Chapter 746: If Germany Wins
"Prime Minister, this is the latest information you asked for in Berlin. Please take a look at it. Su Jing put a document on Xu Jie's desk. Judging from the current situation, it is true that there are some mysterious figures from Russia who are in close contact with the German government. But we don't know exactly what they were talking about, but one thing is for sure, the flow of individual funds in German banks is very irregular, according to Ms. Gayline. At least 500,000 marks of funds went to several personal accounts in a very short period of time. ”
"Very well, I need to be quiet, please tell the doorman not to disturb me when I go out." Xu Jie smiled, then turned around and continued to look at the map of the World Realm and fell into deep thought. Su Jing's information Xu Jie looked at it and put it down, judging from the current situation, with his butterfly entering this plane, the changes in history have become bigger and bigger, and even some have exceeded Xu Jie's expectations. So much so that Xu Jie now needs to reconsider his overall strategy. And the core of this strategy is what China should do if Germany and Austria win the war!
Judging from the current situation, Germany is really likely to win in the end, Italy has taken the side of the Germans, and has a more powerful fleet than in history, British and French ships cannot enter Europe from the Mediterranean, the cost of British and French overseas resources will be greatly increased, the Germans have given up the plan of the French Schlieffen plan, and the current German army is thinking about how to hold the entire Western Front. And the French also position the war as a war of attrition in positions, what kind of results will this lead to? As a result, neither of the two turtles could kill the other. The Germans, who were on the defensive, could pin down the main Anglo-French forces with relatively few troops.
So what will happen to the troops saved by Germany and Austria-Hungary? Naturally, it was to concentrate firepower to beat the soft persimmon of Russia. (In fact, the Russians are not soft, and they were basically beaten by Germany in history.) Then find some confidence on the side of Austria-Hungary. And with the armored forces and the important oil field of Romania, it can basically support the German armored forces to strike at the deep areas of Russia, and Germany does not have to completely destroy Russia at all. Because the tsarist government at this time had reached the stage of its end, with the support of Britain and France, it was only a return to the past. Therefore, the collapse of Tsarist Russia was inevitable under the combined blows of internal instability and external strong enemies. And Huaxia is indeed waiting for this opportunity.
After the collapse of Russia, Germany will inevitably receive a large amount of supplies and reparations to compensate for the huge attrition of the war. And when the main German forces turn to the Western Front, it may be quite difficult for Britain and France to open up the situation, and some people may say that there is also the United States, how to say it. In Xu Jie's eyes, there is actually too much difference between the United States in this plane and the United States in history, because of repeated strategic failures. The U.S. government pursues a cautious policy toward foreign countries and will never do anything that it is not sure about. Moreover, even in history, the greatest help of the United States to Britain and France was in materials and troops. But now it seems that whether the British and French fleets can resist the German, Italian, Austrian, and Turkish fleets is a bit hanging. Now the German fleet is much more powerful than it was in history. The sea route is not smooth, and it is difficult for American supplies and troops to reach Europe.
So. Once the war has come to this point. It will inevitably shake the determination of the United States to enter the war, and in the face of a war with no future, Britain and France will not fight with Germany, Austria, Italy and other countries to the last half. So what is the result? Germany will be relieved to eat the war dividends it has received from Russia, and then leap to become a superpower that can truly compete with the United States! Even such Germany is even more terrible than the United States, and the German technology during the First World War was absolutely first-class in the world. And with a vast land and a larger population, the power of this mighty empire is terrifying to anyone, even in the Far East.
So now look at what Germany will gain after winning the war. Using the Brest-Litov Treaty as a standard, Germany could gain control of the three Baltic states, Russian Poland, and Ukraine from Russia. (The treaty recognizes the independence of the Republic of Ukraine, but it is clear to whom Ukraine will belong after independence!) Together, these places are millions of square kilometers of land! And there is also a population of 62 million. A third of Russia's agriculture and more than half of its industry (more than 70% of steel and coal) will go into the hands of Germany and its allies, plus an indemnity of up to 6 billion rubles! It is easy to imagine what Germany will develop in the future! But even so, the Chinese Republic can still tolerate it. Germany will form an absolute advantage over Britain and France, and Britain and France will completely withdraw from Southeast Asia.
But if the Kaiser wanted to gain more benefits, or even turn the whole of Russia into his vassal, it would be a bit difficult to accept! Because this would create a direct conflict of interest with the Huaxia Republic, Xu Jie's current strategy was to bring the entire part of Russia and Asia into the scope of Huaxia's power, although this area was vast but sparsely populated, as long as the logistical problems could be solved, nothing else was a big problem. But what would happen if Russia became a vassal of Germany? Germany will not sit idly by and watch the territory of China extend to Europe! Not to mention reaching the Urals, not even entering Central Asia.
