Compare it to the Jewish question. The question of the Arabs is very complicated. ※

Nominally, "Arabs" is a national designation, but in terms of specific ethnic divisions. The Arabs are very similar to the Han Chinese, i.e., they do not have a fixed basic culture that is recognized by all members. Broadly speaking, Arabic speakers and Arabic speakers are Arabs, and those who do not speak Arabic and do not use Arabic consider themselves Arabs.

To put it simply, "Arabs, small is actually a very broad term."

Influenced by historical, geographical and other factors, especially in history, the Arabs created a large empire across Europe, Asia and Africa, so the distribution range of the Arabs is very wide, and the regional differences are very obvious.

As a result, it is almost impossible to unify the Arabs under a single government.

After the Second World War, the Arab world, influenced by national independence movements, made such an attempt to unify all Arabs under a single government. This effort came to naught with the crushing defeat of the Arab League in the Third Middle East War. In the decades that followed, the U.S.-dominated world landscape remained unchanged. Thus, instead of achieving any results, efforts to unify the Arab world became unattainable after several regional wars. It was not until the end of the century, when the United States was defeated on the battlefield in Iran and the republic rose in the East, that the unification efforts of the Arab world saw new hope. However, this is only a hope. Because the "Arab world" is a vast meaning of an area of 10,000 square kilometers, a population of more than 4 square kilometers, and more than 20 countries, neither the republic nor other countries that want to intervene in the Middle East are too interested in the "great cause of reunification" in the Arab world, and even deliberately avoid it.

The republic is bouncing on the Jewish question. Relations with the Arabs are the closest.

To put it more bluntly, if the Arab question is not properly resolved, that is, if the Arab countries are prevented from uniting under a single government without provoking the Arabs, it will be in no interest to the Republic or any other great power.

Obviously, Europe also does not want a strong Arab state on its side.

You know, the Arab world includes not only the Middle East and the Gulf, but also North Africa and even parts of the Balkans in Europe. In other words, if there is a centripetal force towards unification in the Arab world, Europe will also be a victim.

Fortunately, Europe and the Republic share a common interest in this issue.

One of the most important provisions of the Cairo Agreement was the Republic's commitment not to support the establishment of a united Arab State.

As a compensatory agreement, Europe will support the creation of a "pan-Arab alliance." ”

Obviously, these two agreements definitely have an extremely far-reaching impact. Some believe that this was the trigger for the division of the Arab world. Others believe that this is the beginning of chaos in the Middle East. It is also believed that this is the source of the turmoil in the post-war world. Some people even believe that this is a battle between the East and the West.

Anyway. These are two hegemonic agreements, two hegemonic agreements that do not take into account the interests of the Arabs at all.

Outwardly, the republic was under pressure from Europe. Forced to make concessions at the expense of the Arabs in exchange for their own interests. Look the other way around. It can also be considered that Europe, in order to help the Jews, had to make compromises with the Republic on the question of the Arabs.

Suffice it to say, neither side wants to be held responsible.

In situations where both parties want to pass the buck. The result is that both parties are held accountable.

To put it mildly, these two agreements. It is enough to discourage more than 4 B Arabs.

Of course, behind these two public agreements; There are many more secrets that no one knows.

There is no doubt that the republic and Europe have built on this basis, against "going to Israel." Later, the sphere of influence in the Middle East and even the entire pan-Arab zone was planned.

According to some information that has not been confirmed, and may never be confirmed, long before the Cairo Agreement was signed, the Republic and the European Union reached a crucial secret agreement that clearly defined the spheres of influence at the crossroads of Europe, Asia and Africa.

North Africa, west of Egypt, would be Europe's traditional sphere of influence. That is, after the end of the war, the Republic will withdraw its troops from Morocco, since the fortress of Gibraltar is not part of the North African region. It also did not belong to the Arab countries, so the republic did not promise to withdraw its troops from the fortress of Gibraltar and hand over the dominance of the region to the European states. In return, Europe would promise not to expand into North Africa, that is, not to absorb North African countries into the "Greater European State" established after the war.

The region of West Asia, east of Jordan, will be the traditional sphere of influence of the republic. Because Europe did not have troops in the region, the post-war planning of the region was entirely up to the republic, and Europe had to do it. It is only a matter of acceptance and recognition of what the Republic has done in the region. In return, the republic pledged to share West Asia with Europe in areas that did not involve national sovereignty, such as the economy, trade, etc. From Egypt to Jordan, it will be a buffer zone of influence between the republic and Europe.

In fact, this is the heart of the so-called "Pan-Arab League".

