If it is said that relations with Russia have no impact on the political situation of the republic, it is definitely a "concave matter" of Daoshan. 【Reading.com】

At the beginning of the year, Russia sent troops to Kazakhstan, suppressed the military coup d'état with lightning speed, and supported Prime Minister Jevich, who fled to Russia, to return to power. According to unconfirmed information, at the beginning of the year of the key. That is, after the proclamation of the establishment of a provisional government and the holding of early elections under the supervision of Russia, the republic drew up a set of operational plans for a blitzkrieg attack on Kazakhstan. You know, according to the constitution of Kazakhstan, after the coup d'état subsided, Ryukic is still the legitimate leader, and there is no reason to hold early elections. In other words, the republic could have sent troops to Kazakhstan in the name of supporting Ryukić's return to power, following the example of sending troops to Vietnam many years ago.

The reality is that, as a result of the upcoming general elections, the Republic has not acted rashly.

Although after **Jevic won the election. The republic withdrew its ambassador to Kazakhstan, demoted diplomatic relations to chargé d'affaires, and resolutely refused to recognize the legitimacy of the Jevich regime, still believing that Ryukic was the legitimate leader of Saxestan, but under the circumstances, unless the republic wanted to follow the example of dealing with India and defeat Russia with a large-scale war, it would not have been possible for the republic to do more on the Kazakh issue.

Even so, this still shook the government and the opposition in the republic.

It can be said that under the influence of this, Sino-Russian relations immediately fell to the freezing point, and the two sides were almost tense. Although under the strong control of the authorities of the republic. There has been no violence against Russia in the Republic, but according to a survey conducted by a civilian organization at the end of the calendar year, Russia has caught up with the United States and is regarded as one of the greatest threats to the people of the Republic and one of the most unfriendly countries to the Republic.

It is in this context that Pei Chengyi announced his participation in the round-the-round election.

It was also in this atmosphere that Bae Seung-yi won the first direct election of the republic with an approval rating of more than 8 tengs, drawing a successful end to the second round of political reform.

Objectively speaking, Sino-Russian relations have deteriorated. It is also related to some actions of the authorities of the republic.

If nothing else, let's take the case of Kazakhstan as an example. If it is true, as reported by Al Jazeera, the military coup in Kazakhstan was orchestrated by Russian intelligence agencies. The purpose is to create an opportunity for Russia to intervene and bring Kazakhstan, which is getting closer and closer to the republic, back into the arms of Russia, so it is impossible for the Military Intelligence Agency, as the world's largest intelligence agency, to be unaware of this, let alone be an afterthought. You know, the political situation in the poor countries on the continent of Africa is under the control of the Military Intelligence Agency, and Kazakhstan is the third largest neighbor of the Republic. It is also the largest country in Central Asia, and the Military Intelligence Agency naturally does not take it lightly. In other words. If the MIA knew that Russian intelligence agencies were playing tricks in Kazakhstan, they would stand by and watch. If left unchecked, the problem will not be so simple.

It can be said that this is also the biggest suspicion in the whole incident.

According to the deleted report, as early as four. That is, before the outbreak of the Korean Peninsula War, the Military Intelligence Agency was paying attention to Kazakhstan and other Central Asian countries. According to the situation at the time. Within the republic there was a "eastward march." With "Westward. In order to break through the strategic encirclement of the United States, which direction should be chosen. Although the eastward advance was chosen afterwards, the authorities of the Republic would certainly consider advancing into Central Asia in the light of the circumstances at the time. The reason is very simple, the United States is mired in the Iran war, it is difficult to get out for a while, and the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan is a foregone conclusion. Although Central Asia is Russia's backyard, and with the exception of Afghanistan, several other countries are former Soviet republics. It is also a member of the CIS, inextricably linked with Russia, but not very close to the republic, but Russia is weak and has no time to take care of itself; But the republic is like the rising sun in the east, and not only is the national strength thriving. The international influence has also been greatly enhanced. Judging from various aspects, even if the Central Asian International will not all turn to the republic, it will reconcile with the republic. Under these circumstances, the Republic would only need to rely on its alliance with Pakistan, its influence in Afghanistan, and its economic efforts to control Central Asia, break through the strategic encirclement woven by the United States, and gain a shortcut to the Middle East. In fact, after the Western Year, the Republic did follow this route, taking several important countries step by step.

In other words, deliberately showing weakness in Kazakhstan is definitely a strategic move for the republic.

According to the analysis of the deletion, there are three main reasons why the republic did not compete with Russia in Kazakhstan. First, the authorities of the republic did not think of using a local war to defeat Russia, let alone testing the strategic defense system with a large country with thousands of nuclear warheads. Second, the authorities of the republic hope to satisfy Russia's needs for foreign expansion through this strategic concession and form a strategic balance of power with Russia in Central Asia. Avoid wasting too much national power in that direction. Third, Russia sent troops to Kazakhstan. It has a strong warning effect on some moderate forces in the republic, and can sober up those who are still dreaming of peace, so as to unite the strength of the country.

