If the Rus authorities can use the existential threat as an opportunity for national rejuvenation, they will not be an exception. 【】

On the old day of the old month, Pei Chengyi ended his three-day trip to Madrid and took the "Republic No. 1." He plans to visit Iran, Pakistan and Kyrgyzstan on his way home.

There is no doubt that this visit was immediately regarded by the United States and Russia as an important step for the republic to comprehensively encircle and suppress Russia, because after winning over the European Union, it only needs to complete the flank flank of the southern flank, and the republic will completely encircle Russia, and for this reason, it will have to win over Iran in West Asia, Pakistan in South Asia, and Kyrgyzstan in Central Asia, plus Afghanistan and Tajikistan, which have close relations with the Republic, and a route from the Korean Peninsula in the east, through East Asia, Central Asia, South Asia, West Asia, Southeast Europe, and Eastern Europe, and west to Scandinavia, Finland is a member of the European UnionThe strategic encirclement of Russia that is not a member of the European Collective Security Organization has begun to take shape, and the war deployment against Russia is basically in place.

According to the U.S. news media, the purpose of Pei's visit to Iran, Pakistan and Kyrgyzstan at this time was Sima Zhao's heart. Passers-by know it.

The question is, does the republic need to woo Iran, Pakistan and Kyrgyzstan?

Needless to say, Pakistan, as one of the most important allies of the republic, will not hesitate to go to war with the United States, let alone deal with Russia together.

Although Iran's relations with the Republic are not too close, and there are still serious differences on some major international issues, the issue is against Russia. The Iranian authorities have always been unambiguous, especially in the republic, which has proved with practical actions that it will not be like the United States. Having intervened in the Middle East by supporting Arab countries such as Iraq, Iran has seen Russia to the north as its greatest potential threat. The reason is simple: after the republic took control of the Central and South Asian regions, Russia could only go south to the Indian Ocean through the Caucasus-Iranian surface passage. Even with Russia's strength, it is difficult to turn the southward movement from an ideal into a reality in the short term, but in the long run, as long as Russia grows, it will continue the unfinished great work of Peter the Great and Empress Catherine and gain a warm coastline. In fact, Iran during the Pahlavi period turned to the United States because of a strong threat from the north. After the Islamic Revolution, Iran pursued an independent policy for a long time. None of them turned to the USSR in the face of a total blockade by the United States, which was still associated with Soviet ambitions. Until the collapse of the former Soviet Union. Relations between the Transcaucasian and Central Asian republics improved only when they declared their independence and Russia no longer bordered Iran. This friendship did not last long, as Russia's advance into the Transcaucasia and its stirring up trouble in Central Asia dissipated. Iran actively improved relations with the republic before the Middle East war, not only to deal with threats from the United States and Israel, but also to counter Russia's southward moves. All in all, even if Iran does not help the republic to attack Russia, it will lean towards the republic and block Russia's southward movement.

In fact, in the chain of strategic blockade against Russia, Kyrgyzstan is the most important.

From the geographical point of view, Kyrgyzstan is located between the Republic, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan, located in the western section of the Tianshan Mountains, the whole territory is mountainous, the terrain is rugged and complex, and Tajikistan is known as "the roof of Central Asia corresponds to the difficult terrain." It is its important strategic value. Topographically, Kyrgyzstan is not an ideal battlefield for large corps operations, and the rugged and complex terrain alone can discourage any corps. Relatively speaking, the Great Plains of Central Asia and the alluvial plains of the Volga and Ural rivers north of the Caspian Sea were the places where troops were used. The problem is that the republic wants to march into Central Asia. You have to control Kyrgyzstan. Or rather, to follow the trend from Kyrgyzstan. The same. Russia wants to hold on to Central Asia, especially Kazakhstan, where the terrain is flat. It is necessary to seize Kyrgyzstan and make Kyrgyzstan an impenetrable strategic line of defense. Looking a little further, the strategic railway line between the Republic and Pakistan is more than a kilometer south of Kyrgyzstan, and the Ili River Valley in the northwest of the Republic and the western Xinjiang region centered on Lösh are also overlooked by Kyrgyzstan.

It can be seen from this that these three countries are indeed the key links in completing the strategic encirclement of Russia.

But there is one thing that is very debatable. That is, with the relationship between these three countries and the republic, is it necessary to let Pei Chengyi go on a trip in person?

Even in the eyes of the U.S. news media, Pakistan, Iran, and Kyrgyzstan are all allies of the republic, and even if Pei Chengyi wants to demonstrate the importance of these three countries, there is no need to make a trip in person, and he can let the secretary of defense or the premier of the State Council visit on his behalf.

Because more assistance is needed for the three countries, it is more valuable for government officials in charge of specific matters to go there.

Of course, no one doubts Pei Chengyi's administrative ability.

As the leader of Beng's defense minister, deputy prime minister of security, and vice president of state, Pei Chengyi's administrative ability is definitely not below that of State Council officials.

