To tell the truth, Shi Xun hastily sent troops to Liaodong this time, and the timing was quite bad.

The first is to send troops at a time when spring sowing is busy, which will directly affect the combat effectiveness of the army and Youzhou's agricultural production this year. Although Cao Cao also sent troops in the spring two years ago and went on a northern expedition to Youzhou, Cao Cao's family had a great cause, and the army did not care about the weakening of this point, and the agricultural production in the jurisdiction did not care about this little loss. And now it is different from Youzhou managed by Xun, there is no crushing advantage in terms of troops, and if you rush to send troops because of the violation of the time, the chances of winning must be very slim.

It was Xun's original intention, which was naturally to rush to the death of Gongsun Duchu, and Gongsun Kang had not been able to completely stabilize the situation in Liaodong, and the period of time when the state pastoral throne was firmly seated suddenly dealt a heavy blow. However, in fact, when he sent his troops eastward, Gongsun Du didn't really breathe......

Sima Yi was very suspicious, worried that it was Xun Ji who set up a trap and lured Xun Dongjin, so he asked Shi Xun to send someone to Liaodong to investigate, and only after the news was confirmed could he send troops, but he was vetoed by Shi Xun. Sima Zhongda guessed the result, but he didn't guess the reason, the reason why Xiao Ji passed false information to Liaodong was not to trap Shixun.

Because Xiao Ji also knew very well that he had not followed Gongsun Du for a long time, Gongsun Shengji's suspicion of himself had not been completely eliminated. Gongsun Du is in Japan, Xiao Yuantu is not easy to be harmed, that guy has the strength and confidence to control and control himself, but if Gongsun Du dies, can Gongsun Kang control himself, will he take the opportunity to set off chaos? The father-in-law and grandson did not dare to be too supportive. Therefore, Xiao Ji was worried that Gongsun Du was on his deathbed. will ask his son Gongsun Kang to kill himself first. to prevent future troubles.

The time when Xiao Yuantu returned to Liaodong was not long. With his feet not solid and his wings not abundant, Gongsun Kang really wanted to kill himself, and he didn't even have nowhere to escape. Therefore, seeing that Gongsun Du was about to lose his life, he rushed to pass the false news to Liaodong before the old guy breathed, hoping that Shixun would be able to send troops to the east, so he took advantage of the chaotic situation of Liaodong hurriedly gathering troops and horses to resist the enemy. Or you can take advantage of the chaos and win a way out.

But since Gongsun Du is not dead, the hearts of the people in Liaodong are still stable, and there must be no gaps to take advantage of, whether Shixun can still win the battle - his own life is the most important, and he can't take care of it so much for the time being. It is the inopportune nature of the military service, and this is also the second.

The third is on Cao Cao's side, when the news of the Liao expedition reached Xudu, Cao Cao was gathering troops and horses and preparing supplies. It is planned to go out in the summer to defeat Liu Biao in Jingzhou. Yeshun also knew that he had little chance of winning. Therefore, the main purpose was to occupy a dangerous position on the front line of western Liaoning, contain the Liaodong army, and wait for Cao Cao's reinforcement. However, although Cao Cao had previously allowed him to be arbitrary, after all, it was impossible for the main strategic movements of the Cao family to revolve around him Hongfu, and since the plan for the southern expedition had been decided, it was unlikely that he would send reinforcements to Liaodong again--if he could try not to send Liaodong troops south, even if he was worthy of Xun.

Because at this time, Liu Bei in Shuzhong had already shook hands with Zhang Lu in Hanzhong, and under the plan of Fa Zheng, the original Ba County was divided into three parts: Badong, Brazil and Ba County - the old "Sanba" was only purely geographical, and then it became a real administrative division - the Liu family occupied Ba County, and gave up all Padang and Brazil in the north to Zhang Lu. In this way, the two families reunited and marched into Liu Zhang from the south, north and east. Cao Cao received a report not long ago that Liu Bei's former army Zhang Fei and Gan Ning's troops had already reached the outskirts of Chengdu, and it was estimated that the siege of Chengdu would only be within ten days. Although there are still tens of thousands of soldiers and horses in Chengdu, enough for two or three years of grain and grass, Jia Xu Jia Wenhe, who is newly in charge of intelligence work, judged: "The hearts of the people are in turmoil, and Liu Jiyu has always been cowardly. ”

Previously, Shi Xun had also warned Cao Cao that if Liu Bei completely occupied Shuzhong, it was possible to join forces with Liu Biao in Jingzhou to resist the northern army; If the Sun family gives up their previous suspicions and corresponds to Liu Biao, it will almost be the situation of the Northern and Southern Dynasties, and the road to the south will be bumpy. Therefore, Cao Cao wanted to rush to the south to defeat Liu Biao before Liu Bei destroyed Liu Zhang, or although he had been destroyed, his own foundation in Shu was not yet stable, so as to avoid the three major forces in the south forming a united front.

There is a crisis in front of him, and it is also an opportunity, and Cao Cao also has a crisis in front of him, and it is also a great opportunity. But if Xun gave up his opportunity and did not rush to conquer Liaodong, the Gongsun family was isolated overseas, in fact, it did not have much impact on the general trend of the world; And if Cao Cao gave up his opportunity and did not hurry up to the south, the forces would probably not be able to cross the Yangtze River in the short term. Therefore, at this critical juncture, Cao Cao not only will not respond to Shixun, but may ask for Shixun's cooperation.

This is the third reason why Xun sent troops at a bad time.

