Chapter 90 Industrialization is Dead

After thinking for a long time, Yuan Shikai replied: "As far as the minister knows, Joseon Gaozong is cowardly, and the power is in the hands of Concubine Min's party. And the Min clan is now extremely pro-Japanese, and has just established a new army, the Beschi Army, and the instructors are all Japanese. The Japanese minister Hanafang Yiqing, crisscrossed the imperial court, the Wen had the Kaihua Party, the military had a separate branch army, the Min family was pro-Japanese, and there were Japanese businessmen and ronin infiltrated in a big way. The momentum has been achieved, and it is not trivial. As mentioned earlier, the minister will definitely do his best, but if he wants to control the government and make the Min family obey the orders of our country, the minister is really unsure. "

Ding Yuntong admires Yuan Shikai's frankness very much, if you are not sure, you are not sure, this is pragmatism. Unlike those Qingliu parties, when it comes to the earth-shattering sound of the chest beating, if you want to play it really, you will immediately fart and urine, and your original form will be revealed. For example, Zhang Peilun, a celebrity in the clear stream, has always been angry, nationalist, and patriotic, scolding this, scolding that, shouting and killing, and when he arrived at the Mawei battlefield, he ran faster than anyone else. However, it is not shallow, the old cow eats tender grass and marries Li Hongzhang's youngest daughter chrysanthemum, with an age difference of eighteen years. But it is precisely because of this marriage that there is a famous granddaughter named Zhang Ailing.

Ding Yuntong smiled and said: "Aiqing doesn't have to worry too much, don't look at Japan's arrogance at this time, and think that everything is easy." But I am sure that within a few months, the situation in North Korea will change dramatically. The Korean people have been holding grievances for a long time, hating Japan to the core, calling the Bezhi army Wabezhi, and the situation is about to erupt. However, the other army is well treated, but the old pro-army is in arrears, and it will be chaotic in the long run. As long as there is a disaster, Japan's Shili will suffer a heavy blow, and Aiqing can take the opportunity to turn the situation around. This year is the year of Renwu, and I expect that the disaster will be this year! "

Yuan Shikai didn't understand where the emperor got the confidence to be able to conclude so categorically that there would be turmoil in Korea this year, and it was for the Japanese.

On the surface, he was submissive, but in his heart he was skeptical, and he always felt that what the emperor said was too mysterious.

Ding Yuntong knew that he didn't think so, and he didn't say much, so he let the facts educate him. He smiled secretly in his heart: "Lao Tzu came through to rely on this unpredictable prophet, and he played the trick of the fortune teller in the rivers and lakes." If I tell him that Zuihou died of uremia, I wouldn't be stupid for him. "

Ding Yuntong said a few words of encouragement and said: "Some time ago, I asked the fleet to be repainted and prepared to go to Inchon to anchor, and the painting has been completed at this time. Alternatively, let the fleet escort you to Korea, so that you can also deter the Min clan and intimidate Japan, which will be beneficial to you. "

"The minister obeyed. "

"Okay, discuss with Ma Jianzhong more if you have something, and report it to me. If it's urgent and you don't have time to report it, you can cut it first and then play it, and I won't blame you. But there is one thing you have to keep in mind: there are still a lot of domestic things going on in the past two years, and the army and navy are not yet ready. Therefore, you must pay attention to the scale in everything, and you can neither let Japan succeed, nor tear your face with Japan, it depends on your ability. "

Yuan Shikai knelt down and kowtowed: "Emperor Xie is trustworthy, and the minister will never let North Korea lose my hand." "

Watching Yuan Shikai retreat, Ding Yuntong stretched his waist, now he has to think about the steps of industrialization.

The so-called industrialization is not an overnight thing, the Soviet Union in the previous life two five years after Jihua, from the fifth place in Shijie and the fourth place in Europe, to the second place in Shijie and the first place in Europe. This is because, after all, the Soviet Union still has the industrial foundation of Tsarist Russia, and it is said that Russia's industry is poor, which is relative to Britain, France, and Germany, but in fact it still has strong industrial strength, and what is weak is the manufacturing capacity of industrial machine tools, which is still different from China's poverty and whiteness.

Therefore, Ding Yuntong set the goal of industrialization on the initial establishment of an industrial system, and the target of catching up with the total amount of industry should be Italy, which has the worst industrial strength among the European powers.

But this is already a very difficult task. You must know that Japan in the previous life, such plunder, such a desperate development, zuihou until the first Shijie war, has not caught up with Italy.

By 1913, Japan's manufacturing accounted for only 1% of Shijie's share, compared to Italy's 2.4, the per capita industrial level was not as good as Italy's, and steel production was 250,000 tons, less than one-third of Italy's 930,000 tons. It was less than one-tenth the size of Austria-Hungary; The only thing that surpasses Italy is the consumption of energy.

Of course, for China, its population, resources, land, and consumer market are far larger than Japan's, so it should not be so difficult to catch up.

To achieve this goal, three prerequisites are needed.

First. Absolute centralization.

If democratic consultation is carried out, one person has one trumpet, each blows his own tune, each person has a few handfuls, and each pees his own urine, and he will only achieve nothing when he goes to zuihou. Only by centralizing power can the whole country play a game of chess, mobilize limited manpower and material resources, and concentrate on doing great things. In order to centralize power, it is necessary to establish the absolute authority of the emperor, which makes it necessary to dictate.

