Chapter 390 The master consumes internal strength: the US dollar raises interest rates + depreciates VS China's housing prices rise

Su Su said: "In short, the first article of the Plaza Accord forced the yen to appreciate, and then the second article of the Plaza Agreement, Japan, Germany, France, and Britain jointly sold the dollar in an orderly manner...... Well, Brother Qiang, let's talk about the principle. ”

Wang Qiang patted his head: "What does Su Su mean is that my brother's current second-grade primary school education can answer this question?" ”

Su Su smiled: "Of course you can, it's not complicated." ”

Wang Qiang sighed: "These four countries should be the four richest countries in the world and the most dollars in hand at that time, right?" ”

Su Su smiled: "That's right! Five countries in the G7. As a reminder, Japan is also the largest creditor of the United States! ”

Wang Qiang suddenly understood: "If these four countries throw the dollar together, the dollar will depreciate internationally, and I just said that the depreciation of the dollar is conducive to US exports and the United States is repaying its debts to the world!" ”

Su Su smiled: "What else? The most crucial and essential thing is not said. ”

Wang Qiang was stunned and said, "And? The benefits are all taken up by the depreciation? ”

Su Su smiled: "The dollar is flowing back!" The money that is put in someone else's house is not your money, and the money in other people's houses must be allowed to run to your house - it will become your money. This is the most important part. ”

Wang Qiang patted his head: "Hey, it's just a circle of money, this broken economics makes some painful words." ”

Su Su shook his head and smiled: "There is also the effect of currency withdrawal, allowing the Federal Reserve to withdraw the value of those indiscriminately issued US dollars." ”

Wang Qiang sighed: "Understood! If you learn the future, you will forget the front. ”

Su Su smiled: "Then continue to review the front." As mentioned earlier, appreciation or depreciation can attract foreign funds, but both have side effects, depending on who is the real master. For example, in the 90s, China put a big trick of RMB depreciation, directly reducing the RMB exchange rate against the US dollar from 1:2 to 1:8, which is the rhythm of 'people are stupid and 4 times cheaper, come and invest and buy quickly', so the depreciation of the US dollar this time is also the same principle, that is, to attract funds from all over the world to replenish the blood of the United States. ”

Wang Qiang remembered something: "The dollar is depreciating, and the yen is relatively appreciating even if it does not move, and then it is forced to appreciate by 5% every year, so the appreciation of the yen relative to the dollar is even greater, so can't the dollar rely on more debt?" ”

Su Su smiled: "That's right! This is clearly uniting to slaughter Japan's biggest pig, who called Japan the biggest creditor of the United States! ”

Wang Qiang sighed: "Is it really the easiest way to kill the creditor?" ”

Su Su said: "Brother Qiang is really right, do you know who the largest creditor country was before the First World War?" France! Then France was beaten the worst in World War I. In World War II, it is said that in order to rely on France's war reparations of 9 tons of gold, Hitler directly destroyed France, so the largest creditor country is not so easy to be. ”

Wang Qiang frowned: "It seems that China is now the largest creditor of the United States!" ”

Su Su said with a smile: "Yes, but China is not France as big as a province, nor is it Japan garrisoned, and the consequence of daring to turn around and kill creditors is that China will polish all the US bonds in its hands, and the dollar will depreciate into waste paper in an instant." By the way, I would like to add that although the depreciation of the dollar has various benefits for the United States, it should not be depreciated too hard, because if it is too bad, it will damage the status of the dollar as the mainstream reserve currency, and will cause countries around the world to throw out the dollar in their hands, and the dollar will further depreciate. ”

"In 1985, the dollar was the dominant power in the world, and the United States was not afraid to depreciate it if it wanted, and it could also join the G7 to depreciate the dollar. Anyway, countries around the world have no choice but to use the dollar. But now that the renminbi is rising strongly, you have to be cautious when the dollar depreciates, so these days the dollar is depreciating while raising interest rates, which is enough. ”

Wang Qiang was surprised: "Interest rate hike? ”

Su Su smiled: "That is, the Bank of America raises the interest rate, this is a big move to return the dollar!" For tens of billions of international funds, a 1% interest rate hike will result in an additional 100 million deposit profits. But that's not the point, the point is that a lot of international travel money is borrowed money, and the interest rate hike means that the interest on the money to be repaid has also increased by 1%. ”

Wang Qiang suddenly understood: "That is to say, when the capital goes back, the money is just repaid, and you can also enjoy the interest on the deposit in the bank, which can both stop losses and make money." If you don't go back, you will have to bear the increase in interest on the borrowed money, which is a 2% loss. ”

Su Su smiled: "Yes." Therefore, as long as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, under normal circumstances, China's dollar funds will go back even if they jump off the building and sell their assets, and then when they flee, they can slaughter the RMB in the exchange rate with the depreciation of the dollar. ”

Wang Qiang frowned: "Not only did I roll up China's money, but I went back to replenish the blood of the United States, this blood-sucking trick is ruthless?" How to break? ”

Su Su nodded: "Brother Qiang asked well, then it's time to answer a wave of confusion that Chinese people have not been able to understand, why housing prices have risen in various ways." ”

Wang Qiang was surprised: "Previously, Su Su said that China's housing prices have risen because there is too much international travel capital, and there must be something to carry it, so housing prices have risen." Will interest rate hikes also rise? ”

Su Su nodded: "Don't you think it's a little wrong Brother Qiang?" ”

Wang Qiang frowned: "Discord logic? The U.S. interest rate hike, the tour capital in China will sell the house and run away, this house should be sold at a reduced price! Why doesn't it go down but up? ”

Su Su said with a smile: "Brother Qiang is worthy of the strength of the second grade of primary school, and the correct answer is - this kind of thing that does not conform to market behavior is that China's administration has taken action, and when the United States raises interest rates by 2%, China's housing prices will increase by 5%!" Brother Qiang will talk about the doorway here. ”

Wang Qiang frowned: "The United States raised interest rates by 2%, and if the latent capital does not go back, it will have to bear a 4% loss, but China's housing prices have risen by 5%, that is, the capital will earn 1% more, and the capital will not go!" ”

Su Su clapped his hands and laughed: "Not only will I leave, but some international tourists who are going to return to the United States will also come to China!" ”

Wang Qiang suddenly realized: "That is to say, the big move of the United States to raise interest rates is cheap China again?" ”

Su Su smiled: "That's right! The United States has created crises and turmoil around the world in the hope that international funds will return to the United States. But China built better, and as a result, the money went to China. The same goes for interest rate hikes, as long as China offers a higher price than the U.S. interest rate hike, and the U.S. is cheaper than China, his interest rate hike will only further increase the debt, making the situation worse. Therefore, in the past few years, the United States has shouted that it wants to raise interest rates, but it really does not dare, so it can only continue to print money in private. ”

Wang Qiang asked again: "But China's housing prices have also risen, and the people are suffering!" ”

Su Su said in a deep voice: "There is no way, now is the stage for masters to compete for internal strength, anyway, it is to rot the meat in the pot, and the funds must not be allowed to go back to replenish the blood of the United States." This is the great power game, financial war! The war without gunpowder that is being staged all the time, don't think about being a soldier and sending others to death, I am playing comfortably at home, it is useless, financial war really affects the fate of everyone. ”