A high-level forum between the civilian and military sectors on "Where is Yu Going" organized by the Yu Institute for International and Strategic Studies was held in Shangri-La.

Focusing on the increasingly difficult international environment and the current unfavorable economic situation and military environment in the international community, more than 20 institutions, including the Policy Research Office of the State Council, the Ministry of State Security, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, non-governmental think tanks, the Academy of Military Sciences, the Strategic Intelligence Research Office, the Institute of International Relations of Tsinghua University, and the Institute of International Relations of Fudan University, participated in the meeting.

The meeting was solemn and full of sharp debates.

Cui Dapeng, director of the Institute of International Relations at Fudan University, put forward his own views on the expansion direction of Yu's strategic development, saying: "The competition between Yu and Li Xiong in East Asia has increasingly taken on a zero-sum pattern. Recently, the successive incidents of the Globe Country, the Barbarians, and the Zhimo Kingdom show that the East China Sea and the South China Sea of the Yu State are almost about to erupt, and the possibility of misfire is increasing day by day. As the saying goes, 'press the gourd and scoop it up'. These are the instigations behind the development of the Lixiong country, because of the strategic needs, the Lixiong country will not easily let our country out of the first island chain. But if we move our strategic direction to the west, although the sphere of influence of the Lixiong State has garrisons in Central Asia and the Zhenru Khan in the west, after all, we have the Arctic countries echoing. And in the south and east, who are the helpers we can rely on? Fresh Country? There is great potential for cooperation between China and Lixiong in the fields of investment, energy, counter-terrorism, non-proliferation, and maintaining regional stability, and there is almost no risk of military confrontation. On the issue of maintaining the stability of the Zhenru Khanate, the Stan, and other countries, the Lixiong Kingdom is eager for our country's help. We open up the Western Corridor to the Indian Ocean, and Mona cannot compete with it. ”

Rear Admiral Huang Zhen, chief of staff of the South China Sea Fleet, said: "Yu should adopt the geopolitical strategy of consolidating the north, stabilizing the west, Andong and Tuonan, deepen and consolidate the strategic cooperative partnership with the Arctic countries, and ensure that the strategic direction of the north is stable and worry-free; We will make use of the platform of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization to ensure that there will be no major turmoil in the strategic direction of the western region and that we will seek progress while maintaining stability; While ensuring the stabilization of the position in the eastern direction, a breakthrough in the western Pacific direction will be achieved; The focus is to face the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean, expand the national interests of Yu, take the lead in the economy, back up the military, and maneuver around in diplomacy, occupy the field, and obtain real benefits. To break through the confinement around Yu and disrupt the strategic attempt of Lixiong State, sooner or later, it is necessary to make a larger military advance, seize a point, and destroy a point, and establish a kind of deterrence. Then, the establishment of the strategic fulcrum of Yu is in the South China Sea. Avoid the two wings and go straight to the middle palace, so that you will not be subject to the siege of the Lixiong Kingdom. The strategic threat to China is not great, and once our aircraft carriers are placed in the South China Sea, the surrounding areas can ensure the smooth passage of waterways. Li Xiongguo is willing to come and make trouble, so we are accompanied, fighting at our own gates, who are we afraid of? ”

This debate has a bearing on the major issue of who will be a friend and who will be an enemy in Yu's diplomacy in the future, and it is also related to the distribution and integration of Yu's national defense and diplomatic resources. So the debate was merciless, sharp and practical. According to Cui Dapeng's point of view, since Yu is surrounded by Lixiong in the east, it is better to break through to the west, but to make friends with Lixiong. But the problem is that the religious and ethnic contradictions in Central Asia are fierce, and it is a big strategic quagmire, and if Yuyu country falls into it, let alone make a breakthrough, I am afraid it will be difficult to even get out. If it moves westward, the military strength of the Lixiong State in the Khanate will be transformed into relying on the Khan, and he can find all kinds of excuses to encircle the Yu State. The land passage of Yu's westward expansion will startle the snake and make Lixiong more vigilant.