It is precisely because of this that many people think that Pei Chengyi will definitely open a large aid order in Tehran, Islamabad and Bishkek.

The fact is that Pei Chengzhengzhi's special plane has been to Dehei! Before, I was born with a major event※

Compared to the previous "Republic One". This "Republic-1" was put into service in the year of the mouth. In fact, there are a total of 3 "frames for the yuan" for the sub-elements, and there are also shelves for standby, which are not only much faster, but also more spacious in internal space, and the maximum passenger capacity is too strong. Under normal circumstances, the various escorts of Yuan's visit will not pass, four people, so they can carry some reporters and make full use of the free time during the trip.

This time, Pei Chengyi did not meet with reporters. Instead, he left time to Liu Xiao, Bin, who was dressed as a staff member of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

"The intelligence received two days ago has been confirmed, and this is the latest report." Liu Xiaobin said as he handed Pei Chengyi a top-secret report that had not yet had time to be polished.

"What's the rough picture?. Pei Chengyi picked up his reading glasses and opened the paper documents.

Although modern medical technology has been able to cure vision diseases with few dangers and side effects, people like Pei's generation are still accustomed to using glasses to improve their vision. It's not that Pei Chengyi is worried about the failure of the operation, and he has been a soldier. No one is afraid of a small operation, but there is a one-month recovery period after the operation, during which at least an hour of rest is required every day, which is obviously unrealistic as a national leader.

"As we have guessed, Russia is finally not willing to be left alone

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly, and his eyes turned to Liu Xiaobin.

"In the past two months, the United States and Russia have had frequent exchanges. Especially in the military field, after Stark's visit to Russia, the chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff will visit Moscow in the second half of the month, and the joint business and trade delegation of the United States and manufacturing led by Loma, Boeing, Chrysler, Northrop, and other companies will also go to Russia at the beginning of next month, according to the information we have. It is very likely that the trade delegation will sign several significant deals with Russia in Moscow. ”

"Is there any support from the US authorities?"

"That's where the most important thing is." Liu Xiaobin took out a cigarette, lit it and took two puffs before saying. "As we all know, if the United States wants to pull Russia into the water, it has to show sincerity. In terms of technology transfer, basic construction and personnel training. Russia's attitude is also very clear, and without solving these problems, Russia will certainly not take the initiative. In fact, over the years. The US authorities have been working on this. According to the information we have, as early as five years ago, when Duchway was not living in the White House, the US authorities adopted Duchway's suggestion and formulated an aid plan for Russia, which was adjusted on a quarterly basis according to the actual situation. It's not that I overestimate the United States, as long as the last fig leaf is torn off, it will be authorized by Congress. Within two months, the US authorities will be able to transfer all the technical and industrial equipment needed by Russia and carry out training work. With Russia's industrial base, it will be able to completely absorb American technology in half a year at most, at least absorb the industrial achievements of the United States, and comprehensively improve the overall industrial production capacity. ”

"To put it bluntly, what does that mean?" Pei Chengyi asked very directly.

Liu Xiaobin smiled bitterly and said: "If the training work and the aid work are carried out at the same time, Russia will gain the basic strength to wage war against us within half a year." ”

Pei Chengyi immediately tightened his brows, and his expression was very solemn.

"Perhaps, this estimate is too optimistic."

"What do you mean?" Pei Chengyi turned his gaze to Liu Xiaobin again.

"There are legal problems with U.S. aid to Russia, and similarly, there are legal problems with Russia if it wants to complete its preparations for war. At least under normal circumstances, it is impossible for the Russian authorities to use the mobilization system in wartime to control the domestic military-industrial complex, and it is difficult to quickly increase military productivity. To put it simply, if the Russian authorities do not manage to solve this major problem, the pre-war preparation time will certainly be more than half a year. The question is here, will the Russian leadership think that the war will explode within half a year?

Pei Chengyi's brows jumped a few times, obviously hearing the meaning of Liu Xiaobin's words.

"It is clear that our actions in Europe. It will definitely make the Russian authorities think that the war will certainly not drag on until the second half of next year. Russia has recently been in frequent contact with the United States. It is enough to prove that the Russian authorities have made the above judgment, believing that the war will soon break out and are actively preparing for it. ”

"That is, Russia will behave very actively?"

"That's right, only the war started. Only then can the Russian authorities bring the country into a state of war. Mobilization control is also carried out in accordance with the wartime system. Enhance the country's war strength and wield the country's war potential. ”

Pei Chengyi nodded slightly and said, "How long is there?" ”

"Two months at the earliest, and the end of January at the earliest."

"That is, there are three months left at most

"That's pretty much it. I have already asked people to send the information to the General Staff, and the results of the computer simulation analysis will be available in a few daysLiu Xiaobin extinguished the cigarette butt and said casually, "It's just that this kind of strategic analysis in the general direction is more useful than the human brain, at least before that, our strategic judgment has not been wrong." ”

"Computers are just tools, they can never replace great analysts."

"I think it's better to be prepared in advance so that you don't have to get scramble."

