Seeing that the old man named them to express their opinions, He Yingqin, Chen Cheng and Kong Xiangxi glanced at each other, knowing that they had to say something today, otherwise the old man would definitely be unhappy, several people looked at each other, and in the end, Kong Xiangxi, who was the highest-ranking person, was the first to say: "Commission, I think that the peace talks with the Japanese are completely a thankless matter, and it is likely to cause another disaster!" ”

"Oh, tell me about it!" Regarding Kong Xiangxi's opinion, the old man still attaches more importance to it.

Kong Xiangxi paused and said: "We have already talked with the Japanese for two rounds, and the Germans mediated between them should have been three rounds, and the first three times the Japanese did not have the slightest sincerity in the peace talks, no matter how groveling we were, and there was still no result in the peace talks at the end of the day, which can only show one problem, that is, the Japanese do not just want to get some benefits from the party-state, or from the whole of China, just like the First Sino-Japanese War and the September 18 Incident." ”

"In the first two wars, as long as we gave up some interests, the Japanese would stop the armistice, but this time they did not do it, they wanted hundreds of millions of miles of good rivers and mountains in the whole of China, not a little bit of money, all the people who stood in front of the Japanese were their enemies, and they would destroy them mercilessly, unfortunately, it was the most conspicuous stumbling block in front of the Japanese."

"So what, in the end, the Japanese still don't want to negotiate peace with the party-state?" The old man said disappreciatively.

"The reason why the Japanese are negotiating peace with us is entirely because they can't fight anymore, and the reason why the Japanese were so tough before. It was entirely because when launching a full-scale war of aggression against China, the Japanese army generally believed that it would only need to "strike a single blow at the branch" to triumph in the division. Emperor Motosakami Sugiyama said that 'the incident can be resolved in about a month,' and even shouted the arrogant words that China would be destroyed in three months. Japan's Ministry of War regards China as a weak and divided country that cannot be reunified, and as long as Japan shows a tough attitude, China will immediately give in, so just like Fumima Konoe said, they do not regard the party-state as their opponent, and in their eyes the party-state is not worthy of being their opponent at all. ”

However, due to the courageous resistance of the Chinese military and civilians, the Japanese army's quick decision theory was bankrupt. Most of Japan's national strength was consumed on the battlefields of China and there was no time for other care. The prolongation of the war exacerbated Japan's internal and external crises. Therefore, he is anxious to end the war of aggression against China, and I think Director Dai knows this much more clearly than I do, and I can ask him to talk about the current situation in Japan. ”

The old man turned his head to look at Dai Li, and then said, "Yu Nong." Is the situation in Japan really so bad? ”

Dai Li sorted out the information about Japan in his mind a little. Then he got up and said, "Go back to your seat." The situation in Japan is not good. ”

"How is it a bad method, tell me more about it?" The old man said.

Dai said: "Since the end of the Second Battle of Wuhan, the poverty of Japan's national strength has become increasingly superficial. The specific manifestation is that there is a military dilemma. Fatigue; The economy is in crisis; Politically volatile. ”

"In the early days of the full-scale invasion of China, the Japanese army achieved a series of victories and occupied large swathes of China's territory, but the Japanese also paid the price of hundreds of thousands of casualties, the offensive momentum was drastically reduced, and the morale of the army was declining, especially after the Second Battle of Wuhan. Although the Chinese army suffered heavy casualties and was once reduced to less than one million, the party-state did not give in, and the Japanese army's dream of quickly destroying China was frustrated. After paying a huge price, the Japanese army ended up with 1 million troops trapped in the predicament of being unable to move on the mainland. This made many people in the Japanese military feel that there was no way out by relying on force to resolve the Chinese incident. Therefore, changing its policy toward China and seeking peace from war has become an urgent task for Japan at the moment. ”

"In addition, VII. After the Seven Incidents, Japan purchased a large amount of strategic materials from Britain and the United States for use in the war against China, and so far it has consumed a large amount of gold, which has sharply reduced Japan's gold reserves, affected financial stability, and caused the yen to depreciate sharply.

At the same time, due to the expansion and continuation of the war, Japan expanded its military production and converted many civilian factories to military use, resulting in a shortage of electricity supply, which made only 80 percent of the original military production plan in 1939 complete, resulting in a shortage of weapons and ammunition at the front. The restriction on the use of electricity and the conversion of civilian factories to military use have made the supply of civilian goods tight, some resources have been controlled, and the purchase of dozens of commodities in society has been restricted, affecting the people's lives. What was even more serious was the drought that occurred in Japan and in the occupied areas of North China in 1939, which caused a food shortage, and Japan entered a period of food shortage. Food shortages are particularly acute in cities such as Tokyo and Osaka, where citizens are limited to less than two litres at a time. The food problem caused great unrest among the people, and it became the biggest factor in the collapse of the Abe Cabinet, and the Minai Cabinet, which was then formed, continued to agonize over this issue. In addition, due to the intervention of the Saibei governor, the United States imposed economic sanctions against Japan and abrogated the "U.S.-Japan Trade Treaty". This is also a major blow to Japan, which previously accounted for nearly half of its total overseas imports from the United States, and imported most of its strategic goods from the United States. ”

