Tian Fan listened to Sun Quan's confrontation between the north and the south, and couldn't help but praise with his armrest: "Haha, Zhongmou, I haven't seen you for half a year, but you have made a lot of progress!" It seems that Brother Bo Fu and Brother Gong Jin have not relaxed their spur on you! ”

Sun Quan's face turned red, waved his hand, and said abruptly: "Hehe, Brother Boguang, this is not what I came up with!" ”

Tian Fan was stunned for a moment and said, "Oh? So who came up with this? ”

Sun Quan blushed slightly and said, "Brother Boguang, what are you talking about...... Actually, you were the first to bring it up! ”

Tian Fan smiled and said, "What? I? Stop, why don't I remember? ”

Sun Quan nodded affirmatively and said, "Brother Boguang, it's you!" It was the last time you went to Jiangdong, two days before you came back, once the two of us and my eldest brother, Brother Gongjin, the four of us drank together, and after getting drunk, you said it! ”

In fact, Tian Fan had the impression that this could be regarded as his plan to lead the east to the water, directing Jiangdong's attention to a large area south of the river, rather than letting them make trouble for Xuzhou. However, if you pretend to be drunk at the time, you can't remember it too easily at this time, right?

He frowned and thought for a long time, before he suddenly said, "Oh, yes, yes, yes, I remembered, there is such a thing!" ”

Sun Quan smiled and said, "Brother Boguang, I now believe that you were indeed thinking about my Jiangdong at that time, rather than having a plan to cause trouble!" ”

Tian Fan rolled his eyes and said, "You have a lot of strange words!" ”

Sun Quan smiled and said, "You were the first to say this. Later, the three of us woke up, and although I can't remember everything, the general impression is there. So, the three of us slowly reminisced and thought about this idea again. Well...... Brother Boguang, you may not know that my eldest brother and eldest brother Gongjin often deduce the future situation according to this idea! ”

Tian Fan listened to it and couldn't help but think thoughtfully.

Sun Quan looked at him thinking, couldn't help but look at Pang Tong and Zhuge Liang with a smile, and said: "Brother Kong Ming, Brother Shiyuan, junior brother has already told his understanding of the situation in the world, now it's your turn, right?" ”

Zhuge Liang smiled and said, "Zhongmou, this idea was pioneered by Brother Boguang, not yours." ”

Pang Tong nodded and said, "What Kong Ming said is reasonable, this doesn't count!" ”

Sun Quan was a little anxious, and just about to speak, Tian Fan said: "Hehe, this is not!" Shi Yuan, Kong Ming, I just had a general idea at that time, and I just said it casually, Zhong Mou can analyze the situation so clearly, especially the relationship between the three major forces in the north so clearly, it should be considered very simple. Therefore, this idea is not mine, it should be considered Zhongmou.

"As for what you think, it's not just Zhongmou, I'm also curious. Although the two of you have lived in my house for a long time, we only talk about some small things on weekdays, and we have not discussed the general trend of the world...... It's kind of a question I gave you! ”

Pang Tong and Zhuge Liang heard that Tian Fan had said this part, and knew that they would not be able to pass the test if they didn't come up with some dry goods, so Pang Tong made a gesture of invitation to Zhuge Liang and said, "Kong Ming, you come first!" ”

Zhuge Liang smiled: "Shiyuan, you are older than me, you should come first!" ”

Pang Tong rolled his eyes and said, "What is it that you don't compete for on weekdays?" Why did you remember that I was older than you at this time? Don't talk nonsense, you first! ”

Zhuge Liang touched his nose quite embarrassedly, bowed his head slightly, and said, "Okay, I'll come first!" ”

After a slight pause, he hugged his fists to Tian Fan and Sun Quan, and said, "Brother Boguang, Zhongmou, since you talked about this topic today, Na Liang will be ugly." If there is anything you don't need, please give me some advice! ”

Sun Quan hugged his fists and said: "If you can listen to Brother Kong Ming's high opinion, it must be beneficial to Quan, please!" ”

Tian Fan bowed his head slightly and said, "Kong Ming, but it's okay to talk about it!" ”

Zhuge Liang bowed slightly, and said: "The guess about the general trend of the world is actually not much different from what Zhongmou said. The only difference is that I think the world will be three! ”

