After getting on the return train, Viola kept chatting with Lin Youde as usual.

"According to you, the next war can't be started by the United States?"

"I don't say that, but the United States has a long history of expansionism. In this world, they launched a war of expansion against the Indians as soon as they became independent, and in another time and space that I know, they launched a war against Canada not long after they became independent, but they were beaten by the Canadian militia and the British troops, and they failed to live up to their original goal. In that war, their capital, Washington, D.C., was captured by the British, and the White House was burned to the ground. For nearly 100 years since then, the United States has been honestly holding its tail between its legs, and has not tried to challenge the authority of the British Empire. ”

"That means ......," Viola's expression brightened suddenly.

But Lin Youde unceremoniously poured a basin of cold water on her head: "Impossible." The United States has everything it needs to develop, especially after seizing the Philippines from Spain, and although the United States has expansionist ambitions, it does not have the pressure to expand, so they will only consider war in the most extreme cases, and until then they have a better choice. The ancient Chinese art of war book "The Art of War" makes it very clear: a soldier who surrenders without a fight is also a good man. The United States is blessed with the best way to solve the problem. ”

"You mean we don't have a choice in Germany, do you?"

"Yes, the mustache of the other world did not fundamentally solve the problems facing the German economy, and his measures had many side effects, but Germany did not have enough strength to absorb and digest these side effects like the United States, and he could only deal with these negative effects by inciting national sentiment and strengthening his rule, so he led Germany on the path of expansion not entirely because of his ambitions, you must know that war is the best way to strengthen the national character."

"Theodore? Roosevelt's famous quote......" Viola muttered, turning her head to look out the window.

Lin Youde looked at her side face.

The girl's performance was so normal that Lin Youde began to wonder if he was going to take the path of "everything last night should have happened before" - but if you think about it, in fact, nothing big happened last night.

Even so, Lin Youde's side cares a lot, he always feels that his relationship with Viola should be a lot closer after last night, but now Viola's performance makes him very uncertain about it.

Just when Lin Youde was hesitating to test it, someone knocked on the door of the box.

"Please come in." Before Lin Youde could react, Viola was the first to respond.

The door of the box was opened, and a middle-aged gentleman with glasses and a goatee appeared at the door of the box, and after scanning the inside of the box, he bowed very politely to Viola, who was sitting opposite Lin Youde, and said, "Dear Miss, can I sit in this box?" ”

Lin Youde has watched a lot of movies of this era, and it seems that this kind of scene is quite common in train travel in this era, but in the movies that Lin Youde watched, the gentleman who came in to disturb was either a detective or a murderer......

Viola nodded to the gentleman and said, "No problem. ”

Then she stood up and sat down next to Lin Youde.

The gentleman looked at Viola in surprise, and then glanced at Lin Youde, and his expression and demeanor couldn't be more obvious: this young lady didn't mind sitting with a yellow race!

Lin Youde was also surprised, because the length of the seats in this box was close to the length of the sleeper in the original world, which could seat several adults, but Viola sat next to Lin Youde.

What, Lin Youde thought, sure enough, after last night's incident, the distance between the two is still a little closer.

Lin Youde looked at Viola's side face, but the girl looked out of the window and rewarded him with the back of her head.

Lin Youde pursed his lips, and at this moment, Viola suddenly moved to pull his clothes, and pointed out the train window with the other hand and said, "Look over there!" ”

Lin Youde looked in the direction of Viola's finger and saw that on the bank of the canal parallel to the train tracks, someone was dumping an entire truckload of goods into the river.

"They're dealing with a backlog of goods." Because there was an outsider in the carriage, Lin Youde subconsciously lowered his voice.

"For what?" Viola stared at Lin Youde with wide eyes, "Why don't you sell it at a low price to those who need it?" ”

"Because the owner thinks that if the price is lowered to a level that is acceptable to the masses now, the income will be less than the cost of selling these things." Lin Youde saw that Viola was still puzzled, so he continued to explain, "The goods are not produced and sold directly to consumers, and the merchants also need to pay the cost of packaging the goods and transporting the goods to the market. ”

“…… That's right. Viola nodded incredulously.

Lin Youde continued: "In addition, some commodities may be abandoned because of the problem of supply and demand, when the market demand is far greater than the supply, the price of the commodity will go up, and the capitalists will start to produce this commodity in a swarm in the face of huge profits, and then their actions will make the market supply and demand suddenly reversed, in this case, even if the capitalists sell the goods at a loss, there will be a considerable part of the surplus commodities that cannot be sold at all, and can only be disposed of." ”

"So, which kind of people are falling?"

