development of the general trend at home and abroad, and it is necessary to choose an appropriate time in order to maximize the interests of the "King of Qi on the border" and minimize the drawbacks.

However, it is precisely because this matter involves the interests of all parties, precisely because this matter may not be able to be finally completed even if the Holy Lord and the Central Committee agree, and precisely because this matter depends on the development of the general trend at home and abroad in the future and is full of unpredictable and infinite variables, the King of Qi must do everything to ensure success at any cost, otherwise all the efforts made before will be in vain.

King Qi did not answer Yuwen Shu directly, but asked rhetorically, "Duke Xu, if the mutiny launched by Yang Xuangan cannot be quelled for a long time and dragged on until late autumn or even winter, how will the domestic situation change?" How is the general trend changing in China and abroad? ”

Yu Wenshu frowned slightly, although the expression on his face did not change, but his heart made waves.

King Qi's words are directed at the "key point". If Yuwen Shu is unable to encircle and suppress Yang Xuangan for a long time, and the political situation in the Eastern Capital is not able to stabilize for a long time, and the domestic situation continues to deteriorate, the Holy Lord will inevitably personally lead the expeditionary force back to Beijing to quell the rebellion, which is tantamount to telling those who are staring at the desert northern captives of Middle Earth that this is the best time to invade. Once the Great War broke out violently, the Middle Earth suffered from the enemy, and the Weifu army fought on two fronts, taking care of one and losing the other, the Chinese and foreign countries were bound to take a sharp turn and deteriorate rapidly, and finally even if the rebellion was quelled and the northern captives were blocked, the Weifu army was also scarred, suffered heavy losses, and the national strength suffered an unprecedented heavy blow, which was a catastrophe for the Holy Lord and the center.

Yu Wenshu is very aware of the current situation of the northern Xinjiang town, which is full of difficulties and precarious.

Last year, the Eastern Expedition was defeated, losing nearly 200,000 soldiers, more than half of whom were garrisons in northern Xinjiang. Although this year's Eastern Expedition was in vain, it besieged Liaodong City for several months, and the main force suffered great losses, among which the fallen soldiers were still from the Northern Xinjiang Zhenshu Army. This directly led to the fact that the number of the garrison army in northern Xinjiang had plummeted by more than sixty percent in just two years, and what was even stricter was that because of the reform of the government soldier system, because of historical reasons, because the Guanlong people controlled the military power of the Weifu, because the civil war ended after the reunification, a large number of government soldiers in Shandong and Jiangzuo were turned into civilians, and the children of Guanlong were always the main source of soldiers of Weifu, but the number of children of Guanlong did not skyrocket with the unification, which made the size of the Weifu army never increase with the expansion of the border defense line. As a result, the death of 200,000 soldiers not only dealt a heavy blow to the Zhongtu Guards, but also made it impossible for the Middle-Turks Guards to recover for a long time in the future.

In other words, in the next few years, the garrison army of the northern Xinjiang town will not only not be effectively replenished in terms of troops, but also greatly reduced in terms of defensive capability. It is foreseeable that the relations between the North and the South will inevitably deteriorate rapidly with the defeat of the Second Eastern Crusade between China and Turkey.

Under this kind of situation, if the Holy Lord leads the expeditionary force to return to the eastern capital to quell the rebellion, the defense capability of northern Xinjiang will plummet, and if the counterinsurgency war is delayed until late autumn or even winter, hundreds of thousands of troops will consume a huge amount of grain and grass, so the weight of grain and grass transported to northern Xinjiang will be sharply reduced, which will further weaken the defense capability of northern Xinjiang, so it is not difficult to deduce, if the northern war breaks out in the near future, if the northern captives are dispatched, the Great Wall defense line will definitely fall, and the shape shì is extremely unfavorable to Middle Earth.

Before Yuwen Shu left the palace, the Holy Lord made it clear that he would not return to the Eastern Capital immediately, and one of the important reasons was this. He must personally sit in the northern frontier to deter the northern captives, and he must use this move to tell the northern captives that the domestic crisis is not severe, and he can easily handle it. In addition, if the rebellion could not be quelled for a long time, and the main force of the expeditionary force had to return to Beijing to quell the rebellion, the Holy Lord would have to sit in the northern Xinjiang even more, and the time to return to the eastern capital would be even later.

