The solution proposed by the Government of the Decisive State in relation to the Sumatra Incident and the Java Incident. It seems to be fair, but in fact, there are hidden killer moves, and if you don't carefully analyze the stakes, you will definitely be fooled.

Zhao Bei knew very well what the British government wanted to achieve, on the one hand, the British government wanted to exchange the interests of Sumatra for China's move closer to Britain. Squeezing Japanese power out of New Guinea. If this strategic goal of Britain is achieved, it will not only make Japan's dependence on Britain more serious, but will also undermine Zhao Bei's plan to take advantage of Japan's fire, and worse, if Japan loses interest in Southeast Asia and the Pacific, then no one can guarantee that Japan will not turn its head and continue to look at the East Asian continent, especially at this moment when the Russian Empire is in chaos.

On the other hand, under the pretext that there was an ethnic vendetta in the Sumatra Incident, the British government wants to set up an international investigation team to conduct an in-depth investigation in Sumatra, which on the surface seems to be to uphold international justice and the law of civilization, but behind this international investigation mission is another ulterior motive of the British government. As long as Zhao Bei agrees with this suggestion of the British government. That would be tantamount to ceding the decision to determine the future of local politics in Sumatra to a group of Europeans, as long as the British government so wishes. It can suppress pro-Chinese forces on the ground at any time. Supporting pro-British forces, and under the pretext of this issue of racial vendetta, it is up to the British government to decide which side should be held responsible.

Since Zhao Bei has understood the intentions of the British government, he will naturally not be fooled, but he will not expose the British government's face to face, he also has his plans and steps, and as a means of counterattack, he also immediately proposed his solution.

The solution proposed by Zhao Bei is aimed at the two most critical of the British government's "six proposals", and he also believes that if this condition is proposed, then at least the Dutch government will never agree to it.

"I think the six recommendations of the British government need to be revised, especially the first and fifth articles. According to Article 1, "The Government of the Netherlands recognizes the autonomy of the Sumatra region in exchange for the recognition by the Chinese Government of the authority of the Netherlands to possess the colonies of Sumatra and the East Indies, and opposes the occupation of the territory of the East Indies by any third country." In my opinion, it is not up to us outsiders to determine the future political status of Sumatra, but it is the residents of Sumatra who will determine the future political status of Sumatra, and I think that the best solution in this question should be a referendum by the local population of Sumatra, supervised by the Far East Peace Commission, to ensure that the referendum process is transparent and fair, if the Sumatra people are willing to maintain their autonomous status within the Dutch colony, If the Sumatrans are willing to go further and achieve true independence, then Sumatra can become an independent sovereign state and no longer have to accept the supervision of the Dutch government.

With regard to article 5, "In view of the ethnic vendetta that took place in the Sumatra incident, the international community cannot sit idly by and must send a mission to investigate the situation in order to establish responsibility, to track down the perpetrators, and to maintain law and order in the civilized world." On the surface, there seems nothing wrong with this article, but if you analyze it carefully, you can see that there are errors in expression and logic, in fact, so far. The so-called "ethnic vendetta" in Sumatra that the public knows about is entirely through newspapers and has not been confirmed by the Sumatra side.

You know, journalists have always had a tendency to exaggerate the facts, for the sake of the appeal of the news. Journalists usually exaggerate very small incidents to the extreme, take the war between the United States and Spain as an example, it was originally just an inexplicable explosion of a US ** ship, whether it was caused by the warship boiler has not yet been confirmed. However, those American reporters who feared that the world would not be chaotic vowed to blame the destruction of the Spaniards for the explosion of the US ** ship, and some reporters even said that the Spaniards had fired torpedoes. It was as if they had witnessed a torpedo shot on the spot. As a result, as soon as the news report came out, it immediately aroused the anger of the American public, and as a result, a war broke out like this, but in fact, until the end of the war, no one could say clearly why the US ** ship exploded, it is no exaggeration. The fuse of the Spanish-American War was lit by journalists. At least they played the role of the vanguard.

Combined with the historical facts of the Spanish-American War, the so-called "ethnic vendetta" incident that was born in Sumatra may temporarily put a question mark, and it is indeed inappropriate for the international community to intervene in this matter immediately before the government that actually controls power in Sumatra completes its investigation, because this will inevitably cause Sumatra to be full of worries, and it will also further confuse the situation on the ground.

