Chapter 561 561 Strategies for Dealing with China
The success of the application of the American MQ-1 Predator in Peru inspired Clinton. When Aspin's specific report was presented on Clinton's desk, Clinton applauded: "We have found a new way of future war!" ”
Under Clinton's instructions, Congress's procurement focus for the next fiscal year will be shifted to the purchase of more MQ-1 Predators, and the US military will arrange more Predators in some volatile areas for reconnaissance and attack on the enemy. The Predator's significant potential in the war on terror is why the White House and Capitol Hill are willing to put up with the fact that they cost more than a one-and-a-half Tomcat fighter jet and still buy it in large quantities.
Not only does the United States intend to deploy the Predator in Peru to assist the Peruvian government forces in dealing with the armed uprising on the Shining Path, but the United States also intends to develop a model of the Predator to be used in the sea and airspace and deploy it at bases in Japan and the Ryukyus, for the obvious purpose of conducting reconnaissance of China's increasingly powerful military capabilities.
Although Clinton shifted his focus to boosting the US economy, maintaining America's dominant position in the world remains a major issue for the White House. And the country that clearly influences the world leadership of the United States is only one China at this stage. Clinton's aides synthesized some of the opinions of think-tank scholars and proposed a new policy for Clinton -- rebalancing.
Obviously, at this time, the rebalancing is still only in a small area within the US strategic community, and it is more in the discussion stage and the preparatory planning stage. Clinton himself is a keen advocate of the concept of rebalancing, and China is not qualified to challenge the United States on a global scale, but if China grows stronger and the United States is relatively weak, he will not be a well-regarded president.
Reid, a strategist from a well-known American think tank......, personally explained the situation of the rebalancing strategy to Clinton at the White House. Mr. President, because we have underestimated the speed of China's rise, in fact, according to any normal logic, China should not have developed into what it is today in such a short period of time. We are facing opponents who are more forbearant and smarter than the Soviets, and they are more strategic and tactically proficient, which makes our response even more challenging. ”
"That's why we need to devise a better strategy to counter this challenge from China," Clinton said. ”
Reed nodded and said, "We have reason to believe that the damage caused to China by the chaotic period of more than ten years from the sixties to the seventies is not as serious as we imagined, and even the Chinese probably deliberately use exaggerated and absurd chaos to cover up their secret development, especially in scientific research strength and military industrial strength." As we already know, China has a super development plan that covers almost all scientific fields, called Project 9527, which has provided the most solid foundation for China's vigorous development after the mid-80s.
From this it can be seen that China is very deceptive in its national strategy and development, and from the beginning of its earlier split with the Soviet Union, then rapidly approaching China, and finally deciding to join our camp to jointly deal with the Soviet Union, I am afraid that China has a fairly clear line, that is, to take the opportunity of catering to us and gain a broader international space, so as to use the power of the world to better develop itself. When all eyes are on the Soviet Union, we forget that there is another country that also has the potential to compete for world leadership and is catching up in the shadows. ”
Reed's words elicited the agreement of everyone present, and some even nodded their heads a little bit through gritted teeth, obviously very dissatisfied with China's inauthenticity.
