Volume 1: The Battle of Songhu Chapter 60 Wargame Deduction

In the brigade headquarters, Xu Shijiu was looking at the map on the wall and fell into deep thought.

The old lady's uncle sat on the side and smoked dry cigarettes, half a bag of cigarettes had already been smoked, but Xu Shijiu still had no intention of resting, so the old lady's uncle persuaded: "Han Wazi, go and rest, anyway, you are not the commander-in-chief of the 9th Army, let alone the commander-in-chief of the three theaters, it is useless to think about it." ”

Xu Shijiu didn't hear it, pointed to the map and said: "Uncle Ladies, you see, the Japanese army has suffered continuous setbacks in the direction of Zhang Huabin, and the fighters who quickly occupied Shanghai have been lost, so it is the next choice for the Japanese army to fight with our army in the new urban area, as long as Matsui Shigen is not a stupid pig, he will definitely turn the main direction of attack to Luodian." ”

The old lady didn't answer, and continued to smoke a dry cigarette.

Xu 19 continued: "At this point, the Nationalist Government has opened up another battlefield in East China, and the goal of leading the main force of the Japanese invasion of China from the North China Battlefield to the East China Battlefield has been basically achieved, and at this time it is time to decisively abandon Shanghai, and fortify the four defense lines of Wufu, Xicheng, Jiacha, and Haijia with heavy troops, relying on the strong national defense fortifications to kill and injure a large number of Japanese troops, but what ......am I worried about?"

Before the words fell, a voice suddenly came in from outside the door, and said loudly: "Are you worried that the high command is unwilling to give up Shanghai, and then choose to fight the Japanese army in Shanghai?" ”

Xu Shijiu turned around when he heard this, and Feng Shengfa had already pushed the door and walked in.

"Vice-Master?" Xu Shijiu was stunned, and the old lady also hurriedly got up to salute.

Feng Shengfa waved his hand and said with a smile: "Ah Jiu, continue your battle situation analysis. ”

"Yes." Xu Jiu stood upright and said, "Deputy Division, I am afraid that someone at the top of the national government will be dizzy, ignoring the huge gap between China and Japan in terms of national strength and military strength, and gambling to choose a decisive battle with the Japanese army in Shanghai, which is tantamount to a huge disaster for our country and our army." ”

Feng Shengfa frowned slightly, and said in a deep voice: "You mean, Shanghai can't hold it?" ”

Xu Shijiu said firmly: "If it's not a lowly and alarmist talk, Shanghai will definitely not be able to hold it!" ”

Feng Shengfa subconsciously took off his gloves, stared at the map, and asked, "What is the reason?" ”

Xu Jiudao: "Shanghai is a port city, and the Japanese Navy's naval artillery and aviation can easily cover the entire Shanghai area, while China's navy and air force have almost no power to fight back, and because of the Songhu Agreement, there are almost no strong fortifications to rely on in the entire Wusong area, how to defend it?" ”

Feng Shengfa said in a deep voice: "What if you have to keep it? ”

Xu Shijiu sighed: "If you have to defend Shanghai, the result can only be that dozens of elite divisions will be consumed in vain under the indiscriminate bombing of the Japanese army's naval artillery groups and naval aviation. ”

Feng Shengfa was noncommittal, and continued to ask: "So, what if you decisively give up Shanghai?" ”

"That's a different story." Xu Shijiu suddenly came to his senses when he heard this, and then said, "If our army decisively abandons Shanghai and retreats to the defense lines of Wufu, Xicheng, Jiacha, and Haijia, it will be difficult for the Japanese Navy's large-caliber naval artillery group to play a role, and it will not be easy for the Japanese Army to break through the four defense lines alone. ”

As he spoke, Xu Shijiu picked up two more books from the table, namely the Japanese infantry and artillery coordination and the Japanese army establishment, and then said to Feng Shengfa: "I have studied the firepower and establishment of the Japanese army a little, according to the comparison of the firepower of the Chinese and Japanese armies, if our army invests all 59 German armament divisions to defend the four defense lines, then the Japanese army needs to invest at least all seventeen permanent divisions to break through our army's defense line, if our army invests a large number of local armies, then the Japanese army must mobilize the whole country, and if the Japanese army wants to win in the end, There has to be a premise......"

Feng Shengfa was slightly moved: "What premise?" ”

Xu Shijiu said: "This premise is that China's industrial resources are all exhausted, or all the arsenals are destroyed by the Japanese air force, and before China's industrial resources are all exhausted or all the arsenals are destroyed, it can be said that it is difficult for the Japanese army to break through the four defense lines between Nanjing, Hangzhou and Shanghai." ”

Xu Shijiu's words were by no means exaggerated, but conclusions reached after wargames.

In the past two days after withdrawing from the new urban area, Xu Shijiu was not idle, but conducted a comprehensive and thorough wargame deduction on the various possibilities and evolutions of the Battle of Songhu.

After five years of reorganizing the army, the Nationalist Government already had 24 adjustment divisions and 35 finishing divisions, and these 59 German armament divisions were all fought from the Chiang-Gui War, the Chiang-Yan War, the Central Plains War, and the encirclement, pursuit, and interception of the Red Army.

In the final analysis, the 17 permanent divisions and regiments of small Japan are only trained soldiers, and apart from being ideologically fanatical, the time for which they have actually received military training is only two years, and there are even fewer of them who have been on the battlefield.

In addition to the 59 German divisions, the Central Army also has nearly 100 second-line divisions.

