Chapter 530 Nikolai, who knew each other
The most feasible option to increase the capacity of the oil region to China is to build a railway line from Sirte to Tomsk, which will not only shorten the transshipment distance compared to Tyumen, but also reduce the capacity pressure on the Trans-Siberian railway line in the Tyumen section. Pen | fun | pavilion www. biquge。 info
Tomsk and the railway line with Novosibirsk and Omsk is the most abundant railway section in Siberia, where a heavy rail double line iron ore line has been built, and the section is flat, the drop is very small, 120 trains a day are not stressed, and most importantly, the railway here weighs 50 kilograms per meter, can pull 3,000 tons of heavy trains, so that the capacity here can reach 80 million tons.
The 80 million tons of capacity is online, which means that as long as the oil line is pushed here, there is basically no need to worry about any transportation pressure, and you can ship as much as you want.
The transport capacity is so amazing, although in recent years Grand Duke Nicholas spared no expense to build the Trans-Siberian Railway from Yekaterinburg to the capital Irkutsk double track, the most important thing is the geographical features here, mainly flat.
After Novosibirsk, the terrain began to become complicated, resulting in a sharp decline in the load of trains on the Novosibirsk to Tyshet section, which could only run 1,500-ton trains, and the number of daily departures was less than 100 pairs; And the record of shipments from Omsk to Novosibirsk even reached 160 pairs; On the road to the capital Irkutsk, there are several sections of the road with a gradient of 18%, and even only 60 pairs of trains can be shipped per day, and the load is reduced to 1,000 tons; By the time we reached China, the road from Chita to Boli was even steeper, with less than 40 pairs shipped per day.
The natural geographical advantages make Novosibirsk a transportation center with better conditions than Irkutsk, so the railway to Tomsk, together with Novosibirsk, there is no need to worry about transportation capacity.
It can be said that Nikolai has done his homework, and he proposed this plan, which is quite reasonable, and Yang Chao can't help but ponder.
"The railway capacity of Tyumen not only severely limits the oil production of our country, but also makes your country have to endure the extortion of high prices of British oil."
Seeing Yang Chao pondering, thinking that Yang Chao was hesitating, Nikolai added another sentence.
Yang Chao smiled.
Nikolai knew each other very well.
It's a rarity.
Nikolai meant it was clear that he was willing to lower the price of oil.
"The British are really too dark, they control the Middle East oil, and the lowest cost of extraction, Persian oil, which costs less than $1 a barrel, costs us a lot of $3. On the other hand, the price of oil wells in the United States, which was originally $3 to $3.5, has now dropped to about $2, and the CIF price of exports to Europe is now below $5. Taking advantage of the fact that our country does not import oil from the United States, Britain insists that the price of the wellhead is $3, plus the freight we need to pay $4, which has already caused outrage. ”
Yang Chao immediately asked.
To be honest, the price of oil in this era is not too high, and the wellhead price of $3 a barrel has always been implemented with the British, and the British have earned a lot of gold from China in recent years.
In the post-war prosperity of the United States, automobile production increased threefold, from 1.5 million in 1919 to 4.5 million, the United States really became a country on wheels, the average of not six people owned a car, the automobile industry accounted for 8% of the gross domestic value of the United States, and the annual consumption of gasoline by these cars also increased from 89 million barrels to more than 400 million barrels, plus the consumption of diesel, kerosene, etc., the consumption of American oil was about 500 million barrels.
China's post-war prosperity is not lost to the United States, although the automobile industry is not the same as the Americans, only 150,000 trucks are produced every year, and 300,000 cars, and about 50,000 tractors, but China's railway development is relatively late, but the technology is relatively new, the train and locomotive industry is diesel locomotives and electric locomotives at the beginning, and ships also use a large number of diesel engines instead of steam turbines, all because China has developed a huge diesel engine industry.
Because of the diesel power of railways and ships, China's diesel consumption is the world's first, has exceeded 100 million barrels, the density of oil is generally 0.85-1.09, the density of gasoline and diesel is about 0.82-0.9, the difference between the two is not big, so to produce so much diesel, it is natural to almost the same amount of oil, so China burns 200 million barrels of oil every year.
In addition, China also has a fairly large chemical fiber industry, other petrochemical industry development is also very fast, Wuqiu company has mass-produced the technology of producing fertilizer from petroleum, chemical fiber, chemical industry consumes 200 million barrels of oil every year, the vast majority of which are provided by the British, after all, in this world, only the United Kingdom and the United States have a huge oil industry.
Every year, Britain exports more than 300 million barrels of oil to China, which is the economic output value of 1 billion US dollars, of which 300 million US dollars is the cost of exploitation, 100 million US dollars as freight, and the net profit can reach 600 million US dollars, which is an absolute windfall profit, and the UK can share more than 300 million US dollars in profits every year, and Yangzi Bank occupies one-third of the property rights of Middle East oil and shares 200 million US dollars in profits.
Nikolai listened very vigorously and took a big sip of vodka.
"So how much do you think it is appropriate to keep the price of oil?"
Yang Chao immediately asked.
Nikolai was not in a hurry to answer, but lit a Cuban cigar, with an aristocratic look, similar to the English Churchill.
