Chapter 529 529 Confederation Concept
Whether the Americans will allow a unified country on the Korean Peninsula is a question that many South Korean politicians and commentators have considered, and Kim Dae-jung must have thought about it. The partition of the DPRK and the ROK is itself a product of the Cold War and an important bargaining chip for the United States and the Soviet Union to compete for influence in the Asia-Pacific region and regional geopolitics.
Today, China has completely replaced the Soviet Union. The Shanghai-Hong Kong-Cooperative Organization, which is dominated by China, already has the rudiments of an Asian NATO. On the entire East Asian continent, a political and military force with China as the core of power has been formed.
Assuming that the Korean Peninsula can be reunified, the United States will lose its reason to protect South Korea from North Korea, and of course they can have a new reason to protect South Korea from China, or they can simply not need a reason to maintain peace in the Asia-Pacific region and maintain their own influence. However, it is inevitable that as Sino-US relations gradually drift apart, the Korean Peninsula will become the main battlefield in the event of a conflict between China and the United States in the future. The Korean Peninsula will bear the brunt of the defeat by the SCO forces across the Yalu River.
Because the Korean Peninsula is so close to China! Unless the United States has the courage to station millions of troops in the DPRK and South Korea, it will certainly not be able to resist the powerful Chinese Army, and the choice made by the United States at the first time of the conflict is to abandon the Korean Peninsula.
On the other hand, if a unified Korean Peninsula country is pro-American and anti-China, it will face terrible pressure from China, and it may be even more vigilant than South Korea is now. After all, what level of opponent is North Korea, and what level of opponent is China. South Koreans are still somewhat confident in resisting North Korea's invasion, but China, hehe, don't think about it.
In fact, for the United States, the best way is to keep one North Korea in it, maintain a buffer zone between it and China, and it can also station troops in the three Koreas to form a certain containment of China. Once the countries of the Korean Peninsula are truly reunified, if the United States wants to station troops, it will have to face the threat of the SCO's millions of troops, which will be even more terrifying than the challenges it has faced in Europe in the past. What's more, although the Soviet Army was a torrent of steel, its technological level was insufficient, but China was a trendsetter leading the military revolution, and even the US military academic circles had to constantly study the process and examples of China's military transformation.
Don't think about how strong the Americans are, for what their own people, or how to rescue the soldiers who have fallen on the battlefield, but in fact, the Americans are very pragmatic, and from another example, with the rapid development of China's military strength in the 21st century, the United States gradually feels the threat of US military bases within 500-1000 kilometers from China, so the US military began to constantly retreat and deploy its forces in the second island chain in case of being attacked by China.
As for the life and death of the allies on the first island chain, it can naturally be called Wei Guangzheng, but the allies have been there to turn their backs since the first day they were established.
Kim Dae-jung was slightly silent and said: "You mean that it is difficult for the United States to be satisfied with the status quo, and the interests of the United States and the interests of the Korean nation are at odds. ”
Qi Yiming smiled and did not answer, but asked again: "In Mr. Kim Dae-jung's opinion, will China support the reunification of the Korean Peninsula?" ”
Kim Dae-jung pondered for a moment again and expressed his opinion: "From a historical point of view, China has always been unafraid of North Korea next to it, except for a few periods, most of the times have been peaceful. If relations with the countries of the Korean Peninsula are harmonious, China should hope that the Korean Peninsula is reunified. The prerequisite is that there are no forces of a potentially hostile force on the Korean Peninsula, that is, the presence of American troops. ”
Qi Yiming nodded, and said with a serious face: "That's right, Mr. Kim Dae-jung, China is happy to see reconciliation and reunification on the Korean Peninsula, but this reunified country should be able to face up to its own position, geographically and psychologically, and not become a base for opposing China, but to be a good friend of the Chinese people." Naturally, the first move to achieve this was to remove the American troops from the territory. ”
Jin Dazhong smiled bitterly: "This is not an easy thing!" ”
Qi Yiming chuckled and stretched out two fingers: "Obviously, the countries of the Korean Peninsula have only two choices, to join the SCO side, at least to lean towards the SCO, or to continue to become vassals and puppets of the United States." On the economic issue, Mr. Kim Dae-jung has already discussed which side is more advantageous, and we will only talk about the political and military aspects.
After all, the Korean Peninsula is still connected to the mainland, and if it falls to the side of the United States, it will be equivalent to facing the threat of our army, and I believe that everyone in the world understands more or less what the threat of our army is. Or is it that the Korean nation is confident that it will be able to withstand our onslaught on this small peninsula with little depth?
