Volume 14 The Smoke of Gunpowder Chapter 113 Key Issues
Whether or not to send troops to the Middle East. The key is not in Europe, but in the boiling column. Or the problem of hungry eight.
As mentioned earlier, the war in the Middle East has dragged on for a long time. A key issue was the serious disagreement between the warring parties over the resettlement of the Jews, even within the intensive group.
At that time, Iraq, Syria, Kurdistan, Iran and other Islamic countries advocated the uprooting of Israel, and as for how to settle the Jews, it was not a matter for them. The problem is that even these Islamic countries still have serious differences on how to deal with the Middle East after the elimination of Israel, that is, how to divide their spheres of influence and how to realize the benefits of war. To put it bluntly, Iraq and Syria want to create a "great Arab state" with two countries at its core. Iran, for its part, advocates the establishment of a "pan-Islamic coalition" to replace the unified state with a loose coalition of states, so as to avoid confrontation with the great powers. Kurdistan, for its part, wants to maintain the status quo of a republic that controls the Middle East and avoids the emergence of a regional power with a dominant power. The views of these three parties are also well understood, and a unified large Arab state will certainly become a regional power. It is even possible to become a quasi-great power.
Unifying the Middle East with Islam as a predominantly religion can expand the influence of Shiites in the Islamic world, and in turn, the influence of Iran. As a new state, Kurdistan is the weakest, and even the victors of the Great War have very limited say in the Middle East, let alone confrontation with Iran and Arab countries, and its national interests are based on alliances with the republics.
And that's not all, intensive groups.
If we expand the scope a little, we can see that within the intensive group, there are not a few countries that advocate the preservation of Israel, or even support Israel, for example, Argentina has always believed that it should not be pushed too much, that the Jews should be left with a little rush, that Israel should be preserved after the war, and that it promised to give security guarantees. This attitude of Argentina. Got to include some non-state countries, as well as the congregation
In fact, there are quite a few people in the republic who support this view of Argentina.
It is also easy to understand that a powerful Israel is not only the nemesis of the Arab world, but also the restraint of Islamic civilization. Imagine this. If Israel is destroyed, even if tens of millions of Jews are properly settled, in the case of Iran's ill-intentioned intentions, the Kurds are weak. Who can prevent the Arab world from reuniting? You must know that the Arab world in a broad sense stretches from Morocco in the west, to Oman in the east, and Sudan in the south, encompassing a vast area including North Africa, Central Africa, the Middle East and the Arabian Peninsula, and its area and population surpass that of the European Union. The creation of a completely new state over such a vast area, even if it was a loose one, would pose a threat to the interests of the republic. Among other things, the enterprises of the republic may no longer want to mine rare metal mines in Syria and Sudan.
Actually, this is just the beginning.
Influenced by many historical factors, "Ababai" is no longer a simple nation, at most it can only be regarded as a national symbol, and there are great differences among Arabs in various regions in terms of national culture. Of course, this is very similar to the situation of the Han people, for example, there is a big difference between the Han people who live in the north and the Han people who live in the south. The problem is, two years. The Han Chinese were basically under the rule of a single dynasty. Even if there has been a split, it is difficult to last. There is no fissure that cannot be healed. The glorious period in the history of the Arabs was very short. Even the original Arab Empire did not exist long enough to erase cultural differences.
To put it bluntly, it is not the inner culture of the nation that connects the Arabs, but religious beliefs. i.e. Islam.
At the religious level, the problem is much more complicated. It is important to know that the countries that believe in Islam are not only Arab countries, nor are they only distributed in the Middle East. Calculated in terms of population. Indonesia is the largest Islamic country. Saudi Arabia is the largest Islamic country in terms of land area, and Pakistan is the most powerful Islamic country in terms of overall strength. That is, Islam is the second largest religion after Christianity if religion is taken as the standard. After the collapse of the Western world, which is centered on Christianity, if the Islamic world is allowed to grow, then the Eastern civilization based on Confucian culture will inevitably encounter more severe challenges. To put it mildly, if the republic does not prevent the Islamic world from becoming a unified force, then the Third World War will lose its meaning.
Preserving Israel is the key to preventing the revival of Islamic civilization.
It can be said that the Republic and the United States have a common interest in this issue, that is, they are both aimed at preventing the re-expansion of Islamic civilization.
Of course, this kind of cultural awareness has not yet reached the political level.
As it was at the time, whether the authorities of the Republic were willing to take Argentina's proposal or not, Israel had to disappear before the war ended, otherwise the war would not have ended, at least not in the best interests of the Republic. As the leader of the country, it is impossible for Pei Chengyi to let thousands of republicans take risks for a purpose that no one can be sure of, and there is no reason for the citizens of the republic to endure the torment of war for a few more years.
The problem is that the intensive group is not the only dominant party in the war. Even if the authorities of the republic do not have to take into account the influence of the United States at all, they will have to take into account the wishes of the European states.
It can be said that after the defeat of Russia, Europe replaced the United States in determining the fate of Israel
In the beginning, Europe was firmly opposed to the eradication of Israel.
