Volume 12 Prelude to the Great War Chapter 51 The First Strategy Card

U.S. negotiator interviewed by reporters before boarding a plane at Beijing International Airport... River; The United States will not sign an agreement with any country concerning more than 40,000 Kurds without the participation of the countries concerned, and not only does the whole world know that the Republic and the United States are negotiating in secret, but it also tells everyone unequivocally that the negotiations are completely over. In other words, it is not a pause, but an end.

On June Day, diplomatic personnel from the Republic and the United States acted almost simultaneously.

On the morning of the same day, the main US secretary of state for Middle East affairs arrived in Ankara as a special presidential envoy to formally negotiate with Turkey to resolve the Kurdish issue.

Although the Turkish authorities were very reluctant, under international pressure, they had to engage with the United States.

Don't say anything else. On the same day, tens of thousands of Turks gathered at Ankara International Airport to protest against the visiting US presidential envoy, and some ultranationalists threatened to take substantive action if the Turkish authorities signed any agreement with the United States that harmed national interests.

In the afternoon of the same day, dozens of bloody violent incidents against Kurds broke out in Kurdish-populated areas in southeastern Turkey, resulting in hundreds of Kurdish casualties.

Although the Turkish authorities declared martial law and curfews in the Kurdistan region that night and sent military and police into the towns, the campaign against the Kurds by ultranationalist groups did not end. According to information from some European news media, on the same day, thousands of Kurdish-owned shops were smashed in Siirte alone. Thousands of Kurds fled their homes that had become purgatory overnight, and the military and police stationed in the city did nothing to stop the violent aggression against the Kurds.

At this point, the Turkish authorities have no other choice.

For decades, the Turkish authorities have taken a hard line on the national issue. So far, the Turkish authorities have not admitted to being born in the old occupation year to the state? In the intervening years, the Armenian massacre, which resulted in the death of the thug Tin Wan Armenians, was mainly located in the southeastern region of Turkey, from Mount Monzur to Lake Van and was a Turkish minority along with the Kurds.

It is precisely this relatively extreme ethnic policy that has caused Turkey to be alien to Western countries in many ways. In a sense, the EU would rather admit Tunisia on the southern shore of the Mediterranean than engage in accession negotiations with Turkey, mainly because of its overly extreme ethnic policy, in addition to Turkey's territorial and maritime disputes with Greece. Not to mention that the European Union, which actively advocates national integration, must first achieve national integration if it wants to become a unified country, and even the United States is very dissatisfied with the ethnic policy of the Turkish authorities.

For decades, Turkey has been in a very awkward position in the U.S. alliance system, where the U.S. has never included Turkey in its inner circle. After the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union, Turkey was the first country in the NATO bloc to purchase weapons and equipment from Russia and the Republic on a large scale, and the key reason was that the parliaments of the United States and European countries believed that Turkey would use the purchased weapons and equipment against the Armenians and Kurds, violating relevant laws and restricting the sale of rocket artillery, self-propelled howitzers, tactical ballistic missiles, and even anti-infantry mines, cluster bombs and aerial rockets to Turkey. Weapons and ammunition capable of causing mass casualties.

Because Turkey has adopted a "non-cooperative" attitude on the ethnic issue, the US authorities, in order to avoid the deterioration of bilateral relations, have basically not taken the initiative to raise the Turkish ethnic issue for several years. In order to maintain the US-Turkish alliance, the US authorities have been trying to find ways to provide Turkey with advanced weapons and equipment. For example, around the year of Likou, the Turkish Army intends to purchase a new self-propelled howitzer to replace the old artillery that has been in service with the Turkish army for several years; Because the Turkish authorities refused to guarantee that the purchased howitzers would not be used against the PKK guerrillas in the south, the German government did not approve the arms trade for the sale of old Type IV self-propelled howitzers to Turkey, with the four best fighters at the beginning of the century; Under these circumstances, the United States actively encouraged South Korea, which eventually led to Turkey's purchase of Scorching Millimeter self-propelled howitzers from South Korea, and many spare parts for such guns came from the United States.

The problem is that the national problem in Turkey is real and cannot be covered up for a long time.

In a sense, the willingness of the US authorities to conduct secret negotiations with the republic on the Kurdish issue has a lot to do with Turkey's non-cooperative attitude. Say it directly, if Turkey is willing

"Listen to persuasion." By adopting a relatively moderate ethnic policy, granting appropriate autonomy to the Kurds and Armenians, and easing the ethnic contradictions at home, the United States has absolutely no reason to discuss the Kurdish issue with the republic.

At this point, Turkey has only two options: to face international pressure alone, perhaps even by a multinational coalition led by the Republic, or to follow the orders of the United States and meet the challenge together with the United States. There is no doubt that the Turkish authorities will choose the latter as long as they have a little brain. In fact, by declaring martial law and a curfew, the Turkish authorities expressed their willingness to cooperate with the United States. The address of this site has been changed to: Eliminate the heart, delete please log in to read!

Of course, Turkey has a lot to do before it can officially cooperate.