Politically, Japan is also in a dangerous situation of instability, and in just one year, the cabinet has changed hands four times. From the collapse of the Konoe cabinet on January 5, 1939, to the present Japanese government, there have been three prime ministers, Kiichiro Hiranuma, Nobuyuki Abe, and Mitsumasa Yonechi, and now the second cabinet of Konoe Fumima is the fourth prime minister in one year. This made it difficult for Japan to maintain the unity and continuity of the government decree, and also exacerbated the differences and contradictions between factions. These circumstances aroused widespread dissatisfaction among the Japanese people, and the anti-war sentiment of the people grew, and domestic anxiety about the settlement of the incident and unrest in the lives of the people permeated the whole country, increasing the pressure on the Japanese high command. ”

As soon as Dai Li finished speaking, Kong Xiangxi said again: "The reason why the Japanese chose this time to negotiate peace with us is not because they don't want to fight, but because they can't fight anymore, and if they continue to fight, Japan will not become a country." We can boldly think about what situation Japan will face if we persist in fighting. ”

"Deeply dragged down by the war!" The old man gasped, he hadn't thought about this problem before, because the Japanese had always behaved extremely strongly, and this time the Japanese finally agreed to the peace talks, and they were very positive, Lao Jiang only cared about being happy, and he could take care of other things.

Defense Minister Chen Cheng also stood up and said: "Your seat, the current battlefield situation is indeed inconsistent with Japan's strategic deployment, and before the Sino-Japanese war broke out, Japan formulated a strategic plan for Soviet Russia's northward expansion. Originally, the supposed main enemy of the Japanese Army was Soviet Russia, and the Navy was the United States. China did not give much thought, even if it were to be dealt with with by a part of the army and navy in the event of an incident. ”

Since the Meiji Restoration, Japan has always regarded the defense of Russia as its mission, and the strategic combat readiness of its army has mainly been aimed at Soviet Russia. However, the war of aggression against China was not resolved with one blow as the Japanese military imagined, but turned into a protracted war that constantly consumed Japan's national strength, which seriously affected its war readiness against the Soviet Union. By the end of 1939, more than two years after the Sino-Japanese war began, Japan had almost exhausted its national strength, and it had not yet ended the China Incident, which was originally scheduled to end within three months. As far as Japan is concerned, the situation is still deteriorating, and it is almost impossible for Japan to quickly end the incident with the limited strength of its troops, and the embarrassment of military spending cannot enable Japan to expand its military on a large scale in the short term, so the current situation is indeed very unfavorable for the Japanese. ”

Kong Xiangxi is a bigwig in the political circles, Chen Cheng is a bigwig in the military circles, and the bigwigs in the military and political circles are not optimistic about the Japanese, which makes Lao Jiang quite a feeling of being a boss. If you think about it carefully, this is indeed the case, the situation of the party-state is not good, and the life of the Japanese is not easy.

First of all, we can most directly see that the Japanese want to gain a part of the benefits from this war, which can be summarized into three aspects: land cession, indemnity, and trade, not to mention the cession of land, whether it is Manchuria, North China, or the internationalization of Shanghai, it is very clear, and the permanent cession of Taiwan Island and its affiliated islands is a naked expression of the territorial claims of the Japanese. As for the reparations, it is not very obvious that the Japanese have said it, but the joint development of China's resources has implicitly put forward this wish. As for trade, that is, the sale of weapons and so on. These are only on the surface, but we can't ignore the deeper intentions. He Yingqin said.

"What a deeper intent, say come and see!" The old man said.

"Although we do not admit it, there is no doubt that the strength of the party-state alone cannot deal with the Japanese at all. A very important reason why we have been able to fight to this point now is that we Chinese have united, and the Kuomintang and the Communist Party have abandoned the confrontation of the past ten years and joined hands to resist Japan. Even the powerful Chen family, which rose to prominence in Saibei, has never done its own thing, has always grasped principles in the face of major rights and wrongs, and is also very supportive of the party-state. But once we make peace with the Japanese, it is not the Japanese who will be the first to play against us, but these princes in the country. In this way, the Japanese will break up our strategic alliance without a single soldier, and even cause us to break out again into a large-scale civil war. ”

"In addition, once Japan withdraws its troops from China, then Japan will have time to recuperate. On the contrary, if he has been in office, he is likely to re-engage with various warlords such as the Turkish Communist Party and Saibei. It won't take long, just three years, and when the Japanese come back in three years, what will we do to resist, this trick of the Japanese can not be described as poisonous! He Yingqin analyzed.

"Niang Xipi, even if the Japanese are driven away, the Turkish Republic and that hairy boy will still be opposed, and now they have blatantly begun to form gangs, and if they continue to do this, it will be okay, do you say that in addition to making peace with the Japanese, there is no way for the party-state to have it?" The old man said angrily, as soon as he mentioned the young man from Yan'an and Saibei, he was angry, and directly scolded loudly! (To be continued......)