King Qi saw that Yuwenshu didn't speak, so he continued to "exert pressure": "The Eastern Crusade has failed for two consecutive years, and the consequences are very severe, worsening the domestic situation, worsening the relationship between the north and the south, and the situation between China and foreign countries has taken a sharp turn, even if Xu Gong kills Yang Xuangan in the shortest possible time, even if the northern Xinjiang town can still be maintained, it will not be able to reverse the crisis, so how can the Holy Lord and the center turn the tide?" Will the Third Crusade be launched? ”

Yu Wenshu's face changed suddenly, and his eyes showed even more surprise. The Third Crusade? This kind of secret is only limited to the secrets known to a few people at the highest decision-making level of the Holy Lord and the Central Center, how did King Qi know about it? Is there an exact source, or is it speculation?

Indeed, there was the idea of a Third Crusade, which was known to Yuwen Shu on the night of his departure from the palace, and the Holy Lord himself told him. At that time, Yuwenshu was very surprised, the current situation is very bad, whether it is political, economic, military, or the general trend of China and foreign countries, there are no longer the conditions for the third expedition to Goguryeo, the holy lord and the center must face the reality, abandon the eastern capital, put down Yang Xuangan's rebellion, quickly stabilize the political situation in the eastern capital, go all out to restore the national strength, and put the main military forces in the northern Xinjiang to deter the northern captives and delay the outbreak of the civil war.

However, the Holy Lord was very stubborn and insisted on his own opinion, and he only said one sentence, can Goguryeo's national strength support three consecutive years of war? The answer is obvious, Goguryeo can't support it, Goguryeo is already at the end of the crossbow, if you fight Goguryeo again next year, the Weifu army will definitely be able to fight with the momentum of devastation, and Middle-earth can win the greatest results as long as it invests a small price, in this case, why give up? Why not stay the course?

Of course, whether the Third Eastern Crusade can be launched is based on a premise, that is, whether Yuwenshu can put down Yang Xuangan's rebellion in the shortest possible time. If Yuwenshu fails to achieve this goal, if Yang Xuangan's rebellion intensifies, forcing the Holy Lord to return to Beijing with the main force of the expeditionary force to quell the rebellion, then the Third Eastern Crusade will no longer exist, after all, it is no longer practical to organize hundreds of thousands of troops to travel thousands of miles to Liaodong, and the human, financial, and material resources cannot keep up. On the contrary, if Yuwenshu besieged Yang Xuangan with lightning speed, and the expeditionary force did not need to return to Beijing and had been resting in Liaodong, then it was indeed possible to launch the Third Eastern Crusade, after all, Goguryeo could not support it, and the war was fought with money and food, and the war could not be fought with hunger.

Since the Third Eastern Crusade is just an idea, launching the Third Eastern Crusade also requires a prerequisite, and whether this premise can be realized depends entirely on Yu Wenshu, and Yu Wenshu is not sure to quell Yang Xuangan's rebellion in the shortest possible time, so he also tights his mouth and puts his true thoughts in his heart. It's just that he never expected to hear the "Third Eastern Crusade" in the mouth of King Qi today, which was so surprising that he had to rethink the true intention of King Qi to put forward the request to go north to the border.

If the King of Qi had helped me to quell Yang Xuangan's rebellion in the shortest possible time, the Third Crusade would have become a reality, and the Holy Lord would have insisted on launching the Third Crusade under the crisis of the rapid deterioration of relations between the North and the South, and the Northern Captives would have taken the opportunity to go south to Koubian. The Weifu Army fought on two fronts, and the Third Eastern Crusade was likely to fail, and once the Third Eastern Crusade was lost, the consequences would be unimaginable. In the next few months, if this is the case, then the King of Qi will take the initiative to ask to go north to the border and sit on the defense line of the Great Wall, which can indeed play a role in deterring the northern captives, and the Holy Lord and the center will not only not deliberately obstruct it, but will actively support it, so as to win more guarantees for the victory of the Third Eastern Crusade.

Yu Wenshu sighed helplessly, King Qi's plan is too powerful, it can be said that he has no last resort, he has calculated all aspects, he needs his support to encircle and suppress Yang Xuangan, and the Holy Lord also needs his support to launch the Third Eastern Crusade, so who else will stop him from conquering the northern frontier?

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