Lin Youde couldn't help frowning, how did he know which kind of Dao he belonged to, he couldn't even see what was pouring into the canal.

Viola looked at Lin Youde's face, frowned slightly and asked, "You don't know what to do, right?" ”

"Yes, I don't know." Lin Youde admitted very frankly, "My personal guess should be the former." ”

At this time, the middle-aged gentleman with glasses and goatee who had just entered the box applauded lightly and exclaimed: "Your opinion is quite interesting, I ignored your existence just now, and now I hope you can accept my apologies." ”

"You're welcome," Lin Youde smiled at the middle-aged gentleman, ignoring his outstretched hand, "I'm used to being ignored and looked down upon by guys who claim to be civilized." ”

Then the middle-aged gentleman's expression became quite interesting, and the three goatees twitched slightly with excitement.

Viola completely ignored what was happening in the carriage, and she tugged at Larin Youde's clothes again: "I can see exactly what they are pouring, those are cleaned tripe and marinated ham!" ”

Lin Youde couldn't help frowning, he had heard a joke that he didn't know whether it was true or false in the original world: during World War I, Germany's Zeppelin airbags were made of leather from cows, and in order to meet the needs of building airships, the people of Germany had never seen sausages and tripe during World War I.

Although I don't know whether this joke is true or not, Lin Youde is very aware of how tight the supply of meat products in Germany was during World War I, and this situation has not been completely solved before World War II.

Now the capitalists are dumping ham and tripe into the canal, even though it is only a few truckloads, which is not comparable to the scale of the milk poured into the river in the United States, but it still shows that the German economy is on the verge of collapse.

Lin Youde took out today's newspaper from the bag behind the door of the train compartment, quickly scanned the headlines of each page, and saw only a ******** report - it seems that the news reporter is the same no matter what time and space: who gives money to speak for whom.

Lin Youde dropped the newspaper, pulled Viola's shoulder, and then asked her in Latin, "Has Mark been exchanged for gold?" ”

"Before I left, I sent someone to send a telegram to urge this." Viola also replied to Lin Youde in Latin, while the middle-aged gentleman who seemed to be somewhat educated sitting across from the two of them looked dazed, and it seemed that he could not understand Latin.

"What's wrong?" Viola asked Lin Youde with concern, her eyes swept over the front page of the newspaper that Lin Youde threw on the chair, but the doubts on her face deepened.

"Maybe the avalanche will come sooner than we expected." Lin Youde looked out the window again, the truck that had just dumped the goods was no longer visible, and only the scattered "debris" that could be vaguely seen on the water could prove that what Lin Youde had just seen was not an illusion, "The capitalists began to deal with the goods like this, which means that the futures are finished, I don't know the situation of the futures exchange now, but I estimate that it has been a mess." Speculators are probably thinking about how to reduce their losses, but they will eventually find that their wealth will shrink rapidly no matter how much they get it. ”

Lin Youde shook his head and continued: "Of course, there should be a few guys who choose to short orders and laugh happily, but most people should not have expected the prices of various commodities to fall together a few months ago. ”

Viola also looked understood, and she continued Lin Youde's words and said, "The next thing is the bank, right?" Banks lend money to speculators for futures trading, but the speculators' wealth evaporates, so the banks can't get their money back. ”

"To make matters worse, futures trading contracts used to offset debt will also become worthless." Lin Youde added.

"That's right...... Can't we do something about it? ”

Lin Youde was unprepared for Viola's sudden question, so he was stunned for a moment before asking, "Do something?" ”

"That's right, isn't this a good time to fish in troubled waters? Don't look at me like this, I still have a lot of marks in my hand. ”

Lin Youde scratched the back of his head in embarrassment, he, a liberal arts student, chose a lot of messy finance and economics courses in order to make up credits, but this kind of elective course will not be too specialized, he knows the general principles of Taoism, and it is not bad to bluff people - especially now that the theory of finance and economics is seventy years behind the era in which Lin Youde lived. But it would be too difficult for him to actually do it.

Just when Lin Youde was in trouble, the middle-aged gentleman sitting opposite suddenly said in Latin: "If you want to make a profit while the chaos is in trouble, I have a suggestion here, I don't know if you are interested?" ”