Bukhara merchant Shaitkul? Ablin sat in his guest tent for two whole days and two nights, and at last, with the ingenuity of which he had always been proud, and through the appearance of the clues that he had observed over the past few days, he came to a conclusion that shocked and implauded him.

The de facto controller of the Baikal region is now China! Although this land began to be included in the account of the "Great All-Russian Monarch" decades ago, at least to this day, it is already in the hands of the Bogda Emperor of the Great Qing Dynasty!

Although this conclusion was clearly informed by the cunning captain of the 500 at the beginning of his capture, Ablin was reluctant to believe it, and took it for granted that this small team of 500 men should have entered the Baikal region by accident to spend the winter. The reason why he has now overturned his initial judgment is because Ablin is keenly aware that the atmosphere in the Qing army camp in the past few days has been very different from the previous days!

First of all, the little leader Unqi suddenly disappeared one day, and disappeared without a trace along with almost all the soldiers in his entire camp, leaving only twenty or so guards in the camp. And before that, his hateful companions were politely sent elsewhere, because he had never seen them again! What's even more obvious is that three or four days later, Wu Enqi came back with an injury, although the injury was not serious, but it was extremely eye-catching.

Secondly, after these few days, more than half of the Bogda soldiers who returned to the camp were more than those originally stationed here, and the rest were more or less wounded and hung up. But soon. A larger number of soldiers were added, and it seemed that they were still completely under the command of Uenqi. These new soldiers were not originally from this camp, because none of them knew anyone.

Again, a number of Russian craftsmen, numbering one or twenty people, arrived at the stockade one after another in the past few days, and began to work their own trades, whether they were blacksmiths, carpenters, or pharmacists. Their occupations can be distinguished by the way they start their work. But every Rus' was very closely guarded by those Qing soldiers. I haven't been able to get in touch with it.

In the end, whether it was the soldiers who were originally in this barracks or the Qing troops who were deployed here, their faces were all filled with a look of joy and pride. Although he was still polite to himself as always. But the disdain and ridicule in his eyes are increasing day by day. This is what scares Ablin the most.

After some careful consideration, Ablin hastily came to the following judgment-

First, the five-centurion should have been right. The area around Lake Baikal should indeed have been cleaned by Bogda soldiers. In other words, it is estimated that most of the castles that Moscow has built over the years have changed their flags.

Second, the battle was only fought in the past two days, and it was definitely not that the Qing soldiers had deceived themselves at the beginning, and the Rakshasa disappeared three or four months ago!

Thirdly, the recent battles have been fierce, otherwise it would not have been more than half of the Qing troops in a stockade!

Fourthly, the number of Qing troops is quite large, and it is likely that there is more than one military fortress in the Baikal region, and they have already won the battle. That is, their opponents, the Russians, are most likely completely annihilated.

Furthermore, after a comprehensive analysis and application of the above judgments, the clever businessman Ablin came to the following understanding:

The whole of Lake Baikal should have fallen into the hands of the Bogda Emperor, and this information, perhaps, has not yet been transmitted to Tobolsk, let alone Moscow. If you can send the situation here back to Tobolsk as soon as possible, then your status and industry there will once again usher in an unprecedented explosion!

As a foreign merchant serving under the tsar's tent, this conclusion was originally only about the affairs between the two great powers, China and Russia, but Ablin could not detach himself, because not far away, in Tobolsk, Novosibirsk, he was already a prominent landowner, and his land was very expensive. Once there is a war, or if you change your course and change the country's lord, the loss will be great!

The current situation can be described as a thousand moments, because once the Qing State has a firm foothold on Lake Baikal has to compete with the tsar in Moscow, judging by what he has seen with his own eyes, although the victory or defeat is unpredictable, it will obviously be beneficial to the Chinese as a whole.

