Chapter 150: Doubts about the Bosnian War (I)

The first update

In Viktor's hand was a list of weapons handed to him by Yanayev, which was divided into two parts, listing a dense list of weapons. If you look closely, you will find that the contents have long been eliminated by the front-line troops, and even some old goods in stock. For example, the Sam-7 anti-aircraft missile, the Beech anti-aircraft missile, the AKM rifle that the Russian army replaced, and even a MiG-23 fighter and some anti-aircraft artillery.

"Huh? General Secretary Yanayev, are you going to carry out a new round of major arms replacement? Victor asked curiously, but he took a closer look, there were some slight differences between the two lists, one list was mainly based on obsolete light weapons, which in his keen eyes were weapons more suitable for guerrilla warfare, while the other list was mainly based on obsolete heavy weapons, and mostly consisted of anti-aircraft weapons. Victor guessed that the two lists should be prepared for different customers.

Sure enough, Yanayev asked Viktor a question, "Do you know anything about the current situation in Yugoslavia?" I would like to hear your opinion on Yugoslavia. ”

Viktor was slightly stunned, what did Yanayev mean by saying this to ask him to go to Yugoslavia to sell arms? Although there were a series of wars of independence last year, the Yugoslav states are still in a relatively peaceful time.

"Yes. The Decameron War between the Slovenian and Yugoslav Governments in June last year was already the beginning of their disintegration. The three main ethnic groups of Yugoslavia, Muslims, Serbs and Croats, are seriously divided over the future of Bosnia and Herzegovina: the Muslims advocate independence from the former Yugoslavia and the establishment of a unified centralized state; Croatia also advocated independence, but wanted a loose confederation; The Serbs, for their part, are adamantly opposed to the practices of the Muslims and Croats. Serbian President Slobodan Milosevic even said that if Bosnia and Herzegovina dared to split, they would defend its territorial integrity with iron and blood. ”

But Milosevic was able to do just that, and Serbia's decades of fervent nationalism have cultivated a legion of such frenzied racists. Not to mention the fact that Yugoslavia left behind a large number of Serb officers and soldiers when it withdrew from Bosnia and Herzegovina, as well as some heavy artillery. Our Soviet-style tanks, and some fighters. In the absence of outside interference, the Bosnian Serbs are far more likely to win than the Croats and Muslims. ”

Viktor almost blurted out about the situation in Yugoslavia, and for him, any country in the world where a local war broke out was the focus of Viktor's attention.

Yanayev nodded, the 3rd of this month. The parliament of Bosnia and Herzegovina will officially declare the independence of Bosnia and Herzegovina in the face of opposition from Serb parliamentarians. Then, the following month, on April 6 and 7, the European Union and the United States recognized the independence of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Then the Yugoslav Civil War broke out, the largest local war in Europe after the war.

Emotionally, Yanayev had little affection for the socialist country that had always prevented the Soviet Union from inserting its sphere of influence into the Mediterranean, and after Tito's death and the loss of NATO assistance, Yugoslavia's economy was declining, which led to the resurfacing of national contradictions that had been overshadowed by economic prosperity.

"Yes, Yugoslavia is now a stormy boat. They are not far from death. Yanayev put down his pen and said to Viktor, "Split is the general trend, and even Serbian President Slobodan Milosevic and Bosnia-Herzegovinka Srpska Karadzic are just pawns against the trend." ”

Under the influence of Greater Serbism, Yugoslavia had practically lost control over the Muslim and Croatian nations. The situation in Yugoslavia is different from that of the Soviet Union, which was on the verge of being disintegrated, but the great powers that control nuclear weapons are ultimately one of the characters that the West fears. However, Yugoslavia, which did not have any political capital to bargain, had no choice but to admit defeat in the face of NATO and UN sanctions.

"Then these arms sales. All against Croatia and Serbia? Victor asked, vaguely guessing what the general secretary wanted to do. It's just that he didn't dare to say it too explicitly.