Tian Fan's eyes lit up, and he urged: "Kong Ming, speak quickly!" ”

Zhuge Liang smiled slightly and said: "In the early stage, that is, within ten years from now on, the princes of the world will fight. These are very consistent with Zhongmou's speculation, but the difference lies in the pattern of the world ten years later. I think that the rivalry between the three major princes in the north will last for eight to ten years, and although Yuan Benchu is strong, there is only one river in his Hebei land, which is a natural danger, and the situation is worrying. In my guess, within eight years, Yuan Benchu will be destroyed! ”

After a slight pause, he continued: "Similarly, I agree with Zhongmou that the one who destroyed Yuan Ben must be a general. However, I think that after the general destroys Yuan Benchu, the northern pattern will enter a period of relative stability. At that time, Cao Mengde's strength was weak, but he occupied the natural danger, and it was difficult for the general to attack the Luoyang Basin, and naturally it was difficult to attack Guanzhong.

"Also, I think that before the general destroys Yuan Benchu, he will first beat Cao Mengde and force him into Luoyang and Guanzhong, and then send heavy troops to guard the Tiger Prison, Wuguan, Xuanyuan, Dagu and other passes, so as to prevent Cao Mengde from making trouble when he is decisive with Yuan Benchu. And when the general and Yuan Benchu fought a decisive battle, Cao Mengde would not be idle. He will take the opportunity to seize Hanzhong and then Chuanzhong. Well...... Cao Mengde's subordinates are quite capable, and his own ability is also extremely strong, coupled with the weakness of Liu Jiyu in Yizhou, I think that before the general completely defeated Yuan Benchu, the land of Hanzhong and Guanzhong had already fallen into his hands. ”

Taking a sip of tea, he looked at Sun Quan and continued: "As Zhongmou said, it will take time for Jiangdong to stabilize the interior, cut off the disobedient Hao clan commanders, and take down the Baiyue and Shanyue tribes in the territory, maybe three years, maybe five years. After that, it will take a few more years to attack Jingzhou. During this period of time, the northern pattern had been fully formed, Cao Mengde had occupied Yizhou, Hanzhong, Guanzhong, and Luoyang, and the general occupied Xuzhou, Yanzhou, Bingzhou, Jizhou, Youzhou, Qingzhou, and parts of Yangzhou, becoming the largest prince in the world.

After a few years later, the general went to war with Cao Mengde, Jiangdong and Jingzhou, and after the war, the general may occupy Luoyang and Guanzhong, but Hanzhong and Yizhou are difficult to fight, of course, it is also possible to return in vain, even Luoyang can not be defeated, and enter the stage of recuperation. Jiangdong, on the other hand, can occupy Jingzhou within ten years. ”

He looked at Tian Fan, and finally concluded: "After that, the pattern of the world is temporarily stable, and all parts of the country need to recuperate because of perennial wars, so I think that after the formation of the pattern of three points in the world, there will be no ten, twenty, or even thirty years to accumulate strength, and there will be no large-scale wars, and some are only local conflicts." ”

Tian Fan bowed slightly, thinking to himself, Zhuge Liang is still a three-point world, but the one who occupies the Central Plains becomes Liu Bei, while Cao Cao went to Bashu, and the territory of Jiangdong includes Jingzhou, this argument is not much different from the romance.

He said slowly: "Kong Ming means that the world is divided into three parts, one side is the lord of my family, and he occupies a large area in the north. On one side was Cao Mengde, and the area he occupied included Yizhou, Guanzhong, and Luoyang...... Well, it is also possible to just occupy Yizhou. The third party is Jiangdong, and the territory occupied by Jiangdong should be the territory south of the Yangtze River, including Jingzhou, Yangzhou, and Jiaozhou! ”

Zhuge Liang nodded and said, "Not bad!" ”

Tian Fan looked at Sun Quan and said, "Zhongmou, what do you think?" ”

Sun Quan frowned, Chen thought for a while, and said, "What Kong Ming said...... Makes sense! Perhaps, I underestimated Cao Mengde, right? Well, the country of abundance in Yizhou, coupled with the steep terrain, is indeed difficult to capture. If...... Cao Mengde took advantage of the decisive battle between the general and Yuan Benchu to highlight the strange troops to occupy Guanzhong, and then took Guanzhong as the front station to occupy Yizhou...... That would indeed form a pattern of three points in the world. After the general completely defeated Yuan Benchu...... In my estimation, this period will not be a year or two, it may be four or five years or even longer. During this period of continuous war, the people in the territory controlled by the general were exhausted, and I was afraid that it would be impossible to provide enough troops and baggage for the attack on Cao Mengde for a while, and he had to recuperate for a few years. And this period of time is enough for Cao Mengde to stabilize the newly occupied land. By then......"

