Volume 12 Prelude to the Great War Chapter 69 The Value of a Commander

Nong Chengyi began to transfer troops and generals. After talking to Mrs. Loeblin, Du Qiwei seemed to have taken a reassuring pill and began to concentrate on preparing for battle. Although even several of Dudgway's main staff officers knew. The secretary of state's words didn't count, and Stark, who still served in the Department of Defense, made a special phone call to Dudgway to remind the former boss not to expect too much from the federal government. He couldn't be fooled by Mrs. Loebling's rhetoric, but Dudgway didn't heed the warnings of the staff and Stark, and went into the war as a soldier as he had done years ago.

Regardless of what Dudgway thinks, the first thing he needs to do is to strengthen the work of intelligence according to the collection.

Because of its special relationship with the Department of Defense, before obtaining Mrs. Loebling's authorization, the US National Security Agency, which is subordinate to the Department of Defense and controls 80 percent of the US military reconnaissance satellites, adjusted the orbits of dozens of military satellites in accordance with Dudgway's orders, focusing on monitoring the Republic's military bases in South Asia.

Du Qiwei knew very well that Pei Chengyi could not rely entirely on strategic forces to wage war.

Although Du Qiwei had reason to believe that in the early stage of the war, Pei Chengyi would use the Republic's strategic strike forces, especially strategic bombers, to deal with some high-value targets. Even if strategic forces cannot be easily mobilized according to the war authorization obtained by the state of the republic, Pei Chengyi can also use the heavy fighters deployed in the country to strike at the most important strategic targets in a long-distance attack, so as to achieve the goal of paralyzing the enemy's command structure and destroying the enemy's ability to resist. But in a large-scale war. Whether it is strategic aviation or long-distance raids. are not enough to complete all the strike missions, and sufficient tactical aviation must be used. In other words, Pei Chengyi must deploy tactical air fighters in advance.

Since it is a deployment, you have to be prepared.

Whether it is deployed to a war zone or near a war zone, it is necessary to prepare the military base in advance.

In Duchway's view, because the Republic does not have military bases in Iran, Iraq, and Syria that are sufficient to accommodate all the combat aircraft that carry out a large-scale air strike, and the Republic authorities will not go to war by declaring war, it is unlikely that Pei Chengyi will deploy air power to the theater of operations before the battle begins, and will deploy the fighters near the theater of operations, that is, in South Asia, which is adjacent to the Persian Gulf. Considering that the main forces of the Air Force of the Republic of China are Xiaojiu and Xiaokou, the ground strike radius of these two fifth-generation fighters when they are not refueled is more than 1,000 kilometers, and the combat radius after a refueling in the air is close to 1,000 kilometers. That is, if the fighter goes to the air bases in Iran, Iraq and Syria after completing the strike mission. Fighter jets deployed in the northwest of the republic can then attack Turkey after a refueling in the air, while fighter jets deployed in Pakistan and India can directly attack Turkey without refueling in the air.

According to the analysis data provided by Stark. Without regard to sustained operations, the Republican Air Force could use jump-in tactical fighters and strategic bombers in the first round of attacks to destroy high-value targets in close proximity, while high-value targets in the southeastern part of Turkey that deserve to be attacked in the first round of bombing will not be dissuaded. Other words. The Air Force of the Republic can ensure the destruction of all high-value targets within the strike range in the first round of strikes in a combative manner.

The problem is that it is impossible not to take into account the issue of continuous combat.

If Turkey were the kind of country that could be defeated with a single air strike, the Republic would not have had to create such a war atmosphere, and the United States would not have been involved in the war because of this.

As the best commander of the Republic, and even the best commander in the world, Pei Chengyi cannot fail to consider the issue of continuous combat, and he must be prepared for it.

In response to this situation, Dudgway asked Stark to make a comprehensive analysis using the relevant departments of the Pentagon.

Du Qiwei's goal is only one catty", that is, to imitate Pei Chengyi's combat style and find the most efficient tactic.

Years of contact have convinced Du Qiwei that Pei Chengyi is a very efficiency-oriented commander. In fact, the key to Pei Chengyi's ability to achieve such proud military achievements is to attach importance to efficiency and always be able to wield the combat effectiveness of the troops to the extreme! Achieve maximum wins with the least amount of investment.

According to the results of the Pentagon's analysis, Pei Chengyi is most likely to deploy ground crews to several air bases in the theater in advance when the air force is deployed in the rear.

That is, not much different from Duchway's guess. Because the republic is conducting joint military exercises with Iraq, Pentagon analysts believe that Bae Seung-yi will take the opportunity to complete preparations for the front line. More importantly, the exercise area is large enough that it is impossible to monitor the entire area, and even if it does, it will be interfered with by the exercise and it will not be possible to accurately judge the extent of the opponent's preparations, and can only conclude that the opponent is ready, that is, the support forces of the aviation force have been deployed in place.