Mr. Ambassador, as a British diplomat who has lived in China for a long time, you may know some about civil fighting, when the Qing Dynasty was very common, and it was not uncommon for tens of thousands of people to fight, or for the sake of fighting for land and water, or for the accumulation of grievances in history, civil fighting has never been news, which of course has a lot to do with the weakness of the ancient dynasty's control over the grassroots political power. In the same way, in the Sumatra region, the level of social development is very low, there are only some cities in the economic area, and the vast countryside is still closed and conservative, so in the process of the Sumatra incident, due to the weakening of local government control and historical grievances, it is not an incomprehensible reality that some indigenous and Chinese fights arise, but if you insist on raising this civil fight to the so-called "racial vendetta". , if you go up to the height, it will inevitably be a bit pedantic, and the local aborigines may not understand the so-called "race" at all. The concept may be seen by the local natives as the inhabitants of a village. Race, and the villagers of the neighboring village are another race, can you call the fight between the villagers of two villages a "clash of races, or" a "race vendetta"?

To sum up, it seems that the fifth solution proposed by the British government should be deleted directly, or the Sumatra authorities should organize an investigation team on their own to find out the truth of the armed fight and punish those responsible accordingly, but on the other hand. The international community should not point fingers on this issue. ”

Zhao Bei put forward his solution, in one go, without any delay, and only shocked the British ambassador Zhu Erdian. Zhu Erdian soon understood that the Chinese president, who had always behaved very arrogantly, obviously saw through the wishful thinking of the British government at a glance, and immediately decided to oppose the guest and take the British government into the army.

Zhu Erdian did not immediately take over the conversation, and he needed to seriously consider whether to submit the solution of the "mad president" to the British diplomatic department. In his opinion, it is difficult for the British government to agree to this revised solution, and even if the British government reluctantly agrees to do so, I am afraid that the Dutch government will not agree to such a blatant action to challenge the colonial interests of the Netherlands.

The key is not whether the inhabitants of Sumatra are willing to get rid of Dutch rule, the key is this, the "referendum" itself has legally vetoed the "legitimacy" of Dutch rule over the East Indies and other colonies, once it is implemented, it is difficult to guarantee that it will not cause a domino effect, today, it may only be Sumatra to hold a referendum, but tomorrow, it may be Borneo, Maluku, Little New Guinea, Java and other regions to hold a "referendum" that is enough to determine the future of the Dutch East Indies colonies It may even lead to the emergence of an independent trend in the colonies of Britain, France, and other European and American colonial powers, and this is obviously not in the interests of Britain.

It can be seen from this that this "mad president" may not have the sincerity to peacefully resolve the crisis of the fleet confrontation between China and the Netherlands, and he may be more willing to achieve his goal by force, and this purpose is the same as when Japan launched the First Sino-Japanese War and the United States launched the Spanish-American War, in addition to seizing the overseas territories of the enemy country, he also wants to take the opportunity of victory to raise the country's prestige outside the territory and lay a solid foundation for the rise of the country, and this foundation is absolutely not something that can be laid through peace talks.

To make a group of opponents realize your strength; The best thing to do is not to shout at them, but to swing your fist and knock out one of the weakest opponents, so that the other opponents can have a hint of awe of you, and this is how the competition between nations is the case, and the rise of all new powers presupposes the defeat of the old ones.

Jurdian was sure that the "mad president" in front of him was planning to do this, and the target he had chosen was the Netherlands, apparently, in the last Sino-Japanese war. The military and political strongman was not very satisfied. He seems to want to show China's power by defeating a European country, just as Japan did when it defeated Russia, and stain Asia's military boots red with European blood.

In fact, in the eyes of some politicians in the British government, the Chinese president is very ambitious. Not only did he want to challenge Dutch interests, but he also seemed to want to meddle in the British sphere of influence, and according to domestic information received by Jurdian, some time ago, a British gunboat seized an Argentine-flagged merchant ship in the Red Sea, and a large number of old Chinese-made munitions, both rifles and cannons, were seized from the ship, and according to the cargo list, the arms would be sent to Egypt and then disguised as ordinary cargo and transferred to the Arabian Peninsula. Eventually became a weapon in the army of a certain Arab prince. It is worth noting that the owner of this shipment was none other than the famous "Lawrence of Arabia", the British archaeologist who had always been a sympathizer of the Arab independence movement, and who tried to use the opportunity of the European war to help the Arabs win their independence, both from the Ottoman Empire and from British control.

In the past, Mr. Lawrence, the idealist, was alone and without much help. Britain just wanted to use the power of Arabia to contain the Ottoman Empire, and did not want the Arabs to win independence, so Britain's support for the Arab armed forces has been stuck in the guerrilla stage, but now, with the sound of the boots, the Arabs may soon have their own legions, legions in the true sense.