According to the information provided by the Military Intelligence Agency, the first condition that the US presidential envoy put forward when he met with the Turkish president was to disguise all ultra-nationalist organizations.

It's not hard to see why. Because these organizations are an obstacle for the United States to send troops to Turkey

According to the three laws passed by the U.S. Congress at the end of the century, when Congress determines that there is a serious problem of ethnic persecution in Turkey, all U.S. military operations in Turkey must be approved by Congress. In other words, if the United States wants to fight a war in Turkey, it has to pass the threshold of Congress.

Regardless of the White House's relationship with Congress, it's a nuisance.

Not to mention anything else, if the Democratic Party members were to take military action, they could spend several months discussing the proposal to send troops, and when the time came to the end, there would be no need to send troops.

On the other hand, it is also helping the Turkish authorities.

As long as a war breaks out with the Kurds, no matter what the war looks like, the first thing the United States must ensure is that the Kurds in Turkey will not be persecuted, at least not as tragic as the thugs did more than four years ago. In other words. If born "Kurdish massacre." "Even if the United States is willing to send troops to defend Turkey, it is impossible for the United States to win the final victory in this war without losing its morality. And so it goes. The United States has good enough reasons to help Turkey solve its domestic problems and to play the role of extremist groups that are likely to cause trouble during the war.

It was for this reason that the MIA concluded that the war would not break out in June.

The reason is simple: even if the Turkish president agrees to the US demands, it will take time to disguise the extremist group. Because some extremist groups have close contacts with the Turkish government, and some of them are secretly supported by Turkish intelligence agencies, the Turkish authorities must do a good job of dealing with the aftermath, otherwise the matter will become big and no one will be able to take the road. More importantly, the Turkish president is very likely to bargain with the United States on this issue, that is, he will not immediately take all extremist organizations, but will selectively take a few extremist organizations, and then ask the United States for assistance.

In this way, it is possible that the war will drag on until the bottom of the East explodes.

Of course, when will the war break out. It is not for Turkey, and it is not for the United States.

When the special envoy of the President of the United States arrived in Ankara, the special plane of the Prime Minister and Minister for Foreign Affairs of the Republic Yan Shanglong also arrived in Baghdad.

Compared to the Assistant Secretary of State, the Prime Minister of the State Council of the Republic carries much more weight.

What makes the outside world a little puzzling is that Yan Shanglong's first visit to the Middle East was Iraq.

Of course, this also makes senseo Iraq has only fewer Kurds than Turkey, and Iraq must be indispensable to solve the Kurdish problem.

What the outside world does not know is that after Yan Shanglong arrived in Baghdad, the first thing he talked about with the Iraqi president was not the Kurdish issue. It is a question of military deployment.

In fact. This is also related to the Kurdish issue, because according to the subsequent announcement by the two sides, in order to ensure the security of the Kurds in Iraq, a "Kurdish security zone" will be established in the northern part of Iraq, and the military peacekeepers sent by the republic will be responsible for security work in the security zone, and the Iraqi authorities will be responsible for providing corresponding support and support for the peacekeepers of the republic.

Of course, sovereignty over the so-called security zone still belongs to Iraq, and the officials of the security zone are also appointed by the central government of Iraq, and the Republican ** team is only responsible for maintaining law and order. According to the ongoing negotiations between the two sides, after the end of the year, the Kurds will establish an autonomous government.

In compensation, the Republic will provide Iraq with annual infrastructure assistance, including financial, technical and personnel, in accordance with the final negotiated agreement, to build the foundations of a modern State for Iraq and to build Iraq into a highly industrialized country.

Because the issue of aid involves private investment. Therefore, the government of the republic will not be involved in the concrete construction

Make.

In any case, after this news was announced, global public opinion was in an uproar.

There is no doubt that in solving the Kurdish problem, the republic has adopted a diametrically opposed approach to Western countries.

For decades, many Western countries, including the United States, have only accused Turkey's ultra-ethnic policy of seriously harming the interests of ethnic minorities, and then exerted pressure on the Turkish authorities through sanctions, embargoes, etc., without looking for the root cause and solving the problem at the root. The new address of this site has been changed to: Regret the heart, please log in to read!

From a substantive point of view, in addition to being embodied in ideology, such as culture, beliefs, and customs, ethnic contradictions are mainly related to subsistence resources, that is, land, water sources, minerals, and other material factors. In a sense, with the material base guaranteed, the ideological gap does not lead to serious national contradictions.

For example, before the Second World War. Germany and France have been hostile for hundreds of years, and the main problems that lead to hostility between the two countries are related to material factors; The rapprochement between Germany and France in the aftermath of World War II and the establishment of the European Union had a lot to do with the fact that, in addition to the need to deal with more powerful threats together, the economies of both countries reached a level where the material factors that determined the survival of the nation were no longer repeated.

From this point of view, there is a great similarity between the Kurdish problem and the Somali piracy problem in those days. In order to fundamentally solve the Kurdish problem, the first thing we need to do well is to help a few countries concerned develop their economies, change the basis of the survival of these countries and nations, fundamentally alleviate ethnic contradictions, and achieve great national integration.

