In the eyes of Chen Duan and others, Jiangdong's strength is limited, and it is difficult to resist Cao Cao's army at all, so even if Zhou Yu opposes surrender and is bent on the main battle, that battle is also equivalent to defense, and he does not dare to take the initiative to provoke the other party. Now that Cao Cao is still in Nanyang, Jingzhou is undecided, and he will not turn around to fight Jiangdong, so as long as he can persuade the Cao family's henchmen and help persuade Cao Cao to spare the Sun family temporarily, he can at least delay the outbreak of the war as much as possible.

After all, a huge Jingzhou is not something that can be swallowed in one bite, and after swallowing, Cao Cao also needs a period of time to recuperate. After destroying the thorn, it is likely to cause indigestion and incur endless disasters, so there may be a glimmer of hope for success.

However, Jixun doesn't see it that way. On the one hand, the greatest threat to Sun Quan was not from the outside, but from the inside—the Lu Yi in front of him was the best example—and if he was given enough time to integrate the hearts of the people of Wu Land more securely, it would be more difficult to shake it again. In the original history, Chen Deng was the Taishou of Guangling, and repeatedly wrote to build yì Cao Cao's southern expedition to the Sun clan, but unfortunately Cao Cao had something to do in the north and did not have time to listen, and then in order to suppress the local forces in Xuzhou, Chen Yuanlong was transferred away. Therefore, it is recorded in the history books that Cao Cao "sighed every time he was in the river, hated to use Chen Yuanlong's plan earlier, and ordered Feng Feng to raise his minions." "I accidentally let Sun Quan Xiao'er sit big.

On the other hand, Chen Duan and others still underestimated Zhou Yu's courage. In the original history, Cao Cao's troops entered Jingzhou, forced Liu Cong, chased Liu Bei, and sent a threatening letter to Sun Quan by the way. Sun Quan said that the number of 50,000 was rushed and difficult to do. Can you give you 30,000 first? Zhou Yu didn't say a word - walked up~~ and ran to Chibi to break Cao.

Zhou Yu is so arrogant. That's really arrogant. He simply bullied Cao Cao for not knowing how to fight in water, and on the river, he had to use Jingzhou's pawns to fight him. Not to mention whether the Jingzhou soldiers obey orders or not, whether they have two hearts, even if they really have the same desires, it has always been his defeat under Zhou Gongjin.

So you and the others actually decided that Zhou Yu would not take the initiative to provoke Cao Cao? Then what did he do when he transferred you out of Wudi? Will he stupidly wait for you to come back and fight him with an acceptable surrender or peace talks?

Thinking of this, Shixun couldn't help but be shocked. Immediately sent off the guests for the second time, and blasted Chen Duan and Lu Yi away, saying that it was too late, and I also knew the intention of the two, and when I thought about it, we will talk about it tomorrow. When he was finished, he quickly spread out the paper, dipped his pen in ink, and wrote a letter to Cao Cao, saying that I should not provoke Jiangdong first, so as not to fight on two fronts. But there are also tens of millions, and we must guard against the Sun family taking the initiative to interfere. By the way, I also attached Chen Duan's visit and Lu Yi's talk. didn't draw a conclusion, please Cao Cao speculated for himself.

After writing the letter, he ordered his subordinates to take a boat to Dengzhou, and then quickly sent it to Cao Cao in Nanyang - whether he could catch up with it or not, it was only up to fate.

Shixun has always gone to bed late and wakes up late, and at this time, for most people in these days, he should fall asleep, but he still refuses to sleep—even if he does, he can't sleep. So he spread out the map, carefully studied the geography and situation of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, and began to think for a long time against the battle of Chibi in the original history in his memory.

Because history has changed, even if Cao Cao is against Sun Quan at this time, the situation and situation are also very different, and there are advantages and disadvantages.

First of all, there are two benefits. The first is that the power of the Cao family is stronger than in the original history, and on the other hand, the Sun family in Jiangdong is even smaller and weaker - after all, Lujiang County is in the hands of the Cao family rather than the Sun family, and it can be said that the Sun family has no size in Jiangbei at this time. Moreover, Tai Shici and Lu Su have made long-term preparations in Jiujiang and Lujiang, and it is assumed that the enemy is Jiangdong, and Chen Deng has not yet been transferred from Guangling, plus the main force of Cao's army, Dongwu may suffer blows from three directions at the same time.

The second is the problem of talents, Lu Su and Zhuge Jin were abducted by themselves, Liu Bei entered Shu, and Zhuge Liang was accepted as a disciple by himself, which greatly weakened the strength of the anti-war faction in Gujing and Yangzhou. You must know that without Lu Su and Zhuge Liang in history, it would have been difficult for the Sun and Liu alliance to be established - although Zhou Yu was also a staunch anti-Cao faction, he had little interest in this alliance.

But there are also two drawbacks. First, Cao Cao's troops were insufficient, only 130,000, which was certainly less than in the original history. How many Cao troops were there in the Battle of Red Cliffs? There is no definite record in history, Cao Cao's self-proclaimed "Imabari Naval Army of 800,000 People" is, of course, bragging about not paying taxes, but even if you make a discount, there will be 400,000, and if you discount it in half, it will be 200,000, and if you discount it, there will be 100,000 yuan, and there will be 100,000 yuan if you discount it -- about 200,000 is the most likely. The problem is that Liu Cong surrendered without a fight, and tens of thousands of horses in Jingzhou all fell into the hands of Cao Cao, so he may not have such good luck today.

