A complete war plan must include three aspects. [No pop-up novel network] First, Zhan Ren said. The second is the means to be adopted to achieve the goal, and the third is the conditions that should be met to achieve the means. Therefore, from the point of view of logic, there are only two ways to formulate a war plan: one is to deduce the goal to be achieved in reverse and finally determine the conditions that need to be met, and the other is to determine a goal that can be achieved on the basis of the conditions that are available.

It is not up to those who draw up war plans to decide which method to use, but rather by the strength of the country.

Taking World War II as an example, because of the lack of national strength, whether it was Germany that launched a blitzkrieg in the European theater or Japan that attacked Pearl Harbor in the Pacific theater, they could only determine what they could achieve based on their own strength. Germany's aim was to sweep the continent quickly. The United States and Britain were forced to recognize Germany's hegemony on the European continent and even in the world. Japan, for its part, hopes to crush the US naval power in the Pacific with a surprise attack and force the United States to recognize Japan's hegemony in the western Pacific and East Asia. Unlike Germany and Japan, the allies of the United States, the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, and China set the ultimate goal from the very beginning. That is, to completely defeat Germany, Japan and Italy, and only then determine the necessary conditions on the basis of this goal, and fight with all your might to achieve the ultimate goal.

For Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao, it is no stranger to formulating war plans.

The problem is that the two men do not agree on key issues, including the most important logical question, which is whether to focus on the importance of the goal or the condition.

More than a year ago, that is, when the first war plan was formulated, Pei Chengyi proposed it. The national strength of the republic is not enough to sustain an ultimate war, and therefore it cannot set an excessively high war goal. Although Pei Chengyi did not explicitly mention that the conditions should be the priority, with his attitude at the time, he must have considered the conditions first. As the saying goes, how big the pot is and how much rice you have, you have to do what you can. This is basically the dominant ideology of the republican authorities, and many national leaders, including Yan Jingyu, support Bae's view that the republic does not need to pay all for the war. Although Yuan Chenhao did not raise objections at that time, he still put the goal in place when formulating the war sentence. This shows that on this fundamental issue, Yuan Chenhao does not agree with Pei Chengyi's views. In other words, from the very beginning, Yuan Chenhao believed that the Republic was capable of achieving ultimate victory.

In the year of Li Yin, that is, when the military reform implemented by Pei Chengyi entered the first place and began to integrate military forces, Yuan Chenhao took advantage of the convenience of being responsible for formulating the war plan and used a computer to conduct a simulation analysis, that is, how much representation the republic needs to pay for the war when the ultimate goal is achieved first. Although the authorities of the Republic have never admitted that there has been such a simulation analysis, let alone published the results of the analysis, according to the recollections of some parties, the results of the simulation analysis were very favorable to Yuan Chenhao, that is, the cost of the war was within the range of the Republic of China. Of course, no one can say exactly what the price will be. Only one thing is certain, it was this simulation analysis that made Pei Chengyi firm in the idea of postponing the war for a few years, so it can be speculated. If the purpose is the priority, the republic will definitely have to pay a great price, thus making the world war actively led by Bae Chengyi unnecessary.

Over time, both sides were making concessions.

Taking the merger of the Sky Force and the Air Force as an example, if we look at it from Yuan Chenhao's point of view, we should not let the Sky Army merge with the Air Force, but should vigorously strengthen the Sky Force on the premise of preserving the Air Force. Comprehensively improve the striking power of the Republican ** team. Gain the most powerful combat power. In the merger plan, the tactical aviation of the air force was dismantled and merged into the army aviation and naval aviation, which can be seen as a compromise and concession by Pei Chengyi, because this will inevitably lead to the expansion of the scale of the army and navy, and the benefits of abolishing the air force will become less obvious.

Of course, on the key issue of poisoning, neither of them budged.

This is because before that, the work of drawing up war plans was mainly focused on solving detailed problems and guiding technical problems. The core part of the plan has not yet been touched. Therefore, the contradiction between Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao has not yet been exposed. As war approaches, especially when a workable sentence needs to be produced as soon as possible. The contradiction between Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao surfaced.

On the day of the moonrise, following the meeting between the General Staff and the Ministry of Defense, the two sat face to face

Rise.

"In any case, we have to judge the national situation." Pei Chengyi broke the silence, after all, it was he who took the initiative to call Yuan Chenhao over. "Anything that is divorced from reality cannot last long, and war is no exception. There's no denying it. We should take a more long-term view, but we shouldn't pay too much for it. From the standpoint of a country, the only value of war is that it can bring more benefits than peace, and that our motherland, nation, and compatriots who support us can gain more benefits. No doubt. A war that is too tragic will make any victory bleak and make war unnecessary

Yuan Chenhao didn't speak, still smoking one cigarette after another, looking a little bored.

