Chapter 17 Inventory, Summary and Analysis
From December 20 to the night of December 23, 1942, Wang Fan stayed in the Stalingrad area of the Soviet-German battlefield for a total of 4 days, participated in a breakthrough counterattack battle of great significance, sold all the materials in the ring, and brought back 350 tons of gold and some German weapons, such as thousands of 98K rifles, several Leopard tanks, several Tiger tanks, and some artillery pieces that had no shells, mainly as their own collection. As a half-amateur military expert, I often see pictures and analysis reports of World War II battles in some military journals, and now I can personally touch these cold but full of historical "beautiful" weapons, which can be regarded as fulfilling a small wish of Wang Fan.
The 350 tons of gold brought back, Wang Fan has already thought of a way to deal with it. Although the price of gold has fallen sharply, the price of physical gold is about 256 yuan per gram, and the price of gold jewelry is more than 330 yuan per gram (including a lot of manual costs), so according to the lowest price of physical gold, each ton of gold is about 256 million yuan, and according to 250 million yuan, a total of 87.5 billion yuan is valued. In the early stage, Wang Fan spent 8.2 billion yuan to buy arms, and the rest of the materials were about 2 billion yuan, spending a total of about 10.2 billion yuan, with a profit margin of 850%. Although there is no profit, Wang Fan deeply blames himself on this point, from the perspective of profit margin, I am a collective disgrace to the plane businessmen! We must deeply examine our own shortcomings, change our business methods, tap our potential internally, and strive to improve our level of trade business! Of course, another great advantage of Comrade Xiao Wang is that he is good at finding joy in misfortune, that is, he praises himself. Comrade Wang Fan felt that, to paraphrase the words of Marx's predecessors, "If there is 100% profit, the capitalists will take risks; If there is a 200% profit, the capitalists will flout the law; If there is a 300% profit, then the capitalists will trample everything in the world! From this point of view, Comrade Xiao Wang is still doing a good job, with a profit margin of 850%, which exceeds that of most capitalists, of course, they do not have a plane ring (which he has automatically ignored).
Of course, such a large amount of gold spot, gold jewelry stores will definitely not be able to eat, and banks generally only recycle the gold they sell, so only through transactions at the national level can they obtain sufficient funds, but if they stupidly take these gold directly to the People's Bank of Yanhuang Republic, then Wang Fan will definitely be invited by the relevant departments to drink tea and assist in the investigation, and the three generations of the ancestors have been investigated cleanly, so how to realize it still requires some planning and preparation.
Before leaving Stalingrad, Wang Fan chatted with Paulus and already knew that most of the newly formed tank forces would be sent to the Caucasus to strengthen the German forces there, support Army Group A in southern Germany, repel the counteroffensive of the Soviet army, and break through the Soviet Caucasus defense line, occupy the oil fields in Baku there, and cut off the Soviet oil supply. So the remaining question is whether the existing strength of the German army can break through the defense line in the Caucasus, and if the breakthrough is successful, then how does Wang Fan need to get what he needs from it; If the breakthrough fails, then whether Wang Fan will continue to help the German army change the outcome of the campaign, and what weapons, equipment, and material support need to be prepared to change the result, these all need to be carefully considered and analyzed, and the gains and losses need to be weighed.
Wang Fan feels that if he did not follow up with a golden finger, only relying on the 1,000 tanks sold to the German army now and the second batch of 1,000 tanks promised to the German army, it would only extend the time of the German army's defeat by 1 to 2 years, and eventually these weapons would be lost in repeated battles with the Soviet army, and would not change the outcome of Germany's final defeat. Wang Fan himself did not want to change the outcome of World War II Germany, after all, the future of that plane, after the establishment of the Yanhuang Republic, still needs the Soviet Union to attract firepower in front of it and win time for the development of the Yanhuang Republic. Therefore, everything he planned was to provide more development assistance to the Yanhuang Republic in that plane (this is also his angry young man who changed history to obtain dimensional repulsion energy while achieving a strong country in that plane), and less development obstacles (such as consuming more military and national potential of the Soviet Union and weakening the overall strength of the Soviet Union, Wang Fan hated the Soviet Union very much and regarded himself as a big brother at every turn).
Therefore, it is necessary to consider the impact of the German attack on the Caucasus, first of all, it is necessary to assess the number of Soviet defensive forces in the Caucasus and the position of Caucasian oil in the Soviet Union. Lieutenant General Malinovsky) and part of the forces of the North Caucasus Front (commanded by Marshal of the Soviet Union Budyonny) totaled 112,000 men, 121 tanks, 2,160 artillery pieces and mortars, and 130 aircraft. In terms of troops, even if these armies are all lost, the Soviet Union can completely replenish new recruits and completely withstand them; In terms of resources, in 1941, the Soviet Union produced 38 million tons of crude oil, and the main crude oil sources were the three major oil fields in the Caucasus: Mykop, Grozny and Baku. The Baku oil fields were the most producing, but by 1942 they accounted for only a small fraction of the Soviet Union's exploited oil sources. This is because the regions where oil is produced in large quantities are also the upper Volga region, Kama (since the Second World War, Kama has produced more oil than the Baku oil fields), the Urals, the northern part of Ukhta, and the eastern part of the Caspian Sea. This narrow strip of land traverses the entire southern part of the Soviet Union. In 1941, the Soviet Army and Air Force consumed less than 4.5 million tons of oil. That is, even if the oil fields of the Caucasus were occupied and Germany destroyed 40% of the Soviet crude oil production base, the Soviet Union would be able to continue to support the war with the remaining 60% of its crude oil production area.
