Song Zhewu believed that there was some truth in Chiang Kai-shek's words, and that as long as it did not involve the loss of territory, it was indeed necessary to avoid a war with Yuben. However, once the territorial issue was involved, it was impossible not to fight, and it was precisely because Chiang Kai-shek blindly avoided war that the people's resentment boiled, and public opinion was surging to crusade, which led to the "Xi'an Incident". However, if Chiang Kai-shek had seriously prepared for twenty or thirty years, the War of Resistance would definitely be a different situation. In the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression, the combat effectiveness of [***] obtained a large number of American weapons was indeed greatly improved, and even a qualitative leap.

For example, on 18 December 1936, in order to restore the international aid channel between Yunnan and Burma, which had been cut off by the Chinese army, Du Yuming's 5th Army, the only fully mechanized army in China at that time, was tasked with attacking Kunlun Pass. Killed the commander of the 21st Brigade of the 5th Division, known as the Steel Army. The Battle of Kunlun Pass was the first major victory of the Chinese [***] team in the offensive operation of the Yue army, especially the 5th Division and the 21st Brigade of the Yue army, which gave the ace of the Yue army a blow of annihilation, which greatly boosted the Chinese people's morale and morale. And Du Yuming's 5th Army, which is known in China as the mechanized army, is only equivalent to the light infantry division of the US army.

Song Zhewu also heard from Chiang Kai-shek's words that Chiang Kai-shek still had no confidence in the Sino-Japanese war, not only now, but also for ten years from now, and he also did not have the confidence that he could resist the invasion of the war, let alone win the war.

Although, Song Zhewu also believed that the time for the start of the Sino-Chinese War would drag on for about a long time, and the longer it would be beneficial to China. However, Song Zhewu, a traverser, knows very well that it will not drag on for long, and China has no time to fully prepare. On 18 September 1931, the "September and 18 Incident" would take place, and it was only a little more than two years away. At that time, he may have just gained a firm foothold in Shanxi, and the construction of the economy, industry, and the army in all aspects had just begun, and it was probably unrealistic to block the attack of the army on his own, and if all forces in the country worked together, it might be possible.

However, at the time of the "September 18 Incident" in 31 years, although the Central Plains War had ended, the forces of all parties that had just been attacked by Chiang Kai-shek were still very unwilling, and the troops of the Northwest Army and the Jin Sui Army that had just been incorporated were still very unstable. Under such circumstances, Chiang Kai-shek would not transfer the elite of the Central Army to the front under any circumstances, and the forces of all sides must still be clinging to the idea of preserving their strength and would not exert all their strength, and some troops would not even obey orders at all.

Although he couldn't change anything about the "September 18" incident, he was confident that he could still do it if he caused some trouble to himself and reduced some losses for the Northeast Army. In particular, the three-three years of the Great Wall War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression should give the little devils an unforgettable lesson, and if the little devils were given great casualties and made the little devils frightened, perhaps the pace of the Japanese army's invasion of China would be delayed, and more time would be bought for the preparation of the War of Resistance.

Thinking of this, Song Zhewu felt that he needed to cheer up Chiang Kai-shek and give him some confidence in the all-out war of resistance that would take place within ten years.

Song Zhewu smiled and said to Chiang Kai-shek: "The state affairs are difficult, the chairman of the committee is thoughtful, and Zhewu deeply admires!" However, Zhewu thinks that even if we launch a full-scale war of aggression against China now, we will not lose in the end, and it will be Yuben who will fail in the end. ”

"Oh," Chiang Kai-shek looked surprised.

Song Zhewu said calmly: "That's so, chairman. If we launch an all-out war of aggression against China now, and if we have a decisive battle in battle and strategy with us at the beginning of the war, because we have a powerful navy and air force and a well-trained and well-equipped army, then we will definitely be the losing side. Now all the views of those who are not optimistic about us between China and China are based on this basis. ”

Chiang Kai-shek said suspiciously: "Are you saying that at the beginning of the war, we did not engage in a decisive battle with the Japanese army, nor did we engage in a strategic decisive battle with the Japanese army?" But in this case, how do we stop the army? How do you achieve the ultimate victory? ”

Song Zhewu said: "Chairman of the CPPCC National Committee, once a war breaks out between China and the People's Republic of China, then this war is destined to be an asymmetrical war. On the one hand, it is said that it has a complete military industrial system, and its military strength is far stronger than that of China; Although the number of the Chinese army is very large, its weapons and equipment are inferior, and there is a huge difference between it and the Chinese army, and this is the asymmetry between the Chinese army and China. Once there is a decisive battle, whether it is a campaign or a strategic battle, it will be greatly damaged under the powerful firepower of the Japanese army, and it will not be possible to carry out a follow-up and protracted war of resistance, so it must be us who will lose in the end. On the other hand, China has a vast territory, abundant resources, and a large population, which is another asymmetry in which we have an advantage compared to the other countries. Once a full-scale war breaks out, in the early stage of the war, all coastal cities will fall, such as Beiping, Tianjin, Qingdao, Jinan, Shanghai, and even Nanjing. This is because our navy and air force are too weak compared to those of the Japanese people, but the fall of these big cities has not had a great impact on our war capability. ”

