Volume 12 Prelude to the Great War Chapter 133 Supreme Directive
Nong Chenhao is deploying troops. Pei Chengyi is also actively preparing. When the 1st and 10th combat units were assembled in the direction of Malatya, Pei Chengyi guessed Yuan Chenhao's intention, that is, to force the American troops remaining in Siverek to come out and block the main force of the Republic going north. Annihilate the main forces of the US forces in a field sports war, and then capture Siverek by the Iran-Iraq armies. If all goes well, when the Iran-Iraqi armies occupied Siverek, the 1st and 10th combat units also reached the outskirts of Malatya. The new address of this site has been changed to: Sishanwa plus 8 four, please log in to read
It's a very imaginative plan of attack, but it's not very feasible.
Before Duchway adjusted his deployment, Pei Chengyi expected that Duchway would send some troops of the 2nd Armored Division and the 4th Infantry Division to Malatya, rather than having Siverek's defenders block the 1st and 10th combat units. It's just that Pei Chengyi didn't remind Yuan Chenhao, in his opinion, Yuan Chenhao couldn't have imagined this situation. What's more. For Pei Chengyi, this is definitely a good opportunity to change the situation on the battlefield in the west.
As with his usual command style, Pei Chengyi did not let the Eighth Combat Unit and the Fifth Combat Unit break through, but asked Wang Xueping and Jiang Wancheng to hold on for another hour no matter what. To this end, Pei Chengyi promised to provide an airdrop supply for each of the two troops within two systems and hours.
Arguably. Airdrops were the only way to supply two combat teams individually at the time.
In order to arrange the two airdrops, Pei Chengyi had to contact the Syrian authorities to change the delivery of strategic goods from Aleppo to Hasakah, because this is the only way. Only then can the transport aircraft group be loaded with the war materials hoarded in Hasakah when they return to the sea, and go to the front line to carry out airdrop missions. Although this will extend the return flight time of the transport plane by about two hours, it is a political task to go to Syria to provide strategic assistance, and the important thing is whether there is one, not the degree of delivery, so a delay will not have much impact.
These two airdrops are very crucial.
To be precise, it is crucial for the 5th and 8th combat units to hold on to Zhao Xiao.
In order to ensure that there would be no accidents in the fighting in the direction of Bahche and Osmaniye, Pei Chengyi also contacted Lieutenant General Sai Zhibiao, the individual of the 6th Battle, and asked him to end the disaster relief work as soon as possible, at least so that the airlift troops of the Combat Brigade and the Support Brigade could be restored to combat condition as soon as possible. According to Pei Chengyi's deployment, even if the fifth combat unit and the eighth combat unit can hold the position. If you want to achieve the final victory, you have to use the sixth battle single.
The biggest regret. The seventh combat unit is unable to participate in the battle.
Anyway; As the atmosphere of the decisive battle became stronger and stronger, Pei Chengyi did not hesitate any longer. Arguably. Including Yuan Chenhao's deployment, almost all operations were preparing for a decisive battle.
At this time, thousands of kilometers away, Li Cunxun was making every effort to fight for the final and most important prerequisite for the decisive battle.
After the presentation. Li Cunxun's eyes fell on the document in Gu Weimin's hand. Unlike Wang Yuanqing, Gu Weimin attaches more importance to written reports than oral statements. Although years of professional spy career have made Li Cunxun prefer to report the situation in the form of oral statements, at the request of Yuan, he is also changing his work habits. Every time he reports on the situation, Li Cunxun takes the time to prepare.
After closing the file. Gu Weimin pondered for a while before raising his head.
This is one of Gu Weimin's habitual actions, but every time Li Cunxun has a peculiar feeling, that is, when making decisions, Gu Weimin is not very confident. Of course. This is an absolute delusion. In the past four years, there have been enough examples to make Li Cunxun believe that Gu Weimin is by no means the kind of courageless national leader known to the outside world. Although compared with Wang Yuanqing, Gu Weimin lacks decision-making ability, but on major issues, Gu Weimin's courage and courage are not as good as Wang Yuanqing.