Of course, this attitude did not last long. With the republic's resounding victory in the Pacific theater. Coupled with the crushing defeat of Russia, Europe took the initiative to concede. Focus on how to protect the interests of the Jews, not on Israel. This led to the subsequent negotiations on how to resettle tens of millions of Jews after the war ended.
As you can imagine, the abandonment of the negotiations did not go well.
Until the beginning of the year, with the republican navy winning a great victory in the naval battle of the Cape Verde Islands. In one fell swoop, it seized the sea supremacy in the South Atlantic, opened the door to the North Atlantic, and made the Middle East war lose its strategic significance, especially in the long-distance attack on Morocco by the Republican ** team, and at the end of March, it crossed the Strait of Gibraltar and occupied the fortress of Gibraltar, which had been controlled by the British for hundreds of years, and only promised not to send troops to the British mainland. did not promise not to attack the British overseas territories, otherwise they would not have occupied many British mausoleums including Diego Garcia Island and Asunción Island in the previous combat operations, and the Gibraltar Fortress is also a British overseas territory, which is no different from Diego Garcia Island in basic attributes. Europe completely lost the initiative in negotiations, and the situation changed.
In accordance with the conditions proposed by Europe in early April. As long as the Republic can provide a suitable resettlement site, Europe can help persuade Israel to surrender and bear half of the cost of transferring Israeli nationals.
Of course, "suitable." It means that it is not possible to go anywhere.
By the end of April, the Republic had proposed a total of three resettlement packages.
The first set is to choose a suitable location in the south-west Pacific, such as Tasmania, New Britain or some other island, or even the western part of Australia, as a Jewish settlement area, and establish a Jewish state in the area, and the Republic will assume the security and defense of the new Jewish state. He also promised to give the Jews the right to independence within 20 years after the war.
The second set is also based on the premise, that is, to choose a more suitable place in Eurasia. For example, the establishment of a Jewish state in the Russian Far East, which has been occupied by the Republic, or the Kamchatka Peninsula, or the island of Kuye, or the more distant Chukotka region, the Republic also undertakes the security work and guarantees after the end of the war. Gradual transfer of state power to the Jewish government.
The third set is newly proposed, that is, to select a few suitable sites from the occupied areas of the Republican **, to be selected by Jewish organizations, including the Israeli government. Of course, according to this scheme, the republic would provide only security and no other responsibilities and expenses, and it would not until after the end of the war, if the authorities of the republic determined that it was necessary, to gradually transfer the sovereignty of the state to the Jewish government.
Because the first two sets of plans are really not attractive. Negotiations have therefore focused on the specific terms of the third package. The problem is that time is running out to allow the parties to delay at the negotiating table.
To put it more bluntly, the greatest pressure is not from the millions of Jews in Israel, but from the millions of US troops trapped in the Middle East.
According to the relevant information transmitted to Europe by the US authorities, at the beginning of the grain. The U.S. military's basic material reserves on the Middle East battlefield can only last for six months. That is, even without taking into account the losses from the all-out strategic bombing of the Space Forces of the Republic, the US military will have eaten up all the food by the end of June.
If it's just a force of a few hundred people, then forget it.
For a force with millions of officers and soldiers. It's almost unthinkable.
On this extremely important issue, the attitude of the authorities of the republic is extremely tough, and in addition to the voluntary surrender of the US troops, Europe wants to march into the Middle East theater. The Jewish question had to be solved first. Otherwise, the Republican Army would have marched into Israel on the same day that Europe would have sent troops, and the Republic would not have made any guarantees for the Jews of Israel.
Of course, this attitude of the republic is well understood.
Under the circumstances, if Europe had sent troops to the Middle East and accepted millions of American prisoners of war before the Jewish question was properly resolved, or a concrete settlement agreement was reached, it was likely that all of these prisoners of war would be placed in Israel and involved in the reconstruction work. You must know that among the US troops fighting in the Middle East, the proportion of Jewish soldiers is very high, and it is conservatively estimated to be around the same level, that is to say, among the tens of thousands of US troops, there are probably 10,000 to 10,000 Jewish officers and soldiers, and these people are likely to change their nationality after the war to become nationals of the new Israel controlled by Europe, thus making the new Israel a big problem. Leaving aside for the time being what the republican authorities intend to do to resolve the Israeli question, it is unlikely that a European-controlled Israel will be allowed to appear on the eastern shores of the Mediterranean.
The problem is that just putting pressure on the other side at the negotiating table is definitely not a good way to solve the problem.
As far as the Republic is concerned, a proper settlement of the Jewish question is also the key to safeguarding the interests of the post-war period.
At the beginning of March, after the great victory in the naval battle of the Cape Verde Islands, the authorities of the Republic launched an early campaign to advance into the American continent and directly selected Panama as the destination of the expedition.
If it had been a month ago, someone would have thought it was crazy.
In a situation where the US Navy has become a lost dog. The march into Panama is no longer a crazy operation.