Conversely, if the countries of the Korean Peninsula join our side and complete the expulsion of US troops, then the threat will come from the sea. After all, the United States is on the other side of the Pacific Ocean 8,000 kilometers away, and even if it wants to mobilize heavy troops to attack the Korean Peninsula, it must first allocate its forces to Guam, the Ryukyus, and Japan, and in the process, our navy will inevitably snipe at the US military, and in such a close area to our country, our bombers and medium- and short-range ballistic missiles will be a nightmare for US military bases and forces. Therefore, purely from a defensive point of view, it is much easier for the countries of the Korean Peninsula to defend themselves with the SCO countries than with the United States and Japan. ”
Kim Tae-chung believes that what Qi Yiming said is indeed very reasonable, and that in terms of military strength, the US military is actually stronger in the air force and navy, while China is stronger in the army and the Second Artillery, but considering the issue of threat, the threat of the US Navy and Air Force to the Korean Peninsula is limited, while the threat of the Chinese ground army and the Second Artillery Corps to the Korean Peninsula is enough to be fatal.
"Do you mean that you want the Korean Peninsula to move towards reunification and become China's helper?" Kim Dae-jung asked curiously.
Qi Yiming said in an unquestionable tone: "It's not hope, it's ability." As long as I want to do it, within three years I will see a unified country on the Korean Peninsula, one that is not diverted by the ideas of North Koreans, South Koreans, or Americans, but a reality that is about to happen. ”
Feeling the domineering contained in Qi Yiming's bland words, but more of the confidence embodied under pure power, Jin Dazhong was even a little in a trance, and couldn't help but think about what it would be like if he was also a Chinese.
"South Korea is still too small, and it is difficult to display the ambition of a hero!" Kim Dae Center sighed.
"Conversely, what price do you want South Korea to pay for reunification?" Kim Dae-jung asked tentatively.
"I have no intention of interfering in the internal affairs of the Korean Peninsula, but on foreign affairs, I hope that the new country will be able to maintain a high degree of unity with the SCO," Qi said. If necessary, I think it would be good to join the SCO and gain greater opportunities for development. Of course, after the reunification of the peninsula is completed, China will support you in inviting the Americans away. ”
Kim Dae-jung couldn't help but ask: "What if the Americans don't leave?" ”
"Hehe, then I'll help you disarm them." Qi Yiming said casually, as if he was talking about a parent's shortness.
Kim Dae-jung asked again: "Well, if such a condition is true, it is not too much. However, the more practical question is, if the peninsula is reunified, how will the new state be created? After all, North Korea and South Korea have different national systems and ideologies, and it is unlikely that Hong Kong will replicate Hong Kong's one country, two systems, because the DPRK and South Korea are not very big and small, and there is no distinction between you and me. Whether the North Koreans or the Koreans will hold the central power in the new country, or how the power of the central government will be distributed, the question of the Workers' Party of Korea, the question of military armament, and the question of economic coordination are all complicated ......"
Qi Yiming said directly: "You don't have to worry about this, just let us China be the intermediary and arbiter." I believe that the reunification of the two Koreas with a federal system is more realistic, and I will make a profound social transformation of North Korea, and the Workers' Party needs to change, and the Kim family will not be able to do what they want, and North Korea will have a certain degree of autonomy as a state, and in the same way, South Korea will also be a state with autonomy. But the authority of the federal central government needs to be guaranteed. At a time when there is still a huge gap between the two Koreas, I propose to adopt a rotational model of governance, in which a South Korean is the supreme leader in one central power and a North Korean holds certain positions in the cabinet, and the next one is reversed, with the North Koreans being the supreme leader and South Koreans holding certain positions in the cabinet. Parliament can be bicameral, with the Senate having two members of the same state and the House of Representatives elected by proportional representation. ”
This model actually gives South Koreans more power in disguise, because they have a larger population and a stronger economy, so they will inevitably get a certain tilt in power.
Kim Dae-jung was taken aback: "Are you trying to turn the Northern Dynasty into a multi-party country?" Can it be done? And it is not easy to change the Workers' Party and eliminate the influence of the Kim family! ”
Qi Yiming smiled and said: "This is not something you should care about, you should be elected president now with high spirits, and then when the time comes, you can pinch the political forces of South Korea to complete this unification transformation, and in addition to the pro-American forces in South Korea, cultivate pro-China people, if you can do it beautifully, I think the first president of the Korean Federation must be you." ”
Kim Tae-jung could not help but feel uncontrollable excitement when he thought that he could become the supreme leader of the unified Korean Federation and accomplish the great cause that all politicians in North and South Korea had dreamed of for decades. He glanced at Qi Yiming and knew that only China could help him complete this cause and make him famous in history, and as for the United States or something, he didn't think about it at all.