If you have to pick up Gu Weimin's shortcomings, then it can only be said that he does not see as long-term as Wang Yuanqing, so he is not as proactive as Wang Yuanqing on some major issues.
"Is there no other choice?" Gu Weimin asked very directly, because there was no need to beat around the bush in front of Li Cunxun.
"We've thought about it and it's the only way to go." Li Cunxun also said very directly, "Objectively. It will not do us any good if the war drags on. The report of the Ministry of Defense makes it very clear that in the first week of fighting, our army's losses surpassed that of the war in India, and the war expenditure was as high as trillions of yuan. Although the intensity of Hou Ming's battle has decreased, the losses will not be low. In addition to the losses, we are also stunned by the casualties of the troops. According to the latest battle report, without counting the 5th and 8th combat units, about 5,000 officers and men of our army have been killed. The actual number of casualties is likely to be more than 8,000, and the total number of casualties is between 20,000 and 25,000. There is no doubt that such heavy casualties are beyond our capacity
"Actually. The United States will not be much better than us
"That's true. The situation in the United States is much worse than ours. Because our army has always held the initiative on the battlefield, the US military has surpassed us in terms of war expenses and casualties. But we must know that the United States is the only country in the world that does not have an aging population, and it has been 20 years since the last war that cost the U.S. military heavy casualties. The American people are not much less tolerant of war than we are. Li Cunxun's words are not hurried or slow, giving people a sense of and. At present, it seems that the situation on the battlefield is still against our army, but no one can guarantee that we will be able to maintain this favorable situation forever. For us, the best option is to end the war under favorable circumstances and force the United States to negotiate an armistice with us. Although the armistice talks will not be too easy this time, and it is very likely that it will drag on for several years, and there will be a situation of fighting while talking, as long as the armistice talks begin, we will be able to reap the results, and even if we continue to fight, we will be able to keep the results we have already gained. In general, forcing the US authorities to admit defeat as soon as possible is the only way for us to win. The so-called snake beating is seven inches. In order to achieve this goal, it is necessary to use a decisive action to inflict heavy losses on the US military, so that the US military will lose the ability to continue fighting, or at least the ability to turn the tide of the war. ”
"In other words, the US Navy must be slashed?"
"Relatively speaking, the U.S. Navy fleet is the most vulnerable and the most important." Li Cunxun looked at the document in Gu Weimin's hand again, and seemed to feel the need to go into more detail. "The biggest problem for the U.S. military compared to us is the lack of bases, especially air bases that can provide direct support to front-line combat units. According to what we know, the failure of the US-Israeli coalition forces to make a breakthrough on the battlefield in southern Syria has a lot to do with the use of French air support. To this end, the two U.S. fleets operating in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Red Sea mainly support the U.S.-Israeli coalition forces and rarely participate in combat operations on the northern front. Judging from the overall battle situation, the chances of the US military winning on the northern front are very small, and even if we stop the offensive at this time, we will still be able to achieve the maximum victory. The US authorities refused to admit defeat. It is because there is still hope on the southern front. If the U.S. military can reach Damascus and occupy Damascus, it can change the political situation in Syria and thus the situation in the Middle East. For the United States, this was a victory that could offset the crushing defeat on the Northern Front. It is precisely for this reason that if we want the US authorities to admit defeat, we must let the US authorities know that they cannot win on the southern front, and if there are no armistice negotiations, they will even suffer a crushing defeat on the southern front. All in all, the simplest, most direct, and most efficient way to achieve this goal is to strike at the American fleet. Without the support of the fleet, whether the US authorities were willing to admit defeat or not, it was impossible for the US military to win on the southern front. ”
"How much is at stake?" Gu Weimin changed the subject.