Although it is much different from the pre-war plan of the republic, after all, Syria and Iraq are excluded from this small core area, and Egypt itself has a strong sense of independence, so the republic is there

Heart, the influence of the Latin American countries will certainly not be great, but Egypt has always been strict in the expansion of the North African region, so as long as Europe does not go too far," the Pan-Arab League of States. It will definitely become a framework organization, and there will be no concubine big influence.

Because Europe is also afraid of a powerful Arab state, the republic's fears are completely unnecessary.

To put it bluntly, the biggest victim of this secret agreement is the Arab world. To be precise, other Arab countries besides Egypt.

Because the fundamental interests are safeguarded, both the Republic and Europe are beneficiaries.

During the war, Egypt benefited most from becoming a central country in the Arab world. There is no doubt that Egypt has benefited, and it is a huge benefit. Syria and Iraq, by contrast, are the victorious powers, and they have paid a huge price for the war, but in exchange for a few false names that have little practical meaning.

Not to mention compared with Egypt, even Morocco, as a defeated country, cannot be compared. From this perspective, it is strange that the Arab world will not be divided after the war.

Knowing this, it is not difficult to understand why the post-war Arab world became a source of instability.

As the most powerful Arab country, Egypt does not hesitate to betray other Arab countries for its own interests. Although after the end of the Great War. Egypt's position in the Middle East and North Africa has been recognized by the Republic and Europe, and it is recognized as a regional power, as well as by Arab countries such as Jordan and Palestine. But Egypt's influence is confined to this small triangle.

In a sense, Europe has little to gain from this secret agreement to carve up the Arab world.

If you look a little bigger, you can see it. Europe has made big concessions on the Arab question. On the Eurasian continent, although Europe stabilized the front by sending troops to Russia, and by dividing up the small European regions of Russia with the republics, and by establishing a new Russian Federation with the republics after the war, and kept the republics out thousands of miles away with a Russia that was not too weak, Europe had lost the strategic initiative and the space for eastward expansion was completely blocked. From the European standpoint, the only option other than to stretch across the Atlantic is to cross the Mediterranean Sea and go south to the African continent. For Europe to gain a foothold on the continent, it must first control sub-Saharan Africa.

In fact, this is the basic expansionist policy that Europe has adhered to for decades.

To put it mildly, Europe refused to budge first on the Jewish question, because it did not want the republic to get involved in North Africa through the Middle East.

The problem is that the contest between countries depends on strength. And not willingness.

In the case of the car that must be defended to the death of Israel. Europe can only sacrifice its own interests.

As a result, the republic's armies halted their advance on the Golan Heights, and Egypt, which had always been wary of European expansion, became the republic's thugs.

To put it bluntly, an Egypt that has tasted the sweetness. It will definitely cause a lot of trouble for Europe.

Among other things, it will be difficult for Europe to take over the entire North African region with Egypt's obstruction.

Under Egypt's obstruction, it is unlikely that Europe will cross the Sahara Desert and extend its tentacles into the "black Africa".

From this small point of view, instead of making concessions, the republic retreated into advance, leaving the problem to Europe, putting Europe on the opposite side of the Arab world, and then intervening. Thus completing the strategic encirclement of Europe at minimal cost.

Of course, Europe is not stupid and will not fail to understand the strategic intentions of the republics.

This is why Europe is actively supporting the "Pan-Arab League". If a strong Arab state is a threat to Europe, then a united Arab world can be a threat to the republic. The Republic supports Egypt in making a difference in the North African region. Then Europe supports Egypt's presence in the Arab world.

Obviously, this is the reason for the fishing profits in Egypt.

The problem is that Egypt is only a regional power, and it does not even have the foundation to become a quasi-power. More importantly, the Arab world is fragmented, and Egypt's overall strength is only 20% of that of the entire Arab world, so even if it can take advantage of the republic's struggle with Europe to achieve unprecedented development, Egypt will not be able to become the center of the Arab world, at least not alone.

From this, it can be seen that the republic has only lost the opportunity to enter North Africa.

Because North Africa is on Europe's doorstep. So the republic never intended to take control of North Africa.

To put it simply, the republic has not lost its shigong

This is also characteristic of the Third World War. i.e. in the case of a direct confrontation between the republic and the United States. Because there was no great power like the Soviet Union in World War II, the hegemony of the republic was not limited, and even if Europe tried to prevent the republic's unbridled expansion, the results of their efforts were still very limited.

The complex problems of the Arab world have become the object of exploitation by the republic.

Comparatively speaking, the Turkish question, which is linked to the Arab question, is much simpler.

