Chapter 306: Strategic Analysis
"Lieutenant Colonel Bach, you should probably understand the predicament that your Germany is now facing. First of all, you Germany are a rising star, and you have not been able to seize the glory of the Great Voyage and acquire colonies. And when you rise to Germany, it turns out that now the colonies of the world have been carved up, and all the areas that have not yet been civilized have almost been encircled by people, and you have no valuable land for you to occupy. And I know very well what you are doing now, that sooner or later you will have a desperate battle with the old powers for the sake of the colonies. You don't have to be denied, you don't have to play stupid in front of me, I know the situation better than any of you. But how much have you prepared for this war? ”
"First of all, your population is not advantageous, your population is not as good as those Britain, France, Russia and the United States combined, even if you add your pig teammates, you can't compare to them. And industrial strength, you look good, but at that time it was established that there were no Americans in the war, and if the Americans entered the war, then you should not tell you that your industrial strength is the first in the world. As for the army, perhaps you are second only to us Taiwan in terms of firepower, and you are better than us in individual soldiers, so I will give you some face, even if you are the same as our Taiwanese soldiers. But how many soldiers can you have? It's only millions, and that's your limit. ”
"As for your resources, your sources of resources are accumulated before the war, and once the war starts you will face the disadvantage of shipping. The British's will block your shipping, and then you won't be able to replenish it, and you'll have fewer resources. And your colony, hehe, I don't need to say more about this. When the time comes, your colony will not be able to provide resources. However, your opponents are constantly getting resources from the colonies, so you will be defeated in the long run. ”
"And you don't have a choice, you can only choose to pull us into the water as much as possible. If we China support you, we China can do everything we can to provide you with resources and original works, and our China is not a vain thing, even the British have to admit this. And with us as a resource supplement. Then your pressure is reduced countless times over. As for our China in the East to contain Russia, then the pressure on your troops will also be reduced. In addition, in the end, we have a Chinese population of 400 million, and if we are fully mobilized, theoretically speaking, we can completely mobilize 40 million troops. Do you know what it means to have 40 million troops? If 40 million troops had the same weapons as you Germans, I believe they could sweep the globe. So as long as we China join the fight, then you can guarantee that you will not lose, and whether you can win or not depends on your own ability. ”
After listening to Wang Guorui's analysis of the future trend, Bach had to agree with Wang Guorui's words. And he also recognized that Wang Guorui is a strategist who can predict the future situation. And the Schlieffen plan of the Germans had two loopholes, one was if France could withstand the onslaught of the Germans. If the Russians are mobilized, then Germany is already an inevitable defeat. And Germany did not think about finding an ally in the East, but there were not many allies in the East. Japan is unreliable because Japan has no resources, and Japan is a dog like the British, which is not interesting. And now it happens to be a perfect ally, and if it has the support of China, then Germany can be invincible in the first place.
Even Germans have to admit that the first thing to consider as a general is not victory. It's about thinking about how not to let yourself fail. Defeat before victory, this is an inevitable element of ancient and modern Chinese and foreign famous generals. If there is no such su. Then sooner or later you'll lose even your pants. Therefore, if Germany has China as an ally, it can be said that it will benefit and harmless. However, this is true militarily, but not necessarily politically. Because if China rises, it will also be bad for Germany from the point of view of confrontation between the Eastern and Western worlds.
Even if Germany has contradictions with Britain, France, and Russia, it is still a "contradiction among the people" in the Western world. If it rises to the confrontation between the East and the West, once China rises, I am afraid that it will be very dangerous for the entire Western world. After all, China has also been the hegemon of the Eastern world since ancient times, and the only Celestial Empire, which has a strong cultural influence on neighboring countries. If China regains its status as the Celestial Empire, then the resources of the entire East will also be concentrated in China.