This is Gu Weimin's characteristic, and when making a decision, he never explains it directly. This is also the biggest difference between him and Wang Yuanqing, that is, he never takes the initiative to assume the responsibility of a decision-maker.
Li Cunxun thought for a while before he spoke: "There must be a risk, otherwise it would not have been raised at this time." In general, the most important question is whether the US authorities will take this opportunity to expand the scale of the war, for example, by launching retaliatory strikes against our naval fleet. If that happens, the war will get out of control, and no one will be the winner. As long as the current situation can be fully utilized, that is, the impact of the Turkish authorities blowing up the Ataturk Tatan, the United States authorities can abandon their intention to carry the burden. ”
"So you've got the news?"
"Efforts are being made to gather relevant news and the results will be available soon
Gu Weimin immediately frowned, and said to Li Cunxun's catty. The reply was very unsatisfactory.
"It is definitely not the idea of the Turkish authorities to blow up the Ataturk dam to block the offensive of our troops." Li Cunxun had to spend a little more saliva on this issue. "Although before that, the Turkish army blew up the dam of the Dewegajidi reservoir. As a result, after the occupation of Ayarkir, our army could not go north to attack Elazid, so it could only continue to march westward, but the capacity of the reservoir on the side of Devegaiji was not large, and the downstream was the main channel of the Tigris, so the damage caused by the flood was not great. The Ataturk Dam is the largest integrated hydropower project on the Eurates River in Turkey, and the impact of the dam being blown up. It is comparable to the British Air Force blowing up the Ruhr Dam. This is also true, with more than 2 million people affected in Turkey and Syria, and more than 20,000 civilians expected to be killed or missing. As we all know, we started this war with the brutal repression of the Kurds by the Turkish authorities, which led to a humanitarian crisis, and we have already filed an indictment before the International War Tribunal in The Hague. It is impossible for the leaders of the Turkish authorities not to know that the blowing up of the Ataturk dam, which has caused millions of Kurds to suffer, will only further worsen Turkey's international situation and even become the basis for the establishment of an independent Kurdish state. In other words, to do so is contrary to the war aims of the Turkish authorities. "The new address of this site has been changed to summer: Sishan Concave plus 8 four, please log in to read
Gu Weimin did not express his position, but asked Li Cunxun to continue.
"It can be said that only the US military can really benefit from this." Li Cunxun knew that he had to speak more deeply in order to convince Gu Weimin. "As mentioned earlier, sooner or later the US-Turkish coalition will be defeated. Stand in the shoes of the United States. The defeat on the northern front has only one meaning, and that is to lay the foundation for victory on the southern front. There is no doubt that blowing up the Ataturk dam served exactly that. Judging from the current situation, even if Pei Chengyi can minimize the damage caused by the flood, he will have to consider sending the last combat unit to the northern front, rather than strengthening the defenses on the southern front as previously planned. With only two combat units, it is impossible for us to be in a depression on the southern front. It is unlikely that even the current front will be held. With the two U.S. divisions lined up, the situation on the southern front was bound to change rapidly. If we don't act soon, the consequences will be dire. ”
"You mean. We will lose Syria? ”
"At least Damascus will be lost."
Gu Weimin motioned to Li Cunxun to speak more clearly.
"So far. The United States has invested two marine divisions on the southern front, plus more than 10 brigades of the Israeli army, and the total strength of the US-Israeli coalition forces is between 250,000 and 300,000, of which more than 100,000 are front-line combat troops. With the arrival of the US Army's First Thug Cavalry Division on the battlefield, the front-line combat troops of the US-Israeli coalition will be close to 150,000, which is equivalent to an increase of 40 percent on the original basis. Li Cunxun sighed and said, "When fighting against 100,000 US-Israeli coalition troops, the second battle and the ninth battle were very difficult, and if we fought against 150,000 US-Israeli coalition troops, it would be almost impossible for us to win, and we must quickly shrink the defensive line, use the stubborn defense of Damascus to delay the advance of the US army, and build a new strategic defense line north of Damascus, that is, in Homs." Considering that the United States has the right to control the sea in the Mediterranean, it is very likely that the US military will land in Syria from the Mediterranean Sea when the situation is favorable, so we still have to draw at least one pound from the northern front to fight a single force to strengthen the defense forces in the coastal areas of Syria and have an impact on the combat operations on the northern front. Even if they can stop the US-Israeli coalition forces in Homs and prevent the US troops from landing in Syria, they will inevitably lose Damascus. When the time comes, Syria will inevitably be divided, and this will overshadow our victory
"You are saying that this will cost us the support of the Arab countries?"