Theoretically, Liu Biao will never surrender lightly, there must be a fierce battle between Cao and Liu, and no one can say for sure how much will be left after the vicious battle.

Second, because of the instigation of his little butterfly wings, Cao Cao has been more smooth sailing in recent years than in the original history, and it is likely to breed a proud mentality. In the original history, Jia Xu once persuaded Cao Cao before the Battle of Chibi: "If you take advantage of the old Chu to serve the officials, appease the people, and make the land happy, then Jiangdong can be subdued without working for the people." "It means that Jingzhou must be stabilized first, and then we can talk about cleaning up Dongwu, and maybe the general trend is the same, and you don't need to clean up the other party. It's a pity that Cao Cao couldn't listen to it, so there was a defeat at Chibi. And on this timeline, if the battle of Jingzhou is smooth, Cao Cao will definitely be even more obstinate.

Shi Xun was very conflicted in his heart, based on the information revealed by Lu Yi, he hoped that the battle with the Sun family would start as soon as possible, and take advantage of the instability of the people in Jiangdong and the opportunity of the soldiers to surrender to exterminate them in one fell swoop. However, compared with the original history, I felt that it was okay to be late, Cao Cao had to stay in Jingzhou for more time, first stabilize the newly occupied area and then attack Jiangdong, and the chances of victory would be greater.

Even he pondered that if Cao Cao fought harder in Jingzhou, maybe he would not be proud of his victory, and he would not suddenly turn around and attack Sun Quan before the whole territory of Jingzhou was peaceful......

Alas, which one is the right path and which one is the wrong path, thousands of miles away, and the situation on the front line is unknown, and it is really not clear to study it.

Cao Cao's southern expedition was decided very early - the Yuan clan was destroyed, and Youzhou was peaceful, so the southern capture of Jingyang was naturally put on the agenda - if Xun wanted to participate, there were actually a lot of opportunities to leave Youzhou and return to Cao Cao's side. And in fact, Cao Cao also has this intention, if it weren't for Hongfu taking advantage of this juncture to expedition to Liaodong, before returning to Youzhou, on the one hand, it is inconvenient to transfer the dust unwashed, and on the other hand, he is also needed to deter Pingzhou, which has just been captured, Cao Cao would have summoned him over.

However, deep down, Shixun didn't want to participate in the battle of the Southern Expedition, because since history has changed, the shape has been very different, so what's the use of going by himself? If he had traveled directly to before the Battle of Chibi, the original history had not been greatly distorted, and he would have been able to help Cao Cao win this battle - at least he would not have suffered a fiasco, as long as Huang Gai was exposed in advance. As far as Cao Cao's suspicious personality is concerned, coupled with Hongfu's unparalleled lips and tongue, even if Huang Gongfu is sincere and obedient, he can stir up Huang for him!

Cao Deok once said that Xun lacked confidence, but that was in the past, and now Hongsuke can be said to be full of confidence. The first point is confidence in Confucianism and Taoism, and he sells dog meat on the head of a sheep under the banner of Zheng Men's inheritance, and carefully distorts and falsifies the Confucian classics. Xi Xian, who was in the court, was willing to take Xun lightly if he supported himself so that he could become the leader of the contemporary ancient literature; Cui Yan and others in the opposition have just finished three years of mourning with their tails between their legs, and they are sharpening their heads and want to re-enter the officialdom, and they will not come to provoke a powerful figure like Shixun; As for the ancient writers who are not Zhengmen and those who are down-and-out modern writers, do they have the qualifications to be called for the honor?

The second point is the confidence in the poems, now it is Xun who writes a steady application text, and the experience value of copying poems has accumulated to a certain extent, and he can also make it on the spot by himself, and he has long been afraid of being exposed on the spot. He was originally afraid that Wang Cang and Yang Xiu would be dragged to participate in some poetry meeting, proposition composition, and singing on the spot, which was easy to leak out, but after really experiencing it a few times, he found that he could use his political experience and tongue to perfectly control the atmosphere on the field, and even changed the original poem title. In this case, even the "Seven Sons of Jian'an" can cope with it himself, will he still be afraid of other scholars?

The third point is confidence in politics, which is that Xun folded and rushed between the bottles, shook his lips and puffed his tongue, and used his knowledge of historical materials to become more and more skillful in grasping people's hearts. Once you understand the basic stance and basic personality traits of the interlocutor, it is not difficult to say and act on them. If you compare Su Qin and Zhang Yi in this world, most people will definitely think of him as Hongfu for the first time. This is the most important capital of his settlement in Cao Ying.

However, Shi Xun really has no confidence in military affairs, especially when he is juxtaposed with Xun You, Jia Xu, Cheng Yu and others, when facing opponents such as Zhou Yu and Fa Zheng, with his little talent, at most he will just pick up the remnants of wise people, and after a long time, he will definitely make a fool of himself. If he talked about history and paper on the Internet before the crossing, and the military strategy was only 30 at most, after crossing over for so long, after many experiences, he finally got a passing grade, then it is estimated that it is also the sky - the goods he has to face are all above 90!

Everyone has their own strengths, talent is this thing, to put it bluntly, it is the upper limit of values, as long as you work hard, everyone can achieve their upper limit, and the talent of the problem person and the human being is the upper limit after all. How do you compare the upper limit of 60 with the upper limit of 100?

Therefore, Shi Xun not only didn't want to follow Cao Cao's southern expedition, but he didn't even want to take the initiative to get involved in this matter, at most, he just gave Cao Cao some painless advice from the bystanders. However, the arrival of Chen Duan and Lu Yi forced him to invest considerable energy in this area...... (To be continued......)