As a result, Duchway had no choice but to keep an eye on air bases in South Asia. The address of this site has been changed to: In addition to the coo, please log in to read!

This time, Du Qiwei was confident enough to reap the rewards before Pei Chengyi made a move

According to the data provided, the Air Force, the Navy, and the Army of the Republic have a total of less than one small tanker, among which the tactical tanker aircraft, which is improved from large civil airliners and can provide services for eight heavy air supremacy fighters or fighter aircraft at a time. From this, it can be calculated that even if all tankers are dispatched, they can only support about the jumper tactical fighter at most. Due to the limitations of the airport's deployment capabilities, support for other support aircraft, and the chain of command, it is not possible to use all tankers at once. Based on the Indian War** and the performance of the National Air Force, a large tanker aircraft that can be dispatched in one operation is considered very good. In other words, at most, it can only provide support for fighter jets, and if other fighters are deployed, they must be deployed near the theater of operations, that is, air bases in South Asia, before the start of war.

There is no reason for Duchway to conceive the data provided.

Even if there is no data based on the intelligence gathered over the years. Duchway can also make a similar judgment based on the strength of the US Air Force, that is, in a single operation, the US Air Force can only provide air refueling support for a maximum of 4 four tactical fighters, and the strength of the US Air Force and the Republic Air Force is evenly matched. There is no reason to have much higher capabilities than the United States Air Force, given that the Republican Air Force is not much more funded than the United States Air Force

Under such circumstances, keeping an eye on military bases in South Asia will be able to show signs of war in a timely manner.

It was precisely because of this that when Melech went to mobilize the air forces in various places, the alarm was raised as quickly as possible.

Although reconnaissance satellites are not omnipotent, it is not difficult to determine the identity of a military transport aircraft. The resolution of the optical phasing reconnaissance satellite developed by the United States has reached o occupancy meters, even if it is impossible to see the face of people far away from it, because the satellite is taking pictures in the direction of the zenith, unless the people on the ground look up at the sky. Otherwise, you won't be able to photograph the faces of the people, and you can also distinguish the number on the transport plane. Based on the information collected, the identity of the transport aircraft can be determined.

Of course, Duche Poison didn't take it seriously right away.

Any military action is preceded by military deception.

In fact, such military deception is often not much of a laugh with front-line commanders. In other words, in order to maintain secrecy, Pei Chengyi's intelligence officers will plan and deploy some military deception operations, such as asking the high-profile theater aviation commander to inspect a military base.

Obviously, this is a very shoddy deception.

After receiving the warning. Dudgway immediately sent Stark to ask for a more detailed and comprehensive report from the NSA.

Of course, Du Qiwei did not forget to contact Four, hoping that Four could provide relevant information. As long as the information provided by the two intelligence agencies matches exactly, Dudgway has nothing to doubt.

The problem is that the situation is not so simple, and the address of this site has been changed to: Remove the heart, delete it, please read it!

A more detailed report would be provided by re-analyzing the photographs returned by the reconnaissance satellites or obtaining new information from the photographs that had just been received. Anyway; The old was an intelligence agency based on technology. The main means of gathering intelligence is high-tech equipment such as reconnaissance satellites.

Fourth, there is also technical equipment. Moreover, they are all high-tech equipment, but the main means of collecting intelligence are still spy personnel. Although Si has long dispatched spy personnel to hot spots in response to international hotspot issues, the espionage work is already very time-consuming, and it is impossible for Si Si to provide relevant intelligence immediately after receiving an order.

Other words. It was unlikely that Duchway would have received an immediate affirmative answer.

As a front-line commander. Duchway knew very well that the opponent would not delay the attack by a few days because the United States was not ready. In fact, if Pei Chengyi knew that Du Qiwei was not ready, he would even attack early.

For Dudgway. He had to make a judgment with insufficient intelligence.

In practice, this is also a quality that a commander must have.

If sufficient intelligence could be obtained at all times, there would be no need for someone like Dudgway to command the war, and any staff officer would be able to complete the commanding work.

The reality before Dudgway was brutal.

It can be said that it is possible to accurately judge Pei Chengyi's war attempt, that is, when the other party will attack. It will determine the course of the initial phase of the war, that is, who will take the initiative. To put it bluntly, if Du Qiwei immediately ordered the Turkish army to enter a state of war, then the Turkish army would show flaws when deploying its defenses, giving Pei Chengyi the opportunity to make a surprise attack and break the Turkish army's defense line in one fell swoop. If the opposite were to be true, i.e., Duchway had not been alerted in time, the Turkish army would have been struck suddenly and incapacitated by the ability to resist if it was not well prepared.

It's not good to be early, it's not good to be late: you have to make an accurate judgment, at least to the smallest one.

According to the Pentagon's calculations, if the alarm can be raised four hours before the outbreak of war, the losses of the Turkish army can be kept to a minimum. If the alarm had been issued 8 hours in advance, the significance would not have been very obvious. It can be seen that Du Qiwei's judgment bias cannot be ignored. This conclusion of the US Department of Defense has a scientific basis, that is, it only takes four hours for the Republic Air Force to adjust its combat deployment, and it only takes four hours to complete a long-distance attack over a distance of 1,000 kilometers, so four hours is the maximum error.

