Chapter 1071 New Strategic Thinking (II)

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The room was quiet, Luo Ronghuan and Cai Zhong were busy with the work in their hands, glancing at Liu Yimin from time to time, waiting for him to make a decision.

Liu Yimin has figured it out, today's anti-Japanese battlefield is different from history, not that the Japanese army is insufficient, but that our army's combat effectiveness is much stronger than in history, and it is impossible for the little devils to use a brigade or a division to defend more than 100 counties, and I am afraid that they may not be able to hold two or three counties with a brigade.

Not only is the combat effectiveness of the Eighth Route Army strong, but the combat effectiveness of the Eighth Route Army is also much higher than in history, the main reason is that the losses in the Battle of Songhu are smaller than in history, and the losses in the Battle of Nanjing are not comparable with history. This is why Chiang Kai-shek dared to transfer troops to attack Shaanxi on the eve of the Japanese army capturing Nanning.

Since history has changed so much, why do you still have to stick to the historical development trajectory for Mao?

Liu Yimin took out a cigarette from his pocket, took out a match, struck it without a single one, and then failed to make another one, so angry that he slammed the match box on the ground.

Seeing this, the deputy director of the General Staff Department, Fengfeng, hurriedly came over, picked up the matchbox on the ground, took out a match, and lit it with a slight stroke, and came to Liu Yimin to help him light the cigarette.

Liu Yimin smoked a cigarette, and his mind was still spinning in circles.

If the Japanese army did not fight the Pacific War and concentrated its forces on the war of aggression against China, would there really be the kind of particularly terrible consequences that were analyzed on the Internet in later generations?

Liu Yimin also thought about this issue in the past, and at that time he only thought that if the Japanese army did not fight the Pacific War and concentrated its forces to invade China, with the Japanese army's combat strength and sea and air superiority, the offensive would inevitably become more ferocious, and perhaps it would be able to capture Chongqing and Xi'an, and Chiang Kai-shek might be able to compromise, and China's War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression would probably be victorious.

Now that he rethinks about this issue, the more Liu Yimin thinks about it, the more he feels that it is worth studying. After all, this is a big strategic issue, and we must not be careless.

Japan is only an island country of 372,000 square kilometers, which is only the size of Yunnan Province. Before the Meiji Restoration, there were only 30 million people in Japan, which is 8 million less than the current population of Shandong. However, after the Meiji Restoration, due to economic development, the contradictions between food and housing were alleviated, medical and health conditions were improved, and the little devils did not know birth control, the population actually doubled, and now it has reached 80 or 90 million. According to the current level of productive forces, the little devils can only emigrate or invade and expand, otherwise, Japan's food problem will not be solved. This is the most fundamental reason why Japan has made its policy of aggression and expansion a basic national policy in modern times.

It is precisely for this reason that the Japanese army has a steady stream of soldiers, and the landless peasants in Japan are willing to emigrate to Taiwan and Northeast China.

Before the crossing, Liu Yimin always believed that the reason why the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression entered the stage of stalemate was because of the lack of Japanese troops, and he took it for granted that the Japanese had a small population and a lack of soldiers. Now, after three years of the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression, Liu Yimin's understanding of Japan is much deeper than before the crossing, and he knows that Japan has no shortage of soldiers, not only has a large population in Japan, but can also recruit soldiers from Taiwan, Korea, and Northeast China.

What the Japanese lacked was raw materials for making weapons, oil and rubber for airplanes, tanks, and automobiles.

After all, Japan is a resource-poor island nation, and most of its steel, coal, oil, rubber, and precious metals are imported. Japan's manufacturing industry is well-developed, and without raw materials, factories are empty.

More importantly, although Japan is now dominated by militarism, after all, it is still a cabinet responsibility system, with the Diet, the House of Representatives, and the Senate.

It is not that the Japanese army cannot build more divisions and regiments, but that the Japanese cabinet and diet do not allow the military to build them, and the reason is that the economy cannot afford it.

The reason why the strength of the Japanese army on the battlefield of aggression against China at this time was much greater than in history was that the squadron fought much better than in history, and the Japanese army suffered heavy casualties. The Japanese cabinet also had to grit its teeth and support the military expansion.

For example, now that the United States has cut off trade with Japan, Britain, France, and Germany have become a pot of porridge again, and the anti-fascist front around the world will soon be formed. Unless they throw in the towel, they will inevitably go to Southeast Asia to get oil and rubber. Otherwise, their planes, warships, tanks, and cars will become a pile of scrap metal.

In this sense, oil and rubber alone will force the little devils to do something to Britain and the United States. The harder the Eighth Route Army fought, the greater the losses of the Japanese army, and the earlier the time for the little devils to launch the Pacific War.