This is the approach adopted by the Republic in Iraq.

Although the establishment of a "safe zone" in northern Iraq has nothing to do with economic development, other policies are helping Iraq to develop its economy.

In fact, the Western world is not unaware of the reasoning.

After the news was announced, Western news media such as Delete and AFP unanimously said, "Well, Republican County has struck a leading role in the Western world on the Middle East issue."

Although this statement is a bit vague, the sourness in it is still very noticeable.

From another point of view, the Western world's refusal to make a fuss about the economy has a lot to do with the fact that Western countries have been using economic exhibitions to force Middle Eastern countries to conform and control the world's energy resources. To put it bluntly, if the countries of the Middle East are prosperous and strong, will they still listen to the command of Western countries? If the Arab world had the economic strength of European countries, it would be able to become the fourth largest country after the Republic, the United States, and the European Union, and thus have the right to speak globally.

It is precisely for this reason that when Yan Shanglong flew to Tehran, the ambassadors of France, Germany, Italy, and other countries to China urgently met with senior officials of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic and expressed their concern in a certain sense. Subsequently. The Russian ambassador to China also submitted a note to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the republic, hoping that the authorities of the republic would explain in detail the "Iraqi policy". Before Yan Shanglong concluded his visit to the Middle East, the US Bureau of Guidance and Information inquired about the foreign policy of the Republic through Canada and Australia, hoping that the Republic would be able to take a more secure stance on the Middle East issue.

No matter how subtle these diplomatic words may be, they all express the concerns of Western countries.

Of course, it is certainly not only the Western countries that are paying attention to this matter.

After visiting Tehran and Damascus, Yan Shanglong did not immediately return to the republic, but went to Cairo on June, Riyadh on June 7, Amman on June 8, and returned to Beijing on the afternoon of June 20.

During his visits to Cairo, Riyadh, and Amman, Yan Shanglong explained the republic's Middle East policy to the leaders of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan, respectively, and expressed in a very clear way, at least in the eyes of one diplomat, the republic's long-term diplomatic stance that it will support the Arab countries in achieving reunification in stages when conditions are ripe, and that he is willing to provide assistance to all Arab countries to the best of his ability through economic exchanges, military cooperation, diplomatic assistance, cultural exchanges, and so on during this period.

In a sense, it was only by this time that the Republic played its first strategic card.

During the visit, Yan Shanglong also consulted with the authorities of Iraq, Syria, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Jordan on a case-by-case basis, that is, the Republic should provide the basic conditions at an appropriate time. On the basis of the "League of Arab States", we will hold meetings of leaders of the highest level and do something of practical significance for the Arab world. Because the Republic has already shown its sincerity on the Iraq issue, and its relations with several Arab countries are relatively close, and the Premier of the State Council has personally intervened, these Arab countries have not objected to it and have expressed their active cooperation.

When this news was announced, the Western world was not in an uproar, but in shock.

You must know that after the unification of the Arab world is completed, the most hurt will definitely be the Christian countries dominated by the Western world. What is even more problematic for Western countries is that there is no moral reason to oppose the unity of the Arab world. In any case, if a feud like France and Germany can come together for European unity, why can't enemies like Iraq and Kuwait come together for the unification of Arab countries?

In any case, when the two major powers are singing on the international stage, they have to be reasonable in everything they do.

As long as they are reasonable, Western countries cannot do whatever they want.

In fact, this is the biggest difference between the republic and the former Soviet Union, which is also the importance of "morality".

Of course, the strongest reaction was certainly Israel.

You must know that there was a wave of unification in the Arab world during the era of the Blade Century, and the fundamental reason that forced the Arab world to seek reunification at that time was that Israel, founded by the Jews, posed a threat to the surrounding Arab countries and forced the Arab countries to fight for survival. Although decades have passed, Israel has not eliminated any Arab countries, but the Middle East has become an arena for great power struggles, and the Arab world is holding high the banner of unity.

It was precisely for this reason that Yan Shanglong had just returned to China and received the Israeli ambassador to China. The new address of this site has been changed to: Heart. 8. Please read the law!

Although Yan Shanglong assured that the republic's Middle East politics would not be directed against Israel, let alone the Jews, such assurances were basically meaningless.

In June, the Israeli prime minister flew to Washington and began to ask the United States for help.

The problem is that now the whole world is not focused on the Palestinian-Israeli issue, but on the Kurdish issue, and the US focus is also on Turkey, so the Israeli prime minister cannot gain much in Washington.

Of course, the Israeli Prime Minister's visit has fundamentally determined the direction of the situation in the Middle East.

In a sense, the most desirable of the Israeli prime minister to Washington is certainly the US president.

For those who follow the situation in the Middle East closely, June Day is definitely an important day to remember, because on this night, US President Randes not only made a promise to the Israeli Prime Minister, at any time and under any circumstances. The United States will fight for Israel's interests. On the other side of the Atlantic, the Turkish president formally promised the US assistant secretary of state that he would take out all extremist groups in the country within a month and actively promote the policy of national autonomy in accordance with the relevant agreements.

At this point, there is no suspense about the war in the Middle East.