Second. There must be a suitable external environment.

The developed countries of the West must have a saturated market and a strong desire to export, not only industrial products, but also machinery and equipment and manufacturing jishu. In the previous life, the industrialization of the Soviet Union coincided with an economic crisis, and Western capital needed to invest in a way out, especially exports, to drive the economy and employment, so that the Soviet Union could successfully "buy the bottom".

Third. There must be funds for development.

With determination, with haode environment, but you still have to have money. No matter how good other people's machinery and equipment are, no matter how advanced Jishu is, and they are willing to sell to you, you have to have money to buy it, so where does the money come from?

Ding Yuntong believes that he has initially achieved the centralization of power through a series of measures, and there is no open opposition for the time being. The first condition was met.

At this time, Western industry developed rapidly, especially in Germany and the United States, the scale of industrial production expanded dramatically, but there was not enough consumer market, there was no place to sell what was produced, and the colonies had long been robbed by Britain and France. It was precisely because Germany had no territory and the consumer market was occupied by Britain and France that it would fight the First World War. If China industrializes, then the West, especially Germany and the United States, will be the most important suppliers. So the second condition is also met.

The most troublesome thing is the third, where does the money come from.

Huaxia Bank's more than 100 million silver can solve the immediate difficulties, but in the long run, it is only a few small dollars. You must know that large-scale industrialization is not a few hundred million, but billions can be used.

When industrialization begins, China will bring in jishu, machinery and equipment, foreign engineers, and even whole factories from the West. A large number of iron and steel plants, hydropower stations, and chemical plants will be built, including industrial and mining enterprises in all fields, including telecommunications, metallurgy, agricultural machinery, chemical industry, machine tools, electric power, petroleum, and coal, and strive to initially complete the construction of heavy industry in a relatively short period of time and establish a relatively complete national economic system. All this requires astronomical sums of money, and where does it come from?

The so-called primitive accumulation of capital is bloody, and even more so for backward countries.

At the end of the nineteenth century, the industrialization of Tsarist Russia relied on the brutal plundering of the peasants, exchanging grain for industrial goods, and more than half of the export trade was grain.

The industrialization of the Soviet Union also relied on the plundering of the peasants to obtain funds, and it was even more brutal and bloody. The Soviet government forcibly purchased grain at a price of only 13.2 percent of its cost and potatoes at 7.5 percent of its cost, and then continued to export grain to obtain funds to promote industrialization.

At the same time, the peasants' right to own and trade surplus grain was banned, but this "surplus grain" actually had no standard, and in fact it also forcibly seized the peasants' food rations to meet the quota. Therefore, the Holodomor was inevitable.

Many experts had tended to say that the most conservative estimate was that more than five million died of starvation in 1932-33 alone. But later declassified KGB archives of 1937, the "granary" Ukraine was the worst disaster area, with more than 7 million people starving to death. This led to the adoption of a resolution by the Ukrainian parliament on 28 November 2006 deeming it a form of "genocide". But in the same year, the USSR exported 40,000 tons of wheat to the United States in exchange for money and equipment.

Through the export of plundered grain, the Soviet Union exchanged all kinds of industrial equipment needed for five years to the West, and even a complete set of plant equipment, such as the Stalingrad Tractor Plant, the Chelyabinsk Tractor Plant, the Kharkov Tractor Plant, the Kharkov Electric Power Plant, the Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Complex, the Second Baku Complex, the Nikoport Steel Plant, the Moscow "Aurora" Iron and Steel Plant, and so on.

The same was true of Japan's Meiji Restoration, which reformed the land tax and changed the tax in kind to a monetary tax. The government levied money from the landlords, but the landlords levied in kind from the peasants. The government's indiscriminate issuance of currency led to inflation, which devalued the currency, and the Zuihou peasants were severely exploited. At the same time, the government set the tax rate extremely high, several times higher than that of Western countries during the same period. The exploitation of the people through heavy taxation and the accumulation of primitive capital are carried out. Direct evidence of this is that in the first ten years of the Meiji Restoration, there were an average of 24 peasant uprisings per year.

In this regard, it is quite similar to the Celestial Empire in the previous life, exploiting the people through heavy taxes, temporarily increasing government revenues, and thus supporting a large bureaucracy to maintain the government's rule.

The difference between the two is that the interest groups of the Meiji Restoration were chaebols and parasitic landlords. The Celestial Empire was a hereditary bureaucracy, as well as foreign compradors and landlords who were united with the bureaucracy.

All in all, if you want to get a lot of money in a short time, you have to squeeze the peasants, especially for a backward agricultural country like China, which has no choice but to starve to death of millions of people and collect grain in exchange for Western jishu and equipment. Needless to say, this is not a long-term solution, but it is the only way to industrialize in a short period of time, and there is no other shortcut.

Whether it is imperialism or which ism, although they are dressed in different cloaks, they are essentially the same in this respect, and their methods are similar. The only difference is who is more cruel than whom, who is bloodier than whom, and of course history has already given the answer.

The dictator is above, and all the people are ants. Ants are also life, and if millions of ants starve to death, who will sympathize.

Ding Yuntong has made up his mind: "If you want to have a cannon, you can't ask for butter!" The Chinese have since stood up, but then it's time to starve. "