After a few puffs of cigarettes, Nikolai said slowly: "The cost of exploitation in our country is relatively high, because many of the oil fields in Tyumen have gas, so the cost of exploitation of a barrel of oil cannot be less than 2 US dollars, China's transportation mainly relies on railways, and the cost is higher than that of Britain and the United States, and the transportation price cannot be less than 1 US dollar, and this 3 US dollars is almost a pure cost price." If you add in a reasonable profit, I personally think that $3 is very reasonable. ”
Yang Chao knows the cost of mining more than Archduke Nicholas, it is impossible to have 2 US dollars, the current cost is at most 1.5 US dollars, the transportation price is indeed higher, but it is absolutely impossible to exceed one-third, the cost of the British by sea is only one-tenth, and one-third of railway transportation is already overestimated, so the transportation cost is about 0.5 US dollars at most, but compared to the windfall profits of the United Kingdom, 33% of the profits, it is not too dark.
"Then, the place where the settlement must be settled should be placed in Dongying."
Dongying is the largest and only petrochemical industrial base in China, and Wuqiu Company is the only petrochemical giant.
Nikolai was silent, the previous settlement with Russia was carried out in the border area, that is, Manchuria, Maicheng and other port cities, if it was to be transported to Dongying, then it would be 3,000 kilometers longer.
China's railway freight is not high, when the Jiaoji railway was just opened, the freight per ton of goods was about 3 taels, the Jiaoji railway was 445 kilometers, and the freight per 1,000 kilometers was more than 6 taels, after Zhan Tianyou mastered the China Railway Corporation, the large-scale construction of the railway, coupled with the improvement of railway management efficiency, the cost was greatly reduced, and now the freight rate per ton of goods per thousand kilometers has dropped to 2 taels, and 3000 kilometers is only 6 taels, about 10 US dollars.
The average price of one ton of oil is about seven barrels, and the freight cost of one barrel has only increased by $1.4.
"Deal!"
In his heart, Nikolai made up his mind, first, the increase is not high, if the production is expanded, the cost of a barrel of oil will be less than 1 US dollar, and now the increase of 1.4 US dollars in freight is only 2.4 US dollars, and the profit is still there; second, Nikolai can not really give the China Railway Company a freight rate of 1.4 US dollars, oil is a bulk commodity, and it is transported regularly, so it should enjoy preferential prices.
Just as Rockefeller's oil enjoys at least 50% discount in American rail transportation, and refined oil has a 70% discount, Grand Duke Nicholas knew that he could not get the same discount as Rockefeller, because they had to compete with the British for the Chinese market, and Rockefeller could eat alone in the United States, but he could at least win 3 percent, better or even 4 percent freight concessions.
In that case, the new freight rate will not be 1.4 US dollars, and at most 1 US dollar, so that there will be at least 1 US dollar of profit, and the tsarist family can share 20% of it, and the government can get 20% of the tax revenue.
"And what about your conditions?"
Nikolai's acquaintance is willing to reduce the price, and Yang Chao is also very acquaintance, so he won't think it's a plain offer.
Nikolai took a sip of vodka and held out three fingers.
"300 million barrels?"
Yang Chao said with a smile, Nikolai's appetite is really not small, 300 million barrels is 900 million US dollars, and then the profit after removing fixed costs and freight is about 400 million, Yang Chao takes 200 million of them, Nobel can get 116 million, and the Tsar family and the imperial government can each get more than 40 million US dollars.
Although Yang Chao took the lion's share, the Russian Imperial Government was able to increase its fiscal revenue by 160%, and the Tsarist family could also reap the benefits in one fell swoop.
As for the lion's share taken by Yang Chao, it was not taken for nothing, China still maintains 300,000 troops in Tyumen, without these troops to deter, why does the Russian Empire occupy the wealth of Siberia, I am afraid that it will be attacked by the poor and crazy Soviet Russia.
The average salary of Chinese soldiers has now risen to 50 taels, and the salary of soldiers alone will be 15 million taels, close to 20 million US dollars, and the annual consumption of equipment will have to double, and there will be no 100 million taels of silver per year, and they will not be able to take it down, and the military expenses of these people, the Chinese have never asked the Russian Empire for it, and for the sake of Yang Chao, the son-in-law of the Russian Empire, they have not mentioned it. The 100,000 troops stationed in Japan by China manage the Japanese government's military expenditure of 200 million taels of silver every year.
Therefore, giving Yang Chao a share of the profits is equivalent to paying protection money, which everyone knows by heart.
"300 million barrels is not much, China's oil consumption is increasing day by day, and in a few years, 300 million barrels may only account for about one-third. So it's time for us to talk about railways, and my attitude is still not to recommend building railways! ”
Nikolai thought that he was already very acquainted, and the benefits he gave up were sincere, but the other party still did not agree to help repair the railway, which was simply unreasonable, he couldn't drink anymore, and he couldn't smoke well, so he almost choked on himself and twisted it the table.
Then he said, "Then there's nothing to talk about." ”
If the weather is bad in any year, the river transporting one-third of the annual transportation capacity will be cut off, and it will not be easy to guarantee 60 million.
So if he doesn't build the railway, Yang Chao is just teasing him.
"Don't worry!"
Yang Chao saw that Grand Duke Nicholas became irritable, and he smiled and comforted.
Nikolai didn't have a good face, he had already stretched out his hand to shake hands with Yang Chao, and after shaking it, he must have slammed the door and left.
Yang Chao did not shake his hand and still sat in the chair.
"Who said that the only way to transport oil is by rail!"
Yang Chao shook his head and sighed, it's terrible to be uneducated. (To be continued.) )