"Dad, Uncle Chen Guang sent a telegram from China." "He met a group of people in China who wanted to rebel, and they wanted to buy some weapons from him," Greystone told Scrooge. Uncle Chen thinks that there may be a long-term business to be done. So sent us this telegram back. ”

"I'll see." Scrooge said as he took the telegram from Greystone's hand.

"He actually met the forerunner of the revolution?" Seeing Chen Guang's telegram, Scrooge was slightly taken aback. He didn't quite remember when the forerunners of the revolution began to make revolutions, but it seemed that the revolution would not be until after the Hundred Days Restoration, right? Mr. Sun started making a revolution so soon?

"Greystone, what do you think of your Uncle Chen Guang's opinion?" Scrooge silently read the message, and then asked.

"In any case, China, with a population of 400 million, is definitely a market that cannot be ignored." "And the door to this market is relatively easy to open." Unlike India, where such a large market is actually occupied by the British, our goods cannot be sold at all. We have limited influence in China today compared to the British and French, which is not a good thing. However, when you think about it, we still have some advantages. ”

"Go on." Scrooge said, leaning back into the thick, soft couch.

"The British and French opened the gates of China directly with guns. This made the Chinese very humiliated. And after that, the British and French dumped crows on a large scale in China. The film's actions have made some of the most influential people in the Chinese particularly hateful to them. In contrast, we Americans have a much better image in China. Although I don't think many of them can tell the difference between the United Kingdom, France and our United States. However, relatively speaking, it is more convenient for us to win over the Chinese than the British.

In addition, the impact of the recent Qing-Japanese war on China will be very far-reaching. The incompetence of the Qing government can be said to have been completely exposed in this war. In the past, they often failed, but it was to the white race, but this time, they were defeated by the yellow race like them. As far as I know, the Chinese have always been very proud, and they once considered themselves to be the center of the world, the only civilized people in the world. and the other qiē peoples are regarded as barbarians. Although they were taught a lesson by the British and the French, this pride was still there, at least when they faced other Asian countries. Today's fiasco in the war against Japan inevitably leads to suspicion of the government. The Qing government's control over the local government was already very problematic, and in fact, after Uncle Chen's failed revolution, many places were already in a state of near-semi-independence. The Manchu Empress Dowager was very skillful and spent a lot of effort to gradually re-establish the authority of the central government, but the Manchu government was a small national government, and this war exposed that its force was completely unreliable, and the resistance of the large nation to its rule would naturally be stronger. After this failure, this trend will be even more pronounced. ”

"I know that some Chinese are already calling for a Japanese-style reform to learn from Japan. If the reforms are successful, then the revolution has no future. What do you think? Scrooge asked seemingly nonchalantly.

"Dad, China is not the same as Japan, and it is almost impossible for such a reform to succeed." Greystone said

"Why do you think that the Manchu reforms will not succeed?" Scrooge asked, looking at Greystone, who was standing aside.

Greystone, of course, knew that this was an opportunity to show himself, so he thought for a moment before replying:

"Dad, I remember you told me before that any reform is actually a redistribution of benefits. The essence implicit behind the distribution of benefits is the balance of forces. The premise of reform is a change in the balance of power. The so-called reform in Japan is actually a revolution. Japan's powerful feudal and imperial families united and overthrew the shogunate. In doing this change, the opposition has been crushed, and the interests that originally belonged to him can of course be distributed at will by the winner. With such distributable benefits, the reform can certainly be carried out.

But the situation in China is different. The balance of forces that drove China's reforms was the weakening of the power of the dominant Manchus and the relative rise in the power of the Juche nation. Therefore, the essence of this reform is to let the small ethnic group that occupies the dominant position spit out its vested interests and transfer them to the main ethnic group. In this way, it is strange that the Manchus in the dominant position are willing. If it's not a time of despair, who would want to honestly spit out the benefits that they have eaten and are accustomed to? Although the implicit balance of power has changed now, I don't think they will be willing to cede their own interests. Even if the emperor or the empress dowager behind him was willing, and the entire Manchu people were unwilling, they could not make such a compromise. What's more, such a concession will only make the balance of power more and more unbalanced, and then they have to worry about whether they will lose a qiē step by step. Just as the shogunate of Japan could not tolerate the reform of the 'emperor's own government', or rather, like the southern ...... back then," Greystone looked around for a moment.