Of course, unlike the previous plan for attacking Panama, this time the army was from the old direction, and in accordance with the navy's advance plan drawn up in the direction of the Atlantic Ocean, the Atlantic Fleet would first seize sea supremacy and force the US forces to retreat from the Little Andreas Islands, and then the Marines would land on the Isthmus of Panama from the Pacific Ocean. Capture the entire Panama Canal Zone under the cover of the Pacific Fleet. During this period, the Atlantic Fleet will move north at the right time to threaten the Greater Andreas Islands, force the U.S. Navy to retreat to the Gulf of Mexico, and strike U.S. military bases in Haiti and Jamaica to eliminate the threat of U.S. long-range artillery to the Panama region. If all goes well, the Atlantic Fleet will march into Cuba after it has been strengthened by the Pacific Fleet on the condition that the Panama Canal is open to traffic. and to help Cuba resist the blows of the US military. Create an opportunity for the next attack on the US mainland from Cuba.
Obviously, this is a bold and big-picture battle plan.
Although there is no reason to believe that this combat plan is directly related to Pei Chengyi, it is certain. Hua Jianfeng was certainly one of the drafters of the plan. And it was his influence that allowed this well plan to be supported by the Supreme Command. In fact, the Navy went into action before it was supported by the High Command.
At the end of March, the main fleet of the Navy of the Republic crossed the Cape Verde Islands and entered the North Atlantic. And after crossing the Atlantic, shelled US military bases and military facilities on the Little Andreas Islands.
Of course, the symbolism of this operation is even more obvious.
Although under the circumstances at that time, the Republic Navy was absolutely sure that it would defeat the collapsed US Navy in the next naval battle, but in the case of an unstable foothold and an undecided overall situation, even if Hua Jianfeng had a heart, Split Chengyi would not let the Navy enter the Caribbean Sea ahead of schedule.
You know, at that time the republic was trying to win over Venezuela and Bolivia.
According to some data released after the war, at the beginning of March of the second year of Judah, the authorities of the Republic extended an invitation to the Venezuelan and Bolivian authorities to participate in the war through the Chilean government, and promised to give the two countries enough benefits, such as extraditing the former president of Bolivia who defected to the United States to the Bolivian government after the end of the war, ensuring the leadership of Venezuela in the Caribbean, and promising to provide the two countries with sufficient voice within the intensive group, and so on.
In fact, the Venezuelan and Bolivian authorities are also considering entering the war.
The problem is that the authorities of both countries need time, time for them to make decisions.
While the Republic needs to prove that it has the ability to move into the Caribbean, it needs to be patient rather than hasty when it is properly asserted about its power.
Affected by this until the end of April of the grain year. That is, after Venezuela and Bolivia announced their participation in the intensive bloc and declared war on the United States as members of the bloc, the high command of the republic made the decision to send troops to the Caribbean Sea for the navy to take action.
By this time, the Republican Navy also had the strength to enter the Caribbean.
In terms of fleets, in addition to the three combat fleets that were the first to enter the Atlantic, two main fleets were added. More important support force aspect. The Navy of the Republic has already sent three maritime base clusters to the Atlantic, two of which have already reached the Cape Verde Islands, and the third will be deployed within a month. Together with the pre-deployment of submarines and shore-based aviation in the region, the Republican Navy has deployed about 30 percent of its total strength in the Atlantic.
The most important thing is that by this time, the Navy of the Republic will be able to call up more maritime forces.
As mentioned earlier, for the Navy of the Republic, the key to fighting in the Atlantic Ocean is not how many fleets to invest, but how many transport ships and support ships can be concentrated.
Because the outcome of the naval battle of the Cape Verde Islands was somewhat unexpected, the Republic Navy could appropriately reduce its investment in the Middle East theater and shift its focus to the Atlantic theater when dispatching maritime forces. More importantly, with the total defeat of the U.S. Navy, the small attack submarines that can be sent to the South Atlantic with a displacement of about 50 percent or so are very poor in their ammunition carrying capacity, and they need the support of submarine carriers when they are far from the bases. In the Battle of the Cape Verde Islands, the US Navy lost several submarine carriers, so the Navy of the Republic could appropriately reduce the strength of the escort fleet when arranging the escort force, so as not to increase the number of escort warships. Cover more fleets, or cover larger fleets, to improve transportation efficiency.
The increased transportation force has benefited not only the navy, but also the marines and the army.
It can be said that in the situation at that time, after Venezuela and Bolivia declared war on the United States, even if the Navy of the Republic did not attack from the direction of the Pacific Ocean. It also allows the Marine Corps or Army to attack Panama from the Atlantic Ocean and attack Panama by land.
As a result, the likelihood of the U.S. military holding Panama is greatly reduced.
It can be said that this is precisely why the authorities of the republic postponed the entry into the Caribbean until the beginning of the month.
It's just that many people didn't expect that the rout of the US army was so fast that even the progress of the Republican ** team could not be compared!
The new book "Heroes of Troubled Times" has been uploaded, and the book number is very old, and I hope that the brothers will support it.
The National Focus will be set on. At the end of the month, I will finish the book, and insist on making the uglier four words every day, hoping that the brothers will understand.