All in all, from the position of the republics, it is not a bad thing to cede Kazakhstan to Russia.

The point is, whether it's good or bad,

To put it simply, if Russia is content with what has been achieved, or if the republic is able to curb Russia's expansionist ambitions, this is a good thing. If Russia is not satisfied, and the republic is unable to contain its expansionist ambitions by non-war means, it is necessary to defeat Russia on the battlefield if it is to make it a good thing.

There is no doubt that Russia is definitely not a country that can be easily satisfied.

Looking back at history, it can be seen that Russia has always been a country with discontent, a country that has risen in the middle of the world.

Affected by this, it is not difficult to understand that Jia Shuiyi is burdened with heavy burdens in the new year.

Judging from the situation at that time, even if the Republic and the United States fought a world war, it was likely to be a relatively limited war with strategic defense as the mainstay, that is, the belligerents would mainly decide the outcome through military contests outside their homeland, and the winning side would not easily invade the opponent's homeland, and the defeated side would not easily give up resistance. In the view of some military experts, the Republic and the United States will compete in all directions in outer space, suborbital space, the atmosphere, and the ocean, and will engage in ground contests in some secondary directions, but the main force of the war is definitely not the ground forces. It is precisely for this reason that the preparations for war between the Republic and the United States are based on the Celestial Army and the Navy. The effort spent on the army is not very large. From the standpoint of the two major powers, it is not difficult to understand that even if the strategic defense systems of both sides have deep roots and even if they lose their interception capabilities in outer space, the interception systems deployed on the mainland and the sea can disintegrate the strategic strikes of the other side, but in the shadow of nuclear war. Unless one side can afford the huge losses of a nuclear war, it will not rush into the other side's homeland. One could even say. As long as the two sides decide the outcome of the battle in outer space, suborbital space, and the ocean, the war will end in the form of an armistice or peace talks, and the handover of world hegemony will be completed. When the time comes, either the republic will replace the United States, or the United States will continue to dominate the world.

With Russia intervening, the problem is not so simple.

From the position of the republic, against Russia. Naturally, it is much easier to deal with the United States than against the United States. According to outside estimates, as long as the republic can hold the strategic defense line, it will withstand Russia's strategic counterattack. The Republican Army would be able to sweep through most of Russia east of the Ural Mountains within a year, and possibly even enter Russian Europe from the northern shores of the Caspian Sea to end the war by capturing Moscow.

There is no doubt that the United States will never allow the Republic to be slaughtered by Rus.

Although in the long run, even if the republic collapses with Russia, the United States will not be able to live in peace. Because Russia will inevitably replace the republic and become an opponent of the United States, but judging from the wartime situation, as long as the republic turns against Russia, the United States will win over Russia, not only will it provide Russia with all kinds of materials and equipment, but will even directly send troops. Engage the Army of the Republic on the vast plains of Siberia.

Returning to the position of the republic, the problem becomes complicated.

To put it bluntly, if the United States sends troops to Russia, the republic will have no choice but to make the complete defeat of the United States the basic goal of the war. Of course, to completely defeat the United States. The first to completely defeat Russia. In this case, the republic would have to put the army in place and the ground war in place. There is no doubt that as a former army general, Pei Chengyi is not only a national leader. Or a military commander-in-chief.

It is precisely in this way that the citizens of the republic will vote for Pei Chengyi, who is already in his prime.

Of course, the impact of this incident is by no means limited to the republic's republican election.

At the end of the year, shortly after announcing his candidacy for the throne of the state state, Pei Chengyi paid a state visit to France, Germany, and Italy in the capacity of vice president of the state, and signed the influential "Treaty of Rome" with the European Collective Security Organization in Rome, formally confirming the friendly and cooperative relations between the republic and Europe in the field of security.

What's more, during the visit, Pei Chengyi reached a very important secret agreement with the leaders of France, Germany and Italy.

Of course, this agreement was not made public until after the Third World War.

According to the relevant information published by the authorities of the Republic. During his visits to Paris, Pellien and Rome, Pei Chengyi, in his capacity as the leader of the Republic, formally proposed an alliance agreement to the three major EU countries. And took the initiative to propose that as long as the EU can maintain its hegemony in the Mediterranean region in the next war, it will take the initiative to withdraw from Greece, Romania, Bulgaria, Egypt and Syria, and only retain its influence in Kurdistan Kurdistan officially declared itself an independent state in the year of Daoshao, and many countries, including the republic, recognized and recognized the EU's interests in the North Atlantic region.

The reality is that France, Germany and Italy are more long-term than the authorities of the republic.