If there is no intelligence to back it up. It is almost impossible to make such a precise judgment based on guesswork alone.

Faced with this situation. Dudgway was both frustrated and excited.

What frustrated him was that in the many direct concubines before this, he had never been able to guess Pei Chengyi's tactical deployment. Heart. It is accurate from there to less than four hours. What excites him is that enough technical support has put him very close to victory.

Since the beginning of the summoning day, Duchway has been guarding the tactical command center of the US-Turkish Coalition Command.

According to his request, he sent intelligence briefings every half an hour. In order to concentrate on processing intelligence information, Dudgway delegated all other work to the staff officers. In fact. Until we have the exact intelligence. Other work doesn't make much sense either.

After receiving tens of thousands of intelligence briefings in a row, Duchway did not gain anything.

In the past few hours, the commander of the South Asian Theater Air Force of the Republic of China, Melochi, went to several air fighter air bases, and he had no intention of stopping, and seemed to go to all of them.

On the night of the day, Du Qiwei arranged a task for the intelligence analysts sent by the four dispatches, that is, according to Melech's schedule, it was estimated when the Air Force Major General would run all the air bases.

It was a very simple job, and with the help of computers, Four's intelligence analysts gave a very definite answer in only half an hour, which was 3 a.m. local time. Melech will run all the bases and return to the Naval Air Station in Gigi, which is also home to the Theater Air Command.

Obviously, this is a very important time scale.

Although it has not yet been confirmed that it is Melech himself who is operating outside, according to the information provided by Si, Major General Melech is a general who has risen from the grassroots level, and before becoming a general, he has been a pilot for many years, and still holds the air combat record of the Republic Air Force. Because Du Qiwei also rose from the grassroots and participated in many wars, he has reason to believe that Melech will go to the grassroots troops to take a look before the war breaks out. Determine the state of the troops and have an intuitive understanding of the basic situation.

In other words, it must be Melech who "shows up".

If this is the case, 3 o'clock on the day of the tooth is the earliest point in time when the war begins.

So, what about the latest in time?

Du Qiwei entrusted this important task to Changji

According to Du Qiwei's requirements, the time of the start of the operation should be judged on the basis of the operational readiness of the air bases in the South Asian Theater, that is, the activities of the base's service personnel, the maintenance of basic support facilities, the dispatch of materials, and other clues related to the operation.

There is no doubt that this is a technical job.

In order to get the results of the analysis as quickly as possible, Dudgway asked Stark to stay at his old headquarters, urging the intelligence agency, which has the most advanced technology and equipment in the United States, to exert all its strength.

Because there are so many variable parameters and the intelligence is constantly being updated, the analysis is very difficult.

When it was almost the early hours of the morning, Du Qiwei couldn't help it.

Although Turkey has built a military command system in accordance with NATO's unified standards and has cooperated with the US military for several years, the Turkish army's response is far inferior to that of the US military. Because Dudgway did not fully trust Four's judgment, he had to give an answer before then, even if it was not very certain.

After talking to Stark on the phone, Dudgway still had to be patient.

Since it is an intelligence analysis that seeks truth from facts, it is not possible to speculate on the results, and it cannot go against objectivity.

Thankfully, Duchway didn't have to wait long. Because Stark can only promise to contact him before the Murder Day is pointed.

At the end of the day, Dudgway received a call from Stark's headquarters.

The results of the analysis are out, but they are not very significant.

According to the information obtained from the Republic's air bases in South Asia, if the standard of providing operational support for the young tactical combat pine is followed, these air bases will reach the standard of combat readiness, and the predicted time error is plus or minus six hours. In other words, between 4 o'clock and the old point, the war may break out.

Yan Ran, this is an answer that does not satisfy Du Qiwei.

The problem is, Dudgway has no other choice.

It's too late to do another analysis. Lan Si also does not have the ability to do this, and Turkey's intelligence agencies are even more unreliable. The new address of this site has been changed to: Except for the goo, please click to read!

In other words, Duchway had to make subjective judgments when the intelligence was not sufficient and the analysis was not thorough.

Du Qiwei didn't complain, this is the greatest meaning of the commander's existence.

When no one has an idea, the commander must remain calm and come up with a unique opinion.

Will the war break out during this period?

Within minutes, Duchway had made a decision.

Prison Day o o'clock calendar, Duchway in the way of a line. At the same time, he called the Turkish Prime Minister and the Chief of the General Staff and issued a war alert, demanding that the Turkish army immediately prepare for war, and that the Turkish authorities should be prepared for a sudden attack, that is, important government officials must leave the vulnerable facilities as soon as possible.

It wasn't an easy decision, but Dudgway knew he had no other choice.

From the very beginning, the initiative was not in his hands!