The key problem is that the level of communication in these years is too poor, if Cao Cao gets the news of Liu Bei's progress in Chengdu at the same time, Shi Xun also receives this news, he will not dare to go to Liaodong alone. The problem is that Shuzhong to Xudu, more than 1,000 miles, Xudu to Jixian, and more than 1,000 miles, the transmission of messages cannot be synchronized, which has produced a huge loophole, which makes Shixun dizzy for a while, and he hastily uses troops.

After Cao Cao received the report from Shi Xun, he couldn't help but be surprised, and then felt that his brain hurt a little again, and he was almost sick. He hurriedly summoned the strategists to discuss, and Jia Xu first stood up to help Shixun say good words: "The general is outside, and the king's order is not obeyed, but it should be moved according to the situation." It is Hongfu who has the promise of the prime minister, and he can be arbitrary, although the dispatch of troops is not timely, but also the help of the prime minister. It's a pity that the matter of the southern expedition was not told in time, and even miscalculated......"

When Guo Jia was dying that day, Shi Xun recommended Jia Xu to Cao Cao to take over the intelligence work, which was originally just a temporary idea, and a flash of inspiration flashed in his mind, and when he came back, the more he thought about it, the more he felt that this idea was reliable. Therefore, when he heard that Guo Jia had died of illness on the way back to Xudu, and Cao Cao also wrote a letter to inform him of the incident, by the way to express his inner depression, Shi Xun took the opportunity to reply to the letter and re-raise the proposal, and praised Jia Wenhe well. After boasting to Cao Cao about Jia Xu, in line with the principle of repaying kindness, he specially wrote to inform Jia Xu himself, saying that such a vacant position is very important to the Cao family, and I have recommended it to the lord.

Therefore, Jia Xu is grateful to Shixun, because relying on this opportunity, he can really squeeze into the core team of the Cao family to give full play to his expertise, and at the same time, it is equivalent to laying a solid foundation for his family. Jia Wenhe has planned all his life, in order to save his life, and he wants to climb further when he seizes the opportunity, he does not have the heart to fight for power and profit, but he is afraid that he will not be of any use, so Cao Cao can unload the mill and kill the donkey at any opportunity. Now that he has finally strengthened his power with a new appointment, how can he not be grateful that the recommender is Kosuke?

This is precisely the reason why Jia Xu hurriedly stood up to help Shixun say good things - from Shixun's standpoint, he rushed to send troops this time, not for nothing, and it was not a big mistake; Although the timing was poorly chosen as far as the situation in the country was concerned, it should not be harsh and guilty.

After listening to Jia Xu's words, Cao Cao nodded slightly, but then shook his head again, saying I understand what you said, but if Hongfu sends troops alone, what are the chances of winning without me sending reinforcements? How should we deal with this situation?

Xun You said bluntly, saying that Hongfu's departure this time was different from the prime minister's pursuit of Badun and Eryuan the day before yesterday, the summer has not arrived, and there is no rain to block the passage, as long as the planning is appropriate, directly push the front to the shore of Liaoshui, the problem is not big. It's a pity that the number of troops is limited, and there is no general in charge, if you want to break the main force of the Liaodong Army on the bank of Liaoshui, it is not a little more difficult. I am afraid that if the move is delayed for a long time, and if there is no progress in the summer and autumn flood period, the back road will be cut off, and the grain will be difficult to continue, and it will be easy to be broken by the enemy army.

Xun You took out the upper, middle and lower three strategies, and asked Cao Cao to decide: "Urgently send an envoy to block Hongfu and order him to retreat, this is also the best policy, but I am afraid that the enemy will retreat in front of him, and I am afraid that he will take advantage of it; Send a general to help, if you can cross the Liaoshui, you can continue to advance, if you can't cross, you can withdraw early, this is also the middle strategy; Let it do it at its own discretion, I will march south, not to mention each other, and this is also a policy. ”

Xun You himself took the best policy and directly asked for Xun to retire, so that even if he was pursued by the enemy on the way back, the loss would not be great, and he would not be injured. Jia Xu is in favor of the middle strategy, let Shixun go forward for a while, and then talk about it - but there is no strong general under Xun's command, his own staff ability is unparalleled, and he is not experienced enough to be the main general, this is indeed a crisis, and he must order the general to go to help. Jia Xu said: "Before the prime minister, Hongfu was allowed to be arbitrary, and the army was first advanced, and the formation was united, and he was recalled before the victory or defeat was divided, which was afraid to hurt his heart and shake his prestige. "You originally promised to do well, but now you can't see whether you win or lose, so you ask Shixun to retire and return to Youzhou, his prestige in the local area will inevitably decline, so can you continue to firmly guard the place?

Cao Cao pondered for a long time, and he naturally hoped that Shixun not only had the talent of a staff officer, but also really led the army to the front line, and could win the battle - after all, the shape of Liaodong, Shixun must be clearer than himself, and the strategists under his command, he sent troops in a hurry, maybe there was a reason for him. If he can defeat Gongsun in Liaodong during his southern expedition, not only will he have no worries, but he will also greatly boost morale, and then deter Liu Biao and Sun Quan, wouldn't it be good? So, let's take the middle ground and send him a general to help.

Considering the decisive victory in the plains, the cavalry is very crucial, and once he really kills the Yangtze River, the cavalry will become chicken ribs, so Cao Cao finally decided to send Xia Houyuan to lead 2,000 elite cavalry to help Shi Xun. Before leaving, he also specially handed Xiahou Yuan a secret decree, saying that you go to the front line to carefully observe the situation, analyze the comparison of the strength of the two sides, if you feel that the chances of victory are not big, then announce this secret decree, and order Hongfu to withdraw immediately, don't make a mistake! (To be continued......)