After accepting Bae's request for an alliance, the French president proposed one on behalf of the three major powers. The new intention is that in the event that Russia declares war on the republic as an ally of the United States, the EU can conditionally declare war on Russia, that is, enter the war as an ally of the republic. To this end, the French president put forward three conditions. One is that the Cool Alliance only declares war on Russia. The EU will not declare war on the US without the US declaring war on the EU. The second is that the republic must recognize the EU in the old Ula. That is, the Greater European region is in favor of the EU to absorb former CIS member states such as Ubirand Belarus after the war, and even acquiesce in the EU's transformation of Russia. Third, the republic recognizes the EU's dominance in the Middle East, that is, the narrow Arab region stretching from Oman in the east to Palestine in the west, and the republic will gradually withdraw from the region after the war.

There is no doubt that the EU's ambitions are very clear.

The problem is that the authorities of the republic did not accept this proposal. It's not that the EU doesn't declare war on the United States. Nor is it about giving the EU control over the Greater European region. Rather, it is unlikely that the authorities of the republic will make concessions on the Middle East issue, at least not completely.

It was for this reason that, in the past years, the Republic had entered into only a rudimentary alliance with France, Germany and Italy.

In any case, this is definitely a big event that can change the pattern of the world.

It is not difficult to understand why the EU has chosen to lean towards the republic at this time. Russia has always been a potential threat to the European Union, and especially to France, Germany, and Italy, which aspire to unify the whole of Europe. And as early as many years ago, Russia used various means to keep Ukraine out of the door of the European Union and block the pace of the EU's eastward expansion. Objectively speaking, the EU has never regarded Russia as a European country, but only hopes to weaken Russia by absorbing "emerging" countries such as Ukraine and Belarus, and enhance the EU's own hematopoietic capacity, so as to improve the EU's international status and influence, accelerate the integration process, and make the EU a hegemon.

From this point of view, the only option for the EU is to form an alliance with the republic.

In any case, with Russia on the verge of turning the other cheek with the republic, there is no reason for the United States to abandon this natural ally for the sake of the European Union. In fact, at a time when the European Union has repeatedly stated that there is no reason to be an enemy of the republic, the United States has expressed its intention to woo Russia. With the usual measures of the United States, when it comes to wooing Russia. It will definitely try to appease the EU, stabilize it. The problem is that the United States in the era of the century is no longer the United States in the beginning of the century. In the face of imminent drastic changes in the world situation, there is no reason for the EU to be the backing of the United States unless the US authorities can come up with benefits that are enough to impress the EU. There is no reason to lose oneself to achieve perfection.

In fact, this is precisely the purpose of France, Germany and Italy actively promoting EU integration.

If Europe wants to become a Europe for Europeans and fundamentally protect its interests, the EU must adopt an independent foreign policy to serve Europe's interests. Instead of continuing to act as a puppet of the United States.

Thus. Russia's brazen dispatch of troops to Kazakhstan actually pushed Europe to the side of the republic.

Although, given the circumstances at the time, it was impossible for the Republic to formally enter into an alliance with the European Union. It is even less possible to conclude a treaty of comprehensive alliance with a politico-military connotation, but it is enough for the republic to form a secret alliance with the EU in the face of major changes in the international situation. It is a remarkable achievement, especially for the authorities of the Republic, to be able to forge a binding and far-reaching treaty with the European Union.

You know, the republic never expected to fight side by side with the EU, but only hoped that the EU would not interfere when it came time to clean up the United States.

In other words, stabilizing the EU is still an important national policy of the Republic.

In this way, as long as the leaders of the republic have enough strategic vision, after learning the news that Russia will send troops to Kazakhstan, they will not take any precautions, and will even secretly help themAccording to the speculation of some Western news media, the military coup in Kazakhstan can succeed because the intelligence agencies of the republic deliberately exaggerated the power of the putschists when warning Ryukic, so that the president who could have used the presidential guard and garrison to suppress the rebellion. After the coup d'état broke out, it only took a minute to leave Kazakhstan on the diplomatic plane of the republic, creating an atmosphere of "Russia dominating Eurasia" and thus provoking changes in the EU's plans. Judging from the timing of Pei Chengyi's visit to Europe, there is indeed such a possibility. If we take into account the secret alliance treaty signed by Pei Chengyi with France, Germany and Italy during his visit, then it is certain that the authorities of the republic have long been premeditated, taking advantage of Russia's actions in Kazakhstan, and even acquiescing. Let the Russian authorities think that the republics will not interfere.

All in all, what exactly was the role of the authorities of the republic in the coup d'état in Kazakhstan. No one can tell.

Of course, the greatest significance of this military coup does not lie in the aforementioned events. In the words of an expert on international issues, Russia's invasion of Kazakhstan, the exclusion of the democratically elected president, and the support of the pro-Russian regime have had the greatest impact on helping the US authorities strengthen their resolve to start a world war.

The so-called slap does not make a sound, and there is no US intervention. None of the previous ones make sense.

Standing on the side of the United States, to the end of the calendar year. There is one factor that determines the attitude of the United States. That is, whether it is possible for the United States to win in a world war. If it had, the United States would be more proactive. If not, the United States will try to stall as much as possible.

From this, it can be seen what Russia is doing. Actually helped the US authorities to make war decisions.