"In any case, our goal is not to help the Kurds build a new homeland, but to take this opportunity to unify the Arab world. Imagine that if Syria were to be divided into two states, even if Syria's influence in the Arab world was far less than that of Egypt, or even that of Iraq, it would make many Arab countries doubt us and doubt the way forward. Li Cunxun smiled bitterly and said, "It took us more than 20 years to convince a few Arab countries. After freeing itself from the control of the United States, it was able to make the Arab world a non-negligible pole in the global pattern, and awakened the sense of unity and unity of the Arab people. If we miss this opportunity, and if we lose one of the most important allies in the Middle East, I don't think we will have that opportunity in another 20 or even 50 years. Obviously, with the current situation, let alone 50 years, we may not even have 20 years of time to prepare. ”
It is already very commendable to let the director of the military intelligence bureau talk about this.
Gu Weimin is not an unreasonable person, but his decision will determine the fate of the two levels of powers, and at least it is possible to change the fate of the two levels of powers.
Seeing Gu Weimin's contemplative appearance, Li Cunxun did not continue.
Although Li Cunxun has never liked Gu Weimin's decision-making style, as the director of the Military Intelligence Bureau, he has no right to choose Yuan, and must respect Yuan's style of doing things. Besides, if the successive heads of the republic were like Wang Yuanqing, I am afraid that Li Cunxun would not be happy. The new address of this site has been changed to summer: Sishan Cave plus 8 four, please log in to read
"If you do that. Is it guaranteed to hold Damascus? Gu Weimin asked a very crucial question.
If the action is timely and decisive, Damascus will definitely be able to be held, but it is very likely that some areas will be lost, such as the southern provinces of Daraa and Suweida, Li Cunxun paused a little and said, "It's not a big deal, as long as the US-Israeli coalition forces do not occupy Damascus, it is impossible to support a pro-American regime." More importantly, the US-Israel coalition's occupation of southern Syria will enable Syria to gain sympathy from more countries, stimulate the national consciousness of the Arabs, and bring to light the originally entangled issue of the Golan Heights. The US authorities have been forced to exert more effort on Israel, unable to bargain with us in armistice negotiations. ”
Gu Weimin nodded slightly and said, "No matter what, Damascus must be held." More importantly, no matter what it turns out to be, the scale of the war must not be expanded because of this. ”
Li Cunxun frowned slightly, and heard more than one of Yuan's words, that is, in the case that the war may get out of control, Yuan will take the initiative to back down to end the war, even if it will lose some national interests.
"You're in charge of this operation, and if there's nothing else, you can go back and do the deployment
Li Cunxun did not delay and immediately got up to say goodbye.
Obviously, the final decision-making method is Gu Weimin's biggest characteristic. If it was Wang Yuanqing, he would definitely not put the responsibility on Li Cunxun, but would give an order as Yuan. Of course, Li Cunxun didn't say much, originally before that. Gu Weimin did not agree with the use of war to solve the Middle East issue. If someone needs to take responsibility, Li Cunxun will definitely not be able to escape.
Li Cunxun has no complaints, and as the director of the military intelligence bureau, he has never had illusions about anyone.
Before returning to the Military Intelligence Bureau, Li Cunxun contacted Liu Xiaobin and asked him to contact Pei Chengyi, and Yuan had approved his battle plan and was ready to take action.