Thinking about it, how did you think that the Japanese army would start the Pacific War?

Shaking his head, Liu Yimin reached out and touched the cigarette case again. After touching it, he found that the cigarette box was empty, so he turned his head and said to Cai Zhong: "Lao Cai, take out your cigarettes, my cigarettes are finished." Really, such a big leader, how can he still deduct the rope, give an allowance to his wife, and he doesn't know how to smoke a cigarette, he is afraid that his wife is afraid of going to the bones! ”

Only then did Luo Ronghuan and Cai Zhong understand that Liu Yimin was scolding the little devil for bullying people too much.

Cai Zhong hurriedly took out a cigarette, handed it to Liu Yimin, and lit it for him with a match, and said with a smile: "Good my commander, brother, you are young, you don't understand, I'm afraid that my wife will have something to eat!" ”

Cai Zhong's allowance was actually not paid to Ren Ying, and most of it was used to buy nutritional products for the seriously injured. Liu Yimin knew about this, but he just wanted to joke with his old buddy.

Luo Ronghuan took out a piece of money from his pocket, called his guard and explained: "Go, buy cigarettes for the commander, buy it!" ”

Without waiting for Luo Ronghuan's guards to go out, Tang Xingying walked in from outside with a kettle, and when she heard Luo Ronghuan's words, she said, "Political commissar, I have cigarettes there, I don't need to buy them."

After speaking, Tang Xingying asked for money from the guards, stuffed it to Luo Ronghuan, poured water for Liu Yimin, Luo Ronghuan, and Cai Zhong, and then turned around and went out, and after a while, he walked back with two packs of camel brand cigarettes and put them in front of Liu Yimin.

Liu Yimin tore open the cigarette case, knocked it out, took out a cigarette, lit it, smoked it, and ignored the others.

Liu Yimin continued the train of thought just now, what would happen if Japan did not launch the Pacific War, but focused on invading China?

As soon as he thought of this question, Liu Yimin's brain hurt, it seemed that the Japanese planes in the sky were rushing in a row, and the ground was yellow and mushy, all of them were Japanese infantry.

Liu Yimin shook his head vigorously, cleared his mind, and seriously thought about the balance of power between China and Japan.

Comparing and contrasting, Liu Yimin feels that in terms of the current strength comparison between China and Japan, objectively speaking, Japan far surpasses China.

In addition to the factors of Japan itself, Japan also has the resources and manpower of Korea, Taiwan, the puppet Manchukuo, North China, Central China, and South China occupation areas that can be used, such as the fact that the Japanese army formed three tank divisions in advance this time, which was formed in the northeast, and except for oil, all the things on the tanks probably come from the steel, copper, lead, and molybdenum in the northeast. From this point of view, regardless of whether Japan's domestic economy is facing a crisis or not, the economy of the puppet state of Manchukuo alone can support the Japanese army's operational needs in the Kannai. As long as the Japanese army needs it, I am afraid that they will continue to make aircraft, tanks, automobiles, and artillery.

Japan's advantage lies in its strong national strength, while its weakness lies in its great ambitions and wrong strategic principles.

China's advantage lies in its large population and vast area, while its weakness lies in its weak industrial base.

After comparing and comparing, Liu Yimin came to the conclusion that small Japan's concentration of forces against China was nothing more than to prolong the victory of the War of Resistance against Japan for a few years, and in the end it was difficult to escape the fate of defeat.

There are two kinds of causes: internal and external.

The internal factors are determined by China's own conditions, the territory is large, and the strategic maneuver space is large, even if the Japanese army occupies Chongqing and Xi'an, what can it do? Couldn't the Nationalist Government move to Kunming, and the Central Government couldn't move to northern Shaanxi? As long as the Nationalist Government had a place to live, Chiang Kai-shek's character would not surrender. **Not to mention, when he was beaten by Chiang Kai-shek and had to go on a long march, didn't he survive it too?

With this premise, there is no fear. The larger the territory occupied by Japan, the larger our base areas behind enemy lines will be, and the faster the strength of the Eighth Route Army and the New Fourth Army will expand. Compared with the Japanese army, our army is a fresh and vigorous force, and because of the correct policies and strategies, our army will be more and more supported by the common people, and it will have an inexhaustible number of soldiers. In this way, the Japanese army is chasing the big ass of the first and chasing the main force of the Eighth Route Army, while the local armed forces of our army are following the ass of the Japanese army to develop backwards, and the Japanese army will never be able to concentrate on eliminating Chiang Kai-shek or forcing him to surrender, and it will never be possible to eliminate our army. At most, they can only occupy cities, county seats, and communication lines, and support the traitor regime to fool the people. But this era is not the era when the Mengyuan Dynasty destroyed the Southern Song Dynasty and the Manchu Qing Dynasty destroyed the Ming Dynasty, there are more intellectuals in China, and slowly, the soldiers and ordinary people will also read and write, self-awakening, and the traitors can't blind people. In the long run, China's War of Resistance will still persevere to the end.