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly, and motioned for Liu Xiaobin to speak more thoroughly.

Since sincere struggle is inevitable, we had better actively "these six" ......

"I think the problem is not so simple, seeing Liu Xiaobin want to speak and stop. Pei Chengyi did not continue to embarrass the director of the Military Intelligence Bureau, and waited for Liu Xiaobin to light the second cigarette before he continued. "Your analysis is sound and not far from my judgment. Judging by the current situation, the most likely scenario is that Russia is under the instigation of the United States and our oppression. Make the stupidest move and take the initiative to lead a war. Whether this is the case or not will be known at the end of this month. I have asked Yuan Chenhao to strengthen the surveillance of the Russian army, especially the army. With the combat capability of the Russian army, especially the strategic mobility capability, if the Russian authorities are ready to preemptively attack, they will definitely need to deploy in advance. All in all, on this issue. What we need to think about is not how to deal with Russia's military threat, but how to get Russia to take this most critical step, and we have to do it as we wish.

Hearing Pei Chengyi say this, Liu Xiaobin stabilized his emotions and put on a deaf look.

"In any case, there is no reason for us to underestimate the capabilities of the Russian leadership. For so many years. In the final analysis, the fact that our relations with Russia have not been broken is that Russia has produced a few talented leaders who have never deviated from the right direction of progress. Although there are indications that Chodnovich, who has been in charge of the war, is an out-and-out politician, and it is likely that he is a politician with a special relationship with the United States, Cheryakov is still the president of Russia and still has a very big influence Pei Chengyi paused a little and said, "Although Cheryakov is the same as me, he is a soldier." And I have only met with him twice, but as far as I know, Cheryakov does not advocate war with us, and even believes that confrontation with us should be actively avoided. All in all, if we rush too quickly at this time, it will only backfire and may even make the situation extremely unfavorable for us. ”

"Disadvantage?"

Pei Chengyi nodded, nodded, and said: "If Russia really wants to take the initiative to start a war, it must have something to rely on, or have the confidence to seize the initiative and force us to carry out strategic defense." If we consider purely the comparison of our strength with Russia. This analysis does not make any sense, with the strength of Russia, it is simply impossible to seize the initiative. In this way, there is only one way to give Russia the initiative, and that is to try to kidnap our allies. ”

Liu Xiaobin smiled bitterly. said that he understood what Pei Chengyi meant.

"If I were to command the Russian army, the first thing to do would be to go west and deploy heavy troops. And with strategic missiles aimed at all the large cities of Europe. Although we do not have a military alliance treaty with Europe, Europe is an important ally of ours to contain Russia and the United States, and after the publication of the Treaty of Rome, Europe's security has also been linked to us, at least it will make many countries think that we are responsible for Europe's security. In this case, for the sake of European security, we must be a rat hunter. For Russia, all that is needed is the opportunity of the first few months. To be precise, as long as we do not dare to act rashly, the Russian army can sweep through Central Asia and even enter Mongolia in a few months. Gain a position sufficient to hold out until the end of the war

"If that's the case, we'll have to do it."

"It's not about planning, it's about trying to get away with it

Liu Xiaobin smiled. I think these two statements mean the same thing.

"Domestic affairs, I will tell Yuan Chenhao. Let him keep an eye on it and wait until the time comes. We naturally take action. Pei Chengyi's gaze stayed on Liu Xiaobin for a few seconds. Then he said, "After returning to Paris." You have to reach a preliminary agreement with the Franco-German-Italian intelligence agencies as soon as possible. According to what I said before, as long as it is within our authority, we can agree to whatever requests made by France, Germany and Italy, and as for whether to fulfill the promise, wait until you have more information, and then do business after you come back. What's more, you can't bring Russia's potential threat to the table and act like we don't know about it. Of course, it is necessary to convince France, Germany and Italy to form a quasi-alliance with us. It is to deal with Russia, and Russia has already posed a threat to Europe

Liu Xiaobin nodded, indicating what Pei Chengyi meant.

To put it more bluntly, if European countries are made to realize that the threat from Russia has outweighed the security guarantees that a republic can provide, the treaty will be annulled, or the EU will fall to the US-Russia alliance before the Treaty of Rome enters into force, or before the war breaks out. Only by making the countries of Europe feel a looming threat, but not panicking, can the situation unfold in favor of the Republic.

In fact, this is precisely the purpose of Pei Chengyi to keep Liu Xiaobin in Europe and continue to contact the French, German and Italian intelligence agencies.

Of course, the French, German and Italian intelligence agencies did not know Liu Xiaobin's true identity, only that he was an intelligence officer sent by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic.

After the special plane arrived in Tehran, Liu Xiaobin did not follow Pei Chengyi to attend the banquet held by the Iranian president, but directly boarded a business plane to Paris, returned to the French capital that night, and made the first contact with the officials of the French intelligence agency under the arrangement of the other party. Read the latest children's day on the stream to wash the book and dry the fine concave umbrella