In addition to the Central Army, China also has a large number of local armies such as the Gui Army, the Sichuan Army, the Dian Army, and the Jin Sui Army, especially the Gui Army, the Sichuan Army and the Eighth Route Army.

If the battlefield is located far from the rivers and seas, and the Japanese navy cannot provide fire support, then the biggest gap between the Chinese and Japanese armies is heavy artillery and air force, but under the premise of strong fortifications to rely on, the threat of Japanese heavy artillery and aviation is actually very limited, which can refer to the Battle of Matsuyama seven years later.

In order to take the Songshan position, which was garrisoned by only one Japanese wing, the national army with the help of the Allied air force and a large number of heavy artillery invested 200,000 troops, and finally fought for three months and killed tens of thousands!

Even if the combat effectiveness of the Nationalist army is not as strong as that of the Japanese army defending Songshan, even if the quality of the officers of the Nationalist army is far inferior to that of the Japanese officers, and even if the fortifications on the four defense lines are not as strong as the Japanese Songshan fortress group, even if the Nationalist army guarding the four defense lines cannot get a casualty ratio of one to six, it should not be a problem to fight a casualty ratio of two to one.

Moreover, the Japanese army in the Battle of Songshan was a lone army, while the national army that adhered to the four defense lines of Wufu, Xicheng, Jiacha, and Haijia could get the full support of the whole of China and the almost unlimited replenishment of troops, as long as China's industrial resources were not exhausted, the Chinese army would not only not weaken, but would become stronger and stronger, because a stable defense line could quickly train a large number of veterans, which can refer to the two-mountain round war of the Vietnam War in later generations, and the veterans of the seven military regions fought in this way. These surviving veterans have basically become the backbone of the major military regions.

All in all, if the Nationalist Government abandons Shanghai at this time and chooses to fight the Japanese army on the four defense lines of Wufu, Xicheng, Jiacha, and Haijia, then it will be really difficult to predict who will die in the Sino-Japanese war.

In the Soviet-Finnish War that broke out in November 1939, the Soviet Union had an overwhelming national and military superiority, and the total population of Finland at that time was not even as large as the Soviet army, but the Finnish army relied on the strong Mannerheim Line and killed and injured a large number of Soviet troops in actual combat, forcing the Soviet government to sit down and negotiate.

Although there is a huge difference in the national strength and military strength between China and Japan, it is definitely not as exaggerated as that of the Soviet Union and Finland, especially since China has the most abundant population resources at that time, and the source of troops is almost unlimited, so as long as the tactics are appropriate, it is not impossible to force the Japanese government to abandon the military offensive and sit down and negotiate instead.

Feng Shengfa also agreed with Xu Shijiu's point of view in his heart, but this kind of strategic choice was by no means something that his small lieutenant general division commander could decide, the only thing he could do was to put forward his own views to the Theater Commander's Department, as for whether the Theater Commander's Department and the Command Department accepted it, only God knows.

At that moment, Feng Shengfa changed the topic and said, "Ah Jiu, would you like to go to the 58th Division with me?" ”

"58th Division?" Xu Shijiu was stunned when he heard this, "When did the deputy division seat transfer the 58th division?" ”

Feng Shengfa said: "I have been transferred to the commander of the 58th Division of the 74th Army, as long as you are willing, I will send a letter to the Songhu Garrison Command to transfer your 19th Brigade to the 58th Division, and the number is still the 19th Brigade, how about it?" ”

Xu Shijiu hesitated a little when he heard this, and said, "Master, will this make it difficult for you?" ”

Xu 19 could not predict the future, and naturally did not know the prestige of the 74th Army in the next eight years of the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression, even if he put aside the proud achievements, just the famous generals who came out of the 74th Army could pull out a long list, Wang Yaowu, Shi Zhongcheng, Qiu Weida, Yu Chengwan, Li Tianxia, Liao Lingqi, Zhang Lingfu......

Xu Nineteen just felt that the identity of the Nineteenth Brigade was embarrassing, and after Shu Tongwen mobilized the people of Yin Xing to spontaneously resist Japan, it was even more unclear, so Zhong Song couldn't help but say that the Nineteenth Brigade was kicked out of the 61st Division, and Feng Shengfa was willing to accept the Nineteenth Brigade, Xu Nineteen was of course happy, but he didn't want to implicate Feng Shengfa because of this.

Feng Shengfa said in a deep voice: "Ah Jiu, tell me the truth, is that student a Communist Party or not?" ”

"I don't know, and I don't want to know." Xu Jiu shook his head very dryly, and said, "But I know that he is a good soldier, and he will be a good officer in the future, as long as he can survive." ”

Feng Shengfa nodded, and said, "Okay, are you a communist?" ”

"It's not." Xu Shijiu said without thinking, "I have no ill feelings towards the Communist Party, but I am not a Communist Party." ”

"That's enough, as long as you're not a communist." Feng Shengfa patted Xu Shijiu on the shoulder, and said, "I'm going to Songjiang to join the 58th Division, so I can't replenish the missing soldiers for the time being, but the war waits for no one, you will take the troops to Luodian early tomorrow morning to find out the battlefield situation there." ”

"Yes." Xu Nineteen snapped upright, Feng Shengfa returned the salute and then turned to leave.

After sending Feng Shengfa to the car, and seeing Feng Shengfa's car disappear, Xu Shijiu suddenly grabbed the assembly post and stuffed it into his mouth, and in an instant, a sharp whistle sounded in the silent barracks.

In a few moments, more than 100 veterans poured out of the barracks and rushed to the playground.