Chapter 107: Three Points
Chen Qun came in a hurry, hurried away, and when he arrived in Chengdu, he met Guo Jia, and after talking about business, he left Cao Ying's two daughters and followed him on the way home in a carriage.
Two hundred miles after leaving Chengdu, Chen Qun's carriage suddenly stopped, and beside the official road in the wilderness, a carriage had already stopped here for more than two days.
Man Pet got out of the carriage and got into the carriage where Chen Qun was.
At this moment, Chen Qun, who was sitting in the car, was calm and relaxed, and his panicked and nervous performance in front of Guo Jia was like two people.
The two looked at each other, and after each other gave each other a proper look, Man Zhong said softly: "North, middle, south, and three-sided matters, only Zhong Yuan often goes to instigate Han Sui." β
Chen Qun raised the corners of his mouth lightly and said in a deep voice: "Han Sui is a wolf, if Ma Chao and Guo Jia really jointly attack the Central Plains, how can Han Sui be lonely?" The Central Plains War is imminent, Kansai just wants to reap the benefits, Guo Fengxiao, you are too naΓ―ve. β
The two carriages slowly entered the road and returned to the Central Plains.
Cao Xian and Cao Jie are two chess pieces, but Guo Jia can't face them with an indifferent mentality.
In the backyard of the mansion, Guo Jia and Zhen Jiang looked at the two exquisitely dressed little girls in the corridor aisle, Guo Jin held bamboo slips and told them stories, but Cao Jie's face still had tears and uneasy fear.
The posture of the two sisters is also completely different, Cao Xian is a little calm, Cao Jie has been crying sadly for several days in a row, it seems that because he is under the fence, even if the child is crying, it is silent.
"Husband, is this good?"
Zhen Jiang was deeply worried, as a mother, she felt sad about Cao Xian's situation and Cao Jie's situation, and at the same time wanted to tolerate and accept them, but after all, they were Cao Ying's daughters, the daughters of Guo Jia's enemies, Zhen Jiang was afraid that these two girls would affect Guo Jin's future, and Zhen Jiang couldn't treat other people's children before his own children.
"They are victims of troubled times, I hope you can treat them equally, don't be prejudiced against them, ten years later, they will marry Jin'er if they want, and if they don't want to, they will make their own decisions."
Guo Jia hugged Zhen Jiang and sighed.
Even if they are Cao Ying's daughters, at this age, the impression of Cao Ying, the feelings for the Cao family, I am afraid that it may not be very deep, ten years later, when they grow up Chengren, how they will choose, it is their freedom, Guo Jia does not force anything, this political marriage, only a symbolic meaning of the surname is enough, Cao Ying and Guo Jia did not turn their faces, and the marriage represents the sincerity of the two families to friendship.
Is Cao Ying wishful thinking, and will Guo Jia ignore his sincerity, in fact, the hearts of the two monarchs have the answer.
Just like Guo Jia's tried and tested strategy of showing weakness, Cao Ying sent Chen Qun to marry in a low voice, who can deny it, isn't this a strategy of Cao Ying to paralyze Guo Jia?
Yuan Shao and Cao Ying's envoys came to visit one after another, and the means were different but the goals coincided, all hoping that Guo Jia would watch from the wall and not disturb their dragon fight.
Guo Jia agreed to Yuan Shao and accepted Cao Ying's marriage proposal, but he still had to do the work that should be done.
Jia Xu, who had been idle for more than two years, was suddenly called by Guo Jia to go around the barracks together.
The military camp in Chengdu is the place where the Guards are stationed, the selection conditions of the Guards are more harsh, first of all, there can be no outsiders, their responsibility is to be responsible for the safety of Chengdu and Shu County, so their families live in Chengdu, this is Guo Jia's preferential treatment, and only let their home in Chengdu, then when Chengdu falls into a crisis, the combat power of these soldiers will go to a higher level, is to really protect the homeland.
Badong and Hanzhong each had 50,000 sailors, plus 40,000 soldiers and horses under Zhang Yan, and Yan Yan also recruited 40,000 new troops in Hanzhong in the past two years.