The following conclusions can be drawn from the above: the Caucasus is very important to the Soviet Union, and if the Caucasus is lost, the Soviet Union will be broken, but it will never reach the danger of losing its war potential and destroying the country. So what positive effects did the German occupation of the Caucasus have? In terms of troops, the strength of Army Group A that Germany could take out to attack the North Caucasus at that time was only 160,000 troops, plus the reinforcements sent by Paulus, there would be about 200,000 people, and it had an absolute advantage in the number of tanks. However, it needs to be taken into account that it is feasible for these forces to capture the Caucasus, but after the capture, Army Group A will remove casualties and maintain the forces in the occupied area, and the remaining mobile forces will not be able to attack the Middle East or continue eastward. Even because Army Group A had run too far, the forces that needed to be defended would be more dispersed, that is, the German mobile forces would be even more scarce due to the expansion of the occupied area, and the situation would have been even worse. In terms of resources, the seizure of the Caucasus seems to solve the problem of lack of fuel in Germany, but in fact, Germany also seized the Kuban oil field at that time, but the Kuban oil field has long been destroyed and it is difficult to resume production in the short term. Moreover, Germany's resource shortage is comprehensive, not only crude oil, even if the shortcomings of crude oil are solved, it cannot solve the problem of depletion of human resources and insufficient productivity in Germany. Therefore, the capture of the Caucasus may have improved the situation of the Germans to a certain extent, but it will not have a decisive effect, and even because the forces are more dispersed, the Germans will lose more badly in the decisive battles in the future.
Historically, the Soviet Stalingrad Front carried out a surprise attack on the German army in the Caucasus with the remnants of the 6th Army of the Soviet Army, in which the main force carried out a surprise attack on Rostov-on-Don and a part of the army carried out a surprise attack on Tikhoretsk. The Black Sea cluster of the Transcaucasian Front was tasked with attacking Krasnodar and Tikhoretsk, while the Northern Cluster was tasked with attacking Mozdok, Prokhradne, and Armavir. It can be seen that the intention of the Soviet Union at that time was to isolate the main German forces in the North Caucasus with the cooperation of the three forces, and then annihilate them. Now that the 6th Army has not only not been annihilated, but has also inflicted heavy losses on the Soviet Stalingrad Front, this road is hopeless. The 6th Army not only ensured the flank and rear security of Army Group A, but also supported Army Group A. Relying only on the strength of the Black Sea Group and the Northern Cluster of the Transcaucasian Front, which were frontally defended by the Soviet Union in the Caucasus, it was simply unrealistic to completely annihilate Army Group A, and all they could do was to feint Army Group A to attract the attention of Army Group 6 and relieve the pressure on the Stalingrad Front, which was greatly damaged.
Therefore, compared with the original history, the strength of the German army has strengthened a large piece, and the strength of the Soviet army has decreased by a large piece, after Wang Fan's analysis, he believes that the possibility of the German army conquering the Caucasus is as high as 6~7 percent, and the remaining 3~4 achievements are the Soviets to play the spirit of not being afraid of death, nailing there like nails, and consuming the offensive momentum of the German army. In the end, Wang Fan believes that the most likely outcome should be that the Soviet Union exerted great patriotic feelings and subjective initiative, and after annihilating a considerable number of German troops, it had to finally abandon the Caucasus defense line and lose the richest grain-producing areas and oil-producing areas, which made the situation of the Soviet War of Resistance increasingly tense, but with the material production and oil production in other regions, the Soviet army's front could still be maintained, and asked the United States of the Stars and Stripes for more material aid. The German Army Group A paid a heavy price (Wang Fan estimated that more than half of the 200,000 troops that could be used for mobility would suffer casualties if the reinforcements joined from the 6th Army were included), and gained a strategic advantage in penetrating the Near East and the Middle East, but because the German army's human resources were exhausted, there were no troops to send, and the Baku oil fields and oil refining equipment in the Caucasus would be completely destroyed by the Soviet army, and Germany could not get the planned oil supply in a short time. In this way, the Soviet and German armies will fall into a situation of lack of mobile forces, enter a phase of stalemate for several months, recruit soldiers, produce weapons, recover, look for opportunities, and fight a decisive battle again.
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