Scrooge was amused by Greystone's move, and laughed, "Don't worry, Greystone." Your mom isn't here. ”

Although intellectually has understood why the North has a war with the South, and also understands that the defeat of the South is inevitable, Dorothea is still a staunch Southerner, who dares to say that the South is not good in front of her, no matter who, even if it is Scrooge, she dares to make him unable to step down in person.

Greystone also smiled, but still glanced to the side twice, and then said: "Dad, just like the south back then, don't those southern politicians and generals know that the balance of power has changed, and they don't know that they don't have the strength to resist the north at all?" But the interests of the South as a whole make it impossible for them to make compromises. I dare say that if we go back in time, the South and the North can only solve problems by war. As you said before, the only lesson we learn from history is that we never learn from history. Since Japan, the United States, and Great Britain -- and without the bloody wars of the Protectorate, there would never have been a bloodless Glorious Revolution -- and France was the same. So how can China be an exception? If anyone really wants to carry out such reforms, it will definitely end in failure. But now that the balance of power has changed, if a peaceful compromise does not succeed, there is only one solution left, and that is revolution, that is, war. So, I think it's in our interest to start reaching out to those who want revolution from now on, influencing them, tying them to our chariots, and making them advocates for our interests. ”

"Very good, very good." Scrooge said, "However, your Uncle Chen did not criticize those revolutionary parties in his telegram, and in his words, he even felt that these revolutionary parties were not as good as the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, which was engaged in cults. Is it efficient to nurture such people? ”

"Dad, if they are all very capable, then they can solve the problem on their own, then what do we need to do? Will they compromise with us and endorse our interests? It's like back then, without the support of the French, North America might not have been able to become independent. And the French support us, in addition to weakening Britain, in fact, not to gain benefits from us? It's just that we Americans are so powerful that they can't control it at all, and even let us take advantage of their defeat in Haiti to buy Indiana. If they are capable, this story will repeat itself to us if it is not done well. Therefore, I think that these incompetent revolutionaries are good revolutionaries. Greystone's answer was really a bit of Scrooge's style.

Scrooge nodded. To be honest, choosing supporters is a difficult thing to grasp. The ability of the object of support is too weak, and if it is not done well, it will become Liu Adou who can't be supported, when he takes what you support him, as a transportation captain, and opens a logistics company or something, it really makes you cry and can't cry, just like the original time and space of Scrooge, the Americans have continuously supported several logistics companies, from the world-famous, mission must be achieved, to Tingyan Logistics, which has pit a generation of Americans in order to support him. To Iraqi logistics, which transferred intact M1A1 tanks directly to ISIS, there are countless examples of failures.

For example, the French supported the United States, but the Americans forcibly bought the colony, and the Soviet Union supported the TG, and as a result, it was necessary to put millions of troops on the border. So, it's a really tangled thing. But in general, it's better to open a logistics company than to bite back. Because it's really not good, you can still sell the stupid hat that opened a logistics company to stop loss.

"Well, how are you going to nurture these revolutionaries?" Scrooge asked.

"I reckon that their first operation will definitely fail like a mess." "It's not just because of their ability, it's because there are a lot of people who want to rely on top-down reforms to solve problems." I think that after they fail, let Uncle Chen contact them again, lend them money, let them study in Blackwater, West Point, and provide them with arms, so that I don't think they can resist such temptations, people are inert, so that they will not have too many thoughts of self-reliance. And the economic basis of their various activities is in our hands, so it is inevitable that they will not listen to us in the future. ”