In particular, the Arctic countries regard Central Asia as a forbidden country, and the westward expansion of the Yu country is bound to collide head-on with the Arctic countries, resulting in a competition for spheres of influence, and the Arctic countries are enemies, and the Yu country will face the encirclement of the eastern country and the ball country, and the strategic dilemma of the confrontation of the Arctic country in the west, and is in the most disadvantageous position in the triangular relationship between the Yu country, the Lixiong country and the Arctic country. This is not the best strategic framework for Yu. Cui Dapeng's westward expansion strategy may not be in line with the fundamental interests of Yu, but it is the most beneficial to Lixiong's global strategy. The strategic cooperation between Yu and the Arctic countries is the heart disease of the Lixiong country, if the Yu country and the Arctic country are at odds, it will make the fishermen of the Lixiong country benefit, and the Yu country will be embattled.

Zhou Wei, director of intelligence of the three armed services of the Ministry of State Security, has been thinking about Cui Dapeng's words on the sidelines. He has been pondering the issue of Yu's diplomatic strategy and military coordination. Cui Dapeng's speech made him a little entangled. Because from a historical point of view, westward expansion is the national strategy of several dynasties of the Yu Kingdom. The establishment of the Silk Road not only allowed Yu to have a cultural and economic flow with Central Asian countries, but also gave Yu a channel for national power to drive directly into Central Europe. However, he also understood the fear that the Yuan Dynasty's military conquest of Central Asia brought to the Central Asian countries. The road to Istanbul to the Mediterranean Sea is a good idea, but it is too long and bumpy.

At the same time, he called the counterintelligence bureau of the Ministry of Security and asked analysts to compile a copy of Cui Dapeng's information and arrange personnel to conduct a defensive investigation. The country is now on war alert, and the counter-espionage work is extremely difficult, and as the director of intelligence, he has always felt anxious about what he can't do.

The debate continued, and as a result, Huang Zhen's analysis was supported by the majority, and his plan for southward expansion was more in line with Yu's long-term interests. The opponent facing Yu's southward expansion is not a strong country, and it is justified to take the South China Sea as the starting point. In addition, Yu's economic influence on ASEAN countries is getting bigger and bigger, and it is fully qualified to transform economic influence into political influence. In fact, the country of Lixiong and the country of the ball and the country of Mona are also actively burying their hands in Southeast Asia, and if the country of Yu does not act in time, it will lose the period of strategic opportunity.

At this time, Min Na, director of the Information Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, stood up and said to everyone: "I'm sorry comrades, we have to urgently arrange a press conference for domestic and foreign media. I'm sorry. ”

Peony Hall of the Great Hall of the People. The room was full of domestic and foreign journalists. Today everyone held their breath and waited for an important moment to come.

At 16 o'clock in the afternoon, spokesman Qin Feng stepped up to the speaker as usual.

Reuters: "Who fired the first shot in the armed conflict between your country and the other countries that took place in the East China Sea at 10:30 a.m.?" Your country's counterattack is premeditated, does this mean that your government has begun to declare war on the world? ”

Qin Feng pointed to the projector, and soon the video of the entire East China Sea conflict was presented in front of everyone, and he said: "Everyone, please take a look at this video to see who fired the first shot." It is no longer news that the maritime surveillance ship of the Yu State was cruising in its own waters to enforce the law, but it was brutally attacked by the country of the ball. The waters of Heping Island are the places where the people of Yu have fished for generations. How can it be said that the countries of the globe have repeatedly disregarded the facts and deliberately provoked disputes, and our navy has been forced to fight back in self-defense? As for whether it represents a declaration of war on the ball country, it depends on whether the ball country will carry out military adventures again. If the country dares to provoke, then we dare to fight back resolutely. ”

A reporter from the Arab TBBS News Agency: "The country has repeatedly claimed that the dispute over the island of peace belongs to the security of the country and the country of Lixiong, will the country of Lixiong enter the war this time?" Does your government intend to control the scope of the war? ”

Qin Feng: "The people and government of Yu are peace-loving. In previous wars with foreign countries, Yu was forced to exercise the right of self-defense. Our nation has a history of resisting foreign aggression, and although we have paid a heavy price, we will prove our determination and perseverance to resist. No matter who it is, no matter what the plot is, it will not interrupt the process of our country's rise. If there is to be a duel, we will accompany you to the end. ”