The reason is very simple, the most essential part of Russia has been obtained by Germany, Austria, Turkey and other countries, so if the rest of Russia loses North Asia and Central Asia, then Russia will really have no gods. In the face of this country, which has no strength and is not even able to sufficiency in food (the Ukrainian granary is no longer Russian. What is the use of Germany asking for him? Do you still pay money to support the puppet government?
And this is also a claim made by Germany to the Russians in the history of the situation when the Western Front is in trouble. And now? Who knows where the German Army, which is much stronger than in history, will hit? Maybe Germany has already included the whole of Eastern Europe in its own plans, right? Any two big countries together will always have something to say, in Xu Jie's plane, even during the honeymoon period between China and the Soviet Union, both sides have maintained full vigilance against each other on the issue of national interests, and the strong military power of the Soviet Union in the Far East after the collapse of the two sides has worried the leaders of the republic, and after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia is also very uneasy about China, so he will support India. One mountain cannot accommodate two tigers, and two tigers together may not necessarily fight to the death, but it is certain to find fault with each other.
And if Germany supports a new Russian government, then Germany and Russia will not let the Chinese Republic settle in Central Asia, let alone reach the Urals. And the Huaxia Republic is determined to win the place called Tyumen in later generations, which is the dead knot between the two countries. When the interests reached an irreconcilable level, it was only natural for Germany to support Russia against China! Sino-German relations would then turn from allies to antagonisms.
And if it really comes to this point, can the Republic of China really make a move with Germany and Russia? Look at the map, if the German plan is realized, then the whole of Europe, except France and England, will tremble under the military boots of Germany and Austria, and Germany's influence will be extended directly to the east to the border with the Chinese Republic, and to the south will encompass the whole Middle East except Iran! It is not impossible to even get Iran done. The German-Austrian-Turkish alliance will be on a confrontation line that stretches from Central Asia to the Arctic Ocean, and these areas are far from China! The supply line was too long, and Germany's strength was indeed not comparable to that of China. If Germany and Austria can really free up their hands, the situation is quite not optimistic.
In the Spanish-American War, the reason why Xu Jie wanted to calculate the United States was because this country would threaten China's security from the sea in the future, and he began to support Germany because it could weaken the power of Britain and France in the Far East. And now, for the sake of the security of its own western front, the Chinese Republic cannot let Germany's plan succeed in any way. Germany can obtain the benefits stipulated in the historical Brest Treaty, Xu Jie has no opinion on this, but if you want to control Russia and the Middle East as a whole, Xu Jie will definitely not agree!
Sometimes the transition between friend and foe is so fast. Now, to outsiders, the relationship between China and Germany can almost be described as a honeymoon period, but at the moment, in the eyes of some, the two sides have drifted apart. And Xu Jie has already begun to think about how Huaxia will deal with the German threat once the situation really develops to this extent! What China needs is to train Russia to be an eternal enemy of Germany! Russia is needed as a pawn in the front of Germany's strength! It is impossible to eat Central Asia directly, but it is possible to eat part of it and then let the outer part become independent, as for the vast North Asia, which is sparsely populated, in the eyes of most Russians it is just a prisoner's penal colony, and it is not too painful to lose it, after all, Europe is the home of the vast majority of Russians, and North Asia is more like a geographical term!
Or to put it another way, if Russia is compared to a rural village, what China occupies is only the river beach land of the village chief, while Germany occupies the houses, fertile fields, and so on in the village. If the Russian government could make Germany its number one enemy, it might be more difficult for Germany to do something more in the face of enemies on all sides.
By the way, we can't forget about one important country, and that country is the United States! The United States would certainly join the fight against Germany, for the simple reason that Britain and France would certainly order large quantities of supplies from the United States and borrow considerable foreign debts in this war. And if the war cannot be won and no reparations can be obtained. All the money lent by the United States has gone down the drain. The U.S. government can tolerate it, and the American people can tolerate it. But will Wall Street in the United States put up with it?
And let's see, if Germany really subdues countries other than Britain and France. And if these fruits are successfully digested, then once Britain and France are finished in the next war, the United States will have to face this super-large Germany alone, with the Pacific Ocean tens of thousands of kilometers wide between China and the United States, and an Atlantic Ocean between the United States and Germany. Even from a distance, Americans know who will be more of a threat in the future. Since sooner or later it will become an enemy, the United States will certainly weaken the opponent as much as possible. The United States would not allow the defeat of Britain and France, and the rivalry between Britain and France and Germany would be irreconcilable.
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