The external reason is that the Americans, out of the need to maintain their eastern defense line, will increase their assistance to China regardless of whether Japan will attack him or not. In particular, if Japan had not launched the Taiping War, once the United States had helped Britain and the Soviet Union defeat Germany and become stronger in the war, it would never have allowed Japan to occupy China and become the hegemon of East Asia, and would inevitably increase its assistance and even send troops to participate in the war.

Thinking about this, Liu Yimin began to think about how to defeat little Japan without the Japanese army launching the Pacific War.

To fight a war is to fight economic strength and military strength. From these two perspectives, the United States' severance of trade with Japan is tantamount to stifling Japan's ability to sustain the war. If it were not for the support of the puppet Manchukuo, little Japan would probably have to sit down and negotiate with the Chinese now.

There is also a problem, that is, the industrial facilities in the Northeast were looted by the Soviet Army after the war, and the economic foundation of the Northeast was suddenly restored to the prototype. The key reason why the United States became so powerful and pointed fingers after the war was that they used two atomic bombs to force Japan to surrender and turned Japan and Southeast Asia into their sphere of influence.

If, as in history, China relied on the United States to wipe out the main force of the Japanese army and navy in the Pacific Ocean, and the Soviet Union sent troops to the northeast to destroy the Kwantung Army, China would have to survive in the gap between the two superpowers of the United States and the Soviet Union for several decades, as it did in history. Even in the 21st century, Americans will continue to cause trouble for China every day. So what's the point of crossing this trip by yourself?

You must take advantage of your own crossing, fight hard, defeat Japan before the United States, Britain, and the Soviet Union defeat Germany, step on Mount Fuji, and enter Tokyo with a long song!

Liu Yimin remembered the telegram sent by Zhao Yong just now.

Zhao Yonggang said in an ecstatic tone on the telegram: "Commander, there are many factories and mines in the Northeast Railway, Highway Railway, and Northeast. ”

According to the historical account and the situation briefly reported by Zhao Yonggang now, Liu Yimin knew that the puppet Manchukuo at this time, due to its abundant resources, good transportation facilities, and vigorous development by the Japanese, the total economic volume may have exceeded that of Japan itself, and it could not only produce trains, but also airplanes and automobiles ().

The Manchuria Heavy Industry Development Co., Ltd., which was established by the Japanese army in Northeast China, is a super-large military industrial group with aircraft and automobile manufacturing as the main body, iron and steel as the foundation, and coal as the forerunner, and consists of the Dongbian Province Development Co., Ltd., the Manchuria Mining Co., Ltd., and the Manchuria Light Metal Co., Ltd., which are mainly engaged in the mining and smelting of metal ores, the Manchurian Flying Machine Co., Ltd., which is mainly engaged in the production of aircraft and aircraft engines, and the Manchuria Automatic Vehicle Co., Ltd., which is mainly engaged in the production of automobiles and maintenance of automobiles, with 17 directly operated enterprises and 330,000 employees.

Historically, Manchuria Heavy Industry Development Co., Ltd. produced more than 4,800 aircraft, 5,000 aircraft engines, and 44,785 automobiles.

Liu Yimin thought that the United States had blocked Japan's channel for importing strategic materials from the United States, and another support point for the Japanese army's war of aggression against China was the Northeast. As long as the Northeast is recovered, little Japan will have no steel to make weapons and ammunition, and no coal to let trains and warships operate, let alone let them invade China, I am afraid they will not even be able to eat.

This Northeast, we must have ideas to recover it as soon as possible!

Now, Liu Yimin's thinking has been completely adjusted!

Liu Yimin stood up from his chair and opened his mouth to say: "Political commissar, send a report to the Central Committee and the General Headquarters that our department is determined to launch a full-front counterattack against the enemy who swept away our Shandong base area, with the goal of mobilizing the Japanese puppet army and eliminating the living forces of the Japanese puppet army, using the attack on Jinan as a bait, and using ambush tactics and movement tactics to gather and annihilate the reinforced enemy and change the situation on the battlefield in Shandong!" ”

Luo Ronghuan got up when he heard this, and went out to Qian Zhuangying's radio room as soon as he agreed.

This is why Liu Yimin has an order for Bai Dagui to turn Beideng Zhuang into a magnet!

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