Chapter 35: National Policy (II)
Zhang Chun asked Qin Bangxian: "Your opinion is the same as his?" ”
Qin Bangxian first nodded, then shook his head and said, "It's not exactly the same, recently, I heard such a statement from a student. It is agricultural production, and it is not necessary to grow high-yield grain to obtain high yields. ”
Qin Bangxian lifted his glasses and said: "Agricultural output depends on the comprehensive output and land utilization rate, and the students believe that the current land utilization rate in Hubei and Shaanxi is the highest, because there are many varieties of crops, and the combination of intercropping and crop rotation will expand the land utilization rate to the maximum." Although the yield of a single high-yielding variety is high in a short period of time, the soil quality will be reduced over time, and the yield will also decrease. The most important thing is that the use of land has become lower. ”
"It's a waste to have so many low-yielding varieties." Zhang Guotao argued.
Zhang Chun said with a smile: "The students are right, there is a concept that you are wrong, the development of agricultural technology is not only to grow high-yield varieties, but to make low-yield into high-yield. This is done on the basis of species diversity and is an important part of achieving great material abundance. ”
"The Soviet Union used the mechanization of agriculture to achieve great development and liberation of agriculture." Zhang Guotao still insists on his opinion.
"The Chairman is an expert in this area." Qin Bangxian pulled Zhang Guotao for a moment.
Zhang Chundao: "I'm not an expert now, students are. But there are some situations in which Kaiyin cannot be stubborn. The Soviet Union used mechanization as well as fertilizers to temporarily increase production. Because it has conditions, a huge territory and territory, and a relatively small population, less than 150 million people. Now it's more than three times bigger than we are. There is much more arable land than we do. You can check the information and do the math. Compare the situation between our two countries. The same can be said for the situation in the United States. ”
Zhang Guotao was stunned.
"Second, you think about the land utilization rate. Did the Soviet Union really increase production? We were forced to sign a peace agreement with us last year because of a domestic famine, and we are still exchanging minerals for our food. Even if we raise the price of food. Why can't it feed its own people? I know you'd say it's temporary. This problem can be solved after the promotion of agricultural mechanization. But what are the conditions for agricultural mechanization? Forests and grasslands have been destroyed on a large scale. The overall yield of his farmland is not high, but it hurts forestry and animal husbandry. Also, I don't agree with your assertion that the gathering and hunting industries are backward. Cultivation is just an extension of gathering. Animal husbandry is just an extension of hunting. Livestock farming is an extension of animal husbandry. In different regions, there should be a scientific and reasonable configuration. It would be foolish to cancel any of them. ”
Zhang Chun's words became harsh: "You always say that the proportion of staple food has decreased, but the output has not decreased, and the output has more than tripled." But that's about it. The proportion of staple food is only 40 percent, where does the other 60 percent of grain come from? There is also forestry and animal husbandry and fishing. This is how our people are well fed and well-fed. It can still be exported, and it can still meet the needs of the North. And we have a huge potential for agriculture to tap, and like you said, a lot of it is low-yielding. You are carefully calculating the Soviet model of agriculture. will find out. That is not the development of agriculture, but suicide. The legacy is yet to come. The climate of the Soviet Far East was very unfavorable for agriculture, which meant that the population of the Far East could not develop at all. ”
Zhang Guotao took the map and compared it on the map of the Soviet Union, his face became whiter and paler.
Qin Bangxian painted the western part of the Soviet Union: "The population and agriculture of the Soviet Union are concentrated here. Agriculture in the Far East is really not good, and the population is small. ”
Zhang Chun said: "The Soviets could not feed their own people, and now the only way out of developing heavy industry is expansion and plunder. It's not a question of doctrine or notism. So at the beginning, Russia was only a very small country, and most of the plundered was our territory. This kind of economics and politics is not worth learning from. I hope that comrades will have a more relaxed vision when they look at the problem again. ”
"So our agriculture is much more advanced than all the countries. We have a history of 5,000 years of cultivation, with a maximum of nearly 700 million people. It is the backward Qing government. Zhang Chun looked at Zhang Guotao's trembling hand and smiled: "Don't be afraid, it's no big deal." The industrial part, I agree with what you said, is not developed enough. But we also have our advantages, and we can do a lot of things without the tractor, the harvester, which you said. That is, there is always a time when the transportation system is repaired, and it depends on technology after increasing the transportation capacity, but the total resource consumption and the share of productivity will decrease. The development of industry depends on the development of science and technology for the use of resources. As with agriculture, the more you use it, the more scientific it is. ”
Zhang Chun said: "Now we have to evaluate whether the Soviet Union will complete the transformation and expansion first, or Germany will complete it first. ”
"I think it's Germany, the Soviet Union still has a lot of difficulties, but I'm worried that Stalin is not a person who can tolerate it. I'm afraid that it won't be enough for the north to add a synthetic army. Mao Shishan was not worried, and looked light.
