1669 win rate estimate

Defeat, defeat, rout!

Before the Nations League final began, Sherman had already lost his underwear directly, and even the reporters were disgraced and did not take any advantage, which was really a complete disaster, so that there was a brief silence at the press conference again, jerky and embarrassing.

What to do? The opponent was too strong, all the provocations were thrown back, and before I knew it, my cheeks were directly swollen, and the counterattack of the head and face made them almost unstable, so how could the attack continue?

After a moment's pause, the reporters made a wise choice: the next problem was noticeably eased, and they gave up their adventurous attempts to continue sowing discord

Anyway, even if they didn't deliberately provoke, the sworn enemies in the same district were already fighting on their own, they only needed to watch the tiger fight from across the mountain, so why bother to put themselves on the other?

"Bambi, Patrick Willis and Ted Jean are rumoured to be back from injury, will they be in action at this week's federation final?"

Lu Ke's eyes paused slightly, he had already noticed that Jay did not attend today's press conference, but he still maintained his focus and dealt with the attacks of the reporters in front of him wholeheartedly; But at this time, such a question was raised again, and Lu Ke's mood was inevitably a little fluctuating.

The reporter who asked the question couldn't help but chuckle in his heart: Isn't this the basic question that all journalists care about? What's wrong, is there anything wrong? Why is Lu Ke looking at him like this now, will he be swallowed directly in the next second?

Fortunately, Lu Ke only paused for a moment, and then replied, "We are still facing injuries now, which is obviously not an easy task, Patrick and Ted have been battling injuries, and they are also desperate to return to the team to play side by side, but we all need to be patient and wait and see what happens." ”

It's been a big circle, and it's all nonsense! "Saying it means not saying it" series!

"So, will they start this week?"

"Patience, remember? Please be patient. Lu Ke replied again with the same sentence, and the reporter at the scene only felt as if he was being treated as a kindergarten child.

No matter what the attack, Lu Ke can always defuse it lightly, and even launch a counterattack, and when a press conference is over, Lu Ke leaves the press conference hall with a lot of laughter and unfinished thinking, while the reporters are sweating profusely and almost prostration, this job is really not for ordinary people.

Only a few reporters noticed that Jay Fox didn't appear at my press conference today, but they didn't think much of it, after all, the work of journalists is full of variables.

The last question of the press conference was still from Harry, and the seemingly ordinary question was hidden in the murderous question, "Bambi, is the tradition of minimum spending still there?" ”

In the fourteenth week of the regular season, the San Francisco 49ers defeated the Seattle Seahawks at home, but the "minimum consumption" that lasted for two consecutive seasons was finally interrupted, and it can be clearly felt that the strength of the Seattle Seahawks defensive group is rising very rapidly, even if the San Francisco 49ers can still beat the opponent under the leadership of Lu Ke, but it is unlikely to be as easy as the previous two seasons.

The prevailing opinion in the industry now is that regardless of the outcome of the Nations League final, it is almost impossible for the San Francisco 49ers to want a minimum spend

Just look at the Seattle Seahawks' defensive stats for this season:

They have conceded an average of 14.6 points per game this season, including 13.75 points per game at home.

The season's highest point conceded was against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 5, where they dropped 34 points and suffered their first defeat of the season; The lowest point of the season was a 15th week away to the New York Giants, keeping a clean sheet against the opposition.

There are as many as seven games in which the points conceded in the season were within 10 points; There were only six games in the season in which more than 20 points were conceded or more, including two full 20 points and two overtime games; There is only one game in which more than 30 points have been conceded in the season.

So, remember what the "minimum spending" of 49 people in San Francisco was?

Thirty-five points!

The stats give the answer in the most straightforward and clear way: the Seattle Seahawks have not dropped 35 points in even the worst and most disappointing game of the season

The closest score was the "34-28" away game to the Indianapolis Colts, but the 34 points still failed to meet the "minimum spend" standard; Furthermore, the game with the most points conceded in the home game at Century Chain was against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the ninth week of the regular season, and after an overtime battle, they defeated their opponents "27-24".

Incidentally, the Seattle Seahawks have conceded more than 20 points in six games throughout the season, and in addition to the San Francisco 49ers, the other five games are against the Houston Texans, Arizona Cardinals, Tampa Bay Pirates, Minnesota Vikings, and Indianapolis Colts.