In Guanzhong, Zhang Liao has 60,000 soldiers and horses, Gao Shun led the camp with 4,000, Xu Chu used to have 5,000 soldiers and horses, and now it has expanded to 10,000, and Dian Wei's tiger guard has also expanded to 10,000, and the Yinling Flying Horse has been temporarily handed over to Wu Yi to lead, due to the scarcity of war horses, the war horses in the northwest have been in short supply, Guo Jia has only expanded the Yinling Flying Horse to 15,000 in two years from various channels.
100,000 soldiers and horses in Guanzhong and 200,000 soldiers and horses in Yizhou.
Jia Xu accompanied Guo Jia to walk on the edge of the barracks and school, the soldiers were still practicing hard, Guo Jia sometimes looked at the soldiers, sometimes looked up at the sky, and seemed to be preoccupied.
"Is the lord thinking about how many soldiers and horses to bring to the Central Plains?"
Jia Xu asked softly.
In fact, Guo Jia has a lot of things to consider at this time, but to fight the Central Plains, how many soldiers and horses to bring is the key, and to strategize and win a decisive victory, in fact, the source of confidence is still the number of troops and the strength of the combat power.
Guo Jia stopped and turned around, stared at Jia Xu, and asked lightly: "I send 100,000 troops, can I sweep the Central Plains?" β
Jia Xu thought for a while and said, "How many troops the lord brings depends on the outcome of the decisive battle between Yuan Shao and Cao Ying. The best time to attack the Central Plains is when the dust of the war is about to settle, as long as one side shows signs of defeat, the lord can wave his army eastward at that time. Yuan Shaosheng, the lord's 100,000 soldiers and horses may be difficult to do, Cao Yingsheng, his soldiers and horses will not lose less, and he has just experienced a big battle, the army is exhausted and overwhelmed, and the lord's 100,000 strong troops are waiting for work to kill Cao Ying, who is caught off guard. However, Cao wins and Yuan loses, and the probability of this result appearing ......"
Guo Jia wants to influence the battle of Guandu, and the target of his eastward march will only be Cao Ying.
Hebei is far away, and the Central Plains is near.
Yuan Shao was defeated, and he would not leave a piece of armor.
Cao Ying is defeated, and I am afraid that he will never be able to turn over.
Guo Jia, who only has 300,000 soldiers and horses, is considering the number of troops, 100,000, and even Cao Ying's soldiers and horses can't compare.
Therefore, Yuan Shao went south with 700,000 soldiers and horses, and if he defeated Cao Ying, Guo Jia's 100,000 soldiers and horses would also be sent to death.
If Cao Ying defeated Yuan Shao, the casualties would definitely not be less, and after the war, the three armies were tired, and Guo Jia's 100,000 elites swept the Central Plains in vain.
Jia Xu had a plan in his heart that he wanted to dedicate to Guo Jia, so he said: "The lord might as well take the opportunity of marrying Cao Ying and then form an alliance with Cao Ying, in the early days of the Yuan Cao War, the lord helped Cao Ying, and when the battle reached the point of stalemate Yuan Shao showed defeat, the lord could turn the target and put Cao Ying to death." β
This ploy is poisonous, and ruthless, even more despicable!
If this strategy is adopted, Guo Jia will lose his trust in the world and will be scolded countless times.
But as long as he wins the Central Plains, Guo Jia will be able to take advantage of the victory to pocket Jingzhou and Yangzhou within a year, in that case, the world will change hands, and it is not necessarily a bad thing to be a founding king who is scolded for being untrustworthy and unrighteous.
It will only be Guo Jia's enemies who scold Guo Jia, and if the enemies are cleared, what else is there to worry about?
If Yuan Shao is defeated, if Cao Ying dies, who is Guo Jia who is still afraid of Zhongtian?
Liu Biao? The dying.
Sun Ce? Can the land of the six counties compete with half of the country?
Guo Jia never advertises himself as a benevolent and righteous gentleman, he is just using his actions to put on a moral cloak for himself, it is enough to make people look comfortable and envious, and he will not look forward and backward when he should be despicable.