"You also know that the republic of today is no longer the republic of twenty years ago." Pei Chengyi knew very well what Yuan Chenhao was thinking, and ignored it. "In previous years, we had been hiding our war plans and not revealing the truth to the military council. A few days ago, at the barbecue night in the Er Yu Mansion, Lin Muxun specifically mentioned the tattoo matter, which was implicitly related to the Yuan. If we don't figure out what exactly we want to do. There will be no support and cooperation, and it may even be possible to personally veto all war-related bills. That's why I came to you about war plans. You are no stranger to Lin Muxun. His temper should be known. Although from the perspective of a businessman, the bigger the war, the more benefits it brings, after all, war money is the dream of every businessman, but from the standpoint of the chairman of the military committee, Lin Muxun will definitely not support a war with no restrictions and too high goals. Because he has to think about another outcome

"We've done simulations and the likelihood of defeat is almost zero."

"Is there a basis for reality?"

Hearing Pei Chengyi say this, Yuan Chenhao was suddenly speechless, and his eyes changed.

Although in the eyes of many people, Yuan Chenhao is not only Pei Chengyi's companion, but also Pei Chengyi's subordinate, but more often. Yuan Chenhao's independence surpassed that of Liu Xiaobin, and in some cases even Pei Chengyi's rival.

Take, for example, the events that occurred at the time of the general election in the second year. According to the regulations, the Chief of the General Staff will be re-elected for two consecutive terms, that is, at the same time as the head of the country. However, at the beginning of the second year, Yuan Chenhao proposed that because the canine part of the power of the General Staff had been handed over to the Ministry of National Defense, it had become a genuine military command organization. It is not a military command body, so the rotation of the chief of the General Staff should be accelerated, so that more generals have the opportunity to learn about the work of the General Staff in order to train more talents. Although Yuan Chenhao's proposal was not wrong and was supported by many people, with the situation at the time, Yuan Chenhao's proposal would only have a negative impact, because Yan Jingyu had already formed a running mate with Pei Chengyi, which was equivalent to making the greatest concession to the army. If the General Staff is reorganized according to Yuan Chenhao's proposal, it means that the army will be completely chaotic, and Yan Jingyu will completely lose his voice in the army. There is no doubt that if Yan Jingyu adopts Yuan Chenhao's opinion, the result is that Pei Chengyi will continue to be his defense minister, and it will be impossible to get the precious opportunity to become the vice minister of the country.

All in all, those who know Yuan Chenhao know that he is a very ambitious soldier.

Of course, this is not necessarily a bad thing, at least in Pei Chengyi's opinion, it is not a bad thing. First of all, we have to admit that really talented people have ambitions. No ambitions. It often means no talent. In particular, for military personnel born after the era of the power century, due to the change in ideology and values, they have become more proactive and more direct on the issue of interests. There are even many people who believe that it is precisely because of these so-called values of the younger generation that the values of the so-called Gogo and Tango are very different from those of the older generation. In addition to caring about the necessary living environment. They also attach great importance to higher-level political and spiritual needs such as fairness, freedom, and democracy, and also care more about the impact of the social system on their own interests, so that the authorities of the republic do not focus on political reform in the later part of the century, and put political reform on the reality of economic reform. Otherwise, he would not have entered the political arena before taking off his military uniform, and would have become the second leader of the republic after a short period of time, and would most likely have become the top leader of the republic after the year.

Compared with Pei Chengyi, Yuan Chenhao's ambition is not bad.

The problem is that Yuan Chenhao's luck is not as good as Pei Chengyi's. As the saying goes, it's a bad fate.

As we all know, a general in politics is enough. Not to mention the Republic, even in the United States. At any time, there is at most one soldier with significant influence, such as Grant after the Civil War, Roosevelt after the Spanish-American War, and Eisenhower after the Second World War. Although the system of the republic is different from that of the United States, for example, during the reign of Zhao Rundong, the influence of Zhang Maobang was not much worse than that of Zhao Rundong, who was also a soldier, but after Wang Yuanqing, there was no room for two soldiers to dance at the same time. For example, when Lin Xiaolei was the chief of the General Staff, Pei Chengyi went to the Physics Experiment Center to hide for several years. When Pei Chengyi came back, Lin Xiaolei took the initiative to hand over power again.

In fact, the main purpose of this political system, which accommodates only one soldier, is to prevent the dictatorship of the military.

It can be said that this is a necessary precaution for democracy in peacetime.

That's right, from Yuan Chenhao's point of view. In peacetime, it is impossible for him to cross Pei Chengyi. Because Pei Chengyi is only a few years older than him, and for politicians, this age difference is almost negligible, so if Yuan Chenhao wants to get ahead, he has to make full use of the opportunities brought by the war.

In this way, on the issue of war, Yuan Chenhao is naturally much more active than Pei Chengyi.