What are the common denominators?

The Houston Texans, Tampa Bay Pirates, and Minnesota Vikings are all teams that have plummeted this season, and even the Arizona Cardinals are all teams that collapsed in a comprehensive slump last season, which also means that the Seattle Seahawks have relaxed their rotations, or they have underestimated their opponents and not paid enough attention to them, which has led to more than 20 points conceded, but at the critical moment of the game, they improved their form again, and finally all four games had the last laugh.

The listing of data only illustrates one problem: "minimum consumption", it should be impossible, at least in this season, the San Francisco 49ers have little hope, want to score 35 points on the opponent, especially in the face of the bombardment army, the difficulty is extraordinary, on the one hand, the overall rise of the Seattle Seahawks defensive group, on the other hand, the San Francisco 49ers offensive group has been injured, which is also doomed to a result, "minimum consumption" may really become history.

Harry Waynes chose to throw out the classic question of "minimum consumption" at the end of the press conference, obviously not to remember the past, but to provoke a war, no matter what Lu Ke answers, whether it is positive or negative, in the end, reporters will be able to have a lot of discussions around this topic, give more preview of this game, and it is foreseeable that both teams will be full of more energy.

In the face of Harry's cunning and insidious attack, how did Lu Ke respond?

"Minimum spend? Why not? This is Lu Ke's answer, two simple words, with strong self-confidence and pride, he gave the opponent a hard blow in an understatement, and his domineering posture couldn't help but look sideways, and then Lu Ke nodded with a smile and ended the press conference.

In the vanguard battle of the official press day: the San Francisco 49ers are victorious! In other words, Lu Ke alone resisted the encirclement and suppression of the Seattle Seahawks and all the reporters, and retreated, this ability is really amazing.

Whether it is Sherman and Russell's loss of mind, or Lu Ke's laughter, but what is certain is that the atmosphere of-for-tat rivalry between the two teams is surging, and the game has not even started, it has begun to spark, and even the online scolding battle between the San Francisco 49ers and the Carolina Panthers in the score zone is more intense and exciting, easily creating a new wave of heated discussions.

After the interview, the social network immediately became a mess, and the aftermath of the shock within the two teams also exploded violently, before the game day came, this war of words will obviously not end easily, the Internet has become the next battlefield, no one can stop Sherman from firing on his Twitter account, the scene is somewhat terrifying; But the real focus of attention has been sealed on the official news day, because the impact and shock are so strong that the subsequent Internet noise is just sprinkled with water, so tasteless.

However, industry analysts and commentators have begun to get busy, regardless of the victory or defeat of the "mouth cannon battle", the real focus of the battle still needs to be decided by strength, whether it is a mule or a horse, only by standing on the field and taking a look can we know the result, and those disturbances before the game can only be regarded as appetizers.

Unexpectedly, but understandably, the Seattle Seahawks have become the favored side.

Although the San Francisco 49ers defeated the Seattle Seahawks in the 14th week of the regular season, although the San Francisco 49ers swept the Carolina Panthers in the divisional round, although there are many factors that affect the outcome of a game, but when it comes to hard power and comprehensive strength, the Seattle Seahawks still have the upper hand, and among the ten analysts and commentators in the "league" of ESPN, seven chose the Seattle Seahawks, and the San Francisco 49ers only received three votes.

It was an overwhelming choice.

If the choice "within the league" can only be regarded as the self-inference of the analytical commentators, the subjective consciousness prevails, and the judgment and conclusion only have reference value, then the Las Vegas bookmaker odds are more intuitive and more objective, which is enough to explain the strength and weakness of this game:

Seattle Seahawks win, odds of "1:2.03".

San Francisco 49ers win at odds of "1:8.33".

The contrast is very obvious, and it is obvious that the attitude of the bookmakers is that they do not open bets to lose money, but to win.

In addition, the odds on overtime, leading a touchdown victory and other proposals are also very low and do not have much value, which also shows that Las Vegas bookmakers are generally optimistic that the Seattle Seahawks will win by a close score of seven points in regular time, and they are not optimistic about the offensive firepower of the Seattle Seahawks, but more that the Seattle Seahawks defense has the ability to dominate the game and is likely to be a low-scoring game.