"The first list, yes, a list of small arms, mortars and some anti-infantry mines, is given to the Croatian army, and of course we will not let them get these things for free. Although it is the price of cabbage that is half sold and half given, they still need to pay US dollars to buy it. And if they don't want to? Then tell the Croatian resistance leaders that we will selflessly donate these weapons to the Serbian army, and note that the two words are donations. ”

"Second list. Of course, it was provided to the Serbian army. War is about to begin, and their army needs to have enough weapons to defeat the enemy. And the outbreak of war will definitely attract the attention of NATO and the United Nations, and possibly the air strikes of the United Nations forces, so provide them with enough anti-aircraft weapons, but good, although they are some aging and obsolete models, but some are better than nothing, isn't it? ”

Since May 1992, the UN Security Council has successively adopted a series of resolutions, including imposing comprehensive sanctions on the Serbs in Bosnia and Herzegovina and the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, dispatching peacekeeping troops to Bosnia and Herzegovina, establishing a no-fly zone over Bosnia and Herzegovina, and establishing a security zone for the Muslims. NATO imposes a total blockade on Bosnia and Herzegovina and provides air protection of the security zone. There have also been several attempts by the United Nations and the European Community to mediate, but to no avail.

"Moreover, there are many countries that will be affected by the turmoil in Serbia, such as Hungary and Romania, which have just joined the bourgeoisie, and the refugees displaced by the war are also their biggest headaches. Therefore, the longer the war drags on in Serbia, the more turbulent the situation becomes, the more beneficial it is for us. ”

"It doesn't matter if the Bosnian Serbs end up losing the war, you can tell Milosevic and Karadzic for me, and if you are willing to follow in the footsteps of the Soviets, then even if the Serbs fail to maintain the whole country in the end, we can turn the Yugoslav issue on Bosnia and Herzegovina into something akin to the inter-Korean ceasefire agreement at the United Nations meeting."

"An inter-Korean ceasefire?" Viktor didn't understand what Yanayev meant.

"Before the formal signing of the ceasefire agreement, whoever had enough land occupied by his troops had more initiative at the negotiating table. Since you Serbs cannot guarantee the integrity of the entire territory, then retreat to the next best thing, occupy the vast majority of the territory, expel the Muslims and Croats from the territory, and drive them out of the land of the Serbs in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Although they were unable to realize their nationalist dreams of Greater Serbia, they did not end up in a bleak end. ”

Yanayev's approach is compromise and compromise, since you can't swallow a whole piece of the pie, then maximizing the benefits is the best choice. And Serbia, which was greatly damaged after the war, was also more than capable in the face of Western sanctions, and they had no choice but to take refuge in the Soviet Union?

"Is this going against the West? Can the Western world really allow us to do that? Victor asked, anyone can see the significance of the Soviet agreement, unless reality compels, Western Europe will not agree to share the sphere of influence of Bosnia and Herzegovina with the Soviet Union.

"It is not what the West says or what we say, but the bargaining chips on the negotiating table. Sarajevo has been a powder keg since the First World War, where ethnic conflicts and pent-up hatreds between countries will ignite and become a fuse that will disturb democracies. ”

"Because of the social instability in Eastern Europe, the bourgeois governments that have just been formed will be dealt a great blow. The soil of communism has not yet disappeared from this land. As soon as the people see the corruption and incompetence of the government, they will take up the gun against corruption, just as they did against communism. ”

The Soviet Union had not yet collapsed, and the shadow of redism still hung over the land of Eastern Europe. As long as Yanayev manages the turmoil in Yugoslavia, as in Libya after Gaddafi's death in 2011, the war-induced displacement of refugees, especially Muslim refugees, will become a nightmare for Europe.

No refugee would want to go to a communist country, and decades of Western propaganda, in the eyes of religious groups in other countries, is a world without gods and beliefs, but it is the good welfare society in Europe that attracts the greedy eyes of this group of people.

What Yanayev did was to use hundreds of millions of arms orders to ignite the powder keg of war, and then guide the flow of refugees to Western Europe, so that the White Left Lady would have a headache. (To be continued.) )