But compared to the West, that is a problem. They don't have an absolutely powerful country that can unite the Western world, and they each have their own culture, and they don't have a multitude of nationalities, so they don't have a national culture that can unite them. In this way, the Western world is actually a mess, and cannot be compared with the monoculture and state of the East. Therefore, when Western countries laugh at China's scattered sand, but once it rises to the confrontation between the East and the West, then the Western countries will be scattered sand, while the East is relatively much more united. The situation is relative, depending on which level. Even in World War II, why did the United States desperately support China's resistance against Japan? In fact, they are still worried that Japan will destroy China, and then recruit tens of millions of "imperial allies" to fight the United States in Europe, so that the United States will really be in danger. Although this situation is very humiliating, it is enough to show that in all Asian countries, whether it is Japan or China, it is common to all countries in Asia.
If it rises to the confrontation between the East and the West, then the West will be relatively inferior. This is also the reason why countries such as Britain, France, and Russia must suppress China, after all, once China rises, it can completely integrate the entire East Asia, and some West Asian countries will confront it, so the advantage is too obvious for Western countries.
Even Wilhelm II saw this. Although cooperation with China is beneficial to Germany, if China rises, it will be a very great danger for Western countries, and the center of the world will return to the East again, so they will definitely face a very headache result. From the point of view of Schlieffen, a soldier, he was in favor of cooperating with China, but Wilhelm II, a politician, was very worried about China's rise, and once he cooperated with China, it would be inevitable that China's leader would be the Eastern world, which would be unfavorable to the Western world. Wilhelm II and Schlieffen considered different levels, which led to different results for both sides.
"Governor Wang, you let me go back and think about it, and send a telegram to the Europeans, so that our senior officials in Europe can discuss it!" Bach said.
Bach sent the relevant Wang Guorui's analysis of the international situation back home, and this made Germany even more worried.
However, in the office, Kang Tongwei was asking Wang Guorui: "Husband, will the Germans agree?" If the Germans cooperate with us, the result will be that they will face a serious challenge from China, and the Western world will easily lose its leading edge. If so, will they agree? ”
"Yes, they will agree. Because by cooperating with us, the Western world has lost its position as the leader of the earth, but if it does not cooperate with us, the fate of the Germans will be very miserable. The situation in the Western world, in fact, is like the Spring and Autumn Period and the Warring States Period in our country, where its own interests far exceed the interests of the country and the nation. During our Spring and Autumn Period and the Warring States Period, Wu Zixu was able to bring the armies of other countries to invade in order to take revenge, and finally whipped King Chuping. And how about Germany? The Germans are like Wu Zixu's small family, and the Western world is also a big country. In the Western world, although they have a mentality of confrontation between East and West, it is too difficult to really unite the West against the East. ”
"This is like Wu Zixu back then, you asked him to sacrifice his family's life for the country, do you think he can do it? It may be possible to do it now, but it was something that could not be done during the Spring and Autumn Period and the Warring States Period. If Germany were asked to do their part for the West, they would probably agree. But they are not willing to sacrifice themselves for the sake of the Western world, and are willing to sit back and watch their country perish. In the final analysis, there are too many countries and nationalities in the Western world, and they can't be twisted into a rope, and they can't be forcibly tied together by an absolutely strong country, which is why they are so scattered. ”
"If I think about it from another perspective, I'm afraid I would also choose to cooperate with us in China. Because what East-West confrontation is too far away for a single country. Just like China, we will not sacrifice ourselves for the so-called confrontation between the East and the West, and neither will Japan. Even North Korea would not have such a high level of consciousness. So everyone doesn't have such a high level of consciousness, so it's better to take care of yourself. Therefore, although Wilhelm II would have feared that China would cause the Yellow Peril, he could only take care of the present and ensure that Germany would not be destroyed. As for the rise of China in the future, we will talk about it later, that is, it will be handed over to the next generation to solve it! Our generation, that is, to do a good job of our generation, what East and West compete for the right to speak in the world, that is mostly the next generation's business. Wang Guorui said. (To be continued......)