Reed continued to analyze: "Now that the forces formed in China have basically taken shape, we can also think about China's strategy. By uniting with some Asian countries, China is trying to establish its hegemonic influence in the Pacific and Indian Ocean regions, and by integrating the resources of this region for its own use, it can better accomplish development, so as to gain national strength that surpasses that of the United States, and finally wins by force. ”
Vice President Al Gore sighed: "China in East Asia, although it has the world's largest number of neighbors and long land borders and maritime borders, national defense pressure is huge, but it also gives them a very broad space to operate, on the other hand, we basically have no external threat, and the space for us to operate and integrate is relatively limited, even if we engage in the North American Free Trade Area, plus the Caribbean countries, there is not much economic circle, far from being as effective as China's connection with North Asia, Southeast Asia, Central Asia and even East Asia in the future." ”
Clinton said confidently: "But the United States has an incomparable influence in the world, our cargo ships can go to any country in the world under the protection of our warships, and our goods can easily open the market of any country. ”
"There is nothing wrong with that, but we can observe that the depth and breadth of China's economic integration and operation within the SCO is unimaginable, and it is even more powerful than that of the internal economic integration of the European Union, and we conclude that if the roadmap for China's naturalization is carried out, China, as the country with the largest economy in the entire economic circle, will be able to draw the most benefits from this system and thus rise to greater national strength, which is something we should be deeply concerned about," Reid said. So we have to pay close attention to China's progress and growth, and find ways to curb this rapid growth and maintain our advantage. ”
Clinton said, "Tell me what we can do, shall we?" ”
"Okay, there are a couple of options here, and we can do a multi-pronged approach to contain China at the strategic level, so as to achieve a rebalance of our power. First, we need to operate a thermal ring for the SCO allies, unite all non-SCO countries in the region, and make them stand on our side, so as to protect regional peace to the greatest extent possible, and avoid the fact that the SCO countries are too strong and have no one in sight, which will make conflicts more likely to erupt. ”
Gore said: "But we can still win over Japan in the region, but South Korea, oh no, is now the Korean Federation, and it has shown a clear tendency to get closer to China, which is a very big blow to us." It is unlikely that other countries like the Philippines are too weak, not to mention China, or even pose a threat to the neighboring South China Sea. ”
Reed also understands the problem with this encirclement strategy, but there is no way to do it, he said: "Yes, we can't find many allies, but the more this happens, the more obvious it is that China's actions to keep us out of the door are more obvious, and we can't fully discern it before, but after the loss of South Korea, we can already see a clear context, that is, China is vigorously squeezing us out in Asia." The more this happens, the more we need to strengthen our efforts to attract countries in the region, not only Japan and the Philippines, but also Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos, and other countries. At the same time, I don't believe that China is building a stable SCO structure, which is clearly beneficial to China, while the autonomy of other member states is being undermined, and we can use divisive tactics to pull out a few stronger countries, which will have a huge impact on China. ”
In fact, in the other plane, the United States and Japan have engaged in similar encirclement strategies, the American Water Lily Project, and Japan's Arc of Freedom and Prosperity are all such things. But on the plane, this strategy is particularly thin. On the other hand, China is still relatively isolated, while the United States has great influence and can win over most countries in the Asia-Pacific region and the world, but in this one, the object of containment is not only China, but several SCO member states, with a total area of more than 20 million square kilometers.
What's more, in the other plane, even if China does not have the powerful power of China on its own plane, it still has huge influence and can poke such an encirclement strategy into a thousand holes.
Reid talked about the second strategic plan: "After robbing the Soviet legacy, China already has a nuclear arsenal of the same size as ours, and the nuclear threat to us with a batch of missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads, such as the Julang-3, Dongfeng-31A, Dongfeng-41, and Changjian-10, has risen to a level no less than that of the Soviet Union." Although China's geographical position is not very good, and it is difficult to attack us directly on our own soil, we should not forget that the two countries in North Asia are also allies of China, and they are also capable of striking at us.
Therefore, we must take precautions and build a stronger theater ballistic missile defense program, with the focus on defending against a direct attack on us by nuclear missiles in the Asia-Pacific region. Our main strategy for dealing with these ballistic missiles is threefold: first, to detect and destroy incoming missiles before they are launched; the second is to destroy the incoming missile when it is launched; The third is to intercept and destroy incoming missiles while they are in flight or when they re-enter the atmosphere.
There is still some technical difficulty in achieving these goals, but in any case we must work hard to develop these defense systems. The conflict with China may not be obvious, but the clouds of nuclear war still loom over the planet, and we must sharpen our spears and strengthen our shields as China's nuclear arsenal grows and the threat grows. ”
Clinton clapped his hands and said: "That's right, even if we don't want to fight a nuclear war with China, but we must be prepared like this, and now the nuclear strike is already a trinity, so we also need to obtain a trinity of nuclear weapons defense capabilities!" ”