Jia Xu's strategy, Guo Jia just thought about it, but looked at Jia Xu and asked, "Does Wen He expect Cao Ying to be defeated?" β
Jia Xu shook his head and said: "Yuan is strong and Cao is weak, Yuan Shao's chances of winning are higher than Cao Ying, Yuan Shao has more soldiers and horses than Cao Ying, I don't think Yuan Shao will win, but I also hope that the lord can prevent Yuan Shao from winning." β
There are many factors for victory or defeat on the battlefield, the situation is treacherous and ever-changing, Jia Xu does not dare to guarantee who wins and who loses, but once Yuan Shao wins, Guo Jia's situation will be precarious.
After swallowing the Central Plains, Yuan Shao was by no means something that only Guo Jia in Guanzhong could compete with.
In order to prevent the emergence of this situation and take the initiative to hold fate in his own hands, Guo Jia should take the initiative to guide the development of the situation, which is Jia Xu's opinion.
Sitting and watching the success or failure of the fisherman's profit is not as simple as a dream, Guo Jia is planning, are Yuan Shao and Cao Ying turning a deaf ear?
The current confrontation between Cao Ying and Yuan Shao, I am afraid that except for the civil and military associations that are loyal to Cao Ying, who believe that Cao Ying has the ability to compete with Yuan Shao, most of the others have a very pessimistic view of Cao Ying's prospects.
Historically, Guo Jia and Xun Yu both strongly supported Cao Ying, whether it was ten wins and ten defeats or four wins and four defeats, an objective analysis of the comparison of the situation between the enemy and us was the backbone, but it was certainly indispensable to exaggerate the morale.
If Cao Ying is defeated, Cao Ying's supporters, Wenchen generals, even if they surrender to Yuan Shao, I am afraid they will not be able to compare with their status under Cao Ying, let alone Xun Yu, a person who firmly believes that Cao Ying can achieve a world.
Jia Xu didn't answer and asked: "Then why does the lord expect Cao Ying to win?" β
If Guo Jia didn't firmly believe that Cao Ying would win, then he wouldn't just want to sweep the Central Plains with 100,000 soldiers and horses.
With such a small number of soldiers and horses, even if they are elite soldiers and strong generals, compared with Yuan Shao's 700,000 soldiers and horses and Cao Ying's nearly 150,000 troops, can they decide the battle situation?
And the premise that these 100,000 soldiers and horses can play the greatest role must be that Cao Ying wins, Yuan Shao lives or dies, at least Yuan Shao's soldiers and horses withdraw to Hebei, so that Guo Jia's 100,000 elites can occupy an absolute advantage and sweep the Central Plains.
Jia Xu was deeply worried, for fear that Guo Jia would guess wrong this time, and the fighter plane that he had been waiting for for several years, if it passed through his fingertips like this, it would be the regret of the master, and even affect his life.
Guo Jia and Jia Xu looked at each other for a long time, suddenly smiled faintly, and said lightly: "Cao Mengde will win, this, Wen He, you don't have to argue with me." Cao Mengde did not take advantage of the time and place, and the slaughter of the city was unpopular, he came to this day, relying on human strategy, although he has few soldiers and horses, which makes people infinitely underestimate his chances of winning, in my opinion, Cao Mengde should have a five-point chance of winning. β
Excluding the battle of Guandu, the Wuchao fire that decided the outcome of the battle burned Yuan Shao's military rations, and before that, the confrontation between Cao Ying and Yuan Shao was actually indiscriminate.
And Guo Jiasi thought about it, and considered the variables in this war, Xu You's surrender to Cao, the opening of his jaw and Yuan Shao's indecisiveness, and other factors, he felt that the trend of this battle of Guandu would not deviate from history, so he decided that Cao Ying would win.
Even if you don't consider these, Guo Jia only has 300,000 soldiers and horses, and the troops he can bring to the Central Plains are already very few.
"I hope the Lord is right in his prediction."
Jia Xu did not refute Guo Jia, since Guo Jia had made a decision, he would no longer persuade him, and his strategy was not absolutely successful, but he just gave Guo Jia a choice.
Fighting a war is three points of strength, three points of strategy, three points of war, and one point of providence.
Guo Jia finally decided: "For the sake of insurance, I will lead an army of 120,000 when I go out of the Guandong Expedition." Yizhou left 160,000, and Guanzhong left 20,000. β
(To be continued)