Chapter 1562: The Spanish Flu
In all fairness, it is too difficult for Wang Rongmin to have such a forward-looking outlook in this era, and some economists and scholars in history can accurately judge how many years World War I and World War II will last, and even, in a sense, something with a small probability has affected the course of the war. Pen ~ fun ~ pavilion www.biquge.info
At present, the situation in Europe is even more tragic, the trenches are all over the European continent, there is a confrontation, the Entente and the Allies have attacked and defended each other, in this case, few will think that the war will end quickly, both sides are gritting their teeth and insisting, are waiting for the moment when the opponent makes a mistake and takes the initiative to surrender, but they are both powerful industrial countries, how can they give in so quickly, under the premise of a continuous stream of follow-ups, there is no possibility of ending the war, and it will go on forever.
At present, at the top of Germany and Britain, there will definitely be an assessment of the war, but none of them will have an assessment that the war will end within 2 years, or even three years is very few, for the two major groups of the Entente and the Central Powers, the Allies are in a disadvantageous position, whether it is the total amount of industry, the mobilization of population and the land controlled, they are all the weak side, if they do not withdraw from the war, it is almost a very difficult thing to get Britain, France and the United States to withdraw from the war, at most, take France, or even Britain proper, However, Britain and the United States could still retreat to the Americas and continue to resist, at best, the war in Europe would be over.
But Yang Yuanzhao knows that the biggest variable is about to appear, 1918, this is a huge time node, if that thing in history still appears, the end of the war may be almost more than 8 percent.
This is not alarmist, but really exists, this era, the war broke out as early as 1913, the degree of tragedy, is far better than later generations, but 1918 is still a hurdle in the past, because the Spanish flu, was born in this year, appeared in the spring, and in the autumn large-scale epidemic.
The fear of colds in Europe and the United States stems from the flu that swept the world, in later generations, a flu is the most uncomfortable, feverish, and even very uncomfortable, but to the extent that it kills, this is very rare, but the Spanish flu is different, a flu with a very high mortality rate is enough to change the course of the war.
In the historical record, in 1918, there were a total of 1.7 billion people in the world, a little more in this era, because China lived and worked in peace and contentment for 8 years, peace and stability for 8 years, at least 200 million more people were born, 1.7 billion people in the world, the Spanish flu infected at least 1 billion people, and killed 25 million to 40 million people of the terrible plague, the global fatality rate is as high as 2.5%-5%, which is more than 10 times higher than the 0.1% of the general flu.
Even in later generations, there were infectious diseases such as SARS and avian flu, with a very high pathogenic rate, which could not be compared with the Spanish flu, infecting more than 60% of the people on the entire earth, and the global fatality rate exceeded 2.5%, which sounds very terrible.
This era has been the case, but China's strength, different from the history of China, the laborers are appointed by the government, not only the conditions are very good, but also pay attention to epidemic prevention and hygiene, under any conditions, a clean environment, can always avoid the emergence of diseases, and some medical volunteers sent by China to Europe are also monitoring the emergence of influenza at any time, however, one of the important sources, the American military camp is no way, in the Chinese have returned to China, the situation in the United States, They all relied on the help of Germany to spread the word.
Even if China gets antibiotics out in advance, with sulfonamides, and with penicillin and some other antibiotics, but whether this thing can deal with this terrible flu virus, it is really hard to say, compared to these antibiotics, in terms of the heart, more believe in the important role, from the beginning of the unification of China, Yang Yuanzhao began to explore and protect traditional Chinese medicine and traditional Chinese medicine, nationwide, search for a single medical book, the old Chinese medicine that has been passed down to gather, typhoid fever is just one of them, some anti-influenza, The anti-typhoid prescriptions have also been collected from all over the country, and after the research and inheritance of a group of old Chinese medicine practitioners with heritage, a batch of Chinese patent medicines specifically for influenza have been created.
But this mysterious appearance, and in the next hundred years, the Spanish flu that is nowhere to be found, is still a knife hanging over his head, if China's medicine, can not effectively control the Spanish flu, and let him develop according to the degree of circulation in the previous life, the war will almost inevitably end, in the end it is nothing more than who wins and who loses, even if there is no Allied surrender, they who are unable to war, they will also end the war in a decent way, such peace talks, in history in Europe, has been carried out countless times, Far from being like China, one side must kill the other, and one side will be completely victorious.