Undoubtedly, in the famous old saying of the Chinese, the tsar did still occupy the "heavenly time", the so-called "early is strong, and the last one suffers". The Russians have been operating in Siberia for decades, especially in Western Siberia, and have long since formed a pattern of domination with the two large castles of Tobolsk and Tomsk as bases and centers. Moreover, these two central fortress cities are highly armed, and each castle has a standing garrison of close to a thousand! The city is even more tightly organized, with the overseer's palace, yamen, soldiers, dwellings, all kinds of craftsmen, as well as city defense artillery and field artillery, which is by no means comparable to this small, albeit renovated small camp of the Qing army.

But the Qing State now occupies the "geographical advantage" and "harmony", and taking the entire Baikal region is the best "geographical advantage"!

From there, to the west, the Qing could attack Tomsk and Tobolsk, the two major Russian governorates in Siberia today, or the strategic bases, in order to make an indeed. Although these two places are not so easy to occupy, war is so unpredictable, anything can happen, many things that were thought to be impossible, but war will make it happen!

At that time, the Siberian Khanate had a large population under its command, but it couldn't even deal with more than 840 Cossacks, and it died in less than a year. Although the Siberian Khanate had previously gathered forces and fortified at various levels, it was simply impossible to defend against the Cossacks equipped with a small number of muskets and artillery with bows and arrows! Without those more than 100 Pishaw guns, the army of the Siberian Khanate could have fought on the same level as the Cossacks...... It's a pity that history can't be assumed! Besides, who brought them into contact with the cunning Stroganovs, and their impudent lackeys, Markov, who was born as a Cossack bandit!

And their own homeland, the Bukhara Khanate, will not be able to resist the Russians with muskets and cannons, otherwise there is no need to be forced by Moscow to grovel and be willing to be an inferior small country! Alas...... If the Chinese really occupied these two castles, it would only show that their forces were strong. If this is the case, Moscow's eastern gateway would be like an open gate, after all, the Ural Mountains are too small.

Even if the Qing army was defeated, they could calmly choose to go south from Lake Baikal.

To the south, they could retreat to the place where the Emperor Bogda was close to him, but seemed to have already claimed to be a tribute, and then take the Monan Mongols, who were desperately loyal to the Qing State, as their rear, at least to protect themselves and make another plan.

If you go north......

Heck, once the Qing army really goes north, it will definitely be relatively smooth! Because now, only the Yeniseisk Castle under the jurisdiction of the Tomsk Overseer is still a bit large, but the troops are seriously insufficient, and I am afraid that the fight will be more auspicious. What is even more terrifying is that several Russian strongholds on the north side of Lake Baikal have only been established for a short time, but they are connected by dense water networks and post roads, which can be said to extend in all directions. If the Chinese occupy it, it will be equivalent to cutting off Moscow's choke point to the Far East! If so, Yakutsk to the east is ......

Yes, to the east is the jurisdiction of the Yakutsk Overseer! In recent years, I have heard that the expeditionary expedition in the Amur River [Heilongjiang] valley has not done very glorious, but after all, the results are remarkable, and it depends on the opportunity of the Bogda Emperor to rush south to replace the Ming Emperor and his own air defense. If the Qing army goes east, the good situation that has just been created for more than ten years will come to naught! After all, the Amur River is the hometown of these Qing Tatars, and as long as they gain a foothold south of the Great Wall, they will definitely fight back to their hometown! With those noble lords of the Yakutsk Governor's Mansion and a little strength under them, it is simply a fool's dream to defeat the Chinese!

As the best Muslim merchant of the seventeenth century, Ablin possessed a certain hazy concept that later generations called "geopolitical theory", which also relied on his years of traveling between Russia and the Mongolian plateau, and also had a somewhat superficial understanding of Chinese thought. But the more he learned about those Chinese, the more worried Ablin became about the current situation, because Allah did not seem to be on the side of Tsar Alexei I......

(Chapter to be continued)

"A limerick poem? Hidden Head

Reading literature and reading history is only a long breath

I was saying that there was an opportunity back then

The layout is a long-cherished wish

It's hard to come and go

Get up and spend a hundred years

Point out the suffering and diseases of the world

The edge of the town was razed to the sea

Wen'an Wuding happy teardrops (to be continued......)