Of course, this is also a serious problem within the republican ** team, because if the soldiers who hum ambitions want to surpass Pei Chengyi and achieve enough self-satisfaction, they have to do tricks on the issue of war. There is no doubt that there is absolutely no shortage of soldiers like Yuan Chenhao in the republican ** team, in fact, almost every one. Generals under the age of age have very great ambitions. It is precisely because of this, no matter what time it is, the Republican team behaves very aggressively, and even takes the initiative to create conflicts in many cases. For example, when I was a child. The South Asian Theater of Operations (SAA) has struck at the extremist forces in Ethiopia.... During the training camp, he deliberately bombed a convoy of international relief agencies aided by the United States, killing many people, including Ming American volunteers, and almost causing a direct conflict between the two major powers, and the direct person responsible for this incident was General Li Dongshi, commander of the South Asian Theater, Ling Yunxiao, who announced his retirement in the seventh year of the secretary, and Li Dongshi replaced him as commander of the South Asian Theater.

The list goes on and on. The Republican team does not lack a positive spirit.

Of course, at some point, this is not necessarily a good thing.

For example, at this time, Yuan Chenhao thought that Pei Chengyi was no longer a soldier, but a politician. What it does is not in the service of the war, but in the service of the general election after Beng.

What Yuan Chenhao was thinking, Pei Chengyi didn't care.

In fact, the dialogue between military personnel is very simple, that is, to speak by strength.

As a genuine soldier, Pei Chengyi knew that he didn't need to explain anything to Yuan Chenhao, and he would naturally understand when the time came.

"Anyway, we have to tell the truth." Pei Chengyi deliberately paused, and waited for Yuan Chenhao's demeanor to calm down before saying, "It is undeniable that a computer that can accurately predict the weather in ten days can also make a rough prediction of future wars, but we must admit that the prediction cannot be perfect, let alone 100% accurate." This time the situation is very simple, Lin Muxun wants not a fabricated plan, but a genuine one, and he feels that although Lin Muxun is not a soldier, but we can't doubt his talent, he can close the world's number one company with hundreds of thousands of employees, and he is definitely a little capable. What's more, Lin Muxun's knowledge of the military industry is definitely not below you and me, and even more clear than ours. If we are only facing a local war and do not need to do a full-scale war mobilization, the problem is not very big. The current situation is that we must carry out partial mobilization before the outbreak of war and full mobilization after the outbreak of war. That is, the military industry will be mobilized in advance. In this way, there are few secrets in front of Lin Muxun about our war plan, whether it is feasible or not. He could see it at a glance. As you know, when he declared the budget last year, he showed a lot of holes in the defense budget. Although this matter has been suppressed and has not reached the point of being full of storms, we should not make the same mistake again, and we should not make confusion on some basic issues and offend the chairman of the military committee, who has to give three parts of the courtesy. ”

After a big turn, Pei Chengyi expressed his meaning, that is, Yuan Chenhao's goal was too ambitious.

Yuan Chenhao is a smart person. How could you not understand what Pei Chengyi meant. I thought about it for a moment. "That said, this is not the final plan," he said. ”

"Not the final plan", but it is definitely related to the final plan. ”

Hearing Pei Chengyi say this, Yuan Chenhao frowned again.

"We have to admit that it will definitely be more advantageous to delay it for a few more years than to start fighting now."

Yuan Chenhao nodded. There was no objection, because this was his advice to Pei Chengyi.

Because the goal was set too high, when formulating the war plan, Yuan Chenhao realized that many of the basic conditions set at the beginning did not meet the requirements, and he had to reconsider, so he had to spend more time to prepare, so at the beginning of the year. Yuan Chenhao suggested that he should try to find a way to delay it for a few more years.

"In that case, we have to show sincerity." Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "According to my understanding, Lin Muxun is not an unreasonable person, as long as we explain the situation clearly, he will support us, after all, in terms of fundamental interests." He is very much in line with us, otherwise he would not have supported us everywhere in these two years. What's more, according to the meaning expressed by Yuan at the barbecue dinner. In the future, members of the military council will be invited to participate in military decision-making, and at least key representatives like Lin Muxun will be invited. In fact, this is one of the purposes of the second round of political reforms. If, as in the past, everything is decided by the Yuan Government and the State Council, unless we have the strategic vision and courage of Wang Lao, we will not be able to lead the Republic to defeat all strong enemies like Wang Lao. Facts have proved that we are not Wang Lao, nor can we compare to Wang Lao, so we cannot work behind closed doors, we must brainstorm and work together. ”

Yuan Chenhao let out a sigh and said, "It seems that I don't want to talk about you in my life." ”

Pei Chengyi smiled and shook his head, knowing that Yuan Chenhao had been persuaded by him.

"I'll go back and think about it, when will I need it?"

"Of course, the sooner the better, no later than the fifteenth day of the lunar month." Seeing Yuan Chenhao get up, Pei Chengyi also stood up, "Give it to me early, so that I also have time to take a good look, if there is any problem, we will discuss it again, so as not to rush to make problems when we get it." ”

"Then I'll hurry up and look for you when I'm done."

Pei Chengyi didn't ramble anymore and sent Yuan Chenhao to the door.

It was only at this time that Pei Chengyi relaxed. Anyway, the current Yuan Chenhao. It's not the army colonel he was in the year of Lishi.