As part of the Cairo Agreement, the Republic undertook to renounce its interests in Turkey. Under the condition that the sovereign interests of Kurdistan and Iran are guaranteed, the republic does not send troops to occupy Turkey, and the intensive group does not send troops to Turkey. And what to do after the "tie-up point" from the continent is to provide the republic with a prison waiver at the time of the ten elections.

That is, the republic ceded Turkey to Europe.

Of course, use "let" to do this. The word, or too polite.

Turkey is a hot potato for the republic. As a country with a population of more than 100 million, even if the republic can defeat the Turkish army, it will not be able to completely conquer the Turks. Not to mention the long-term occupation of the whole of Turkey, during the wars in the Middle East. In order to control the occupied territories, the coalition forces of the intensive group paid a great price. On average, nearly a thousand people are killed every day. The war is not over. Several allies, including Iraq and Syria, have pledged to withdraw their troops from Turkey after the war is over and will not assume occupation obligations. If the obligation to occupy Turkey were to be borne entirely by the republic, it would inevitably have a major impact on post-war construction.

The gains from the occupation of Turkey were small compared to the enormous effort.

Without taking into account Turkey's relations with European countries, the authorities of the republic retreated.

For Europe, Turkey is also a hot potato.

Although relations between Europe and Turkey have improved greatly after Kurdistan's independence, at least France, Germany and Italy have blamed Turkey for national issues, and lifted the arms embargo against Turkey before the outbreak of the war, but due to the influence of Turkey's relations with Greece, Europe has been very careful in dealing with Turkey's problems.

You must know that Greece has long been dissatisfied with the bias of France, Germany, Italy and other countries in favor of Turkey.

Before the outbreak of World War III. The Continent does not need to think too much about Greece's feelings. After all, for Greece, which has left the NATO bloc and parted ways with the United States, there really is no better option than to remain within the European Union until the Republic reaches its tentacles into the Mediterranean.

The problem is, it's not the same anymore.

With the republic gaining a foothold in the eastern Mediterranean. Greece has a second option, which is to leave Europe and join Asia, joining the intensive bloc. If you really want to make trouble at this point, let alone expand outward, it would be very good for Europe to be able to stabilize its own members. To the west of Greece lies the former Yugoslavia, known as the "powder keg of Europe", to the north are Romania and Bulgaria, which have close ties to the republics, and the Alpine countries, which are not too economical. As long as the Republic succeeds in Greece on the European continent, Europe will not be at peace.

Greece is the death hole of Europe, and Europe must defend Greece.

To hold Greece is to control Turkey.

Affected by this, Europe had no choice and had to take over the mess when the republic did not want to clean up the mess.

Of course, in a sense, this is not necessarily a bad thing.

Strategically, this pushed at least four kilometers eastward the European strategic line of defense in Asia Minor, preventing the Republic from gaining access to the continent through Turkey. Nor can it take full advantage of Russia's access to the Black Sea, thereby significantly reducing the strategic space of the republic in the Mediterranean, which can have a significant impact on the European continent

More importantly, Europe has been given an opportunity to resolve the Cyprus problem.

Precisely, the European powers were given the opportunity to use the Cyprus problem to influence Greece.

Although Greece and Turkey have serious territorial and territorial disputes, the crux of the conflict between the two countries lies in Cyprus, that is, the conflict between the Greek and Turkish communities living on the island.

Just make the most of the Cyprus problem. The European powers would be able to keep Greece in Europe instead of throwing it into the arms of the republics.

Of course, using Turkey would also increase Europe's influence in the Islamic world. To know. In terms of population, Turkey is the third largest Islamic country after Indonesia and Pakistan, and it is one of the top five countries in the Islamic world in terms of overall strength. Because of its border with Iran, Europe can also use Turkey to exert influence over the Islamic world's third-largest country in terms of overall strength.

What's more, the strategic defense space in the east of Europe is very limited, so if it wants to stop the republic and break up the strategic encirclement built by the republic, the best option for Europe is to make full use of the surrounding areas, especially Islamic countries. So that the republic can not limit the living space of Europe as it pleases.

The republic is making trouble for Europe, and Europe is also causing trouble for the republic.

It is only when the republic has to focus on other things that Europe has a chance to break through the encirclement and move from a regional power confined to the European continent and the North Atlantic to a global power. Of course, this takes a long process.

Just as Egypt will not put aside its own interests and work for other countries, those Islamic countries that have the ability to talk to the great powers will not willingly act as thugs of the great powers.

For thousands of years, there has been no peace in the Middle East.

It turns out that even the republic is the only major power in the last four decades of the twenty-first century. As the great cause of the unification of human civilization is still far away, the Middle East region will still not be peaceful.

This crossroads of the world is destined to be the stage of a great power!

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