Chapter 510: Crisis Expectations
"The vast majority of insurance companies in the major city-states of the Bend League have no shares of the citizens, and their interests are concentrated in the hands of hereditary aristocrats, landlords, bankers, and large business owners, and if the word 'people' in the 'not competing with the people' refers to these few wealthy people who hold shares in the shipping insurance industry, then what kind of class are the nearly 500,000 real commoners in Baiou Harbor and the city-states of the Bend League?"
Roland's questioning was like a kite with a broken string, floating in the air, no one responding, and an embarrassing silence was deposited in the room. Pen % fun % Pavilion www.biquge.info
Lyubov pursed her lips, and her pretty face couldn't help twitching slightly.
In the final analysis, she is also a member of a vested interest group in the shipping insurance industry, and she is the group's leading giant, the most powerful of the powerful, and the richest of the rich. From the perspective of personal morality, she does not lack compassion for the people at the bottom of the society, and is willing to use the power and wealth in her hands to improve the lives of the people at the bottom, but when it comes to the sharp topic of "who can represent the broad masses of the people", she is also inevitably on the side of vested interest groups, and her disputes with the state legislators are uneven distribution of spoils within the elite class, which has nothing to do with the real interests of the people, and she is neither willing nor able to truly treat all strata of society equally and fairly on the issue of the distribution of benefits. So in the face of Roland's questioning, she could only remain silent.
Roland knew that what he said just now was too much, and he was inevitably suspected of scolding Huai, so he sighed lightly and changed the topic: "Put aside the issue of shipping insurance first, I have heard all the words that Kun Tiliang publicly accused you just now, frankly speaking, what he said is not unreasonable, how do you plan to deal with it?" ”
"Kun Tiliang is not a person, his attitude represents the consensus of most conservatives within the Yangbo family, these short-sighted guys oppose the airship industry as the primary industrial policy for the next five years, the reason is that the airship investment is huge, the risk is too high, if the final failure to recover the cost, it means that the industrial policy has failed, if so, not only I will personally bear the responsibility for the decision-making error, the entire Yangbo family will be burdened with huge debts; Even if the airship industry is successfully incubated and becomes a new economic growth point of Baiou Port in the future, it will inevitably destroy the current industrial pattern dominated by maritime shipping, and the shipping business can be transferred to air transportation, but those docks, shipyards, stacks, warehouses, leasing companies and even shipowners and sailors set up for shipping cannot be transformed synchronously, and will be greatly impacted, and even face the threat of unemployment, and the final result is likely to outweigh the losses. Lyubov's face was solemn.
"It must be admitted that the conservatives' concerns are not unreasonable, and these expected risks are likely to become a reality," Roland first affirmed Kun Tiliang's opinion, and then changed his words, "But then again, the metabolism of industry is an objective law that does not depend on personal will, and any attempt to protect the old industrial pattern from the impact of new industries will eventually prove to be futile. For thousands of years, people have long been accustomed to using sails and oars to power navigation, under such conditions, ocean voyages are basically to watch the sky to eat, come with the monsoon, return with the monsoon, if the weather is not beautiful, sailing at sea has become a stupid adventure, God knows where it will be sent by the current; However, since the advent of steam power, this situation has gradually changed, and the magic guide freighter equipped with the steam engine no longer needs to look at the face of the monsoon, and can be freely navigable all year round, so the profits obtained are far higher than the maritime trade in the sail era, but we must also see that the popularity of steam ships has caused oarsmen and sail manufacturers to fall into trouble, and the market no longer needs their services and products, but have the shipping owners of Baigull Harbor considered the feelings of these unemployed? Did the noble and benevolent nobles ever refuse to equip their cargo ships with steam engines out of sympathy for the unemployed oarsmen? I have visited every shipyard in Hakugull Harbor, and there are fewer and fewer manufacturers of sailing ships, and more and more manufacturers of steamboats, this is the reality! The battle between sea and air is like a steam engine after a sail, and those conservatives who advocate the protection of sea and are hostile to air transport are willing to abandon the steam ship and follow the traditional sails? If the answer is no, it only means that they are either schizophrenic or hypocritical and selfish! ”
Victoria, a staunch supporter of airships, was overjoyed to hear Roland's words, and couldn't help but applaud him: "That's a great point! Liuba, the next time you meet Kun Tiliang's old stubbornness, you will use Roland's words to teach him a hard lesson! ”
Liu Bofu doted on his sister, stroked her hair, and looked at Roland's bright and firm eyes: "I completely agree with your opinion, as far as the two major problems faced by Baiougang are concerned, the anti-monopoly bill can be discussed, I have always disliked the monopoly of the industry, advocating free competition, and fighting against major guilds all year round. But I will not give in to the battle over industrial policy! The airship company must be vigorously supported, and in the short term, it is unlikely to have a substantial impact on the shipping industry, and it may have a certain impact in the long term, but this is the inevitable price of industrial restructuring, and if it leads to the unemployment of dock workers and sailors, I can only express my deep regret. ”
Roland frowned slightly, vaguely hearing a hint of coldness from Lyubov's words, this was not his original intention, perhaps because the vigorous development of Baiou Port in the past ten years has made her lose her vigilance, and she is accustomed to economic prosperity, but she does not know that crises always lurk in prosperity, so that she underestimates the systemic risks associated with soaring unemployment.
"Liuba, as your friend, I have the obligation to remind you to be wary of the unemployment pressure that accompanies the transformation of the industrial structure, indeed, as you said, with the current airship delivery technology, it is unlikely to pose a threat to the maritime industry in the next ten years, but what about ten years from now? If you don't answer this question positively, you won't be able to dispel the swirling clouds over the heads of dock workers and sailors, and you won't be able to free them from the pessimistic expectation that they will lose their jobs someday, and what will happen to those who are caught up in crisis expectations? They don't wait for the crisis to come a decade from now, they are restless from the day they perceive it, and the lack of security about the future prompts them to cut back on their daily spending, which is not a big deal for individual families, but what does it mean for society as a whole for thousands of families to cut back on food? A large number of wage earners are afraid of unemployment in the future and dare not consume, the goods in the store are oversupplied, the store has to reduce the amount of purchases in order to reduce losses, the lack of purchases leads to the production of goods factories are affected, the demand for raw materials will also decline, the price of raw materials plummets, agriculture, animal husbandry and cotton textile industry are unprofitable, since it is unprofitable, who will go to farming, grazing, spinning and weaving? In this way, the signal of sluggish demand spreads to all corners of social production, and eventually turns into vicious deflation, which in turn worsens the socio-economic situation: because the product cannot be sold, the factory has to cut the number of workers to save costs, and those workers who are worried about losing their jobs in the future will receive early notice of dismissal - see? This is the self-actualization of the crisis! Isn't it absurd that people act rationally in anticipation of the future, but instead of improving their future situation, they will lose their jobs early? If you do get to that point, how can you convince the emotionally unemployed to calm down? As soon as someone provokes the slightest instigation, they will unite to express their indignation with actions, and eventually cause a great panic that will affect the entire social order! (To be continued.) )