Germany's Second Five-Year Plan also began to focus on education. Because the industry is expanding too fast and there is a lack of talent. Zhang Guotao wiped his sweat and said: "When the chairman said this, I think that the second five-year plan of the Soviet Union has been completed, and it still has no ability to resist." ”
"Oh?" Several people looked at him.
"I now know that the Soviet information may be true, but there must be something missing. Now it seems that one is education and the other is agriculture. Agricultural growth in the first five-year plan was supposed to be negative, but there is no data. The Second Five-Year Plan is to remedy this shortcoming. Chairman, do you think that according to the Soviet model, after the Second Five-Year Plan, how much grain production will be produced in the Soviet Union? Zhang Guotao asked.
He also has to compensate for the consequences of forced intensive farming, and he wants to mechanize agriculture, which will take time, because it requires steel and processing. Nor was he likely to abandon industry and turn back to agriculture. So it won't be more than sixty percent. ”
"That is, they can barely get enough to eat."
"It also depends on whether the border is peaceful, although China and the Soviet Union have a peace agreement, but the Soviet Union and Japan do not. War between the Soviet Union and Japan could break out at any time. Zhang Chun said with a smile.
"It is impossible for the Soviet Union to attack Japan, especially at this time." This time, Zhang Guotao is already very sure.
Qin Bangxian is young in the end, and his brain is spinning quickly: "You mean that Japan will start." ”
"Japan is very likely." Lin Changmin knocked on his pipe, he was the only one who smoked. Mao Shishan used to be a big smoker, but he quit.
"Japan's problems are old, and we know that Japan lost most of its gold reserves after the relaxation of the ban on economic gold. After the defeat of China in the war, although Japan forcibly occupied the Outer Northeast and retained the actual interests of the Northeast exporting cheap coal and iron to Japan, Japanese products dumping in the Northeast. But now that the Northeast is stronger and has our support, it is gradually breaking away from Japan's control. And to fend off a possible offensive from our side and from the Soviet side. Japan has increased its investment in the military industry. On the one hand, there was an outflow of gold, silver suffered heavy losses after the war with the new currency, and Britain was depreciating in order to save itself and hit the silver standard. If it weren't for the fact that the new renminbi was not open to the public, the impact would have been very large. ”
"In order to save the economy, Japan had to print banknotes and increase investment in the military industry, but on the one hand, it had no money. This has resulted in a huge fiscal deficit. Takahashi is executing an inflationary model. This economy is not sustainable. Because the military industry does not produce anything. At this time, Japan's military industry was already highly concentrated, and Japanese steel monopolized the production of pig iron in Japan, with a proportion of 96%. You must know that Japan has zero tariffs on scrap iron to the United States, which still cannot meet the needs of the military industry. At the beginning of the year, Takahashi believed that Japan's fiscal deficit had reached a very dangerous point and that it was necessary to cut military spending. ”
Zhang Chun said with a smile: "I'm afraid that if you really want to cut it, it will be difficult to save your life." ”
Lin Changmin nodded and said: "That's right, Japan's goal is to reach the level of the military industry of Britain and the United States. But for a country as small as Japan, where do you get the resources to support it? They are undertaking large-scale prospecting and mine construction in the Outer Northeast. Some small mines are not spared. When Japan's financial credit system is broken and the economy collapses, the huge military-industrial system can only wage war to solve the resource problem. This one will be soon, faster than in Germany. ”
"If people's hearts are not enough, Japan will bring about its own destruction. Why don't we push it again. Mao Shishan laughed.
Zhang Guotao and Qin Bangxian looked at each other, but Lin Changmin understood what Mao Shishan wanted to do, and smiled.
Qin Bangxian picked up the map and looked at it again and again, and said: "Japan is fighting against two big countries on the mainland, and there is no possibility of victory. They must ensure that there is a silver lining for a strong navy. Qin Bangxian remembered the battle of Shanghai and said in surprise: "You won't attack the Japanese navy." ”
"Why don't you go for the navy, which is a highly expensive branch of the military. The Japanese Navy had already suffered considerable losses in the Battle of Shanghai, and now it is nesting in the Sea of Japan. Then he just didn't come out. Mao Shishan smiled disdainfully: "One warship is enough for them, if they don't change their strategy, they can consume Japan to death." ”
"If they don't build ships, they can only build planes and tanks and artillery, and they can only expand in the Far East. With the Northeast Autonomous Government in the middle, it is inconvenient for Japan to move us, and we cannot fight it on land. Japan can only move the mind of the Far East. You're trying to push Japan to a dead end. Zhang Guotao suddenly realized. (To be continued......)