He shook his head slowly, and said nothing more.

Tian Fan and the others couldn't help but fall into deep thought. Once that situation is reached, Cao Cao sent a few generals and a person like Xun Yu to guard in Yizhou, and he went to Luoyang to fight Liu Bei, but I am afraid that I will not be able to see each other in three or two years. Fighting a war consumes the most money and food, and no one can stand continuous wars, so at that time, everyone can only tacitly stop the war and start to recuperate.

Tian Fan thought about it, and couldn't help frowning and shaking his head. What Zhuge Liang said is very likely to come true!

After a while, everyone came back to their senses and couldn't help but look at Pang Tong, who didn't speak.

Pang Tong smiled slightly and said, "My thoughts are almost the same as Kong Ming's, but there are subtle differences. I think that the battle between the general and Yuan Benchu will not last more than three years! ”

Zhuge Liang was stunned for a moment and said, "How is it possible?" Shi Yuan, how many troops does the general have? How many Yuan Benchu have? What was the population under the Great General? How many Yuan Benchu have? The two sides are equal in number and strength, how can it be clear in three years? Have you ever thought about any of this? ”

Pang Tong smiled and said, "Kong Ming, I don't think the same as you. You are a sincere gentleman, and you always think about a righteous and bright decisive battle in everything, but I am different! If I follow my train of thought, I will send most of my people to confront Yuan Benchu on the main battlefield, but the real killing move is another army......"

He looked at Tian Fan and said with a smile: "For example, Brother Boguang's White Tiger Legion!" When the general led an army of more than 100,000 and confronted Yuan Benchu's 300,000, Brother Boguang led the White Tiger Legion to find another way and insert Jizhou from another position...... Hey, hey, Kong Ming, think about it, if that's the case, if everyone under Yuan Benchu's command heard that an enemy army had penetrated into their rear, how could the soldiers still have the fighting spirit? In this case, how long can the frontal battle last? ”

After a slight pause, he continued: "After the first victory, although Yuan Benchu will not collapse immediately, but his resistance strength and willpower will also be greatly weakened, at that time, the general soldiers entered Hebei in several ways, you say that Yuan Benchu's defeat took a few years?" ”

As soon as he said this, everyone fell silent again.

Tian Fan looked at Pang Tong, who was a little complacent, and couldn't help but smile. Not to mention, Zhuge Liang is good at head-on decisive battle, Pang Tong is good at risk, this thing is indeed true!

Zhuge Liang thought for a while and said, "What about after that?" ”

Pang Tong thought for a moment and said, "After that...... I think that after the general unified the north, Cao Mengde would already occupy Yizhou at that time! Well, in my guess, the general will immediately attack Luoyang and Guanzhong with the power of a great victory. These two places, Cao Mengde is difficult to hold! After that, when the general attacks Hanzhong again, he will encounter a great challenge, after all, he has been fighting for many years, and everyone is very tired.

"However, no matter whether the general can occupy Hanzhong or not, it is absolutely impossible for Yizhou to be defeated! And ......"

He looked at Sun Quan and said, "These things will happen within five years, I think, five years Jiangdong is not enough to occupy the entire territory of Jingzhou!" At that time, the general saw that he could not defeat Yizhou, and it was very likely that he would attack Jingzhou. I think that Jingzhou will be controlled by Jiangdong and the generals respectively, Jiangdong occupies the south of the river, and the general occupies the north of the river! ”

In the end, he concluded: "The whole world is divided into three parts, but unlike Kong Ming, Jingzhou will be divided into two parts, and the large-scale turmoil will end within six or seven years, and then enter the stage of recuperation!" ”

ps: The plan has changed, I have to work overtime tomorrow, and the chapter I owe will be made up the day after tomorrow

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