In this sense, there may be two years of war at most, a war that is one year longer than history, and the war is much more tragic than the war, which has had a huge blow and weakening to the European powers, but it will be detrimental to the Kra Canal, if the Kra Canal will be completed in two years, then it will not be able to catch up with the dividends of the war.
As long as the Kra Canal can be completed in a year and a half, or even a year, even if his construction cost is huge, he will try his best to approve it, but if it is stuck in two years, or even longer, it must be considered comprehensively, and it cannot be recklessly decided.
370,000 words of the complete report, so that Yang Yuanzhao is very satisfied, but also from his hands, circulated to the hands of various experts, detailed data, especially in the eyes of experts, it is particularly useful, in a sense, experts look more deeply, especially the effect of the Kra Canal, Wang Rongmin's estimate is a bit conservative, 20,000 ships per year, this number is too little, even if it is this canal, it is dug according to the standard of the Kiel Canal, and the annual traffic capacity can reach more than 60,000 tons, On average, there are less than 200 ships per day, as long as they are spacious enough, and there are not so many locks and irrigations, it is enough for them to pass smoothly.
60,000 ships, 2,000 US dollars each, this is 120 million, even Yang Yuanzhao is a little moved, the current construction cost in China is very low, if this canal can be completed in a short period of time, the cost can also be reduced to a part, in that case, isn't it a year to recover the cost?
China, for the economy and industry is very concerned, this canal, is a good weapon of profit, but also the hope of many shipowners, only charged a quarter of the cost reduction, so that for the shipowner, he also reduced the cost considerably, in this sense, it represents profit, China's merchant ships, in the early days of the war, even now, are still so easy to sell, the reason is that China has exerted power to the extreme, under the premise of the same load capacity and speed, the fuel consumption of China's engine, It will always be the lowest in the world, compared to some fuel-gular engines, it can be reduced by up to 10%, and this point has allowed China to get a lot of orders, who doesn't want their ship, when transporting the same goods, reduce the cost, even if the cost is only one or two thousand dollars, for the shipowner, this is another huge profit.
Recognized by experts, Yang Yuanzhao's actions also began to speed up, and the second wave of discussions began, not only experts in various fields, but also some leaders of the construction team, and even some experts in blasting, digging a canal on an isthmus, if you want to be fast, blasting must be essential, how to increase the blasting speed, and not affect the foundation of the entire canal, which needs to be determined by these blasting experts.
Itself, the bulls, ghosts, snakes, and gods are still tracking, what is this thing that makes Yang Yuanzhao interested, and he thinks that he can follow the trend to make money, Shui knows, it is actually a canal in such a distant place in Central and Southern Province, the investment is huge, and the prospects are also very good, but they can't follow the trend, this must be a national project, and there is very little possibility that they can intervene.
Of course, there are many people who have such an idea, and there are a small number of people who look farther away, from this canal, it has been determined that Central South Province will definitely take off in the future, or do some business in the past. Smart people can always see opportunities in the changing environment, and some hot money begins to move to Central South Province, which is not all the benefits that Central South Province receives, but the first batch of benefits.
To be honest, the experts who participated in the seminar did not expect that there would be such a project in Zhongnan Province, otherwise, Wang Rongmin's project had already been put into this project before it was reported, which would have been of great benefit to the whole of China, and even in the early days of the war, if this plan had been taken out, the cost would have been back long ago.
This is tantamount to taking away Malacca's business, but Malacca's side has just developed, it is an international waterway, it is impossible to collect money, but it is far away, and it is not like Singapore in later generations, with the help of oil transportation lines, the petrochemical and steel industries have been built, which is equivalent to the semi-abandonment of a world-class waterway, but for China, it is even better, the entire Kra Isthmus and Thailand are controlled by China, and Thailand is a natural bay that can build a large-scale military port. Transferring the core of the South Ocean Fleet from Hainan Island and Leizhou Bay to here is effortless, safe and powerful, and the distance into the Indian Ocean can be reduced to less than 100 kilometers, whether it is to coerce India, or to cross the Indian Ocean and carry out support for the Middle East, it is much better. (To be continued.) )