Seeing that Chiang Kai-shek was not impressed, Song Zhewu continued: "This is because China is not yet an industrialized country, but an agricultural country, and any large city has no decisive influence on China's war capability, so it is not something we must stick to." ”

Seeing that Chiang Kai-shek's face was unhappy, Song Zhewu hurriedly said: "Of course, Nanjing is the capital of the national political axe, which has important political significance and cannot be easily lost. In this regard, we are very different from Europe and the United States. These countries, because the heavy industry and defense industry that support their military capabilities are concentrated in one or a few important cities and regions, such as the Ruhr industrial region in Germany; The steel industrial area between the Lorraine iron ore mine and the Lille coal mine in the Paris basin of France, and the Foss-Marseille industrial area on the Mediterranean coast; London, Manchester, and Birmingham in the UK; Detroit, Pittsburgh, and the heavy industry cities of Cleveland and Chicago in the United States; Keihin, Nakyo, Hanshin, Setouchi, Kitakyushu and other places. Once these regions or cities fall, the military strength of the state cannot be sustained, so these regions and cities are a matter of life and death for them, and they must be preserved; However, there is almost no heavy industry in China, and there are no cities that must be kept and cannot be lost, and what supports our country's economy is not a few large cities, but vast rural areas, thousands of county-level areas, and even hundreds of thousands of villages and towns. For example, the countries of the great powers of Europe and the United States and the United States are like a tall palace, supported by one or several huge pillars, which are the cities and regions where the industrial and technological essence of their country is concentrated. Once these pillars were broken, the palace collapsed completely. On the other hand, in China, our country is like a big house, although it is not tall, but it covers a very large area. He was not supported by a few or a dozen columns, but by thousands, tens of thousands. Because he is not tall, he also does not have a major support. Of course, there are some of the pillars that are relatively thicker, and that is our city. Due to the large number of pillars that are supported, the collapse of any one column will not cause the house to collapse. Even a few pillars falling down are not enough to cause a partial collapse of the house, only hundreds of pillars will fall to cause part of the roof of the house to collapse, or even most of the pillars will fall, as long as there are standing pillars, even if the number is small, it will still hold up a piece of roof. In other words, destroying this room is by no means easy and can be done in a short period of time. ”

Song Zhewu stopped to observe Chiang Kai-shek's reaction, and seeing that Chiang Kai-shek was listening attentively, he continued: "Therefore, once the war breaks out between China and China, we will never engage in a strategic decisive battle with the Chinese army, or even a decisive battle in a campaign. However, this does not mean that we will not resist, we will resist in every theater of battle, and there will even be very fierce local counterattacks. It is only necessary to grasp one point, that is, not to care about the gains and losses of one city or one place, and to do everything for the purpose of killing and injuring the vital forces of the army. In the course of continuous resistance, they constantly inflicted heavy losses on the Japanese army, gradually retreated inland in a planned way, exchanged space for time, and constantly consumed the financial, material, and human resources of the Japanese army in the course of a protracted war, dragging down the economy of the Japanese army and making it unable to wage the war. From an economic point of view, although it is much stronger than ours, after all, its territory is small, its resources are scarce, and its manpower is scarce, and after a long time, its economy will be overwhelmed and unable to carry out a long-term war; From a military point of view, the army now has only 17 standing divisions and regiments, with a strength of about 250,000 troops, and it is absolutely not enough to invade China with such a small number of troops, and in order to start a full-scale war, he must expand his army on a large scale. A large expansion of the army will inevitably lead to a decline in the quality of its soldiers and a decrease in its combat effectiveness, and this situation will become more and more serious as the war drags on. Moreover, every time the army occupies a place, it needs to send troops to garrison it, and the wider the area it occupies, the more troops it needs, which will inevitably lead to the fact that the number of troops for their frontal attack is becoming more and more insufficient, and the intensity of the attack is getting lower and lower. In addition to frontal resistance, we must also take advantage of the large number of our troops to send a large number of troops behind enemy lines to constantly harass and annihilate the Japanese army, kill and wound its vital forces, and cut off its lines of communication. In order to maintain the unimpeded flow of the territory and lines of communication it occupies, the army will inevitably send more troops to defend, and the number of troops it can use on the frontal battlefield will become smaller and smaller. When it attacks a certain area, it will no longer be able to launch a large-scale campaign attack, and there will be a stalemate above, which is the turning point of the war between China and China.

(To be continued)